{"id":103970,"date":"2023-09-25T16:00:44","date_gmt":"2023-09-25T20:00:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=103970"},"modified":"2023-09-25T17:07:22","modified_gmt":"2023-09-25T21:07:22","slug":"%e5%a1%94%e5%88%a9%e7%8f%ad%e4%b8%8e%e5%8d%8e%e4%b8%ba%e6%8e%a2%e8%ae%a8%e6%bd%9c%e5%9c%a8%e5%90%88%e4%bd%9c-%e5%8a%a0%e5%bc%ba%e9%98%bf%e5%af%8c%e6%b1%97%e5%a4%a7%e8%a7%84%e6%a8%a1%e7%9b%91%e8%a7%86","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=103970","title":{"rendered":"\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u4e0e\u534e\u4e3a\u63a2\u8ba8\u6f5c\u5728\u5408\u4f5c \u52a0\u5f3a\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u76d1\u89c6\u7f51\u7edc"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"date-time-area \">\n<div class=\"container\"><span class=\"date-time\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u65f6\u95f4 5:01 2023\u5e749\u670826\u65e5 \u661f\u671f\u4e8c<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"content\" class=\" not-loaded-ymlas\">\n<div class=\"container\">\n<div class=\"hdr-container\">\n<div class=\"row\">\n<div class=\"col-publishing-details col-xs-12 col-sm-12 col-md-2 pull-left\">\n<div class=\"publishing-details \">\n<div class=\"published\"><span class=\"date\" title=\"\u4e2d\u56fd\u65f6\u95f4\"><time datetime=\"2023-09-26T00:51:27+08:00\">2023\u5e749\u670826\u65e5 00:51<\/time><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"links\">\n<ul class=\"links__list links__list--column\">\n<li class=\"links__item\">\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e4b\u97f3<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"col-lg-12 separator\">\n<div class=\"separator\">\n<hr class=\"title-line\" \/>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"col-multimedia col-xs-12 col-md-10 pull-right\">\n<div class=\"cover-media\">\n<figure class=\"media-image js-media-expand js-media-expand--ready\">\n<div class=\"img-wrap\">\n<div class=\"thumb thumb16_9\">\n<div id=\"attachment_103971\" style=\"width: 310px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-103971\" 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class=\"link-print visible-md visible-lg buttons p-0\"><button class=\"btn btn--link btn-print p-t-0\" title=\"\u6253\u5370\">\u00a0<span class=\"btn__text\">\u6253\u5370<\/span><\/button><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"body-container\">\n<div class=\"row\">\n<div class=\"col-xs-12 col-sm-12 col-md-10 col-lg-10 pull-right\">\n<div class=\"row\">\n<div class=\"col-xs-12 col-sm-12 col-md-8 col-lg-8 pull-left bottom-offset content-offset\">\n<div id=\"article-content\" class=\"content-floated-wrap fb-quotable\">\n<div class=\"wsw\">\n<p>\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u5185\u653f\u90e8\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u6b63\u5728\u4e3a\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u57ce\u5e02\u5efa\u7acb\u4e00\u4e2a\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u6444\u50cf\u76d1\u63a7\u7f51\u7edc\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u6d89\u53ca\u91cd\u65b0\u5229\u7528\u7f8e\u56fd\u57282021\u5e74\u64a4\u519b\u4e4b\u524d\u5236\u5b9a\u7684\u8ba1\u5212\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u5f53\u5c40\u5df2\u7ecf\u4e0e\u534e\u4e3a\u78cb\u5546\u5408\u4f5c\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u5bfb\u6c42\u8865\u5145\u9996\u90fd\u5580\u5e03\u5c14\u5df2\u6709\u7684\u6570\u5343\u4e2a\u76d1\u63a7\u6444\u50cf\u5934\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5185\u653f\u90e8\u53d1\u8a00\u4eba\u963f\u535c\u675c\u52d2\u00b7\u9a6c\u5ef7\u00b7\u5361\u5c3c (Abdul Mateen