{"id":106780,"date":"2024-10-03T15:05:42","date_gmt":"2024-10-03T19:05:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=106780"},"modified":"2024-10-03T16:20:16","modified_gmt":"2024-10-03T20:20:16","slug":"%e4%b8%ad%e4%b8%9c%e5%8c%ba%e5%9f%9f%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89%e5%b7%b2%e7%bb%8f%e5%88%b0%e6%9d%a5%ef%bc%9f%e6%98%af%e5%90%a6%e7%bb%a7%e7%bb%ad%e5%8d%87%e7%ba%a7%ef%bc%8c%e4%bb%a5%e8%89%b2%e5%88%97%e5%b0%86","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=106780","title":{"rendered":"\u4e2d\u4e1c\u533a\u57df\u6218\u4e89\u5df2\u7ecf\u5230\u6765\uff1f\u662f\u5426\u7ee7\u7eed\u5347\u7ea7\uff0c\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u5c06\u5982\u4f55\u56de\u51fb\u4f0a\u6717\u6210\u4e3a\u5173\u952e"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"date-time-area \">\n<div class=\"container\"><span class=\"date-time\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u65f6\u95f4 4:02 2024\u5e7410\u67084\u65e5 \u661f\u671f\u4e94<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"content\" class=\" not-loaded-ymlas\">\n<div class=\"container\">\n<div class=\"hdr-container\">\n<div class=\"row\">\n<div class=\"col-publishing-details col-xs-12 col-sm-12 col-md-2 pull-left\">\n<div class=\"publishing-details \">\n<div class=\"published\"><span class=\"date\" title=\"\u4e2d\u56fd\u65f6\u95f4\"><time datetime=\"2024-10-04T00:23:05+08:00\">2024\u5e7410\u67084\u65e5 00:23<\/time><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"links\">\n<ul class=\"links__list links__list--column\">\n<li class=\"links__item\"><a class=\"links__item-link\" title=\"\u8bb8\u5b81\" href=\"https:\/\/www.voachinese.com\/author\/%E8%AE%B8%E5%AE%81\/rpk_p\">\u8bb8\u5b81<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"col-lg-12 separator\">\n<div class=\"separator\">\n<hr class=\"title-line\" \/>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"col-multimedia col-xs-12 col-md-10 pull-right\">\n<div class=\"cover-media\">\n<figure class=\"media-image js-media-expand js-media-expand--ready\">\n<div class=\"img-wrap\">\n<div class=\"thumb thumb16_9\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" enhanced\" src=\"https:\/\/gdb.voanews.com\/53e31bb4-58a3-4ef5-bcf7-4e96bfe021e7_w1023_r1_s.jpg\" alt=\"2024\u5e7410\u67081\u65e5\uff0c\u4f0a\u6717\u53d1\u5c04\u4e86\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u5f39\u9053\u5bfc\u5f39\u540e\uff0c\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u7684\u94c1\u7a79\u53cd\u5bfc\u7cfb\u7edf\u62e6\u622a\u4e86\u706b\u7bad\u3002\u56fe\u4e3a\u4ece\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u963f\u4ec0\u51ef\u9686\u770b\u5230\u7684\u666f\u8c61\u3002\" width=\"1023\" height=\"575\" \/><\/div>\n<\/div><figcaption><span class=\"caption\">2024\u5e7410\u67081\u65e5\uff0c\u4f0a\u6717\u53d1\u5c04\u4e86\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u5f39\u9053\u5bfc\u5f39\u540e\uff0c\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u7684\u94c1\u7a79\u53cd\u5bfc\u7cfb\u7edf\u62e6\u622a\u4e86\u706b\u7bad\u3002\u56fe\u4e3a\u4ece\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u963f\u4ec0\u51ef\u9686\u770b\u5230\u7684\u666f\u8c61\u3002<br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-106781\" src=\"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/10031-300x169.