{"id":105582,"date":"2024-06-05T15:59:42","date_gmt":"2024-06-05T19:59:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=105582"},"modified":"2024-06-05T17:08:09","modified_gmt":"2024-06-05T21:08:09","slug":"%e6%8b%9c%e7%99%bb%e6%8e%a5%e5%8f%97%e3%80%8a%e6%97%b6%e4%bb%a3%e3%80%8b%e6%9d%82%e5%bf%97%e4%b8%93%e8%ae%bf%ef%bc%9a%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd%e7%bb%8f%e6%b5%8e%e5%9c%a8%e5%b4%a9%e6%ba%83%e8%be%b9%e7%bc%98","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=105582","title":{"rendered":"\u62dc\u767b\u63a5\u53d7\u300a\u65f6\u4ee3\u300b\u6742\u5fd7\u4e13\u8bbf\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5728\u5d29\u6e83\u8fb9\u7f18\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e0d\u6392\u9664\u6b66\u529b\u4fdd\u53f0\u6e7e"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"date-time-area \">\n<div class=\"container\"><span class=\"date-time\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u65f6\u95f4 4:59 2024\u5e746\u67086\u65e5 \u661f\u671f\u56db<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"content\" class=\" not-loaded-ymlas\">\n<div 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href=\"https:\/\/www.voachinese.com\/a\/china-population-drops-again-20240117\/7443378.html\"><span class=\"also-read__text--label\">\u8bf7\u540c\u65f6\u53c2\u9605\uff1a<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<h4 class=\"media-block__title media-block__title--size-3 also-read__text p-0\">\u4f4e\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u52a0\u65b0\u51a0\u6b7b\u4ea1\u6f6e 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Chang)\u5728\u63a5\u53d7\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e4b\u97f3\u91c7\u8bbf\u65f6\u8ba4\u540c\u62dc\u767b\u6240\u8bf4\u7684\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6b63\u5904\u4e8e\u5d29\u6e83\u7684\u8fb9\u7f18\u201d\u3002\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u6700\u5927\u7684\u503a\u52a1\u5371\u673a\u9a6c\u4e0a\u8981\u6765\u4e34\uff0c\u5c31\u8981\u7ecf\u5386\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u201c2008\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6a21\u5f0f\u5df2\u7ecf\u67af\u7aed\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ecf\u5386\u4ed6\u4eec\u81ea\u5df1\u76842008\u3002\u5f53\u65f6\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u4e0d\u613f\u56fd\u5bb6\u9677\u5165\u8870\u9000\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u91c7\u7528\u4e86\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u6700\u5927\u7684\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u503a\u52a1\u523a\u6fc0\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u73b0\u5728\u662f\u4ed6\u4eec\u8fd8\u503a\u7684\u65f6\u5019\u4e86\uff0c\u4f46\u4ed6\u4eec\u6ca1\u6709\u529e\u6cd5\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>2008\u5e74\uff0c\u91d1\u878d\u6d77\u5578\u5e2d\u5377\u5168\u7403\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u591a\u5bb6\u5927\u578b\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u5012\u95ed\u6216\u88ab\u653f\u5e9c\u63a5\u7ba1\uff0c\u5f15\u53d1\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u5f53\u65f6\u51fa\u53f0\u89c4\u6a21\u5e9e\u5927\u7684\u201c\u56db\u4e07\u4ebf\u201d\u6295\u8d44\u8ba1\u5212\uff08\u5373\u6269\u5927\u5185\u9700\u5341\u9879\u6295\u8d44\uff0c\u603b\u8ba1\u7ea6\u56db\u4e07\u4ebf\u5143\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\uff09\uff0c\u5feb\u901f\u62c9\u52a8\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff0c\u63d0\u632f\u4fe1\u5fc3\uff0c\u6210\u529f\u8eb2\u907f\u4e862008\u5e74\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7ae0\u5bb6\u6566\u8ba4\u4e3a\u76ee\u524d\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u653f\u5e9c\u503a\u52a1\u5360GDP\u6bd4\u7387\u5728350%\u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u66f4\u9ad8\u3002\u6839\u636e\u4e16\u754c\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u7edf\u8ba1\uff0c2022\u5e74\u7f8e\u56fd\u503a\u52a1\u5360\u56fd\u6c11\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\u4e3a115.7%\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u4e3a216.5%\uff0c\u800c\u5230\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u5219\u662f\u201c<a