{"id":105206,"date":"2024-04-30T15:55:39","date_gmt":"2024-04-30T19:55:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=105206"},"modified":"2024-04-30T16:58:16","modified_gmt":"2024-04-30T20:58:16","slug":"%e4%b8%89%e4%b8%ad%e5%85%a8%e4%bc%9a%e4%b8%83%e6%9c%88%e5%8f%ac%e5%bc%80-%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd%e7%bb%8f%e6%b5%8e%e4%b8%8e%e6%94%b9%e9%9d%a9%e5%8f%8c%e9%99%b7%e5%9b%b0%e5%a2%83","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=105206","title":{"rendered":"&#8220;\u4e09\u4e2d\u5168\u4f1a&#8221;\u4e03\u6708\u53ec\u5f00 \u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0e\u6539\u9769\u53cc\u9677\u56f0\u5883"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"mobilecontainer\">\n<h1><\/h1>\n<div id=\"storytop\">\n<div id=\"dateline\"><span id=\"story_date\">2024.04.30 16:07 ET<\/span><\/div>\n<div id=\"storytoptools\">\n<div class=\"storytoptoolbutton a2a_kit a2a_default_style\"><a class=\"a2a_dd\" 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alt=\"&quot;\u4e09\u4e2d\u5168\u4f1a&quot;\u4e03\u6708\u53ec\u5f00  \u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0e\u6539\u9769\u53cc\u9677\u56f0\u5883\" width=\"620\" height=\"413\" \/><span class=\"lead_image_caption\">2022\u5e7410\u670816\u65e5\uff0c\u519b\u961f\u4ee3\u8868\u5728\u4e2d\u5171\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5341\u6b21\u5168\u56fd\u4ee3\u8868\u5927\u4f1a\u5f00\u5e55\u5f0f\u524d\u62b5\u8fbe\u4e2d\u56fd\u5317\u4eac\u4eba\u6c11\u5927\u4f1a\u5802\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"zoomattribute\"><a id=\"single_image\" title=\"2022\u5e7410\u670816\u65e5\uff0c\u519b\u961f\u4ee3\u8868\u5728\u4e2d\u5171\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5341\u6b21\u5168\u56fd\u4ee3\u8868\u5927\u4f1a\u5f00\u5e55\u5f0f\u524d\u62b5\u8fbe\u4e2d\u56fd\u5317\u4eac\u4eba\u6c11\u5927\u4f1a\u5802\u3002\" href=\"https:\/\/www.rfa.org\/mandarin\/yataibaodao\/zhengzhi\/kw-04302024101845.html\/@@images\/image\/social_media\" data-fancybox=\"\" data-caption=\"2022\u5e7410\u670816\u65e5\uff0c\u519b\u961f\u4ee3\u8868\u5728\u4e2d\u5171\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5341\u6b21\u5168\u56fd\u4ee3\u8868\u5927\u4f1a\u5f00\u5e55\u5f0f\u524d\u62b5\u8fbe\u4e2d\u56fd\u5317\u4eac\u4eba\u6c11\u5927\u4f1a\u5802\u3002\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rfa.org\/++plone++rfa-resources\/img\/icon-zoom.png\" \/>\u00a0<\/a><span class=\"copyright\">\u8def\u900f\u793e\u8d44\u6599\u56fe\u7247<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"storytext\">\n<p>\u5728\u5ef6\u5b95\u591a\u65f6\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5171\u4ea7\u515a\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5341\u5c4a\u4e09\u4e2d\u5168\u4f1a\u5c06\u4e8e\u4eca\u5e74\u4e03\u6708\u5728\u5317\u4eac\u53ec\u5f00\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f53\u524d\u6b63\u9762\u4e34\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5371\u673a\u3001\u4ea7\u80fd\u8fc7\u5269\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6d88\u8d39\u75b2\u8f6f\u7b49\u591a\u91cd\u6311\u6218\u3002&#8221;\u4e09\u4e2d\u5168\u4f1a&#8221;\u80fd\u5426\u51fa\u53f0\u4efb\u4f55\u4f53\u5236\u6027\u6539\u9769\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u4ee4\u4eba\u5173\u6ce8\u3002<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rfa.org\/mandarin\/yataibaodao\/zhengzhi\/tj-12182023104431.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>&#8220;\u6539\u9769\u5f00\u653e&#8221;\u56db\u5341\u4e94\u5468\u5e74\u3000\u5b66\u8005\uff1a\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u6b63\u5728&#8221;\u5f00\u5012\u8f66&#8221;<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rfa.org\/mandarin\/Xinwen\/st-04302024040455.