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"169\" srcset=\"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/10031-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/10031-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/10031.jpg 1023w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><br \/>\n<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"col-xs-12 col-md-2 pull-left article-share pos-rel\">\n<div class=\"share--box\">\n<aside class=\"share flex-column js-share--apply-sticky js-share--expandable js-share--horizontal\" data-extended=\"true\"><span class=\"label label--share\">\u5206\u4eab<\/span><\/p>\n<ul class=\"share__list\">\n<li class=\"share__item\"><\/li>\n<li class=\"share__item\"><\/li>\n<li class=\"share__item\"><\/li>\n<li class=\"share__item\"><\/li>\n<li class=\"share__item\"><\/li>\n<li 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class=\"body-container\">\n<div class=\"row\">\n<div class=\"col-xs-12 col-sm-12 col-md-10 col-lg-10 pull-right\">\n<div class=\"row\">\n<div class=\"col-xs-12 col-sm-12 col-md-8 col-lg-8 pull-left bottom-offset content-offset\">\n<div id=\"article-content\" class=\"content-floated-wrap fb-quotable\">\n<div class=\"wsw\"><span class=\"dateline\">\u534e\u76db\u987f \u2014 <\/span>\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u5f53\u5730\u65f6\u95f410\u67082\u65e5(\u661f\u671f\u4e09)\u51cc\u6668\uff0c\u5c45\u4f4f\u5728\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u7279\u62c9\u7ef4\u592b\u4ee5\u5317\u7ea635\u516c\u91cc\u7684\u9b4f\u51ef\u4e3d(Carice Witte)\u5728\u7761\u68a6\u4e2d\u53c8\u4e00\u6b21\u88ab\u706b\u7bad\u5f39\u7684\u8f70\u9e23\u58f0\u60ca\u9192\u3002\u201c\u8fd9\u73b0\u5728\u5df2\u7ecf\u6210\u4e3a\u4e00\u79cd\u975e\u5e38\u719f\u6089\u7684\u58f0\u97f3\u4e86\u3002\u98de\u5f97\u5f88\u9ad8\u5f88\u9ad8\uff0c\u98de\u8fc7\u6211\u7684\u5934\u9876\u3002\u6211\u4f4f\u7684\u5730\u65b9\u5728\u7279\u62c9\u7ef4\u592b\u5f80\u5317\u4e0d\u8fdc\u7684\u5730\u65b9\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5(\u706b\u7bad\u5f39)\u5e94\u8be5\u662f\u5411\u5317\u98de\u53bb\u7684\uff0c\u53bb\u5904\u7406\u9ece\u5df4\u5ae9\u7684\u67d0\u4e9b\u76ee\u6807\u3002\u201d\u9b4f\u51ef\u4e3d\u544a\u8bc9\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e4b\u97f3\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9b4f\u51ef\u4e3d\u7684\u611f\u89c9\u6ca1\u6709\u9519\u3002\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u5b98\u65b9\u8bf4\uff0c\u4ee5\u519b\u661f\u671f\u4e09\u51cc\u6668\u7684\u786e\u8f70\u70b8\u4e86\u9ece\u5df4\u5ae9\u9996\u90fd\u8d1d\u9c81\u7279\u5357\u90e8\u90ca\u533a\uff0c\u5bf9\u4f0a\u6717\u652f\u6301\u7684\u771f\u4e3b\u515a\u7684\u603b\u90e8\u636e\u70b9\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u5341\u591a\u6b21\u7a7a\u88ad\u3002\u661f\u671f\u56db(10\u67083\u65e5)\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u7ee7\u7eed\u5bf9\u8d1d\u9c81\u7279\u8fdb\u884c\u8f70\u70b8\uff0c\u4ee5\u519b\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5f53\u5929\u5728\u9488\u5bf9\u9ece\u5df4\u5ae9\u5357\u90e8\u771f\u4e3b\u515a\u7684\u4f5c\u6218\u884c\u52a8\u4e2d\u6253\u6b7b\u4e8615\u540d\u771f\u4e3b\u515a\u6b66\u88c5\u5206\u5b50\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u81ea\u5f53\u5730\u65f6\u95f410\u67081\u65e5(\u661f\u671f\u4e8c)\u665a7\u70b940\u5206\u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u4f0a\u6717\u8d7610\u67083\u65e5\u5728\u72b9\u592a\u4eba\u91cd\u8981\u8282\u65e5\u72b9\u592a\u6559\u5386\u65b0\u5e74(Rosh HaShanah)\u524d\u5411\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u53d1\u5c04\u4e86180\u591a\u679a\u5bfc\u5f39\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u5c06\u5982\u4f55\u56de\u5e94\u4f0a\u6717\u7684\u88ad\u51fb\u4e00\u76f4\u4ee4\u4e16\u754c\u5173\u6ce8\u3002\u8fd9\u4e0d\u4ec5\u5c06\u51b3\u5b9a\u4e2d\u4e1c\u51b2\u7a81\u7684\u6f14\u53d8\u8d70\u5411&#8211;\u4e2d\u4e1c\u6218\u4e8b\u662f\u5426\u4f1a\u7ee7\u7eed\u5347\u7ea7\uff1f\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u4ee5\u3001\u4f0a\u4e24\u56fd\u80cc\u540e\u7275\u52a8\u7684\u5927\u56fd\u7ade\u4e89\uff0c\u662f\u5426\u4f1a\u5f15\u53d1\u5168\u7403\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u7684\u9707\u8361\u4e5f\u4ee4\u4eba\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f0a\u6717\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u8fd9\u6b21\u88ad\u51fb\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u62a5\u590d\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u5bf9\u5176\u4ee3\u7406\u4eba\u7684\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u6210\u529f\u88ad\u51fb\uff0c\u5305\u62ec7\u6708\u5728\u5fb7\u9ed1\u5170\u6697\u6740\u5df4\u52d2\u65af\u5766\u54c8\u9a6c\u65af\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u4f0a\u65af\u6885\u5c14\u00b7\u54c8\u5c3c\u4e9a(Ismail