{"id":106972,"date":"2024-10-25T09:11:58","date_gmt":"2024-10-25T13:11:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=106972"},"modified":"2024-10-25T10:18:08","modified_gmt":"2024-10-25T14:18:08","slug":"%e4%bd%95%e4%b8%8e%e6%80%80%ef%bc%9a%e4%b9%a0%e8%bf%91%e5%b9%b3%e8%bf%ab%e4%bd%bf%e4%bb%96%e6%94%b9%e5%8f%98-%e8%b0%88%e9%99%86%e5%85%8b%e6%96%87%e5%8d%9a%e5%a3%ab%e6%96%b0%e4%b9%a6","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=106972","title":{"rendered":"\u4f55\u4e0e\u6000\uff1a\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u8feb\u4f7f\u4ed6\u6539\u53d8\u2014\u2014\u8c08\u9646\u514b\u6587\u535a\u58eb\u65b0\u4e66\u300a\u8bba\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u300b\u53ca\u5176\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u4e24\u4e66"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-106973\" src=\"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/\u9646\u514b\u6587-\u4f55\u4e0e\u6000-274x300.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"274\" height=\"300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/\u9646\u514b\u6587-\u4f55\u4e0e\u6000-274x300.jpg 274w, https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/\u9646\u514b\u6587-\u4f55\u4e0e\u6000.jpg 566w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 274px) 100vw, 274px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong><em>\u672c\u6587\u4f5c\u8005\u4e0e\u6fb3\u6d32\u524d\u603b\u7406\u9646\u514b\u6587\u7684\u4e00\u5f20\u5408\u7167<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>2024\u5e749\u670817\u65e5\uff0c\u9646\u514b\u6587(Kevin Rudd)\u51fa\u7248\u4e86\u4e00\u90e8\u65b0\u4e66\uff1aOn Xi Jinping: How Xi\u2019s Marxist Nationalism Is Shaping China and the 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\/>\n\u6fb3\u6d32\u81ea\u7531\u515a\u6210\u5458\u66f4\u52a0\u5173\u6ce8\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u5f3a\u786c\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u548c\u4e2d\u5171\u5728\u5370\u592a\u5730\u533a\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u65e5\u76ca\u589e\u5f3a\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u5f71\u5b50\u5916\u4ea4\u90e8\u957f\u897f\u8499\u00b7\u4f2f\u660e\u7ff0\uff08Simon Birmingham\uff09\u5f3a\u8c03\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u9700\u8981\u52a0\u5f3a\u9632\u5fa1\u5e76\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u7b49\u76df\u53cb\u4fdd\u6301\u7d27\u5bc6\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u5728\u9646\u514b\u6587\u4e66\u4e2d\u63cf\u7ed8\u7684\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u52c3\u52c3\u96c4\u5fc3\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\u3002\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u4efb\u671f\u6700\u957f\u7684\u524d\u5916\u4ea4\u90e8\u957f\u4e9a\u5386\u5c71\u5927\u00b7\u5510\u7eb3\uff08Alexander Downer\uff09\u79f0\u8d5e\u6b64\u4e66\u4e3a\u201c\u4e0d\u9519\u7684\u4f5c\u54c1\u201d\uff0c\u6293\u4f4f\u4e86\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u7edf\u6cbb\u7684\u590d\u6742\u6027\u3002\u5f71\u5b50\u5185\u653f\u90e8\u957f\u8a79\u59c6\u65af\u00b7\u5e15\u7279\u68ee\uff08James Paterson\uff09\u4e5f\u8ba4\u4e3a\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u9700\u8981\u52a0\u5f3a\u9632\u5fa1\u5e76\u51c6\u5907\u5e94\u5bf9\u4e2d\u5171\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u9c81\u83bd\u884c\u4e3a\u3002\u603b\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u5c06\u9646\u514b\u6587\u8fd9\u90e8\u4e66\u89c6\u4e3a\u897f\u65b9\u5e94\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u5484\u5484\u903c\u4eba\u6001\u5ea6\u7684\u8b66\u949f\uff0c\u8ba4\u4e3a\u6b64\u4e66\u662f\u53c2\u4e0e\u56fd\u9645\u5173\u7cfb\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u7684\u201c\u5fc5\u8bfb\u4e4b\u4f5c\