{"id":102721,"date":"2023-07-08T15:44:56","date_gmt":"2023-07-08T19:44:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=102721"},"modified":"2023-07-08T16:49:21","modified_gmt":"2023-07-08T20:49:21","slug":"%e5%b0%98%e5%9f%83%e6%9c%aa%e8%90%bd%e7%9a%84%e9%ab%98%e5%b3%b0%ef%bc%9a%e5%8d%b0%e4%b8%ad%e8%be%b9%e5%a2%83%e4%b8%89%e5%b9%b4%e7%b4%a7%e5%bc%a0%e5%b1%80%e5%8a%bf","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=102721","title":{"rendered":"\u5c18\u57c3\u672a\u843d\u7684\u9ad8\u5cf0\uff1a\u5370\u4e2d\u8fb9\u5883\u4e09\u5e74\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"date-time-area \">\n<div class=\"container\"><span class=\"date-time\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u65f6\u95f4 4:44 2023\u5e747\u67089\u65e5 \u661f\u671f\u65e5<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"content\" class=\"\">\n<div class=\"container\">\n<div class=\"hdr-container\">\n<div class=\"row\">\n<div class=\"col-publishing-details col-xs-12 col-sm-12 col-md-2 pull-left\">\n<div 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<\/span>\u89e3\u51b3\u5bfc\u81f42020\u5e74\u4e2d\u5370\u81f4\u547d\u51b2\u7a81\u7684\u8fb9\u754c\u4e89\u7aef\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u52aa\u529b\u8fdb\u5c55\u751a\u5fae\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6b63\u5728\u63a8\u8fdb\u519b\u4e8b\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u7684\u5efa\u8bbe\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u65b9\u9762\u4e5f\u5728\u8fd9\u6837\u505a\uff0c\u53ea\u662f\u6b65\u4f10\u8f83\u5c0f\uff0c\u53cc\u65b9\u90fd\u5728\u5f3a\u5316\u5404\u81ea\u7684\u4e3b\u6743\u58f0\u7d22\u3002<br \/>\n\u622a\u81f34\u6708\u4efd\u4e3a\u671f\u516d\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u536b\u661f\u56fe\u50cf\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5e76\u65e0\u7cbe\u786e\u5212\u754c\u7684\u201c\u5b9e\u9645\u63a7\u5236\u7ebf\u201d\uff08Line of Actual Control\uff09\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e00\u4fa7\u5df2\u7ecf\u6709\u4e86\u7262\u56fa\u5efa\u7acb\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u8be5\u63a7\u5236\u7ebf\u662f\u6709\u4e89\u8bae\u7684\u559c\u9a6c\u62c9\u96c5\u5c71\u533a\u963f\u514b\u8d5b\u94a6\u5730\u533a\u4e24\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\u7684\u8fb9\u754c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6839\u636e\u67e5\u5854\u59c6\u7814\u7a76\u6240\uff08Chatham House\uff0c\u53c8\u79f0\u82f1\u56fd\u7687\u5bb6\u56fd\u9645\u4e8b\u52a1\u7814\u7a76\u6240\uff09\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u4ee5\u524d\u53ea\u89c2\u5bdf\u5230\u96f6\u6563\u7684\u68c0\u67e5\u7ad9\u548c\u57fa\u672c\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u9635\u5730\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u73b0\u5728\u201c\u6269\u5927\u4e86\u9053\u8def\u3001\u524d\u54e8\u548c\u73b0\u4ee3\u5316\u7684\u9632\u98ce\u96e8\u8425\u5730\uff0c\u914d\u5907\u4e86\u505c\u8f66\u573a\u3001\u592a\u9633\u80fd\u7535\u6c60\u677f\u548c\u76f4\u5347\u673a\u505c\u673a\u576a\u7b49\u4fbf\u5229\u8bbe\u65bd\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u867d\u7136\u5370\u5ea6\u52aa\u529b\u8d76\u4e0a\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u5efa\u8bbe\uff0c\u4f46\u53d1\u5c55\u6b65\u4f10\u8981\u6162\u5f97\u591a\u3002\u5728\u62c9\u8fbe\u514b\u81ea\u6cbb\u5c71\u53d1\u5c55\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u4ee3\u8868\u4e00\u5904\u8fb9\u5883\u9009\u533a\u7684\u5b54\u4e54\u514b\u00b7\u65af\u5766\u6d25\uff08Konchok