{"id":27600,"date":"2012-05-24T16:07:00","date_gmt":"2012-05-24T16:07:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/127.0.0.1:10081\/?p=27600 "},"modified":"2012-05-24T16:07:00","modified_gmt":"2012-05-24T16:07:00","slug":"27600-revision-v1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=27600","title":{"rendered":"\u4e2d\u56fd\u9ad8\u5c42\u6709\u51e0\u6d3e\uff1f\u51e0\u6d3e\u5206\u6743\u4e2d\u5357\u6d77\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"\u4e2d\u56fd\u5185\u5916\u6709\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u9886\u5bfc\u5c42\u6709\u79cd\u79cd\u6d3e\u7cfb\u3002\u81f3\u4e8e\u662f\u54ea\u51e0\u6d3e\uff1f\u4f17\u8bf4\u7eb7\u7ead\u3002<\/span>

\u4e2d\u5171\u662f\u5426“\u515a\u5185\u6709\u6d3e”\uff1f\u4e0d\u5c11\u4eba\u540c\u610f\u6bdb\u6cfd\u4e1c\u5f15\u7528\u8fc7\u7684\u9648\u72ec\u79c0\u7684\u8bdd“\u515a\u5185\u65e0\u6d3e\uff0c\u5343\u5947\u767e\u602a”\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\u4e2d\u56fd\u4f5c\u5bb6\u8bb8\u77e5\u8fdc\u8868\u793a\uff1a“\u8c01\u90fd\u6e05\u695a\uff0c\u8584\u7199\u6765\u7684\u547d\u8fd0\uff0c\u662f\u7531\u4e2d\u5357\u6d77\u5185\u7684\u6d3e\u7cfb\u6597\u4e89\u6765\u51b3\u5b9a\u7684\u3002”<\/span>

*\u4e24\u6d3e\u4e09\u65b9*<\/span>

\u4e00\u79cd\u6d41\u884c\u7684\u89c2\u70b9\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4e2d\u5171\u9ad8\u5c42\u5185\u90e8\u6709“\u592a\u5b50\u515a”\u3001“\u4e0a\u6d77\u5e2e”\u548c“\u56e2\u6d3e”\u3002<\/span>

\u4f8b\u5982\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u4f1a\u4e0b\u5c5e\u7684\u7f8e\u4e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0e\u5b89\u5168\u5ba1\u8bae\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\uff08The US-China Economic and Security Review Commission\uff093\u6708\u4e0b\u65ec\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u8c03\u67e5\u62a5\u544a\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e2d\u5171\u7b2c\u4e94\u4ee3\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u53ef\u4ee5\u5f52\u4e3a\u4e24\u6d3e,\u4e00\u6d3e\u662f“\u592a\u5b50\u515a”\u548c“\u4e0a\u6d77\u5e2e”\u7684\u677e\u6563\u8054\u76df\uff0c\u4ee5\u6c5f\u6cfd\u6c11\u548c\u66fe\u5e86\u7ea2\u4e3a\u4ee3\u8868\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5728\u5e55\u540e\u53d1\u6325\u4f5c\u7528\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u6d3e\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u5bf9\u8d2b\u5bcc\u5dee\u8ddd\u6bd4\u8f83\u80fd\u5bb9\u5fcd\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u6d3e\u7684\u4e0b\u4e00\u4ee3\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u4e2d\u6700\u7a81\u51fa\u7684\u662f\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u548c\u738b\u5c90\u5c71\u3002<\/span>

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\u8fd9\u4e2a\u62a5\u544a\u4e5f\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e24\u6d3e\u5404\u6709\u6cbb\u7406\u4e13\u957f\uff0c\u5fc5\u987b\u76f8\u4e92\u59a5\u534f\u3002\u800c\u4e14\u4e24\u6d3e\u5e76\u975e\u754c\u9650\u5206\u660e\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u5728\u53d7\u5230\u6c5f\u6cfd\u6c11\u548c\u66fe\u5e86\u7ea2\u8d4f\u8bc6\u7684\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u4e5f\u80fd\u88ab\u56e2\u6d3e\u63a5\u53d7\u3002<\/span>

\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u5728\u5317\u4eac\u957f\u5927\u800c\u5b9a\u5c45\u7ebd\u7ea6\u7684\u4f5c\u5bb6\u6bd5\u6c5d\u8c10\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c“\u56e2\u6d3e”\u4e4b\u8bf4\u8fc7\u65f6\u4e86\u3002\u4ed6\u56de\u5fc6\u8bf4\uff1a“\u4e0a\u4e16\u7eaa\u516b\u5341\u5e74\u4ee3\uff0c\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u7531\u539f\u56e2\u4e2d\u592e\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e66\u8bb0\u80e1\u8000\u90a6\u9886\u5bfc\u515a\u4e2d\u592e\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u5f53\u65f6\u6709\u4e2a\u8bf4\u6cd5\u53eb‘\u56e2\u4e2d\u592e\u9886\u5bfc\u515a\u4e2d\u592e’\u3002”<\/span>

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*\u4ee3\u9645\u63a5\u73ed\u6210\u6d3e\u7cfb \u5404\u9886\u653f\u6743\u6574\u5341\u5e74*<\/span>