Haniyeh)\u548c\u4e0a\u661f\u671f\u5728\u8d1d\u9c81\u7279\u6697\u6740\u9ece\u5df4\u5ae9\u771f\u4e3b\u515a\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u54c8\u6851\u00b7\u7eb3\u65af\u9c81\u62c9(Hassan Nasrallah)\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u4f0a\u6717\u7684\u5bfc\u5f39\u5927\u591a\u6570\u88ab\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u56fd\u9632\u519b\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u6d77\u519b\u4ee5\u53ca\u7ea6\u65e6\u65b9\u9762\u62e6\u622a\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b65\u5c06\u5982\u4f55\u884c\u52a8\uff1a\u653b\u51fb\u4f0a\u6717\u6838\u8bbe\u65bd\uff1f\u65a9\u9996\u4f0a\u6717\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u519b\u65b9\u53d1\u8a00\u4eba\u3001\u6d77\u519b\u5c11\u5c06\u4e39\u5c3c\u5c14\u00b7\u54c8\u52a0\u91cc(Daniel Hagari)\u8bf4\uff0c\u4f0a\u6717\u7684\u6240\u4f5c\u6240\u4e3a\u5c06\u5e26\u6765\u201c\u540e\u679c\u201d\u3002\u661f\u671f\u4e09\uff0c\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u8fd8\u5728\u8003\u8651\u5982\u4f55\u505a\u51fa\u56de\u5e94\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e2d\u4ee5\u5b66\u672f\u4ea4\u6d41\u4fc3\u8fdb\u534f\u4f1a(Sino-Israel Global Network &amp; Academic Leadership, SIGNAL)\u7684\u521b\u59cb\u4eba\u517c\u6267\u884c\u8463\u4e8b\u9b4f\u51ef\u4e3d\u8bf4\uff0c\u5979\u76f8\u4fe1\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u5b98\u65b9\u7684\u8bdd\uff0c\u4e00\u5b9a\u4f1a\u5bf9\u4f0a\u6717\u7684\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u5bfc\u5f39\u88ad\u51fb\u4f5c\u51fa\u67d0\u79cd\u56de\u5e94\u3002\u5979\u731c\u6d4b\uff0c\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u5b98\u65b9\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u201c\u5fcd\u8010\u201d\u51e0\u5929\u65f6\u95f4\uff0c\u201c\u8fd9\u6837\u6211\u4eec\u624d\u80fd\u8fc7\u4e00\u4e2a\u5b89\u9759\u7684\u72b9\u592a\u65b0\u5e74\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u5bf9\u6211\u4eec\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u5e74\u4e2d\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u8282\u65e5\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u201d\u5979\u5e26\u7740\u65e0\u5948\u548c\u8bbd\u523a\u7684\u8bed\u6c14\u8bf4\uff0c\u201c\u4f0a\u6717\u53ef\u771f\u597d\uff0c\u6628\u665a\u53d1\u5c04\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5bfc\u5f39\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u50cf\u54c8\u9a6c\u65af\u5728\u90a3\u6837,(\u53bb\u5e74)10\u67087\u65e5\u5728\u8282\u65e5\u8fdb\u5165\u5c3e\u58f0\u65f6\u7834\u574f\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u8282\u65e5\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u534e\u76db\u987f\u667a\u5e93\u4fdd\u536b\u6c11\u4e3b\u57fa\u91d1\u4f1a\u8d1f\u8d23\u7814\u7a76\u4e8b\u52a1\u7684\u9ad8\u7ea7\u526f\u603b\u88c1\u4e54\u7eb3\u68ee\u00b7\u5c1a\u7b56(Jonathan