Stanzin\uff09\u547c\u5401\u5728\u90e8\u7f72\u5927\u91cf\u5370\u5ea6\u519b\u961f\u7684\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u8981\u8fdb\u884c\u91cd\u5927\u53d1\u5c55\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u9488\u950b\u76f8\u5bf9\u5730\u5efa\u7acb\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u7684\u8fdb\u5c55\u4ecd\u7136\u7f13\u6162\uff0c\u8fb9\u5883\u5730\u533a\u7684\u901a\u4fe1\u4ecd\u7136\u7f3a\u4e4f\uff0c\u201d\u4ed6\u5728\u5217\u57ce\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e4b\u97f3(VOA)\u8bf4\u3002\u5217\u57ce\u662f\u5370\u5ea6\u62c9\u8fbe\u514b\u5730\u533a\u6700\u5927\u7684\u57ce\u5e02\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u58f0\u79f0\u963f\u514b\u8d5b\u94a6\u662f\u62c9\u8fbe\u514b\u5730\u533a\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5317\u4eac\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e00\u8bf4\u6cd5\u63d0\u51fa\u5f02\u8bae\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u6cbb\u7406\u7740\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u5730\u533a\uff0c\u4f5c\u4e3a\u897f\u85cf\u53ca\u5176\u897f\u90e8\u65b0\u7586\u5730\u533a\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u3002\u867d\u7136\u7531\u4e8e\u5176\u6d77\u62d4\u9ad8\u5ea6\u548c\u5e72\u65f1\u6761\u4ef6\uff0c\u963f\u514b\u8d5b\u94a6\u57fa\u672c\u4e0a\u4e0d\u9002\u5408\u5c45\u4f4f\uff0c\u4f46\u5b83\u662f\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u5730\u533a\u4e4b\u95f4\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u6218\u7565\u8054\u7cfb\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u52a0\u52d2\u4e07\u5c71\u8c37\u4e5f\u4f4d\u4e8e\u963f\u514b\u8d5b\u94a6\u30022020\u5e746\u6708\uff0c20\u540d\u5370\u5ea6\u58eb\u5175\u548c\u81f3\u5c11\u56db\u540d\u4e2d\u56fd\u58eb\u5175\u5728\u52a0\u52d2\u4e07\u8c37\u7684\u51b2\u7a81\u4e2d\u4e27\u751f\u3002\u81ea\u90a3\u65f6\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u4e09\u5e74\u7684\u8c08\u5224\u7ed3\u679c\u8fbe\u6210\u4e86\u5728\u4e94\u4e2a\u6469\u64e6\u70b9\u8131\u79bb\u519b\u4e8b\u63a5\u89e6\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u8fb9\u754c\u4e89\u7aef\u5c1a\u672a\u89e3\u51b3\uff0c\u610f\u5916\u51b2\u7a81\u5347\u7ea7\u4e3a\u4e24\u4e2a\u6838\u5927\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u5371\u673a\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u4ecd\u7136\u6325\u4e4b\u4e0d\u53bb\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5370\u5ea6\u4e00\u8d2f\u5f3a\u8c03\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u901a\u8fc7\u8131\u79bb\u63a5\u89e6\u548c\u51cf\u5c11\u6240\u6709\u5269\u4f59\u6469\u64e6\u70b9\u7684\u90e8\u961f\u4eba\u6570\uff0c\u624d\u80fd\u6301\u4e45\u89e3\u51b3\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5a01\u5c14\u900a\u4e2d\u5fc3\uff08Wilson Center\uff09\u4e9a\u6d32\u9879\u76ee\u526f\u4e3b\u4efb\u517c\u5357\u4e9a\u4e8b\u52a1\u9ad8\u7ea7\u52a9\u7406\u8fc8\u514b\u5c14\u00b7\u5e93\u683c\u5c14\u66fc\uff08Michael