\u738b\u529b\u96c4\u628a\u4e2d\u5171\u9ad8\u5c42\u5206\u6210N\u6d3e\u548cN+1\u6d3e\u3002\u4ed6\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u9093\u5c0f\u5e73“\u540c\u65f6\u6307\u5b9a\u4e24\u4ee3\u63a5\u73ed\u4eba\uff0c\u6c5f\u6cfd\u6c11\uff08N\uff09\u548c\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\uff08N+1\uff09\u3002\u4e00\u4ee3\u53ea\u80fd\u5728\u4efb\u4e24\u5c4a\u5341\u5e74\uff0c\u5176\u540e\u5c31\u8981\u4ea4\u7ed9\u4e0b\u4e00\u4ee3\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u5b89\u6392\u7684\u597d\u5904\uff0c\u662f\u5728\u4e24\u4ee3\u63a5\u73ed\u4eba\u4e4b\u95f4\u5f62\u6210\u4e00\u79cd\u5236\u7ea6”\u3002\u738b\u529b\u96c4\u8fd8\u5199\u9053\uff1a“\u5f53\u6c5f\u6cfd\u6c11\u628a\u6743\u529b\u4ea4\u7ed9\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\u65f6\uff0c\u4e5f\u4eff\u6548\u9093\u5c0f\u5e73\uff0c\u6307\u5b9a\u4e86\u80e1\u4e4b\u540e\u7684\u63a5\u73ed\u4eba\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\uff0c\u7531\u6b64\u4f7f\uffe3\u9694\u4ee3\u6307\u5b9a\u63a5\u73ed\u4eba∨\u6210\u4e3a\u6a21\u5f0f\u3002”<\/span>

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\u738b\u529b\u96c4\u8ba4\u4e3a\u9093\u5c0f\u5e73\u89e3\u51b3\u4e86\u6743\u529b\u4f20\u627f\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c“N\u7cfb\u5217”\u4e2d\u7684\u5206\u6d3e\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u4e3b\u4e49\u3001\u8def\u7ebf\u7684\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u6743\u529b\u9075\u5faa\u89c4\u5219\u8f6e\u66ff\u3002\u738b\u529b\u96c4\u8868\u793a\uff1a“\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u5206\u6d3e\uff0c\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6709\u53d8\u9769\uff0c\u53ea\u4f1a\u6709\u5bf9\u53d8\u9769\u7684\u9632\u8303\u3002\u8584\u7199\u6765\u4e4b\u843d\u9a6c\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u60f3\u5728‘N\u7cfb\u5217’\u4e4b\u5916\u6709\u6240\u53d8\u5316\u3002”<\/span>

*\u6bdb\u6d3e\u9093\u6d3e\u81ea\u7531\u6d3e*<\/span>

\u66fe\u5728\u4e2d\u5171\u4e2d\u592e\u515a\u6821\u8f85\u52a9\u8fc7\u80e1\u8000\u90a6\u7684\u515a\u53f2\u5b66\u8005\u962e\u94ed\u8bf4\uff0c\u4ee5\u8584\u7199\u6765\u4e3a\u4ee3\u8868\u7684\u6bdb\u6d3e\uff0c\u4ee5\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\u4e3a\u4ee3\u8868\u7684\u9093\u6d3e\u548c\u4ee5\u6e29\u5bb6\u5b9d\u4e3a\u4ee3\u8868\u7684\u81ea\u7531\u6d3e\uff0c“\u8fc7\u53bb\u8fd9\u4e09\u6d3e\u5c31\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u6050\u6016\u5e73\u8861\uff0c\u8fd9\u6b21\u6bdb\u6d3e\u66b4\u9732\u4e86\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u8fd9\u4e2a\u72b6\u51b5\u5c31\u6253\u7834\u4e86\u3002”<\/span>

\u653f\u6cbb\u5b66\u5bb6\u4e25\u5bb6\u797a\u4e5f\u8bf4\uff1a“\u4ece\u601d\u60f3\u4f53\u7cfb\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\u4e0e\u6e29\u5bb6\u5b9d\u6709\u5206\u6b67\u3002”“\u8584\u7199\u6765\u662f\u501f\u6bdb\u6cfd\u4e1c\u6765\u5077\u5077\u6478\u6478‘\u975e\u9093\u5316’\u3002”<\/span>

\u962e\u94ed\u5bf9VOA\u8c08\u5230\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\u3001\u6e29\u5bb6\u5b9d\u3001\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u548c\u674e\u514b\u5f3a\u7684\u8054\u5408\uff1a“\u6bdb\u6d3e\u8981\u593a\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u6743\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u4ed6\u4eec\u5171\u540c\u5730\u8054\u5408\u8d77\u6765\uff0c\u8fd9\u6837\u4e00\u4e2a\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u6211\u89c9\u5f97\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u672a\u6765\u7684\u8bdd\uff0c\u662f\u6b63\u9762\u7684\u3002”<\/span>

*\u7cbe\u82f1\u548c\u6c11\u7cb9*<\/span>

\u800c\u534e\u76db\u987f\u667a\u5e93\u5e03\u9c81\u91d1\u65af\u7814\u7a76\u6240\uff08Brookings Institute\uff09\u4e2d\u56fd\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3\u4e3b\u4efb\u674e\u6210\u628a\u4e2d\u5171\u9886\u5bfc\u5c42\u73b0\u5728\u7684\u7ed3\u6784\u79f0\u4f5c“\u4e00\u4e2a\u653f\u515a\uff0c\u4e24\u4e2a\u8054\u76df”\u3002\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e00\u6d3e\u662f\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\u9886\u5bfc\u7684\u6c11\u7cb9\u8054\u76df\uff0c\u4e00\u6d3e\u662f\u4ea7\u751f\u4e8e\u6c5f\u6cfd\u6c11\u65f6\u4ee3\u800c\u5982\u4eca\u7531\u5434\u90a6\u56fd\u9886\u5bfc\u7684\u7cbe\u82f1\u8054\u76df\u3002<\/span>

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