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9646\u514b\u6587\u8fd9\u90e8\u300a\u8bba\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u300b\u53ef\u8c13\u5e94\u8fd0\u800c\u751f\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u5f15\u8d77\u4eba\u4eec\u5173\u6ce8\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u4ed6\u5728\u6b64\u4e66\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u89c2\u70b9\u5e76\u975e\u7a81\u7136\u81ea\u5929\u800c\u964d\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u6709\u8ff9\u53ef\u5faa\u3002\u5728\u4ed6\u4e8e2022\u5e744\u670821\u65e5\u51fa\u7248\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5927\u8457\uff1aTHE AVOIDABLE WAR\uff1aThe Dangers of a Catastrophic Conflict Between the US and Xi Jinping\u2019s China\uff08\u300a\u53ef\u907f\u4e4b\u6218\uff1a\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e0e\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u9886\u5bfc\u4e0b\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u707e\u96be\u6027\u51b2\u7a81\u7684\u5371\u9669\u300b)\u4e2d\uff0c\u4ed6\u975e\u5e38\u8ba4\u771f\u5730\u8ba8\u8bba\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u53d1\u751f\u6218\u4e89\u53ca\u5176\u907f\u514d\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002\u4ed6\u8bd5\u56fe\u4e3a\u5f53\u4eca\u4e16\u754c\u6538\u5173\u4eba\u7c7b\u547d\u8fd0\u7684\u6700\u5927\u4e5f\u6700\u53ef\u6015\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u7ed9\u51fa\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a\u6b63\u786e\u7684\u7b54\u6848\u3002<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_203770\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-203770\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-203770\" src=\"https:\/\/www.chinesepen.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/%E9%99%86%E5%85%8B%E6%96%87%E4%B9%A62.jpg\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.chinesepen.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/\u9646\u514b\u6587\u4e662.jpg 345w, https:\/\/www.chinesepen.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/\u9646\u514b\u6587\u4e662-103x160.jpg 103w\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"930\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-203770\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><strong>\u9646\u514b\u6587\u300a\u53ef\u907f\u4e4b\u6218\u300b<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>\u6709\u4eba\u60f3\u8c61\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u65f6\u4ee3\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u4ee5\u8fd9\u6837\u4e00\u79cd\u65b9\u5f0f\u7ed3\u675f\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u5c06\u67d0\u79cd\u6311\u8845\u4f5c\u4e3a\u501f\u53e3\u6216\u88ab\u5176\u6fc0\u6012\uff0c\u7b56\u5212\u4e86\u5bf9\u53f0\u6e7e\u7684\u5165\u4fb5\u3002\u5317\u4eac\u5411\u53f0\u5317\u53d1\u5c04\u5927\u91cf\u5bfc\u5f39\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u7f8e\u56fd\u63d0\u4f9b\u88c5\u5907\u7684\u519b\u961f\u9677\u5165\u762b\u75ea\uff0c\u968f\u540e\u5bf9\u51b2\u7ef3\u548c\u5173\u5c9b\u53d1\u8d77\u653b\u51fb\u3002\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e8c\u5341\u4e07\u540d\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u6c11\u89e3\u653e\u519b\u58eb\u5175\u5728\u53f0\u6e7e\u6cbf\u6d77\u4e8c\u5341\u4e2a\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u6ee9\u5934\u9635\u5730\u767b\u5cb8\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u6f5c\u8247\u51fb\u6c89\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u4e2d\u56fd\u519b\u8230\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u4e0d\u8db3\u4ee5\u51cf\u7f13\u4f1e\u5175\u548c\u76f4\u5347\u673a\u7684\u731b\u653b\u3002\u6162\u6162\u5730\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u662f\u8fc5\u901f\u5730\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