Schanzer)\u63a8\u6d4b\uff0c\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u8003\u8651\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u53cd\u5236\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u65e2\u5305\u62ec\u4f0a\u6717\u519b\u4e8b\u8bbe\u65bd\u8fd9\u4e00\u663e\u800c\u6613\u89c1\u7684\u6253\u51fb\u5bf9\u8c61\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u6392\u9664\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u5c06\u5bf9\u4f0a\u6717\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u91c7\u53d6\u76f4\u63a5\u7684\u201c\u65a9\u9996\u201d\u884c\u52a8\u8fd9\u4e00\u7684\u6fc0\u8fdb\u7684\u4e3e\u52a8\u53ef\u80fd\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5c1a\u7b56\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e4b\u97f3\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u88ad\u51fb(\u4f0a\u6717)\u653f\u6743\u7684\u673a\u5173\u57fa\u5730\u2026\u2026(\u4f8b\u5982)\u60c5\u62a5\u90e8\u95e8\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u8fd8\u6709\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u9769\u547d\u536b\u961f\u7684\u8bbe\u65bd\u3002\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4f1a\u662f\u610f\u6599\u4e4b\u4e2d\u7684\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u8fd9\u4e5f\u4e0e\u4f0a\u6717\u5728\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u5883\u5185\u7684\u6253\u51fb\u76ee\u6807\u65e0\u8bba\u4ece\u7a0b\u5ea6\u8fd8\u662f\u8303\u56f4\u6765\u8bf4\u90fd\u6bd4\u8f83\u4e00\u81f4\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u4f0a\u6717\u5bf9\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u7684\u6253\u51fb\u6ca1\u6709\u9020\u6210\u4eba\u5458\u4f24\u4ea1\uff0c\u4f46\u300a\u534e\u76db\u987f\u90ae\u62a5\u300b\u661f\u671f\u56db(10\u67083\u65e5)\u7684\u4e00\u7bc7<a class=\"wsw__a\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/world\/2024\/10\/02\/iran-missile-attack-israel-response\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u62a5\u9053<\/a>\u8bf4\uff0c\u88ad\u51fb\u7684\u786e\u5bfc\u81f4\u6570\u767e\u4e07\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u4eba\u5728\u6050\u614c\u4e2d\u9003\u5f80\u907f\u96be\u6240\uff0c\u7ed9\u4ed6\u4eec\u5e26\u6765\u4e86\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u5fc3\u7406\u6253\u51fb\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u70ae\u5f39\u786e\u5b9e\u51fb\u4e2d\u4e86\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u4e2d\u90e8\u548c\u5357\u90e8\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5c1a\u7b56\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e0b\u4e00\u4e2a\u76ee\u6807\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u4f0a\u6717\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u4ea7\u4e1a\u8bbe\u65bd\u3002\u201c\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u5f88\u5e0c\u671b\u987a\u7740\u8fd9\u4e00\u8d70\u5411\u53d1\u52a8\u88ad\u51fb\uff0c(\u4f0a\u6717)\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u5171\u548c\u56fd\u7684\u54c8\u683c\u5c9b\u80fd\u6e90(\u51fa\u53e3)\u8bbe\u65bd&#8211;\u8fd9\u5f53\u7136\u662f\u4f0a\u6717\u653f\u6743\u7684\u547d\u8109\u3002\u8fd9\u8ba9\u4ed6\u4eec(\u4f0a\u6717)\u5f97\u4ee5\u5145\u5b9e\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u91d1\u5e93\uff0c\u5e76\u4ee5\u6b64\u8d44\u52a9\u6050\u6016\u7ec4\u7ec7\u3001\u5f39\u9053\u5bfc\u5f39\u8ba1\u5212\u3001\u6838\u8ba1\u5212\u7b49\u65b9\u65b9\u9762\u9762\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u6253\u51fb\u4f0a\u6717\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u8bbe\u65bd\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u5f15\u8d77\u56fd\u9645\u80fd\u6e90\u4ef7\u683c\u98d9\u6da8\uff0c\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u662f\u5426\u613f\u610f\u56e0\u6b64\u627f\u62c5\u56fd\u9645\u8206\u8bba\u8c34\u8d23\u7684\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f\u4e2a\u672a\u77e5\u6570\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5c1a\u7b56\u8fd8\u8bf4\uff0c\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u53ef\u80fd\u4e5f\u5728\u8003\u8651\u5bf9\u4f0a\u6717\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u76f4\u63a5\u91c7\u53d6\u884c\u52a8\u3002\u4ed6\u5766\u627f\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u6807\u5fd7\u7740