{"id":106960,"date":"2024-10-24T18:44:36","date_gmt":"2024-10-24T22:44:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=106960"},"modified":"2024-10-24T19:48:27","modified_gmt":"2024-10-24T23:48:27","slug":"%e7%be%8e%e8%af%81%e5%ae%9e%e6%9c%9d%e9%b2%9c%e5%86%9b%e9%98%9f%e5%b7%b2%e9%a9%bb%e6%89%8e%e5%9c%a8%e4%bf%84%e7%bd%97%e6%96%af%ef%bc%8c%e4%b8%ad%e4%bf%84%e4%bc%8a%e6%9c%9d%e6%96%b0%e9%82%aa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=106960","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u8bc1\u5b9e\u671d\u9c9c\u519b\u961f\u5df2\u9a7b\u624e\u5728\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\uff0c\u4e2d\u4fc4\u4f0a\u671d\u65b0\u201c\u90aa\u6076\u8f74\u5fc3\u201d\u6709\u591a\u5371\u9669\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"date-time-area \">\n<div class=\"container\"><span class=\"date-time\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u65f6\u95f4 7:43 2024\u5e7410\u670825\u65e5 \u661f\u671f\u4e94<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"content\" class=\" not-loaded-ymlas\">\n<div class=\"container\">\n<div 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loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" enhanced\" src=\"https:\/\/gdb.voanews.com\/c4d979c7-359c-4921-bcc3-2191b83ec956_w1023_r1_s.jpg\" alt=\"\u98a0\u8986\u4e16\u754c\u79e9\u5e8f\u56db\u4eba\u7ec4?(\u4ece\u5de6\u81f3\u53f3\uff1a\u671d\u9c9c\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u91d1\u6b63\u6069\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u3001\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u603b\u7edf\u5f17\u62c9\u57fa\u7c73\u5c14\u00b7\u666e\u4eac\u4ee5\u53ca\u4f0a\u6717\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u5171\u548c\u56fd\u6700\u9ad8\u9886\u8896\u963f\u4e9a\u56fe\u62c9\u00b7\u963f\u91cc\u00b7\u54c8\u6885\u5185\u4f0a)\u3002\" width=\"1023\" height=\"575\" \/><\/div>\n<\/div><figcaption><span class=\"caption\">\u98a0\u8986\u4e16\u754c\u79e9\u5e8f\u56db\u4eba\u7ec4?(\u4ece\u5de6\u81f3\u53f3\uff1a\u671d\u9c9c\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u91d1\u6b63\u6069\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u3001\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u603b\u7edf\u5f17\u62c9\u57fa\u7c73\u5c14\u00b7\u666e\u4eac\u4ee5\u53ca\u4f0a\u6717\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u5171\u548c\u56fd\u6700\u9ad8\u9886\u8896\u963f\u4e9a\u56fe\u62c9\u00b7\u963f\u91cc\u00b7\u54c8\u6885\u5185\u4f0a)\u3002<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"col-xs-12 col-md-2 pull-left article-share pos-rel\">\n<div class=\"share--box\">\n<aside class=\"share flex-column js-share--apply-sticky js-share--expandable js-share--horizontal\" data-extended=\"true\"><span class=\"label label--share\">\u5206\u4eab<\/span><\/p>\n<ul class=\"share__list\">\n<li class=\"share__item\"><\/li>\n<li class=\"share__item\"><\/li>\n<li class=\"share__item\"><\/li>\n<li class=\"share__item\"><\/li>\n<li class=\"share__item\"><\/li>\n<li 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class=\"btn__text\">\u6253\u5370<\/span><\/button><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"body-container\">\n<div class=\"row\">\n<div class=\"col-xs-12 col-sm-12 col-md-10 col-lg-10 pull-right\">\n<div class=\"row\">\n<div class=\"col-xs-12 col-sm-12 col-md-8 col-lg-8 pull-left bottom-offset content-offset\">\n<div id=\"article-content\" class=\"content-floated-wrap fb-quotable\">\n<div class=\"wsw\"><span class=\"dateline\">\u534e\u76db\u987f \u2014 <\/span>\u661f\u671f\u4e09(10\u670823\u65e5),\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u9632\u90e8\u957f\u52b3\u57c3\u5fb7\u00b7\u5965\u65af\u6c40(Lloyd Austin)\u8bc1\u5b9e\uff0c\u671d\u9c9c\u519b\u961f\u5df2\u7ecf\u8fdb\u5165\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u3002\u661f\u671f\u4e8c(10\u670822\u65e5)\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e3b\u5e2d\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u62b5\u8fbe\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5580\u5c71\uff0c\u53c2\u52a0\u5728\u90a3\u91cc\u4e3e\u884c\u7684\u201c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u201d\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u5cf0\u4f1a\u5e76\u4f1a\u6664\u4ed6\u7684\u597d\u670b\u53cb\u3001\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u603b\u7edf\u5f17\u62c9\u57fa\u7c73\u5c14\u00b7\u666e\u4eac(Vladimir Putin)\u300210\u670819\u65e5\uff0c\u4f0a\u6717\u540c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5f00\u59cb\u5728\u5370\u5ea6\u6d0b\u4e3e\u884c\u8054\u5408\u6d77\u519b\u6f14\u4e60\u2026\u2026\u4e2d\u56fd\u3001\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u3001\u4f0a\u6717\u548c\u671d\u9c9c\u7b49\u56fd\u7684\u5408\u4f5c\u4e0d\u65ad\u6269\u5927\u548c\u52a0\u6df1\u3002\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\uff0c\u6709\u4eba\u5c06\u8fd9\u56db\u56fd\u79f0\u4e3a\u98a0\u8986\u7f8e\u56fd\u9886\u5bfc\u7684\u73b0\u884c\u56fd\u9645\u79e9\u5e8f\u7684<a