u6fc0\u70c8\u7684\u6218\u6597\u4e2d\u5360\u636e\u4f18\u52bf\uff0c\u6539\u53d8\u4e86\u4e1c\u4e9a\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u548c\u653f\u6cbb\u5e73\u8861\u3002\u7ed3\u679c\u662f\uff0c\u5b83\u6700\u540e\u4f7f\u5f97\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e16\u754c\u8d85\u7ea7\u5927\u56fd\u6ca6\u843d\u4e3a\u5f31\u56fd\uff0c\u88ab\u5386\u53f2\u5b66\u5bb6\u89c6\u4e3a\u201c\u7f8e\u56fd\u6ed1\u94c1\u5362\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8bba\u8005\u8bf4\uff0c\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u573a\u666f\u5e76\u975e\u4fe1\u53e3\u5f00\u6cb3\u3002\u4e00\u4e9b\u62a5\u544a\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u534e\u76db\u987f\u5728\u53f0\u6e7e\u51b2\u7a81\u7684\u63a8\u6f14\u4e2d\u8fde\u7eed\u8f93\u7ed9\u5317\u4eac\u591a\u8fbe\u5341\u4e5d\u6b21\u3002\u5728\u8868\u8ff0\u4e2d\u5171\u5411\u5916\u6269\u5c55\u7684\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\uff0c\u9646\u514b\u6587\u8fd9\u672c\u4e66\u5145\u6ee1\u4e86\u6709\u7528\u7684\u4e8b\u5b9e\u548c\u7280\u5229\u7684\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u5bf9\u7f8e\u4e2d\u5173\u7cfb\u7ed9\u4ee5\u6df1\u523b\u800c\u660e\u667a\u7684\u65b0\u63cf\u8ff0\u3002\u9646\u514b\u6587\u82b1\u4e86\u56db\u5341\u5e74\u65f6\u95f4\u8bd5\u56fe\u7406\u89e3\u4e2d\u5171\u515a\u4eba\u7684\u56fe\u8c0b\uff0c\u8ba4\u4e3a\u73b0\u5728\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u201c\u6025\u4e8e\u89e3\u51b3\u53f0\u6e7e\u95ee\u9898\u201d\uff0c\u89c9\u5f97\u4ed6\u7684\u524d\u4efb\u7684\u201c\u6e10\u8fdb\u4e3b\u4e49\u65b9\u6cd5\u5df2\u7ecf\u5931\u8d25\u201d\u3002\u4ece\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u610f\u4e49\u4e0a\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u5f00\u59cb\u76f8\u4fe1\u7f8e\u56fd\u5728\u4e9a\u6d32\u7684\u4e3b\u5bfc\u5730\u4f4d\u5df2\u7ecf\u7ed3\u675f\uff0c\u4ed6\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f00\u59cb\u5c06\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u8f7b\u63cf\u6de1\u5199\u4e3a\u201c\u5f53\u4eca\u4e16\u754c\u6b63\u7ecf\u5386\u767e\u5e74\u672a\u6709\u4e4b\u5927\u53d8\u5c40\u201d\u3002\u5317\u4eac\u73b0\u5728\u8ba4\u4e3a\u201c\u6539\u53d8\u79e9\u5e8f\u6839\u672c\u6027\u8d28\u7684\u65f6\u673a\u5df2\u7ecf\u6210\u719f\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9646\u514b\u6587\u5fe7\u5fc3\u8315\u8315\u5730\u544a\u8bc9\u4e16\u4eba\uff1a\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u7206\u53d1\u5168\u9762\u6218\u4e89\u7684\u540e\u679c\u4e25\u91cd\u5f97\u4ee4\u4eba\u96be\u4ee5\u60f3\u8c61\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u5e38\u5e38\u628a\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u95ee\u9898\u770b\u4f5c\u662f\u201c\u5934\u75db\u201d\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u201c\u5403\u70b9\u836f\u201d\u5c31\u80fd\u8ba9\u5b83\u4eec\u6d88\u5931\u3002\u8bc4\u8bba\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u9646\u514b\u6587\u6bd4\u5927\u591a\u6570\u4eba\u90fd\u8981\u6e05\u695a\uff0c\u81f3\u5c11\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u5185\uff0c\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u548c\u4ed6\u7684\u53d8\u9769\u6027\u4e16\u754c\u89c2\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6d88\u5931\u3002\u5934\u75db\u662f\u6162\u6027\u7684\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u5e0c\u671b\u63a7\u5236\u8fd9\u79cd\u75db\u82e6\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u52a8\u7528\u6240\u6709\u7684\u806a\u660e\u624d\u667a\u3002\u600e\u4e48\u529e\uff1f\u8fd9\u4f4d\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u524d\u603b\u7406\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u897f\u65b9\u4e16\u754c\u5fc5\u987b\u7528\u201c\u5a01\u6151\u548c\u5916\u4ea4\u76f8\u7ed3\u5408\u201d\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