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u51e0\u7ecf\u62d6\u5ef6 \u4e2d\u5171\u5ba3\u5e03\u4e03\u6708\u5f00\u4e8c\u5341\u5c4a\u4e09\u4e2d\u5168\u4f1a \u7ecf\u6d4e\u96be\u9898\u63d0&#8221;\u957f\u4e09\u89d2&#8221;\u89e3\u65b9<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u636e\u4e2d\u56fd\u5b98\u5a92\u65b0\u534e\u793e\u6d88\u606f\uff0c\u4e2d\u5171\u4e2d\u592e\u653f\u6cbb\u5c404\u670830\u65e5\u53ec\u5f00\u4f1a\u8bae\uff0c\u51b3\u5b9a\u4eca\u5e747\u6708\u5728\u5317\u4eac\u53ec\u5f00\u4e2d\u5171\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5341\u5c4a\u4e09\u4e2d\u5168\u4f1a\u3002\u4e3b\u8981\u8bae\u7a0b\u662f\u653f\u6cbb\u5c40\u5411\u4e2d\u592e\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u62a5\u544a\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u91cd\u70b9\u7814\u7a76\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u201c\u5168\u9762\u6df1\u5316\u6539\u9769\u3001\u63a8\u8fdb\u4e2d\u56fd\u5f0f\u73b0\u4ee3\u5316\u95ee\u9898\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u81ea\u4e0a\u4e16\u7eaa\u4e5d\u5341\u5e74\u4ee3\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u5386\u5c4a\u4e09\u4e2d\u5168\u4f1a\u901a\u5e38\u90fd\u5728\u79cb\u5b63\u4e3e\u884c\u3002\u4f26\u6566\u7684\u72ec\u7acb\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7814\u7a76\u673a\u6784\u201c\u8d44\u672c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u201d\uff08Capital Economics\uff09\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u90e8\u4e3b\u4efb\u57c3\u6587\u65af-\u666e\u91cc\u67e5\u5fb7\uff08Julian Evans-Pritchard\uff09\u5bf9\u8def\u900f\u793e\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5916\u754c\u66fe\u9884\u8ba1\u53bb\u5e74\u5e95\u4f1a\u4e3e\u884c\u8fd9\u6b21\u4f1a\u8bae\uff0c\u4f46\u5374\u88ab\u6beb\u65e0\u89e3\u91ca\u5730\u5ef6\u671f\u3002\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff1a \u201c\u6211\u4eec\u5e94\u8be5\u5728\u4e09\u4e2d\u5168\u4f1a\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\uff08\u4e2d\u56fd\uff09\u9886\u5bfc\u5c42\u7684\u4e2d\u671f\u6539\u9769\u4f18\u5148\u4e8b\u9879\u6709\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u4e86\u89e3\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p><b>\u653f\u6cbb\u5c40\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e3a\u4e8c\u5341\u5c4a\u4e09\u4e2d\u5168\u4f1a\u5b9a\u8c03<\/b><\/p>\n<p>\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6b63\u5904\u4e8e\u6301\u7eed\u4f4e\u8ff7\u72b6\u6001\u3002\u66fe\u5360\u5168\u56fd\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\u56db\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u7684\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u884c\u4e1a\u8d1f\u503a\u7d2f\u7d2f\uff0c\u6210\u4e3a\u5bb6\u5ead\u6d88\u8d39\u4fe1\u5fc3\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u969c\u788d\u3002\u672c\u5c4a\u4e09\u4e2d\u5168\u4f1a\uff0c\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u9886\u5bfc\u7684\u4e2d\u5171\u4e2d\u592e\u771f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u63a8\u51fa\u4efb\u4f55\u6df1\u5316\u6539\u9769\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\u5417\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>\u6839\u636e\u65b0\u534e\u793e\u7684\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u4e2d\u592e\u653f\u6cbb\u5c4030\u65e5\u7684\u4f1a\u8bae\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4ecd\u9762\u4e34\u5f88\u591a\u6311\u6218\