class=\"wsw__a\" href=\"https:\/\/www.project-syndicate.org\/commentary\/china-iran-north-korea-challenges-to-world-order-by-richard-haass-2024-09\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u65b0\u201c\u56db\u4eba\u5e2e\u201d<\/a>\uff0c\u4e5f\u6709\u56fd\u4f1a\u8bae\u5458\u8b66\u544a\u8fd9\u662f\u65b0\u201c\u90aa\u6076\u8f74\u5fc3\u201d\uff0c\u6bd4\u4e8c\u6218\u65f6\u671f\u7684\u201c\u8f74\u5fc3\u56fd\u201d\u96c6\u56e2\u66f4\u52a0\u5371\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e2d\u4fc4\u4f0a\u671d\u6709\u591a\u5371\u9669\uff1f\u4ed6\u4eec\u662f\u5426\u4f1a\u6b63\u5f0f\u7ed3\u76df\uff1f\u5728\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u4e8b\u3001\u4e2d\u4e1c\u6218\u4e89\u6301\u7eed\u4e0d\u4e0b\uff0c\u53f0\u6d77\u548c\u671d\u9c9c\u534a\u5c9b\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u5347\u7ea7\u7684\u5f53\u4e0b\uff0c\u56db\u56fd\u662f\u5426\u4f1a\u53d1\u8d77\u8054\u52a8\u6218\u4e89\uff1f\u7f8e\u56fd\u53c8\u5c06\u5982\u4f55\u5e94\u5bf9\uff1f<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u65b0\u201c\u90aa\u6076\u4e2d\u5fc3\u201d\u51fa\u73b0\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u4f4d\u4e8e\u201c\u540c\u6837\u7684\u5341\u5b57\u8def\u53e3\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u97e9\u56fd\u7684\u60c5\u62a5\u673a\u6784\u4e0a\u661f\u671f\u4e94\u62ab\u9732\uff0c\u671d\u9c9c\u5df2\u6d3e\u90631500\u540d\u7cbe\u9510\u90e8\u961f\u524d\u5f80\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u8fdb\u884c\u8bad\u7ec3\uff0c\u51c6\u5907\u652f\u63f4\u4fc4\u4e4c\u6218\u4e89\u524d\u7ebf\u7684\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u519b\u961f\u3002\u661f\u671f\u4e00(10\u670821\u65e5)\uff0c\u97e9\u56fd\u5916\u4ea4\u90e8\u53ec\u89c1\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u9a7b\u9996\u5c14\u5927\u4f7f\uff0c\u5c31\u5176\u6240\u79f0\u7684\u671d\u9c9c\u7279\u6218\u90e8\u961f\u8fdb\u5165\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\uff0c\u51c6\u5907\u90e8\u7f72\u4e8e\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u573a\u4e00\u4e8b\u63d0\u51fa\u6297\u8bae\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5bf9\u97e9\u56fd\u6240\u79f0\u7684\u671d\u9c9c\u7279\u6218\u90e8\u961f\u8fdb\u5165\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u4e00\u4e8b\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u4e0a\u661f\u671f\u4e94\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u65e0\u6cd5\u786e\u8ba4\u8fd9\u4e00\u6d88\u606f\u3002\u4f46\u661f\u671f\u4e09\uff0c\u5965\u65af\u6c40\u5728\u610f\u5927\u5229\u7f57\u9a6c\u8bc1\u5b9e\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e00\u6d88\u606f\u3002\u201c\u6709\u8bc1\u636e\u8868\u660e\u671d\u9c9c\u519b\u961f\u5728\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u7a76\u7adf\u5728\u90a3\u91cc\u505a\u4ec0\u4e48\uff1f\u8fd9\u4e9b\u90fd\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u5c1a\u672a\u67e5\u660e\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\u3002\u201d\u4ed6\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u5965\u65af\u6c40\u8b66\u544a\u8bf4\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u975e\u5e38\u3001\u975e\u5e38\u4e25\u8083\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u8fd9\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4f1a\u7ed9\u6b27\u6d32\u5e26\u6765\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4e5f\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u5370\u592a\u5730\u533a\u7684\u4e8b\u6001\u53d1\u5c55\u3002\u201d\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff0c\u5e73\u58e4\u5df2\u7ecf\u5411\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u63d0\u4f9b\u6b66\u5668\u548c\u70ae\u5f39\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b65\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u81ea2022\u5e74\u666e\u4eac\u51fa\u5175\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u3001\u671d\u9c9c\u548c\u4f0a\u6717\u4ee5\u4e0d\u540c\u65b9\u5f0f\u652f\u6491\u7740\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u6218\u4e89\u673a\u5668\uff1a\u4f0a\u6717\u5411\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u63d0\u4f9b\u5bfc\u5f39\u548c\u65e0\u4eba\u673a\uff1b\u671d\u9c9c\u63d0\u4f9b\u70ae\u5f39\u3001\u53cd\u5766\u514b\u706b\u7bad\u7b49\u6b66\u88c5\u8bbe\u5907\uff0c\u800c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5411\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u519b\u6c11\u4e24\u7528\u7684\u9014\u6280\u672f\u548c\u5de5\u4e1a\u4ea7\u54c1\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u673a\u5e8a\u3001\u534a\u5bfc\u4f53\u3001\u2f46\u4eba\u673a\u53d1\u52a8\u673a\u7b49\uff0c\u5e2e\u52a9\u53d1\u5c55\u4e86\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u5de5\u4e1a\u57fa\u7840\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e0a\u4e2a\u6708\u58f0\u79f0\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u63f4\u52a9\u73b0\u5df2\u8d85\u8d8a\u519b\u6c11\u4e24\u2f64\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u2f7d\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u6b63\u5728\u5411\u4e2d\u56fd\u63d0\u4f9b\u5148\u8fdb\u6280\u672f\u4f5c\u4e3a\u56de\u5e94\u3002<\/p>\n<div class=\"wsw__embed\">\n<figure class=\"media-image js-media-expand js-media-expand--ready\">\n<div class=\"img-wrap\">\n<div class=\"thumb\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" enhanced\" src=\"https:\/\/gdb.voanews.com\/FF857FF5-FDFB-4270-AAA2-44E7B39C76AB_w650_r0_s.jpg\" alt=\"\u4f0a\u6717\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af2019\u5e7412\u670827\u65e5\u5728\u5370\u5ea6\u6d0b\u548c\u963f\u66fc\u6e7e\u4e3e\u884c\u8054\u5408\u6d77\u519b\u6f14\u4e60\u3002\" width=\"650\" height=\"366\" \/><\/div>\n<\/div><figcaption><span