\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u6218\u7565\u7684\u91cd\u5927\u8f6c\u53d8\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u636e\u6211\u6240\u77e5\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec(\u4ee5\u8272\u5217)\u4ece\u672a\u653b\u51fb\u8fc7\u90a3\u4e9b\u88ab\u627f\u8ba4\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u3001\u4e3b\u6743\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u5e38\u5e38\u6beb\u4e0d\u72b9\u8c6b\u5730\u53bb\u6253\u51fb\u6050\u6016\u7ec4\u7ec7\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u3002\u4f46\u5982\u679c(\u6253\u51fb)\u4f0a\u6717\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\uff0c\u8fd9\u5bf9\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u6765\u8bf4\u5c06\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u8f6c\u53d8\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u4e54\u00b7\u62dc\u767b(Joe Biden)\u5df2\u7ecf\u53d1\u51fa\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u8868\u793a\u4e0d\u652f\u6301\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u6253\u51fb\u4f0a\u6717\u6838\u8bbe\u65bd\uff0c\u4f46\u5c1a\u7b56\u8bf4\uff0c\u4f0a\u6717\u7684\u6838\u8bbe\u65bd\u4ecd\u5728\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u7684\u8003\u8651\u6253\u51fb\u8303\u56f4\u4e4b\u5185\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u76ee\u524d\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u96be\u5f97\u7684\u7a97\u53e3\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u6211\u5f88\u96be\u76f8\u4fe1\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u4f1a\u6253\u51fb\u4f0a\u6717\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u6253\u51fb\u5b83\u7684\u6838\u8ba1\u5212\u3002\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5728\u4ed6\u4eec\u770b\u6765\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u901d\u53bb\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u5e0c\u671b\u5c06(\u4f0a\u6717)\u6838\u8ba1\u5212\u5ef6\u540e\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\u3001\u751a\u81f3\u51e0\u5e74\uff0c\u800c\u6293\u4f4f\u8fd9\u4e2a\u673a\u9047\u5bf9\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u4eba\u6765\u8bf4\u5c06\u975e\u5e38\u6709\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002\u201d\u4ed6\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u4e2d\u4e1c\u6218\u4e89\u5df2\u7ecf\u5230\u6765\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u53bb\u5e7410\u67087\u65e5\uff0c\u5728\u54c8\u9a6c\u65af\u88ad\u51fb\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u540e\u7684\u51e0\u5929\u91cc\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u4e2d\u4e1c\u5730\u533a\u7206\u53d1\u533a\u57df\u6218\u4e89\u7279\u522b\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002\u5f53\u65f6\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u62c5\u5fc3\uff0c\u51b2\u7a81\u4e0d\u4f1a\u4ec5\u9650\u4e8e\u52a0\u6c99&#8211;\u771f\u4e3b\u515a\u5c06\u4ece\u5317\u90e8\u653b\u51fb\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\uff0c\u80e1\u585e\u6b66\u88c5\u4ece\u4e5f\u95e8\u53d1\u51fa\u88ad\u51fb\uff0c\u53e6\u5916\u8fd8\u6709\u4f0a\u6717\u5728\u4f0a\u62c9\u514b\u7684\u4ee3\u7406\u4eba\uff0c\u800c\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u5c06\u88ab\u8feb\u505a\u51fa\u56de\u5e94\uff0c\u5b83\u5c06\u4e0e\u4f0a\u6717\u53d1\u751f\u76f4\u63a5\u51b2\u7a81\uff0c\u66f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u6218\u4e89\u5c06\u964d\u4e34\u5230\u4e2d\u4e1c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u54c8\u9a6c\u65af\u88ad\u51fb\u5c06\u8fd1\u4e00\u5e74\u7684\u65e5\u5b50\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4e8b\u60c5\u90fd\u5df2\u7ecf\u53d1\u751f\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u6709\u7ebf\u65b0\u95fb\u7f51(CNN)\u661f\u671f\u4e8c\u7684\u4e00\u7bc7<a class=\"wsw__a\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2024\/10\/02\/middleeast\/israel-lebanon-regional-war-analysis-intl\/index.