class=\"wsw__a\" href=\"https:\/\/data.worldbank.org.cn\/indicator\/GC.DOD.TOTL.GD.ZS?locations=CN\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u65e0\u6b64\u5730\u533a\u6570\u636e<\/a>\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u5f7c\u5f97\u68ee\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u9ad8\u7ea7\u7814\u7a76\u5458\u52a0\u91cc\u00b7\u54c8\u592b\u9c8d\u5c14(Gary Hufbauer)\u5e76\u4e0d\u8ba4\u540c\u62dc\u767b\u6240\u8bf4\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5d29\u6e83\u7684\u8bf4\u6cd5\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e2024\u5e74\u5c06\u589e\u957f5%\uff0c2025\u5e74\u548c2026\u5e74\u5c06\u589e\u957f\u81f3\u5c114%\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u6ca1\u6709\u901a\u80c0\u3002\u5b83\u8fd8\u6709\u8db3\u591f\u7684\u8d22\u653f\u7a7a\u95f4\u6765\u5904\u7406\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u201d\u4ed6\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e4b\u97f3\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6b63\u5728\u8001\u9f84\u5316\uff0c\u4f46\u901f\u5ea6\u5f88\u6162\u3002\u5c31\u50cf\u5f88\u591a\u5a92\u4f53\u8bc4\u8bba\u5458\u90a3\u6837\uff0c\u62dc\u767b\u603b\u7edf\u6307\u51fa\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u4f46\u5ffd\u7565\u4e86\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5c42\u9762\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5176\u5b9e\u6bd4\u5f88\u591a\u53d1\u8fbe\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u90fd\u505a\u5f97\u66f4\u597d\uff0c\u201d\u4ed6\u8865\u5145\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>5\u670829\u65e5\uff0c<a class=\"wsw__a\" href=\"https:\/\/www.imf.org\/zh\/News\/Articles\/2024\/05\/28\/pr24184-china-imf-staff-completes-2024-art-iv-mission\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u56fd\u9645\u8d27\u5e01\u57fa\u91d1\u7ec4\u7ec7<\/a>\u5c06\u4e2d\u56fd2024\u5e74\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7387\u4ece4.6%\u4e0a\u8c03\u52305%\uff0c\u5e76\u9884\u8ba12025\u5e74\u7684\u589e\u957f\u7387\u5c06\u662f4.5%\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u4e3a\u52a0\u5f81\u5173\u7a0e\u8fa9\u62a4<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u8bbf\u8c08\u4e2d\uff0c\u62dc\u767b\u8fd8\u4e3a\u4e0a\u4e2a\u6708\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u4ea7\u54c1\u52a0\u5f81\u5173\u7a0e\u8fdb\u884c\u8fa9\u62a4\u30025\u670814\u65e5\uff0c\u62dc\u767b\u5ba3\u5e03\u5bf9\u5305\u62ec\u7535\u52a8\u6c7d\u8f66\u3001\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u82af\u7247\u3001\u592a\u9633\u80fd\u9762\u677f\u3001\u5173\u952e\u77ff\u4ea7\u548c\u533b\u7597\u4ea7\u54c1\u7b49\u65b0\u80fd\u6e90\u4ea7\u54c1\u589e\u52a0\u5173\u7a0e\u3002\u5916\u754c\u62c5\u5fc3\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5173\u7a0e\u5c06\u8f6c\u5ac1\u5230\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u8eab\u4e0a\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u7f8e\u56fd\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u9700\u8981\u652f\u4ed8\u66f4\u52a0\u6602\u8d35\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0d\u80fd\u7528\u503e\u9500\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u6765\u6539\u53d8\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u7528\u90a3\u4e9b\u6709\u653f\u5e9c\u8865\u8d34\uff0c\u50cf\u7535\u52a8\u6c7d\u8f66\u90a3\u6837\u7684\u4ea7\u4e1a\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u4e0d\u4f1a\u5bb9\u5fcd\u3002\u201d\u62dc\u767b\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n<div