class=\"caption\">\u4f0a\u6717\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af2019\u5e7412\u670827\u65e5\u5728\u5370\u5ea6\u6d0b\u548c\u963f\u66fc\u6e7e\u4e3e\u884c\u8054\u5408\u6d77\u519b\u6f14\u4e60\u3002<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0d\u4ec5\u5e2e\u52a9\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u51cf\u7f13\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u4e89\u540e\u897f\u65b9\u5236\u88c1\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u8fd8\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4fdd\u969c\u4f0a\u6717\u548c\u671d\u9c9c\u653f\u6743\u7684\u751f\u5b58\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u6bd4\u5982\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u901a\u8fc7\u5404\u79cd\u6e20\u9053\u8d2d\u4e70\u4f0a\u6717\u7684\u975e\u6cd5\u77f3\u6cb9\uff0c\u6bcf\u5929\u5927\u7ea6150\u4e07\u6876\uff0c\u7ed5\u8fc7\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5236\u88c1\uff1b\u671d\u9c9c\u662f\u5730\u7403\u4e0a\u53d7\u5236\u88c1\u6700\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0d\u65ad\u5411\u671d\u9c9c\u63d0\u4f9b\u71c3\u6599\u3001\u6d88\u8d39\u54c1\u548c\u7cae\u98df\u63f4\u52a9\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u90a6\u4f17\u8bae\u9662\u519b\u4e8b\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u526f\u4e3b\u5e2d\u4f17\u8bae\u5458\u7f57\u4f2f\u00b7\u60e0\u7279\u66fc\uff08Rob Wittman) \u4e0a\u4e2a\u6708\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u667a\u5e93\u65b0\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b89\u5168\u4e2d\u5fc3(CNAS)\u4e3e\u529e\u7684\u7ebf\u4e0a<a class=\"wsw__a\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cnas.org\/events\/virtual-event-confronting-the-axis-of-upheaval\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u8ba8\u8bba\u4f1a<\/a>\u4e0a\u65f6\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u57281938\u5e74\u548c1939\u5e74\u89c1\u8bc1\u4e86\u201c\u90aa\u6076\u8f74\u5fc3\u201d\u7684\u51fa\u73b0\uff0c\u800c\u4eca\u5929\u4e16\u754c\u5904\u5728\u201c\u540c\u6837\u7684\u5341\u5b57\u8def\u53e3\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff0c\u5730\u7403\u4e0a\u5927\u591a\u6570\u56fd\u5bb6\u90fd\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u6709\u76f8\u540c\u7684\u4fe1\u4ef0\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u4e0e\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u3001\u671d\u9c9c\u3001\u4f0a\u6717\u548c\u4e00\u4e9b\u66b4\u529b\u6781\u7aef\u4e3b\u4e49\u56e2\u4f53\u7684\u4fe1\u4ef0\u80cc\u9053\u800c\u9a70\u3002\u201c\u4ed6\u4eec\u4fe1\u4ef0\u7684\u4e1c\u897f\u975e\u5e38\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u4e0d\u652f\u6301\u89c4\u5219\u548c\u6cd5\u5f8b\uff0c\u4e0d\u91cd\u89c6\u4eba\u6743\uff0c\u4e0d\u73cd\u60dc\u4ed6\u4eec\u62e5\u6709\u7684\u8d44\u6e90\uff0c\u60f3\u5265\u524a\u5176\u4ed6\u4eba\u3002\u201d\u4ed6\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u8f74\u5fc3\u56fd\u201d\u662f\u6307\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6b21\u4e16\u754c\u5927\u6218\u65f6\u7531\u7eb3\u7cb9\u5fb7\u56fd\u3001\u610f\u5927\u5229\u3001\u65e5\u672c\u8fd9\u4e09\u4e2a\u7531\u72ec\u88c1\u8005\u7edf\u6cbb\u7684\u6269\u5f20\u4e3b\u4e49\u56fd\u5bb6\u6240\u7ec4\u6210\u7684\u8054\u76df\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u57281940\u5e74\u7b7e\u7f72\u4e86\u300a\u4e09\u56fd\u540c\u76df\u6761\u7ea6\u300b\uff0c\u4ee5\u201c\u67cf\u6797-\u7f57\u9a6c-\u4e1c\u4eac\u201d\u7684\u8f74\u5fc3\u5bf9\u6297\u5f53\u65f6\u7684\u82f1\u56fd\u3001\u7f8e\u56fd\u7b49\u540c\u76df\u56fd\u3002<\/p>\n<p>2002\u5e74\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u524d\u603b\u7edf\u4e54\u6cbb\u00b7\u5e03\u4ec0(George W. Bush)\u5728\u56fd\u60c5\u54a8\u6587\u4e2d\u66fe\u4ee5\u201c\u90aa\u6076\u8f74\u5fc3\u201dis of Evil)\u4e00\u8bcd\uff0c\u5f62\u5bb9\u671d\u9c9c\u3001\u4f0a\u6717\u3001\u4f0a\u62c9\u514b\u7b49\u201c\u652f\u6301\u6050\u6016\u4e3b\u4e49\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u201d\u3002\u8fd1\u5e74\u6765\uff0c\u201c\u90aa\u6076\u8f74\u5fc3\u201d\u9010\u6e10\u88ab\u7f8e\u56fd\u73b0\u4efb\u548c\u524d\u4efb\u5b98\u5458\u7528\u4e8e\u5f62\u5bb9\u81f4\u529b\u4e8e\u6311\u6218\u7f8e\u56fd\u9886\u5bfc\u7684\u73b0\u6709\u4e16\u754c\u79e9\u5e8f\u7684\u4e2d\u3001\u4fc4\u3001\u4f0a\u3001\u671d\u8fd9\u51e0\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8bb8\u591a\u7f8e\u56fd\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u3001\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u548c\u9ad8\u7ea7\u519b\u5b98\u90fd\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u3001\u4f0a\u6717\u3001\u671d\u9c9c\u548c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u6b63\u5728\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u4e00\u81f4\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u4f1a\u8054\u5408\u884c\u52a8\u3002\u65e0\u8bba\u4eba\u4eec\u79f0\u4e4b\u4e3a\u90aa\u6076\u8f74\u5fc3\u3001\u52a8\u8361\u8f74\u5fc3(Axis of Chaos)\u3001\u6df7\u4e71\u8f74\u5fc3(Axis of Upheaval)\u8fd8\u662f\u6076\u9738\u56db\u56fd(CRINK)\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f\u65b0\u201c\u56db\u4eba\u5e2e\u201d\uff0c\u5c06\u8fd9\u56db\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u7ec4\u5408\u89c6\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u7edf\u4e00\u5a01\u80c1\u7684\u89c2\u70b9\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u6cbb\u5149\u8c31\u4e2d\u5e7f\u6cdb\u5b58\u5728\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u73b0\u4efb\u653f\u5e9c\u66f4\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u79f0\u8fd9\u56db\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e3a\u4fee\u6b63\u4e3b\u4e49\u8005\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u52a1\u537f\u5b89\u4e1c\u5c3c\u00b7\u5e03\u6797\u80af(Antony Blinken)10\u67081\u65e5\u5728\u300a\u5916\u4ea4\u4e8b\u52a1\u300b<a