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u62a5\u9053<\/a>\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e2d\u4e1c\u533a\u57df\u6218\u4e89\u5df2\u7ecf\u5c55\u5f00\uff0c\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u662f\uff0c\u662f\u4f1a\u7ee7\u7eed\u5347\u7ea7\u8fd8\u662f\u51b7\u5374\u4e0b\u6765\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u524d\u6d77\u519b\u90e8\u526f\u6b21\u957f\u3001\u534e\u76db\u987f\u667a\u5e93\u7ea6\u514b\u9547\u7814\u7a76\u6240(Yorktown Institute)\u521b\u59cb\u4eba\u8cfd\u601d\u00b7\u514b\u7f57\u666e\u897f(Seth Cropsey)\u661f\u671f\u4e09\u544a\u8bc9\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e4b\u97f3\uff0c\u4f0a\u6717\u548c\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u5e76\u4e0d\u50cf\u4e00\u4e9b\u4eba\u8ba4\u4e3a\u7684\u90a3\u6837\u201c\u5904\u4e8e\u6218\u4e89\u7684\u8fb9\u7f18\u201d\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u201c\u6b63\u5904\u4e8e\u6218\u4e89\u4e2d\u201d\uff0c\u4e0d\u8fc7\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a\u6218\u4e89\u4e0d\u4f1a\u518d\u5347\u7ea7\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5b83\u4e0d\u592a\u53ef\u80fd\u6f14\u53d8\u6210\u4e00\u573a\u5168\u9762\u6218\u4e89\u3002\u771f\u4e3b\u515a\u548c\u4f0a\u6717\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e00\u5468\u906d\u53d7\u4e86\u4e25\u91cd\u5931\u8d25\uff0c\u6211\u60f3\u4f60\u77e5\u9053\u6211\u7684\u610f\u601d\u3002\u5bfb\u547c\u673a\u548c\u5bf9\u8bb2\u673a\u7206\u70b8\uff0c\u771f\u4e3b\u515a\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u88ab\u6d88\u706d\u3002\u76ee\u524d(\u4ee5\u8272\u5217)\u5bf9\u9ece\u5df4\u5ae9\u5357\u90e8\u7684\u5730\u9762\u7684\u6709\u9650\u5165\u4fb5\u3002 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\u6240\u4ee5\u8fd9\u4e9b\u9700\u8981\u88ab\u79fb\u9664\u3002\u201d\u4ed6\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f0a\u6717\u65b9\u9762\u661f\u671f\u4e09\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6ca1\u6709\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u6311\u8845\uff0c\u4f0a\u6717\u5bf9\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u6700\u5927\u7684\u88ad\u51fb\u884c\u52a8\u5df2\u7ecf\u7ed3\u675f\u3002\u4f46\u661f\u671f\u56db\u6709\u62a5\u9053\u8bf4\uff0c\u4f0a\u6717\u603b\u7edf\u9a6c\u82cf\u5fb7\u00b7\u4f69\u6cfd\u4ec0\u57fa\u5b89\uff08Masoud Pezeshkian\uff09\u5728\u591a\u54c8\u4e3e\u884c\u7684\u4e9a\u6d32\u5408\u4f5c\u5bf9\u8bdd\u5cf0\u4f1a\u4e0a\u8b66\u544a\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e0d\u80fd\u5bf9\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u7684\u201c\u597d\u6218\u201d\u4fdd\u6301\u201c\u6c89\u9ed8\u201d\u3002\u201c\u4efb\u4f55\u7c7b\u578b\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u88ad\u51fb\u3001\u6050\u6016\u884c\u4e3a\u6216\u8de8\u8d8a\u6211\u4eec\u7ea2\u7ebf\u7684\u884c\u52a8\u90fd\u96be\u9003\u8131\u6211\u4eec\u6b66\u88c5\u90e8\u961f\u7684\u51b3\u5b9a\u6027\u56de\u51fb\u3002\u201d\u4f69\u6cfd\u4ec0\u57fa\u5b89\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u7f8e\u4e2d\u4fc4\u7684\u53cd\u5e94<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u771f\u4e3b\u515a\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u7eb3\u65af\u9c81\u62c9\u5728\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u7684\u88ad\u51fb\u4e2d\u88ab\u6253\u6b7b\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5411\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u589e\u6d3e\u4e86\u90e8\u961f\uff0c\u4ee5\u963b\u6b62\u4e2d\u4e1c\u4e8b\u6001\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6269\u5927\u3002<\/p>\n<p>10\u67082\u65e5\uff0c\u62dc\u767b\u603b\u7edf\u8bf4\