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u6709\u6548\u9700\u6c42\u4ecd\u7136\u4e0d\u8db3\uff0c\u4f01\u4e1a\u7ecf\u8425\u538b\u529b\u8f83\u5927\uff0c\u91cd\u70b9\u9886\u57df\u98ce\u9669\u9690\u60a3\u8f83\u591a\u3002\u62a5\u9053\u8fd8\u6307\u51fa\uff1a\u201c\u56fd\u5185\u5927\u5faa\u73af\u4e0d\u591f\u987a\u7545\uff0c\u5916\u90e8\u73af\u5883\u590d\u6742\u6027\u3001\u4e25\u5cfb\u6027\u3001\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u660e\u663e\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u201d\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u8be5\u62a5\u9053\u540c\u65f6\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u57fa\u7840\u4ecd\u7136\u7a33\u5b9a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0a\u8ff0\u653f\u6cbb\u5c40\u4f1a\u8bae\u8fd8\u8c08\u5230\u8981\u91c7\u53d6\u65b0\u63aa\u65bd\u6765\u89e3\u51b3\u957f\u671f\u7684\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5371\u673a\uff0c\u5e76\u6697\u793a\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5b9e\u65bd\u964d\u606f\u3002\u636e\u65b0\u534e\u793e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u4f1a\u8bae\u5f3a\u8c03\uff0c\u8981\u7edf\u7b79\u7814\u7a76\u6d88\u5316\u5b58\u91cf\u623f\u4ea7\u548c\u4f18\u5316\u589e\u91cf\u4f4f\u623f\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u6293\u7d27\u6784\u5efa\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u53d1\u5c55\u65b0\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u8981\u7075\u6d3b\u8fd0\u7528\u5229\u7387\u548c\u5b58\u6b3e\u51c6\u5907\u91d1\u7387\u7b49\u653f\u7b56\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u52a0\u5927\u5bf9\u5b9e\u4f53\u7ecf\u6d4e\u652f\u6301\u529b\u5ea6\uff0c\u964d\u4f4e\u793e\u4f1a\u7efc\u5408\u878d\u8d44\u6210\u672c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u5f6d\u535a\u793e\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u81ea2020\u5e744\u6708\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u56e0\u75ab\u60c5\u7206\u53d1\u800c\u53d7\u5230\u51b2\u51fb\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u4e2d\u5171\u4e2d\u592e\u653f\u6cbb\u5c40\u9996\u6b21\u63d0\u5230\u76f8\u5173\u653f\u7b56\u5de5\u5177\u3002\u62a5\u9053\u5f15\u8ff0\u5927\u534e\u94f6\u884c\u7814\u7a76\u90e8\u95e8\u4e3b\u7ba1\u8c22\u5fd7\u660e\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u653f\u6cbb\u5c40\u5bf9\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u63aa\u8f9e\u201c\u8868\u660e\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\uff0c\u89c1\u8bc1\u66f4\u591a\u6d89\u53ca\u9700\u6c42\u65b9\u5e72\u9884\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<figure class=\"image-richtext image-inline captioned\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"kw1.jpg\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rfa.org\/mandarin\/yataibaodao\/zhengzhi\/kw-04302024101845.html\/kw1.jpg\/@@images\/26bdd5e5-f3f6-4b36-bf28-9eab0f9b9687.jpeg\" alt=\"\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6b63\u5904\u4e8e\u6301\u7eed\u4f4e\u8ff7\u72b6\u6001\uff0c\u66fe\u5360\u5168\u56fd\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\u56db\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u7684\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u884c\u4e1a\u8d1f\u503a\u7d2f\u7d2f\uff0c\u6210\u4e3a\u5bb6\u5ead\u6d88\u8d39\u4fe1\u5fc3\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u969c\u788d\u3002\u56fe\u4e3a\u6d59\u6c5f\u676d\u5dde\u4e00\u5904\u5174\u5efa\u4e2d\u7684\u4f4f\u5b85\u697c\u3002\uff08\u8def\u900f\u793e\u56fe\u7247\uff09\" width=\"1280\" height=\"853\" \/><figcaption