class=\"wsw__a\" href=\"https:\/\/www.foreignaffairs.com\/united-states\/antony-blinken-americas-strategy-renewal-leadership-new-world\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u53d1\u6587\u6307\u51fa<\/a>\uff0c\u4e00\u573a\u5b9a\u4e49\u56fd\u9645\u4e8b\u52a1\u65b0\u65f6\u4ee3\u7684\u6fc0\u70c8\u7ade\u4e89\u6b63\u5728\u8fdb\u884c\u4e2d\uff0c\u5c11\u6570\u56fd\u5bb6&#8211;\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\uff0c\u4e0e\u4f0a\u6717\u548c\u671d\u9c9c\u7ed3\u76df\uff0c\u8fd8\u6709\u4e2d\u56fd&#8211;\u51b3\u5fc3\u6539\u53d8\u56fd\u9645\u4f53\u7cfb\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u539f\u5219\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u5199\u9053\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4fee\u6b63\u4e3b\u4e49\u5927\u56fd\u7684\u6cbb\u7406\u5f62\u5f0f\u3001\u610f\u8bc6\u5f62\u6001\u3001\u5229\u76ca\u548c\u80fd\u529b\u5404\u4e0d\u76f8\u540c\uff0c\u4f46\u90fd\u5e0c\u671b\u5728\u56fd\u5185\u5de9\u56fa\u4e13\u5236\u7edf\u6cbb\uff0c\u5728\u56fd\u5916\u786e\u7acb\u52bf\u529b\u8303\u56f4\uff1b\u90fd\u5e0c\u671b\u901a\u8fc7\u80c1\u8feb\u6216\u6b66\u529b\u89e3\u51b3\u9886\u571f\u4e89\u7aef\uff0c\u5e76\u5c06\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u80fd\u6e90\u4f9d\u8d56\u6b66\u5668\u5316\uff1b\u90fd\u8bd5\u56fe\u524a\u5f31\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b9e\u529b\u7684\u57fa\u7840\uff1a\u519b\u4e8b\u548c\u6280\u672f\u4f18\u52bf\u3001\u4e3b\u5bfc\u8d27\u5e01\u4ee5\u53ca\u65e0\u4e0e\u4f26\u6bd4\u7684\u8054\u76df\u548c\u4f19\u4f34\u5173\u7cfb\u7f51\u7edc\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u867d\u7136\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e0d\u662f\u8f74\u5fc3\u56fd\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u4e5f\u660e\u786e\u8868\u793a\u4e0d\u5bfb\u6c42\u96c6\u56e2\u5bf9\u6297\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4fee\u6b63\u4e3b\u4e49\u5927\u56fd\u7684\u9009\u62e9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u6211\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u91c7\u53d6\u679c\u65ad\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u9632\u6b62\u51fa\u73b0\u8fd9\u79cd\u7ed3\u679c\u3002\u201d\u5e03\u6797\u80af\u8868\u793a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div class=\"wsw__embed\">\n<figure class=\"media-image js-media-expand js-media-expand--ready\">\n<div class=\"img-wrap\">\n<div class=\"thumb\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" enhanced\" src=\"https:\/\/gdb.voanews.com\/7E0E62FB-DB3F-4986-9431-31672F564744_w650_r0_s.jpg\" alt=\"\u4eba\u4eec\u57282019\u5e746\u670820\u65e5\u661f\u671f\u56db\u5728\u97e9\u56fd\u9996\u5c14\u9996\u5c14\u706b\u8f66\u7ad9\u89c2\u770b\u4e2d\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e3b\u5e2d\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u5bf9\u671d\u9c9c\u8fdb\u884c\u56fd\u4e8b\u8bbf\u95ee\u7684\u7535\u89c6\u65b0\u95fb\u8282\u76ee\u3002\" width=\"650\" height=\"413\" \/><\/div>\n<\/div><figcaption><span class=\"caption\">\u4eba\u4eec\u57282019\u5e746\u670820\u65e5\u661f\u671f\u56db\u5728\u97e9\u56fd\u9996\u5c14\u9996\u5c14\u706b\u8f66\u7ad9\u89c2\u770b\u4e2d\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e3b\u5e2d\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u5bf9\u671d\u9c9c\u8fdb\u884c\u56fd\u4e8b\u8bbf\u95ee\u7684\u7535\u89c6\u65b0\u95fb\u8282\u76ee\u3002<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p><strong>\u4e2d\u56fd\u5360\u4e3b\u5bfc\u5730\u4f4d\uff0c\u4e2d\u4fc4\u4f0a\u671d\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u5408\u4f5c\u4ee4\u4eba\u5c24\u4e3a\u62c5\u5fe7<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>10\u670817\u65e5\uff0c\u60e0\u7279\u66fc\u5728\u534e\u76db\u987f\u667a\u5e93\u54c8\u5fb7\u900a\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u4e3e\u529e\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u573a\u6d3b\u52a8\u4e0a\u9488\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e4b\u97f3\u7684\u63d0\u95ee\u8868\u793a, \u4eca\u5929\u7684\u90aa\u6076\u8f74\u5fc3\u6bd41939\u5e74\u66f4\u6709\u80fd\u529b\u7834\u574f\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u6b63\u4e25\u6b63\u4ee5\u5f85\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u73b0\u5728\u505a\u7684\u5c31\u662f\u5728\u5404\u4e2a\u5c42\u9762\u4e0a\u5408\u4f5c\u5206\u4eab\u6280\u672f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u5f53\u4f60\u770b\u5230\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u65e0\u4eba\u673a\u88ab\u51fb\u843d\u65f6\uff0c\u4f60\u4f1a\u53d1\u73b0\u91cc\u9762\u6709\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5370\u5237\u7535\u8def\u677f\u548c\u7cfb\u7edf\u3002\u4f60\u8fd8\u4f1a\u770b\u5230\u4ece\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u706b\u70ae\u53d1\u5c04\u5230\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u6b66\u5668\u662f\u5728\u671d\u9c9c\u5236\u9020\u7684\u3002\u4f60\u4f1a\u770b\u5230\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5728\u6218\u573a\u4e0a\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u65e0\u4eba\u673a\u662f\u7531\u4f0a\u6717\u5236\u9020\u7684\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u5728\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u52aa\u529b\u4e2d\u6d89\u53ca\u5230\u4e86\u5404\u4e2a\u5c42\u9762\u7684\u5408\u4f5c\u3002\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u610f\u8bc6\u5230\u81ea\u5df1\u6ca1\u6709\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u8f6c\u5411\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u670b\u53cb\u3002\u201d\u60e0\u7279\u66fc\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u60e0\u7279\u66fc\u8fd8\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u201c\u65b0\u90aa\u6076\u8f74\u5fc3\u201d\u6b63\u5728\u4ee5\u4e0e\u65f6\u4ff1\u8fdb\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u4ece\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u4e89\u4e2d\u5b66\u4e60\u7ecf\u9a8c\uff0c\u83b7\u5f97\u5728\u548c\u5e73\u73af\u5883\u4e2d\u6b63\u5e38\u7684\u6d4b\u8bd5\u3001\u5f00\u53d1\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u65e0\u6cd5\u53d6\u5f97\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u3002\u201c\u5f53\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u4e86\u89e3\u6218\u573a\u4e0a\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\u65f6\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u5bf9\u624b\u4e5f\u5728\u5b66\u4e60\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u80fd\u591f\u4ee5\u6bd4\u5728\u975e\u6218\u6597\u73af\u5883\u4e2d\u6d4b\u8bd5\u6b66\u5668\u66f4\u5feb\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u83b7\u5f97\u66f4\u591a\u80fd\u529b\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u534e\u76db\u987f\u667a\u5e93\u56fd\u9632\u91cd\u70b9(Defense