{"id":29793,"date":"2012-09-21T21:45:00","date_gmt":"2012-09-21T21:45:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/127.0.0.1:10081\/?p=29793 "},"modified":"2012-09-21T21:45:00","modified_gmt":"2012-09-21T21:45:00","slug":"29793-revision-v1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=29793","title":{"rendered":"\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u5bf9\u534e\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u8f6c\u53d8"},"content":{"rendered":"![\"2009\u5e74\uff0c\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u5728\u4e0a\u6d77\u53c2\u52a0\u4e86\u4e00\u573a\u5e02\u9547\u96c6\u4f1a\u5f0f\u4ea4\u6d41\u6d3b\u52a8\u3002\u6b63\u8c0b\u6c42\u8fde\u4efb\u7684\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u5728\u6570\u4e2a\u9886\u57df\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u91c7\u53d6\u4e86\u66f4\u5f3a\u786c\u7684\u8def\u7ebf\u3002\"](\"\/UploadCenter\/ArticlePics\/2012\/38\/20129210014.jpg\")
\u534e\u76db\u987f——\u6570\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u603b\u7edf\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u6e10\u6e10\u5931\u53bb\u4e86\u8010\u5fc3\uff0c\u52302010\u5e7411\u6708\uff0c\u4ed6\u7ec8\u4e8e\u5fcd\u65e0\u53ef\u5fcd\u3002\u5728\u97e9\u56fd\u9996\u5c14\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e3b\u5e2d\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\u4f1a\u9762\u540e\uff0c\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u63d0\u51fa\u8b66\u544a\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0d\u91c7\u53d6\u66f4\u591a\u884c\u52a8\u6765\u904f\u5236\u671d\u9c9c\u7684\u597d\u6218\u884c\u4e3a\uff0c\u4ed6\u5c06\u91c7\u53d6\u63aa\u65bd\u6765\u4fdd\u62a4\u7f8e\u56fd\u514d\u53d7\u671d\u9c9c\u6838\u5f39\u88ad\u51fb\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\u3002<\/p>
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“\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u8868\u8fbe\u4e86\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u771f\u5b9e\u60f3\u6cd5\uff0c” \u65f6\u4efb\u603b\u7edf\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e8b\u52a1\u9996\u5e2d\u987e\u95ee\u7684\u6770\u5f17\u91cc·A·\u8d1d\u5fb7(Jeffrey A. Bader)\u8bf4\u3002\u4ed6\u8865\u5145\u79f0\uff0c\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u7684\u8b66\u544a\u4fc3\u4f7f\u8fd9\u4f4d\u4e2d\u56fd\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u6d3e\u9063\u4e86\u4e00\u540d\u9ad8\u7ea7\u5916\u4ea4\u5b98\u524d\u5f80\u671d\u9c9c\uff0c\u5bf9\u8be5\u56fd\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u91d1\u6b63\u65e5(Kim Jong-il)\u65bd\u538b\u3002<\/p>
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“\u6211\u786e\u5b9e\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8bd5\u63a2\u4e86\u901a\u8fc7\u79ef\u6781\u63a5\u89e6\u4e89\u53d6\u4e2d\u56fd\u5408\u4f5c\u7684\u9650\u5ea6\uff0c”\u526f\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\u987e\u95ee\u672c\u6770\u660e·J·\u7f57\u5179(Benjamin J. Rhodes)\u8868\u793a\u3002“\u6211\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u5728\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5e74\u91c7\u53d6\u66f4\u5f3a\u786c\u7684\u7acb\u573a\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u6b63\u662f\u90a3\u4e48\u505a\u7684\u3002”<\/p>
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\u5f00\u4f1a\u65f6\uff0c\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u559c\u6b22\u548c\u4ed6\u7684\u4e24\u4e2a\u987e\u95ee\u8d1d\u5fb7\u548c\u52b3\u4f26\u65af·H·\u8428\u9ed8\u65af(Lawrence H. Summers)\u5f00\u73a9\u7b11\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e24\u4eba\u66fe\u5728\u6bd4\u5c14·\u514b\u6797\u987f(Bill Clinton)\u4e3b\u653f\u65f6\u53c2\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u52a0\u5165\u4e16\u754c\u8d38\u6613\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u8c08\u5224\u3002\u636e\u4e00\u4f4d\u9ad8\u7ea7\u52a9\u7406\u4ecb\u7ecd\uff0c\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u4f1a\u95ee\u4ed6\u4eec\uff0c“\u90a3\u65f6\u4f60\u4eec\u662f\u4e0d\u662f\u8ba9\u6b65\u592a\u591a\u4e86\uff1f”\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f4d\u52a9\u7406\u5f62\u5bb9\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a“\u8001\u6bb5\u5b50”\u3002<\/p>