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u79ef\u6781\u652f\u6301\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u7684\u9632\u5fa1\uff0c\u4f0a\u6717\u7684\u653b\u51fb\u4f3c\u4e4e\u672a\u80fd\u594f\u6548\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5168\u529b\u652f\u6301\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\uff1b\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\u56e2\u961f\u4e0e\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u540c\u884c\u4fdd\u6301\u7740\u6301\u7eed\u7684\u8054\u7cfb\uff0c\u4f0a\u6717\u88ad\u51fb\u7684\u540e\u679c\u5c1a\u5f85\u89c2\u5bdf\uff0c\u4ed6\u5c06\u4e0e\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u603b\u7406\u672c\u96c5\u660e\u00b7\u5185\u5854\u5c3c\u4e9a\u80e1(Benjamin Netanyahu)\u8fdb\u884c\u4ea4\u8c08\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u968f\u7740\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5bf9\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u4fb5\u7565\u7684\u7ee7\u7eed\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u3001\u4f0a\u6717\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u671d\u9c9c\u88ab\u79f0\u4e3a\u8bd5\u56fe\u98a0\u8986\u73b0\u884c\u56fd\u9645\u79e9\u5e8f\u7684\u201c\u65b0\u56db\u4eba\u5e2e\u201d\u3002\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4f1a\u4e0d\u4f1a\u88ab\u5377\u5165\u4e2d\u4e1c\u7684\u6218\u4e8b\u5728\u4f0a\u6717\u88ad\u51fb\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u540e\u4e5f\u53d7\u4eba\u5173\u6ce8\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u5206\u6790\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5728\u53f0\u9762\u4e0a\u4e0e\u4f0a\u6717\u5173\u7cfb\u53cb\u597d\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0d\u4f1a\u76f4\u63a5\u5377\u5165\u4e2d\u4e1c\u51b2\u7a81\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u534e\u76db\u987f\u667a\u5e93\u4fdd\u536b\u6c11\u4e3b\u57fa\u91d1\u4f1a\u7684\u5c1a\u7b56\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u5f88\u96be\u77e5\u9053\u5927\u56fd\u7ade\u4e89\u662f\u5426\u4f1a\u8fdb\u5165\u8fd9\u573a\u7279\u6b8a\u7684\u51b2\u7a81\u3002\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u4e0e\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u3001\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u90fd\u5206\u522b\u6709\u8054\u7cfb\u3002\u5b83\u4e0e\u5317\u4eac\u6709\u7740\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8054\u7cfb\u3002\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u5c45\u4f4f\u7740\u7ea6100\u4e07\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u4eba\uff0c\u666e\u4eac\u5c06\u81ea\u5df1\u89c6\u4e3a\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u7236\u4eb2\u5f62\u8c61\uff1b\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af(\u519b\u961f)\u90e8\u7f72\u5230\u53d9\u5229\u4e9a\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u4ed6(\u666e\u4eac)\u4e5f\u4e0e\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u56fd\u9632\u519b\u4fdd\u6301\u7740\u4e13\u4e1a\u5173\u7cfb\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u6253\u51fb\u6050\u6016\u7ec4\u7ec7\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u7684\u505a\u6cd5\u6301\u7eed\u906d\u5230\u5317\u4eac\u8c34\u8d23\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u5916\u4ea4\u90e8\u53d1\u8a00\u4eba10\u67082\u65e5\u5bf9\u201c\u9ece\u4ee5\u3001\u4f0a\u4ee5\u5c40\u52bf\u5347\u7ea7\u201d\u4f5c\u51fa\u5b98\u65b9\u56de\u5e94\u8bf4\uff0c\u201c\u5bf9\u4e2d\u4e1c\u5c40\u52bf\u52a8\u8361\u6df1\u611f\u5fe7\u8651\uff0c\u53cd\u5bf9\u4fb5\u72af\u9ece\u5df4\u5ae9\u4e3b\u6743\u3001\u5b89\u5168\u548c\u9886\u571f\u5b8c\u6574\uff0c\u53cd\u5bf9\u6fc0\u5316\u77db\u76fe\u6269\u5927\u51b2\u7a81\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u58f0\u660e\u5b8c\u5168\u6ca1\u6709\u5bf9\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