Priorities)\u9ad8\u7ea7\u7814\u7a76\u5458\u517c\u519b\u4e8b\u5206\u6790\u4e3b\u4efb\u8a79\u59ae\u5f17\u00b7\u5361\u74e6\u7eb3(Jennifer Kavanagh)\u4e5f\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e4b\u97f3\u8868\u793a,\u56db\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u6700\u4ee4\u4eba\u62c5\u5fe7\u7684\u9886\u57df\u5728\u4e8e\u6d89\u53ca\u5171\u4eab\u5148\u8fdb\u519b\u4e8b\u6280\u672f\u7684\u534f\u8c03\uff0c\u201c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4ea4\u6d41\u662f\u6301\u4e45\u6027\u7684\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u4ee5\u635f\u5bb3\u7f8e\u56fd\u5229\u76ca\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u6539\u53d8\u529b\u91cf\u5e73\u8861\u3002\u8fd9\u5c06\u5305\u62ec\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5411\u4e2d\u56fd\u63d0\u4f9b\u6f5c\u8247\u9759\u97f3\u6280\u672f\u6216\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5411\u671d\u9c9c\u63d0\u4f9b\u536b\u661f\u8ba1\u5212\u63f4\u52a9\u3002\u201d\u5979\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e2d\u4fc4\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u53cc\u8fb9\u5173\u7cfb\u6700\u4ee4\u5979\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u5fb7\u5dde\u667a\u5e93\u653f\u7b56\u521b\u65b0\u7814\u7a76\u6240(IPI)\u7684\u5e38\u9a7b\u5b66\u8005\u6885\u91cc\u5c14\u00b7\u9a6c\u4fee\u65af(Merrill Matthews)<a class=\"wsw__a\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bing.com\/ck\/a?!&amp;&amp;p=4d7cd9a3b00912ca28a24eb597c64a6aad19c275d118ddc141d690748719a06aJmltdHM9MTcyOTQ2ODgwMA&amp;ptn=3&amp;ver=2&amp;hsh=4&amp;fclid=0ba9547e-59ad-6758-1e31-460f581d6675&amp;psq=Matthews%3a+The+new+%e2%80%98Axil+of+Evil%e2%80%99+is+bigger%2c+better+armed+and+power-hungry&amp;u=a1aHR0cHM6Ly90aGVoaWxsLmNvbS9vcGluaW9uLzQ1OTYzNTAtbWF0dGhld3MtdGhlLW5ldy1heGlsLW9mLWV2aWwtaXMtYmlnZ2VyLWJldHRlci1hcm1lZC1hbmQtcG93ZXItaHVuZ3J5Lw&amp;ntb=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u64b0\u6587<\/a>\u5206\u6790\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u65b0\u7684\u201c\u90aa\u6076\u8f74\u5fc3\u201d\u4e0d\u540c\u5f80\u6614\uff0c\u6bd4\u4e8c\u6218\u65f6\u66f4\u5e9e\u5927\u3001\u6b66\u88c5\u66f4\u7cbe\u826f\u3001\u800c\u4e14\u66f4\u6e34\u671b\u6743\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u5217\u4e3e\u7684\u7406\u7531\u5305\u62ec\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u62e5\u6709\u63a5\u8fd1\u4e16\u754c\u4e94\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u7684\u571f\u5730\uff0c\u5360\u636e\u4e2d\u4e9a\u548c\u4e1c\u4e9a\u7684\u5e7f\u9614\u533a\u57df\uff0c\u5f7c\u6b64\u6bd7\u90bb\u6216\u63a5\u8fd1\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u8d44\u6e90\u4e30\u5bcc\uff1b\u4e2d\u56fd\u62e5\u6709\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u89c4\u6a21\u6700\u5927\u7684\u9646\u519b\u548c\u6d77\u519b\uff0c\u56db\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e2d\u6709\u4e09\u4e2a\u62e5\u6709\u6838\u6b66\u5668\uff0c\u4f0a\u6717\u4e5f\u7ad9\u5728\u6838\u95e8\u69db\u4e0a\uff1b\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u897f\u534a\u7403\u8fd8\u6709\u90aa\u6076\u8f74\u5fc3\u7684\u5080\u5121\u56fd\u5bb6(\u53e4\u5df4\u3001\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u548c\u5c3c\u52a0\u62c9\u74dc)\uff0c\u800c\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u548c\u4f0a\u6717\u3001\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u52a0\u8d77\u6765\u4e00\u5171\u62e5\u6709\u5168\u7403\u8fd140%\u7684\u63a2\u660e\u77f3\u6cb9\u50a8\u91cf\uff1b\u4e2d\u56fd\u62e5\u6709\u5168\u740317.5%\u7684GDP\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u62e5\u67091.8%\uff0c\u4f0a\u6717\u4ec5\u67090.3%\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u7ecf\u6d4e\u89c4\u6a21\u5c0f\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u53ca\u5176\u76df\u56fd\uff0c\u4f46\u72ec\u88c1\u653f\u6743\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u63a7\u5236\u529b\u66f4\u5f3a\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u65e0\u987b\u5411\u9009\u6c11\u8d1f\u8d23\u800c\u6d88\u8017\u8d44\u6e90\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u4f46\u6216\u8bb82024\u5e74\u7684\u90aa\u6076\u8f74\u5fc3\u6700\u5927\u7684\u4e0d\u540c\u5728\u4e8e\uff0c\u81f3\u5c11\u5176\u4e2d\u4e09\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u6b63\u5904\u4e8e\u6269\u5f20\u72b6\u6001\u3002\u5b83\u4eec\u60f3\u8981\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u571f\u5730\u548c\u6743\u529b\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u6b63\u5728\u534f\u8c03\u52aa\u529b\u4ee5\u5b9e\u73b0\u5404\u81ea\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u975e\u5e38\u5371\u9669\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u3002\u201d\u9a6c\u4fee\u65af\u5199\u9053\