class=\"image-caption\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6b63\u5904\u4e8e\u6301\u7eed\u4f4e\u8ff7\u72b6\u6001\uff0c\u66fe\u5360\u5168\u56fd\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\u56db\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u7684\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u884c\u4e1a\u8d1f\u503a\u7d2f\u7d2f\uff0c\u6210\u4e3a\u5bb6\u5ead\u6d88\u8d39\u4fe1\u5fc3\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u969c\u788d\u3002\u56fe\u4e3a\u6d59\u6c5f\u676d\u5dde\u4e00\u5904\u5174\u5efa\u4e2d\u7684\u4f4f\u5b85\u697c\u3002\uff08\u8def\u900f\u793e\u56fe\u7247\uff09<\/figcaption><small><\/small><\/p>\n<div id=\"zoomattribute\"><a id=\"single_image\" title=\"\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6b63\u5904\u4e8e\u6301\u7eed\u4f4e\u8ff7\u72b6\u6001\uff0c\u66fe\u5360\u5168\u56fd\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\u56db\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u7684\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u884c\u4e1a\u8d1f\u503a\u7d2f\u7d2f\uff0c\u6210\u4e3a\u5bb6\u5ead\u6d88\u8d39\u4fe1\u5fc3\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u969c\u788d\u3002\u56fe\u4e3a\u6d59\u6c5f\u676d\u5dde\u4e00\u5904\u5174\u5efa\u4e2d\u7684\u4f4f\u5b85\u697c\u3002\uff08\u8def\u900f\u793e\u56fe\u7247\uff09\" href=\"https:\/\/www.rfa.org\/mandarin\/yataibaodao\/zhengzhi\/kw-04302024101845.html\/kw1.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-caption=\"\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6b63\u5904\u4e8e\u6301\u7eed\u4f4e\u8ff7\u72b6\u6001\uff0c\u66fe\u5360\u5168\u56fd\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\u56db\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u7684\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u884c\u4e1a\u8d1f\u503a\u7d2f\u7d2f\uff0c\u6210\u4e3a\u5bb6\u5ead\u6d88\u8d39\u4fe1\u5fc3\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u969c\u788d\u3002\u56fe\u4e3a\u6d59\u6c5f\u676d\u5dde\u4e00\u5904\u5174\u5efa\u4e2d\u7684\u4f4f\u5b85\u697c\u3002\uff08\u8def\u900f\u793e\u56fe\u7247\uff09\" data-fancybox=\"\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rfa.org\/++plone++rfa-resources\/img\/icon-zoom.png\" \/><\/a><\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><b>\u5b66\u8005\uff1a\u5317\u4eac\u987b\u7ea0\u6b63\u957f\u671f\u7ed3\u6784\u6027\u5931\u8861 \u56de\u5f52\u5e02\u573a\u673a\u5236<\/b><\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u52a0\u5dde\u5927\u5b66\u6d1b\u6749\u77f6\u5206\u6821\uff08UCLA\uff09\u5b89\u5fb7\u68ee\u9884\u6d4b\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u4fde\u4f1f\u96c4\uff08William Yu\uff09\u544a\u8bc9\u672c\u53f0:\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u56f0\u5883\u5341\u5206\u4e25\u91cd\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u5c31\u662f\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e00\u76f4\u8fc7\u5ea6\u91cd\u89c6\u6295\u8d44\uff0c\u628a\u8d44\u6e90\u4ece\u5bb6\u5ead\u8f6c\u79fb\u5230\u4f01\u4e1a\u3001\u653f\u5e9c\u8eab\u4e0a\u3002\u201d<b>\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u6839\u636e\u4e2d\u56fd\u5b98\u65b9\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u6570\u636e\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u5360\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\uff08GDP\uff0945%\u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u800c\u5168\u4e16\u754c\u666e\u904d\u5360\u6bd4\u662f20%\uff1b\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u5bb6\u5ead\u6d88\u8d39\u5e94\u5360GDP 60-70% 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