data-owner-ct=\"Article\" data-inline=\"False\">\n<div class=\"media-block also-read\"><a class=\"img-wrap img-wrap--size-3 also-read__img\" title=\"\u62dc\u767b\u5ba3\u5e03\u5bf9\u534e\u52a0\u5f81\u5173\u7a0e \u8d38\u6613\u4e13\u5bb6:\u6682\u65f6\u4e0d\u4f1a\u5347\u7ea7\u4e3a\u8d38\u6613\u6218\" href=\"https:\/\/www.voachinese.com\/a\/7611193.html\"><span class=\"thumb thumb16_9\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\" enhanced\" src=\"https:\/\/gdb.voanews.com\/01000000-0aff-0242-769f-08dc7441acb0_w256_r1.jpg\" alt=\"2024\u5e745\u670814\u65e5\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u4e54\u00b7\u62dc\u767b\u5728\u534e\u76db\u987f\u767d\u5bab\u73ab\u7470\u56ed\u53d1\u8868\u8bb2\u8bdd\uff0c\u5ba3\u5e03\u5bf9\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u4e2d\u56fd\u8fdb\u53e3\u5546\u54c1\u5f81\u6536\u65b0\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u3002\uff08\u7f8e\u8054\u793e\u7167\u7247\uff09\" data-src=\"https:\/\/gdb.voanews.com\/01000000-0aff-0242-769f-08dc7441acb0_w100_r1.jpg\" \/><\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"media-block__content also-read__body also-read__body--h\"><a title=\"\u62dc\u767b\u5ba3\u5e03\u5bf9\u534e\u52a0\u5f81\u5173\u7a0e \u8d38\u6613\u4e13\u5bb6:\u6682\u65f6\u4e0d\u4f1a\u5347\u7ea7\u4e3a\u8d38\u6613\u6218\" href=\"https:\/\/www.voachinese.com\/a\/7611193.html\"><span class=\"also-read__text--label\">\u8bf7\u540c\u65f6\u53c2\u9605\uff1a<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<h4 class=\"media-block__title media-block__title--size-3 also-read__text p-0\">\u62dc\u767b\u5ba3\u5e03\u5bf9\u534e\u52a0\u5f81\u5173\u7a0e 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data-src=\"https:\/\/gdb.voanews.com\/01000000-0aff-0242-1c20-08dc661bf35c_w100_r1.jpg\" \/><\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"media-block__content also-read__body also-read__body--h\"><a title=\"\u5e03\u6797\u80af\u63a5\u53d7CNN\u91c7\u8bbf\u65f6\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u770b\u5230\u8bc1\u636e\u663e\u793a\u4e2d\u56fd\u8bd5\u56fe\u5f71\u54cd\u751a\u81f3\u5e72\u6d89\u7f8e\u56fd\u5927\u9009 \" href=\"https:\/\/www.voachinese.com\/a\/blinken-tells-cnn-the-us-has-seen-evidence-of-china-attempting-to-influence-upcoming-us-elections-20240426\/7586874.html\"><span class=\"also-read__text--label\">\u8bf7\u540c\u65f6\u53c2\u9605\uff1a<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<h4 class=\"media-block__title media-block__title--size-3 also-read__text 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rel=\"noopener\">\u6c11\u8c03<\/a>\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u62dc\u767b\u603b\u7edf\u7684\u652f\u6301\u7387\u8dcc\u81f3\u4e24\u5e74\u6765\u7684\u65b0\u4f4e\uff0c\u4ec5\u4e3a36%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u62dc\u767b\u5728\u91c7\u8bbf\u4e2d\u8fd8\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u201c\u4e00\u5e26\u4e00\u8def\u201d\u5021\u8bae\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u8868\u793a\u6000\u7591\uff0c\u62dc\u767b\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u4e00\u5e26\u4e00\u8def\u201d\u5021\u8bae\u5df2\u6210\u4e3a\u201c\u4ee4\u4eba\u8ba8\u538c\u7684\u5931\u8d25\u5021\u8bae\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"comments\" class=\"comments-parent\">\n<div class=\"row\">\n<div class=\"col-xs-12\">\n<div class=\"comments comments--ext\">\n<h3 class=\"section-head\">\u8bc4\u8bba\u533a<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u4e54\u00b7\u62dc\u767b\uff08Joe 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