u53d1\u52a8\u5bfc\u5f39\u88ad\u51fb\u7684\u4f0a\u6717\u4f5c\u51fa\u8c34\u8d23\u3002\u800c\u57289\u670827\u65e5\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u7a7a\u88ad\u70b8\u6b7b\u771f\u4e3b\u515a\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u7eb3\u65af\u9c81\u62c9\u540e\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u8868\u793a\u201c\u53cd\u5bf9\u4fb5\u72af\u9ece\u5df4\u5ae9\u4e3b\u6743\u548c\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u884c\u4e3a\uff0c\u53cd\u5bf9\u548c\u8c34\u8d23\u4e00\u5207\u4f24\u53ca\u65e0\u8f9c\u5e73\u6c11\u7684\u884c\u52a8\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9b4f\u51ef\u4e3d\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u81ea\u53bb\u5e7410\u67087\u65e5\u54c8\u9a6c\u65af\u5bf9\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u53d1\u52a8\u6050\u6016\u88ad\u51fb\u4ee5\u6765\u5c31\u4e00\u76f4\u62b1\u7740\u201c\u53cd\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u201d\u7684\u6001\u5ea6\uff0c\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4f1a\u89c1\u54c8\u9a6c\u65af\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\uff0c\u66f4\u516c\u5f00\u652f\u6301\u4f0a\u6717\u3001\u8d2d\u4e70\u4f0a\u6717\u77f3\u6cb9\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u9b4f\u51ef\u4e3d\u540c\u65f6\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u53cd\u4ee5\u7acb\u573a\u7684\u672c\u8d28\u662f\u5317\u4eac\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u4e8b\u52a1\u4e0a\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u6297\u8861\u7684\u504f\u597d\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u3002\u201c\u5b83(\u4e2d\u56fd)\u5bf9\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u7684\u7acb\u573a\u4e0e\u5176\u8bf4\u9488\u5bf9\u7684\u662f\u4ee5\u3001\u5df4\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\uff0c\u4e0d\u5982\u8bf4\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u7ad9\u5728\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u76f8\u53cd\u7684\u4e00\u8fb9\u3002\u5927\u56fd\u7ade\u4e89\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u6bd4\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a(\u4e2d\u4e1c)\u5730\u533a\u7684\u4efb\u4f55\u95ee\u9898\u90fd\u91cd\u8981\u5f97\u591a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6b63\u975e\u5e38\u79ef\u6781\u5730\u5c06\u81ea\u5df1\u5b9a\u4f4d\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u5927\u56fd\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u6b63\u5728\u5d1b\u8d77\u7684\u8d85\u7ea7\u5927\u56fd\uff0c\u8981\u8868\u73b0\u8d77\u6765\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5927\u56fd\u5f62\u8c61\u622a\u7136\u4e0d\u540c\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u53cd\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u662f\u5728\u53cd\u51fb\u7f8e\u56fd\u3002\u201d\u5979\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9b4f\u51ef\u4e3d\u8fd8\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u4eca\u5e747\u6708\u5728\u54c8\u9a6c\u65af\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u54c8\u5c3c\u4e9a\u5728\u4f0a\u6717\u906d\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u7a7a\u88ad\u8eab\u4ea1\u540e\u5bf9\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u7684\u8c34\u8d23\u6001\u5ea6\u6781\u4e3a\u5f3a\u786c\uff0c\u660e\u786e\u8868\u793a\u201c\u575a\u51b3\u53cd\u5bf9\u5e76\u8c34\u8d23\u6697\u6740\u884c\u4e3a\u201d\uff0c\u6b64\u6b21\u5728\u7eb3\u65af\u9c81\u62c9\u88ab\u70b8\u6b7b\u540e\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u6279\u8bc4\u8bed\u6c14\u7565\u6709\u7f13\u548c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5979\u63a8\u6d4b\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u5728\u6253\u51fb\u4f0a\u6717\u4ee3\u7406\u4eba\u8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