Kugelman\uff09\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e4b\u97f3\u8bf4\uff0c\u52a0\u52d2\u4e07\u51b2\u7a81\u4f7f\u5370\u4e2d\u5173\u7cfb\u964d\u81f31962\u5e74\u6218\u4e89\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u4e09\u5e74\u4e4b\u540e\u7684\u4eca\u5929\uff0c\u4e24\u56fd\u4ecd\u5728\u52aa\u529b\u6062\u590d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6839\u636e\u5e93\u683c\u5c14\u66fc\u7684\u8bf4\u6cd5\uff0c\u4e24\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u53cc\u8fb9\u8d38\u6613\u4ecd\u7136\u5f3a\u52b2\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u4ecd\u7136\u5728\u591a\u8fb9\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u4f46\u66f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u4ecd\u7136\u975e\u5e38\u7d27\u5f20\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u52a0\u52d2\u4e07\u51b2\u7a81\u4e5f\u653e\u5927\u4e86\u4e24\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u4e0d\u65ad\u6df1\u5316\u7684\u6218\u7565\u7ade\u4e89\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u901a\u8fc7\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u6295\u8d44\u548c\u6df1\u5316\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77\u519b\u5728\u5370\u5ea6\u6d0b\u7684\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u6269\u5927\u5176\u5728\u5370\u5ea6\u5927\u540e\u9662\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\uff0c\u201d\u4ed6\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u52a0\u52d2\u4e07\u51b2\u7a81\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u4e24\u56fd\u4e3e\u884c\u4e86\u591a\u8f6e\u519b\u957f\u7ea7\u4f1a\u8bae\uff0c\u4fc3\u6210\u4e86\u519b\u961f\u7684\u90e8\u5206\u64a4\u51fa\uff0c\u5e76\u5efa\u7acb\u4e86\u519b\u4e8b\u7f13\u51b2\u533a\uff0c\u6709\u6548\u5730\u9632\u6b62\u4e86\u5c40\u52bf\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5347\u7ea7\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5728\u8fb9\u754c\u9644\u8fd1\u4ecd\u9a7b\u624e\u91cd\u5175\uff0c\u6700\u65b0\u4e00\u8f6e\u4f1a\u8c08\u6ca1\u6709\u53d6\u5f97\u91cd\u5927\u7a81\u7834\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5370\u5ea6\u5916\u4ea4\u90e8\u957f\u82cf\u6770\u751f\uff08S. Jaishankar\uff09\u6700\u8fd1\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u201c\u8fb9\u754c\u72b6\u51b5\u5c06\u51b3\u5b9a\u5370\u5ea6\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u72b6\u51b5\uff0c\u4eca\u5929\u7684\u8fb9\u754c\u72b6\u51b5\u4ecd\u7136\u4e0d\u6b63\u5e38\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u4e13\u5bb6\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4e2d\u5370\u5173\u7cfb\u65e9\u65e5\u6539\u5584\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u5f88\u5c0f\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5728\u603b\u7406\u7eb3\u4f26\u5fb7\u62c9\u00b7\u83ab\u8fea\uff08Narendra Modi\uff09\u4e0a\u4e2a\u6708\u5bf9\u534e\u76db\u987f\u8fdb\u884c\u56fd\u4e8b\u8bbf\u95ee\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u4ed6\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u4e54\u00b7\u62dc\u767b\uff08Joe Biden\uff09\u5c31\u56fd\u9632\u3001\u6280\u672f\u548c\u519b\u4e8b\u4e8b\u52a1\u8fbe\u6210\u4e86\u534f\u8bae\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u53ea\u8981\u83ab\u8fea\u7ee7\u7eed\u6267\u653f\uff0c\u6211\u9884\u8ba1\u5370\u5ea6\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u5c31\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6b63\u5e38\u5316\uff0c\u201d\u524d\u5370\u5ea6\u519b\u5b98\u3001\u56fd\u9632\u4e13\u5bb6\u548c\u4f5c\u5bb6\u666e\u62c9\u6587\u00b7\u7d22\u5c3c\uff08Pravin 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