u6765\u904f\u5236\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u907f\u514d\u4e00\u573a\u53ef\u80fd\u91cd\u5851\u5168\u7403\u653f\u6cbb\u3001\u7834\u574f\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5173\u7cfb\u3001\u9020\u6210\u201c\u96be\u4ee5\u60f3\u50cf\u7684\u6b7b\u4ea1\u548c\u7834\u574f\u201d\u7684\u51b2\u7a81\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u8bf4\u9646\u514b\u6587\u7684\u300a\u8bba\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u300b\u662f\u4ed6\u7684\u300a\u53ef\u907f\u4e4b\u6218\u300b\u7684\u6df1\u5316\u548c\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u5176\u601d\u60f3\u53ef\u8bf4\u4e00\u8109\u76f8\u627f\uff1b\u90a3\u4e48\uff0c\u4ee5\u524d\u7684\u9646\u514b\u6587\u53ef\u4e0d\u662f\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u3002\u5373\u4f7f\u62ff\u4ed6\u4e03\u5e74\u524d\u51fa\u7248\u7684\u4e66\u770b\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ef\u53d1\u73b0\u5982\u4eca\u7684\u4ed6\u53d8\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_203767\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-203767\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-203767\" src=\"https:\/\/www.chinesepen.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/%E9%99%86%E5%85%8B%E6%96%87%E4%B9%A63-500x702.jpg\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.chinesepen.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/\u9646\u514b\u6587\u4e663-500x702.jpg 500w, https:\/\/www.chinesepen.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/\u9646\u514b\u6587\u4e663-114x160.jpg 114w, https:\/\/www.chinesepen.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/\u9646\u514b\u6587\u4e663.jpg 524w\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"843\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-203767\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><strong>\u300a\u4e0d\u754f\uff1a\u9646\u514b\u6587\u81ea\u4f20\u300b\u5c01\u9762<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>\u4e03\u5e74\u524d\uff0c2017\u5e7410\u670824\u65e5\u9646\u514b\u6587\u51fa\u7248\u7684\u4e66\uff0c\u662f\u4ed6\u4e2a\u4eba\u81ea\u4f20\uff0c\u540d\u4e3a\u300aNot for the Faint-hearted: A Personal Reflection on Life, Politics and Purpose 1957-2007\u300b\uff08\u300a\u4e0d\u754f\uff1a\u9646\u514b\u6587\u81ea\u4f20\u300b\uff09\u30022018\u5e741\u670813\u65e5\uff0c\u9646\u514b\u6587\u4e13\u95e8\u5728\u6089\u5c3c\u6700\u5927\u7684\u4e2d\u9910\u9986\u5510\u5bb4\u9152\u697c\u4e3e\u884c\u4e86\u4e00\u573a\u7279\u4e3a\u534e\u4eba\u800c\u8bbe\u7684\u65b0\u4e66\u53d1\u5e03\u7b7e\u540d\u4f1a\u3002\u4f1a\u4e0a\u7684\u603b\u4f53\u504f\u5411yuqfen\u53ef\u5728\u4e00\u4f4d\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u5a92\u4f53\u4eba\u5411\u9646\u514b\u6587\u53d1\u8868\u7684\u63d0\u95ee\u4e0a\u770b\u51fa\u2014\u2014\u95ee\u53ca\u6fb3\u6d32\u73b0\u65f6\u6240\u8c13\u201c\u53cd\u534e\u601d\u6f6e\u201d\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u8bf7\u9646\u514b\u6587\u89e3\u7b54\u8fd9\u79cd\u95ee\u9898\u5e76\u4e0d\u7a81\u5140\u3002\u9646\u514b\u6587\u5f53\u65f6\u7684\u89c2\u70b9\u4e0d\u96be\u770b\u51fa\u3002\u4ed6\u5728\u4e66\u4e2d\u5c31\u6b23\u60a6\u5730\u8bb0\u5f55\u4e86\u4ed6\u4ece1984\u5e74\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u5230\u4e2d\u56fd\u81f32007\u5e74\u8fd9\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u201c\u7ffb\u5929\u8986\u5730\u201d\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u5728\u4f1a\u4e0a\uff0c\u4ed6\u4e5f\u9010\u4e00\u53d9\u8bf4\u4ed6\u6700\u8fd1\u51e0\u5e74\u5230\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u770b\u5230\u5317\u4eac\u4e3e\u529e\u5965\u8fd0\u4f1a\uff0c\u770b\u5230\u4e0a\u6d77\u4e3e\u529e\u4e16\u535a\u4f1a\uff0c\u770b\u5230\u676d\u5dde\u4e3e\u529e G20 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