Qani) \u544a\u8bc9\u8def\u900f\u793e\uff0c\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u653f\u5e9c\u5df2\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u7535\u4fe1\u8bbe\u5907\u5236\u9020\u5546\u534e\u4e3a\u5c31\u6f5c\u5728\u5408\u4f5c\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u78cb\u5546\u3002\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u653f\u5e9c\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5efa\u7acb\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u76d1\u63a7\u7f51\u7edc\u7684\u91cd\u70b9\u662f\u6062\u590d\u5b89\u5168\u548c\u6253\u51fb\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u56fd\u3002\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u56fd\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5728\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u57ce\u5e02\u53d1\u52a8\u4e86\u591a\u6b21\u91cd\u5927\u88ad\u51fb\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6839\u636e\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u5185\u653f\u90e8\u7684\u4f1a\u8bae\u8bb0\u5f55\uff0c\u9632\u6b62\u56fd\u9645\u6fc0\u8fdb\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff08\u5305\u62ec\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u56fd\u7b49\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff09\u53d1\u52a8\u88ad\u51fb\uff0c\u662f\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u4e0e\u5305\u62ec\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u5185\u7b49\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e92\u52a8\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u3002\u4f46\u4e00\u4e9b\u5206\u6790\u4eba\u58eb\u8d28\u7591\uff0c\u73b0\u91d1\u77ed\u7f3a\u7684\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u653f\u6743\u662f\u5426\u6709\u80fd\u529b\u4e3a\u8be5\u8ba1\u5212\u63d0\u4f9b\u8d44\u91d1\u3002\u4eba\u6743\u7ec4\u7ec7\u4e5f\u62c5\u5fc3\uff0c\u4efb\u4f55\u8d44\u6e90\u90fd\u4f1a\u88ab\u7528\u6765\u9547\u538b\u6297\u8bae\u8005\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8def\u900f\u793e\u79f0\uff0c\u6b64\u524d\u5c1a\u672a\u62a5\u9053\u8fc7\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u6253\u7b97\u5982\u4f55\u6269\u5927\u548c\u7ba1\u7406\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u76d1\u89c6\u7f51\u7edc\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u83b7\u5f97\u7f8e\u56fd\u8ba1\u5212\u7684\u7ec6\u8282\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5361\u5c3c\u5bf9\u8def\u900f\u793e\u8bf4\uff0c\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u6444\u50cf\u5934\u7684\u90e8\u7f72\uff0c\u662f\u65b0\u5b89\u5168\u6218\u7565\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u91cd\u70b9\u5c06\u653e\u5728\u5580\u5e03\u5c14\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u65b9\u7684\u201c\u91cd\u8981\u5730\u70b9\u201d\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6218\u7565\u5c06\u9700\u8981\u56db\u5e74\u65f6\u95f4\u624d\u80fd\u5168\u9762\u5b9e\u65bd\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u76ee\u524d\u6211\u4eec\u6b63\u5728\u7ed8\u5236\u5580\u5e03\u5c14\u5b89\u5168\u5730\u56fe\uff0c\u8be5\u5730\u56fe\u6b63\u5728\u7531\u5b89\u5168\u4e13\u5bb6\u5b8c\u6210\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u9700\u8981\u82b1\u8d39\u5927\u91cf\u65f6\u95f4\u3002\u201d\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u5df2\u7ecf\u6709\u4e24\u5f20\u5730\u56fe\uff0c\u4e00\u5f20\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e3a\u524d\u4efb\u653f\u5e9c\u7ed8\u5236\u7684\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u5f20\u662f\u571f\u8033\u5176\u5236\u4f5c\u7684\uff0c\u201d\u5361\u5c3c\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u6ca1\u6709\u8be6\u7ec6\u8bf4\u660e\u571f\u8033\u5176\u8ba1\u5212\u662f\u4f55\u65f6\u5236\u5b9a\u7684\u3002\u571f\u8033\u5176\u653f\u5e9c\u53d1\u8a00\u4eba\u6ca1\u6709\u56de\u590d\u7f6e\u8bc4\u8bf7\u6c42\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u52a1\u9662\u53d1\u8a00\u4eba\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u534e\u76db\u987f\u5e76\u672a\u4e0e\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u201c\u5408\u4f5c\u201d\uff0c\u5e76\u201c\u5411\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u660e\u786e\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u786e\u4fdd\u4e0d\u4e3a\u6050\u6016\u5206\u5b50\u63d0\u4f9b\u5b89\u5168\u5e87\u62a4\u6240\u662f\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u8d23\u4efb\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5361\u5c3