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9a6c\u4fee\u65af\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u519b\u4e8b\u548c\u80fd\u6e90\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u4e2d\u4fc4\u4f0a\u671d\u6b63\u8bd5\u56fe\u5efa\u7acb\u4e00\u4e2a\u91d1\u878d\u7f51\u7edc\uff0c\u4ee5\u907f\u5f00\u56fd\u9645\u8d44\u91d1\u6e05\u7b97\u7cfb\u7edf(SWIFT)\u7f51\u7edc\uff0c\u51cf\u5c11\u6218\u65f6\u88ab\u897f\u65b9\u5236\u88c1\u7684\u540e\u679c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u56e2\u4f53\u6b63\u5728\u52aa\u529b\u521b\u5efa\u4e00\u4e2a\u57fa\u672c\u81ea\u7ed9\u81ea\u8db3\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u533a&#8211;\u65e2\u51fa\u4e8e\u9700\u8981\uff0c\u4e5f\u51fa\u4e8e\u613f\u671b&#8211;\u4e0d\u4f9d\u8d56\u897f\u65b9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u751f\u5b58\u3002\u8fd9\u4e09\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u52a0\u8d77\u6765\u62e5\u6709\u4e30\u5bcc\u7684\u81ea\u7136\u8d44\u6e90\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u5982\u679c\u5305\u62ec\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u7684\u8bdd\u3002\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6b63\u5728\u901a\u8fc7\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u53d1\u5c55\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5373\u4f7f\u56e0\u53f0\u6e7e\u7206\u53d1\u654c\u5bf9\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u90fd\u53ef\u80fd\u80fd\u591f\u5c06\u5df4\u897f\u548c\u5370\u5ea6\u4f5c\u4e3a\u8d38\u6613\u4f19\u4f34\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u5e0c\u671b\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5b89\u6392\u5230\u4f4d\uff0c\u4ee5\u62b5\u5fa1\u76df\u56fd\u5bf9\u53f0\u6e7e\u5165\u4fb5\u7684\u4efb\u4f55\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5236\u88c1\u6216\u519b\u4e8b\u62b5\u6297\u3002\u201d\u4ed6\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>10\u670822\u65e5\u81f324\u65e5\uff0c\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u62b5\u8fbe\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5580\u5c71\uff0c\u53c2\u52a0\u201c\u91d1\u7816\u201d\u56fd\u5bb6\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u7b2c\u5341\u516d\u6b21\u4f1a\u6664,\u6b64\u6b21\u5cf0\u4f1a\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e3b\u8981\u8bae\u9898\u5c31\u662f\u8981\u63a8\u51fa\u4e00\u5957\u53d6\u4ee3SWIFT\u3001\u7531\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e3b\u5bfc\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u652f\u4ed8\u7cfb\u7edf\u3002\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u7531\u65b0\u5174\u5e02\u573a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u6210\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff0c\u53bb\u5e74\u9996\u6b21\u6269\u5bb9\u540e\u5438\u7eb3\u4f0a\u6717\u3001\u57c3\u53ca\u3001\u57c3\u585e\u4fc4\u6bd4\u4e9a\u3001\u963f\u8054\u914b\u3001\u963f\u6839\u5ef7\u4ee5\u53ca\u6c99\u7279\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u6210\u4e3a\u6b63\u5f0f\u6210\u5458\u56fd\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u653f\u7b56\u521b\u65b0\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u9a6c\u4fee\u65af\u8fd8\u62c5\u5fc3\u56db\u56fd\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u53d1\u52a8\u7f51\u7edc\u6218\u4e89\u3002\u9a6c\u4fee\u65af\u6307\u51fa,\u4e2d\u56fd\u73b0\u5728\u5728\u65b0\u90aa\u6076\u8f74\u5fc3\u4e2d\u5360\u636e\u4e3b\u5bfc\u5730\u4f4d\uff0c\u62e5\u6709\u53d1\u53f7\u65bd\u4ee4\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b9e\u529b\u3002\u201c20\u4e16\u7eaa\u4e94\u516d\u5341\u5e74\u4ee3\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u6b63\u597d\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u5f53\u65f6\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u662f\u4e3b\u5bfc\u5408\u4f5c\u4f19\u4f34\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u4e2d\u4fc4\u4f0a\u671d\u53d1\u8d77\u8054\u52a8\u6218\u4e89\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u4e0a\u661f\u671f\uff0c\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u53f0\u6e7e\u53d1\u52a8\u201c\u8054\u5408\u5229\u5251-2024B\u201d<a class=\"wsw__a\" href=\"https:\/\/cn.nytimes.com\/china\/20241017\/china-taiwan-blockade-drills\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u519b\u6f14<\/a>\u4e4b\u9645\uff0c\u671d\u9c9c\u534a\u5c9b\u60c5\u52bf\u4e5f\u7a81\u7136<a class=\"wsw__a\" href=\"https:\/\/www.voachinese.com\/a\/ccp-s-strategic-game-of-two-wars-against-the-united-states-20241018\/7827375.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u5347\u6e29<\/a>\u3002\u671d\u9c9c\u5b98\u5a92\u671d\u4e2d\u793e10\u670816\u65e5\u79f0\uff0c\u4e0a\u661f\u671f\u7ea6\u6709140\u4e07\u5e74\u8f7b\u4eba\u7533\u8bf7\u53c2\u519b\u6216\u91cd\u8fd4\u90e8\u961f\u3002\u6b64\u524d\uff0c\u671d\u9c9c\u6307\u8d23\u97e9\u56fd\u6d3e\u9063\u65e0\u4eba\u673a\u5728\u5e73\u58e4\u4e0a\u7a7a\u6563\u53d1\u53cd\u671d\u4f20\u5355\uff0c15\u65e5\u70b8\u6bc1\u4e86\u90e8\u5206\u8fde\u63a5\u97e9\u671d\u7684\u516c\u8def\u548c\u94c1\u8def\u8def\u6bb5\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9664\u4e86\u5728\u519b\u653f\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9886\u57df\u7684\u6269\u5927\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u5361\u5185\u57fa\u56fd\u9645\u548c\u5e73\u57fa\u91d1\u4f1a\u7f8e\u56fd\u6cbb\u56fd\u65b9\u7565\u9879\u76ee\u4e3b\u4efb\u514b\u91cc\u65af\u6258\u5f17\u00b7\u9f50\u7ef4\u65af(Christopher