c\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u57288\u6708\u4efd\u5c31\u6f5c\u5728\u7f51\u7edc\u4e0e\u534e\u4e3a\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u201c\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u4ea4\u8c08\u201d\uff0c\u4f46\u5c1a\u672a\u8fbe\u6210\u4efb\u4f55\u5408\u540c\u6216\u786e\u5b9a\u8ba1\u5212\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u5f6d\u535a\u65b0\u95fb\u793e8\u6708\u63f4\u5f15\u4e00\u4f4d\u4e86\u89e3\u6709\u5173\u78cb\u5546\u7684\u4eba\u58eb\u7684\u8bdd\u79f0\uff0c\u534e\u4e3a\u5df2\u4e0e\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u5c31\u5b89\u88c5\u76d1\u63a7\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u5408\u540c\u8fbe\u6210\u201c\u53e3\u5934\u534f\u8bae\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u534e\u4e3a9\u6708\u4efd\u5bf9\u8def\u900f\u793e\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4f1a\u8bae\u671f\u95f4\u201c\u6ca1\u6709\u8ba8\u8bba\u4efb\u4f55\u8ba1\u5212\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e2d\u56fd\u5916\u4ea4\u90e8\u53d1\u8a00\u4eba\u6bdb\u5b819\u670818\u65e5\u5728\u56de\u7b54\u8def\u900f\u793e\u7684\u6709\u5173\u63d0\u95ee\u65f6\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e0d\u638c\u63e1\u4e0a\u8ff0\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u4f46\u8865\u5145\u9053\uff1a\u201c\u4e2d\u65b9\u4e00\u8d2f\u652f\u6301\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u548c\u5e73\u91cd\u5efa\u8fdb\u7a0b\uff0c\u652f\u6301\u4e2d\u56fd\u4f01\u4e1a\u6309\u7167\u5e02\u573a\u539f\u5219\u540c\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u5f00\u5c55\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u52a1\u5b9e\u5408\u4f5c\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u636e\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u79f0\uff0c\u5580\u5e03\u5c14\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u57ce\u5e02\u6709\u8d85\u8fc762,000\u4e2a\u6444\u50cf\u5934\uff0c\u7531\u4e2d\u592e\u63a7\u5236\u5ba4\u8fdb\u884c\u76d1\u63a7\u3002\u636e\u524d\u653f\u5e9c\u79f0\uff0c\u5580\u5e03\u5c14\u6444\u50cf\u76d1\u89c6\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u6b21\u91cd\u5927\u66f4\u65b0\u662f\u57282008\u5e74\u3002\u5f53\u65f6\u7684\u653f\u5e9c\u5728\u5b89\u5168\u65b9\u9762\u4e25\u91cd\u4f9d\u8d56\u897f\u65b9\u9886\u5bfc\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u90e8\u961f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>2021\u5e741\u6708\uff0c\u5f53\u5317\u7ea6\u9886\u5bfc\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u90e8\u961f\u9010\u6e10\u64a4\u519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Center for Naval Analyses\uff09\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u95ee\u9898\u4e13\u5bb6\u4e54\u7eb3\u68ee\u00b7\u65bd\u7f57\u767b\uff08Jonathan Schroden\uff09\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u76d1\u89c6\u7cfb\u7edf\u201c\u5bf9\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u5f88\u6709\u7528\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u8bd5\u56fe\u963b\u6b62\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u56fd\u7b49\u7ec4\u7ec7\u2026\u2026\u653b\u51fb\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u6210\u5458\u6216\u5580\u5e03\u5c14\u7684\u653f\u5e9c\u6240\u5728\u5730\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u5854\u5229\u73ed\u5df2\u7ecf\u52a8\u7528\u5b89\u5168\u90e8\u961f\u8f66\u8f86\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5b9a\u671f\u8bbe\u7f6e\u68c0\u67e5\u7ad9\u6765\u5bc6\u5207\u76d1\u89c6\u57ce\u5e02\u4e2d\u5fc3\u5730\u533a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4eba\u6743\u5021\u5bfc\u8005\u548c\u53cd\u5bf9\u8005\u62c5\u5fc3\uff0c\u52a0\u5f3a\u76d1\u63a7\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u9488\u5bf9\u6c11\u95f4\u793e\u4f1a\u6210\u5458\u548c\u6297\u8bae\u8005\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u56fd\u9645\u7279\u8d66\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u9a6c\u7279\u00b7\u9a6c\u54c8\u8302\u8fea\uff08Matt 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