S. Chivvis)\u544a\u8bc9\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e4b\u97f3\uff0c\u4e2d\u4fc4\u671d\u4f0a\u8fd8\u53ef\u4ee5\u5229\u7528\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u5730\u533a\u7684\u5371\u673a\u5728\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u5730\u533a\u53d1\u52a8\u6218\u4e89\u3001\u534f\u8c03\u884c\u52a8\u548c\u5236\u9020\u6df7\u4e71\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u5f53\u4e2d\u56fd\u8bd5\u56fe\u5bf9\u53f0\u6e7e\u91c7\u53d6\u519b\u4e8b\u884c\u52a8(\u65e0\u8bba\u662f\u5168\u9762\u8fdb\u653b\u8fd8\u662f\u5c01\u9501\u884c\u52a8)\u4e4b\u65f6\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u8bd5\u56fe\u5229\u7528\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d44\u6e90\u7d27\u5f20\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u5728\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u53d1\u52a8\u66f4\u6fc0\u8fdb\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u5165\u4fb5\u5317\u7ea6\u9886\u571f\uff1b\u4f0a\u6717\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u4e2d\u4e1c\u5236\u9020\u9ebb\u70e6\uff0c\u8bd5\u56fe\u5c06\u7f8e\u56fd\u519b\u961f\u5f15\u5165\u4e2d\u4e1c\uff1b\u671d\u9c9c\u4e5f\u5b66\u4f1a\u5728\u671d\u9c9c\u534a\u5c9b\u91c7\u53d6\u989d\u5916\u7684\u6b66\u529b\u5a01\u80c1\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u8fd9\u56db\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u5f88\u96be\u7b7e\u7f72\u4e00\u9879\u6b63\u5f0f\u7684\u6761\u7ea6\u6765\u627f\u8bfa\u505a\u8fd9\u79cd\u4e8b\u60c5\uff0c\u4f46\u4f60\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u5230\u5b83\u5728\u5371\u673a\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u81ea\u53d1\u6216\u6709\u673a\u5730\u51fa\u73b0\u3002\u201d 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Zelikow\uff09\u544a\u8bc9\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e4b\u97f3\uff0c\u4e2d\u4fc4\u671d\u4f0a\u7684\u52bf\u529b\u8303\u56f4\u4e0d\u6b62\u4e8e\u8fd9\u56db\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u6b63\u5f0f\u7684\u8054\u76df\u5bf9\u4e8e\u89c4\u5212\u5171\u540c\u884c\u52a8\u6765\u8bf4\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u5fc5\u8981\u7684\u3002\u201c\u6b63\u5982\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u57282022\u5e74\u7684\u58f0\u660e\u4e2d\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u4f19\u4f34\u5173\u7cfb\u8d85\u8d8a\u4e86\u5355\u7eaf\u7684\u2018\u8054\u76df\u2019\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u653f\u7b56\u521b\u65b0\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u7684\u9a6c\u4fee\u65af\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e4b\u97f3\u8bf4\uff0c\u7528\u201c\u90aa\u6076\u8f74\u5fc3\u201d\u79f0\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u53ef\u80fd\u66f4\u5408\u9002\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u7ed3\u76df\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u6570\u91cf\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u201c\u8f74\u5fc3\u56fd\u201d\u66f4\u80fd\u5524\u8d77\u4eba\u4eec\u5173\u4e8e\u4e8c\u6218\u8bb0\u5fc6\u7684\u5171\u9e23\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u548c\u5c3c\u52a0\u62c9\u74dc\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u88ab\u7eb3\u5165\u8be5\u7ec4\u7ec7\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u90fd\u5728\u8bd5\u56fe\u6269\u5927\u4ed6\u4eec\u5728\u975e\u6d32\u548c\u62c9\u4e01\u7f8e\u6d32\u7684\u8054\u76df\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u6210\u529f\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u8ba4\u8bc6\u5230\u8be5\u7ec4\u7ec7\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u8d85\u8fc7\u56db\u4e2a\u3002\u201d\u4ed6\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u897f\u65b9\u5982\u4f55\u5e94\u5bf9\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u897f\u65b9\u56fd\u5bb6\u5c1a\u672a\u9488\u5bf9\u7684\u4e2d\u4fc4\u671d\u4f0a\u7684\u65b0\u578b\u5173\u7cfb\u786e\u7acb\u6709\u6548\u7684\u53cd\u5236\u6218\u7565\uff0c\u5361\u5185\u57fa\u56fd\u9645\u548c\u5e73\u57fa\u91d1\u4f1a\u7684\u9f50\u7ef4\u65af\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u963b\u6b62\u6216\u626d\u8f6c\u56db\u56fd\u52a0\u5f3a\u5408\u4f5c\u8d8b\u52bf\u7684\u6700\u597d\u529e\u6cd5\u5c31\u662f\u8bbe\u6cd5\u5f31\u5316\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0e\u5176\u4ed6\u4e09\u56fd\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u5982\u679c\u6ca1\u6709\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u96c6\u56e2\u770b\u8d77\u6765\u5c31\u4e0d\u4f1a\u90a3\u4e48\u5371\u9669\u4e86\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0d\u53c2\u4e0e\u5176\u4e2d\uff0c\u770b\u8d77\u6765\u5c31\u50cf\u4e09\u4e2a\u4e0e\u4e16\u754c\u9ad8\u5ea6\u5b64\u7acb\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u5728\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c31\u4e0d\u7528\u62c5\u5fc3\u90a3\u4e48\u591a\u4e86\u3002\u6b63\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u53c2\u4e0e\u8fd9\u4e2a\u96c6\u56e2\uff0c\u624d\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u8ba9\u7f8e\u56fd\u9677\u5165\u975e\u5e38\u9ebb\u70e6\u7684\u5883\u5730\u2026\u2026\u7f8e\u56fd\u53ca\u5176\u76df\u53cb\u8981\u5c3d\u5df1\u6240\u80fd\u5730\u62c9\u5f00\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0e\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u8ddd\u79bb\uff0c\u5e76\u7ed9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7406\u7531\u4e0d\u652f\u6301\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u6218\u4e89\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u5916\u4ea4\u5173\u7cfb\u534f\u4f1a(CFR)\u540d\u8a89\u4e3b\u5e2d\u3001\u8d44\u6df1\u5916\u4ea4\u5b98\u7406\u67e5\u5fb7\u00b7\u54c8\u65af(Richard Haass)\u501f\u7528\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u201c\u6587\u5316\u5927\u9769\u547d\u201d\u7ed3\u675f\u540e\u8457\u540d\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u8bcd\u6c47\u201c\u56db\u4eba\u5e2e\u201d\u6765\u5f62\u5bb9\u8fd9\u56db\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed69\u670827\u65e5\u5728Project Syndicate<a class=\"wsw__a\" href=\"https:\/\/www.project-syndicate.org\/commentary\/china-iran-north-korea-challenges-to-world-order-by-richard-haass-2024-09\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u64b0\u6587<\/a>\u5199\u9053: \u201c\u4e0d\u5e78\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u9488\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e00\u8054\u76df\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u4e00\u79cd\u5355\u4e00\u6216\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u80fd\u591f\u5e94\u5bf9\u3002\u4e0e\u4e0a\u4e16\u7eaa70\u5e74\u4ee3\u521d\u7f8e\u56fd\u5229\u7528\u4e2d\u82cf\u77db\u76fe\u62c9\u62e2\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u4eca\u5929\u6ca1\u6709\u5916\u4ea4\u673a\u4f1a\u53ef\u4ee5\u5229\u7528\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5206\u6b67\u3002\u66f4\u4e3a\u590d\u6742\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0e\u5176\u4ed6\u4e09\u56fd\u6709\u6839\u672c\u533a\u522b\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u5df2\u878d\u5165\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff0c\u662f\u8bb8\u591a\u897f\u65b9\u5b89\u5168\u4f19\u4f34\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u8d38\u6613\u4f19\u4f34\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u54c8\u65af\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u662f\u56db\u56fd\u4e2d\u6700\u590d\u6742\u7684\u6311\u6218\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u7684\u6218\u7565\u96c4\u5fc3\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e3a\u5b9e\u73b0\u76ee\u6807\u800c\u4f7f\u7528\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b9e\u529b\u548c\u519b\u4e8b\u529b\u91cf\u7684\u610f\u613f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div class=\"wsw__embed\">\n<figure class=\"media-image js-media-expand js-media-expand--ready\">\n<div class=\"img-wrap\">\n<div class=\"thumb\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" enhanced\" src=\"https:\/\/gdb.voanews.com\/A3654246-0937-4158-BE1B-BA61382395A8_w650_r0_s.jpg\" alt=\"2015\u5e74\u590f\u5b63\u5230\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u53c2\u52a0\u519b\u4e8b\u6bd4\u8d5b\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u519b\u4eba\u3002\uff08\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e4b\u97f3\u767d\u6866\u62cd\u6444\uff09\" width=\"650\" height=\"488\" \/><\/div>\n<\/div><figcaption><span class=\"caption\">2015\u5e74\u590f\u5b63\u5230\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u53c2\u52a0\u519b\u4e8b\u6bd4\u8d5b\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u519b\u4eba\u3002\uff08\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e4b\u97f3\u767d\u6866\u62cd\u6444\uff09<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>\u60e0\u7279\u66fc\u8bae\u5458\u5efa\u8bae\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e9f\u9700\u4e0e\u76df\u53cb\u548c\u4f19\u4f34\u6df1\u5316\u56fd\u9632\u5de5\u4e1a\u57fa\u7840\u7684\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u6269\u5927\u201c\u5965\u5e93\u65af\u201d\uff08AUKUS\uff09\u4e09\u8fb9\u5b89\u5168\u4f19\u4f34\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u6210\u5458\u56fd\uff0c\u4fee\u590d\u300a\u56fd\u9645\u6b66\u5668\u8d38\u6613\u6761\u4f8b\u300b(ITAR) 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class=\"section-head\">\u8bc4\u8bba\u533a<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u661f\u671f\u4e09(10\u670823\u65e5),\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u9632\u90e8\u957f\u52b3\u57c3\u5fb7\u00b7\u5965\u65af\u6c40(Lloyd Austin)\u8bc1\u5b9e\uff0c\u671d\u9c9c\u519b\u961f\u5df2\u7ecf\u8fdb\u5165\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u3002\u661f\u671f\u4e8c(10\u670822\u65e5)\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e3b\u5e2d\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u62b5\u8fbe\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5580\u5c71\uff0c\u53c2\u52a0\u5728\u90a3\u91cc\u4e3e\u884c\u7684\u201c\u91d1\u7816\u56fd\u5bb6\u201d\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u5cf0\u4f1a\u5e76\u4f1a\u6664\u4ed6\u7684\u597d\u670b\u53cb\u3001\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u603b\u7edf\u5f17\u62c9\u57fa\u7c73\u5c14\u00b7\u666e\u4eac(Vladimir Putin)\u300210\u670819\u65e5\uff0c\u4f0a\u6717\u540c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5f00\u59cb\u5728\u5370\u5ea6\u6d0b\u4e3e\u884c\u8054\u5408\u6d77\u519b\u6f14\u4e60\u2026\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":24,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-106960","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-issues","et-doesnt-have-format-content","et_post_format-et-post-format-standard"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/106960","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/24"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=106960"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/106960\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":106961,"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/106960\/revisions\/106961"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=106960"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=106960"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=106960"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}