\u5728\u4e00\u5b9a\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\uff0c\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\u7684\u5b66\u4e60\u66f2\u7ebf\uff0c\u548c\u4ed6\u5728\u4e0a\u4efb\u521d\u671f\u5411\u4f0a\u6717\u4f38\u51fa\u53cb\u597d\u4e4b\u624b\u7684\u4e3e\u52a8\u76f8\u4eff\uff1a\u6700\u521d\uff0c\u4ed6\u671f\u76fc\u6614\u65e5\u5bf9\u624b\u80fd\u591f\u6350\u5f03\u524d\u5acc\uff0c\u4f46\u540e\u6765\u88ab\u73b0\u5b9e\u60ca\u9192\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u91c7\u53d6\u52a1\u5b9e\u653f\u6cbb\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002\u5b98\u5458\u4eec\u8fa9\u79f0\uff0c\u533a\u522b\u5728\u4e8e\uff0c\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\uff0c\u66f4\u5f3a\u786c\u7684\u6001\u5ea6\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u5bfc\u81f4\u50f5\u5c40\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u548c\u4e00\u4e2a\u6ce8\u5b9a\u8981\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u6253\u4ea4\u9053\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u786e\u7acb\u4e86\u4e00\u79cd\u5efa\u8bbe\u6027\u7684\u4e92\u8c05\u4e92\u8ba9\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u3002<\/p>
“\u5c3d\u7ba1\u6709\u79cd\u79cd\u5206\u6b67\uff0c\u4f46\u4e2d\u56fd\u8fd8\u662f\u5728\u4f0a\u6717\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\u626e\u6f14\u7740\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u8d1f\u8d23\u4efb\u7684\u89d2\u8272\uff0c”\u7f8e\u56fd\u524d\u526f\u56fd\u52a1\u537f\u8a79\u59c6\u65af·\u65af\u5766\u4f2f\u683c(James B. Steinberg)\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u66fe\u591a\u6b21\u5230\u8bbf\u5317\u4eac\u53bb\u4f20\u8fbe\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5173\u5207\u3002“\u5c3d\u7ba1\u6709\u4e9b\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u5371\u673a\u65f6\u523b\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e5f\u5728\u7ea6\u675f\u671d\u9c9c\u4e0a\u53d1\u6325\u4e86\u79ef\u6781\u4f5c\u7528\u3002”<\/p>
\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u603b\u7edf\u7684\u4e9a\u6d32\u8bae\u7a0b\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u5f88\u591a\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u9274\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u5c06\u8981\u5927\u5e45\u524a\u51cf\u519b\u8d39\u9884\u7b97\uff0c\u6279\u8bc4\u4eba\u58eb\u8d28\u7591\u7f8e\u56fd\u662f\u5426\u6709\u8db3\u591f\u7684\u8d22\u529b\u5151\u73b0\u8bfa\u8a00\u3002\u75b2\u4e8e\u5e94\u5bf9\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u548c\u4f0a\u62c9\u514b\u7684\u4e94\u89d2\u5927\u697c\uff0c\u5728\u8f6c\u79fb\u90e8\u961f\u6216\u8230\u8239\u65b9\u9762\u51e0\u4e4e\u6ca1\u6709\u505a\u4efb\u4f55\u89c4\u5212——\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u5728\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u5df2\u7ecf\u5ba3\u5e03\u8fd9\u9879\u6218\u7565\u540e\uff0c\u4e00\u540d\u6d77\u519b\u53f8\u4ee4\u5b98\u624d\u88ab\u53eb\u5230\u767d\u5bab\uff0c\u4e0e\u603b\u7edf\u9996\u6b21\u4f1a\u6664\u3002<\/p>
\u7f8e\u56fd\u6218\u7565\u4e1c\u79fb\u7684\u4e3e\u52a8\u8ba9\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u52a8\u673a\u4ea7\u751f\u6df1\u5207\u6000\u7591\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u5206\u6790\u4eba\u58eb\u63d0\u51fa\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u662f\u5728\u8bd5\u56fe\u5305\u56f4\u4e2d\u56fd\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u6709\u5927\u91cf\u5173\u4e8e\u4e92\u8c05\u4e92\u8ba9\u7684\u8a00\u8bba\uff0c\u4f46\u6700\u8fd1\u514b\u6797\u987f\u51fa\u8bbf\u5317\u4eac\u65f6\u63d0\u5230\u5357\u6d77\u4e89\u7aef\u65f6\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f\u906d\u5230\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u4e25\u8f9e\u62d2\u7edd\u3002<\/p>
“\u4e2d\u56fd\u65b9\u9762\u611f\u5230\u6709\u4e9b\u65e0\u6240\u9002\u4ece\uff0c”\u4e54\u6cbb·W·\u5e03\u4ec0\u4e3b\u653f\u65f6\u671f\u7684\u4e9a\u6d32\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u3001\u73b0\u5c31\u804c\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u9645\u6218\u7565\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3(Center for Strategic and International Studies)\u7684\u8fc8\u514b\u5c14·J·\u683c\u6797(Michael J. Green)\u8bf4\u3002“\u7b2c\u4e00\u5e74\u662f\u5e0c\u671b\u548c\u6539\u53d8\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5e74\u662f\u950b\u8292\u6bd5\u9732\u7684\u53cd\u51fb\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u5207\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u65b9\u9762\u773c\u91cc\u662f\u6781\u5176\u4e0d\u8fde\u8d2f\u548c\u4e0d\u53ef\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u3002”<\/p>
\u603b\u7edf\u773c\u91cc\u7684\u4e9a\u6d32<\/strong><\/p>\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u4f1a\u628a\u89c6\u7ebf\u8f6c\u5411\u4e1c\u65b9\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e0d\u8db3\u4e3a\u5947\u3002\u4f46\u8fd9\u4f4d\u603b\u7edf\u773c\u91cc\u7684\u4e9a\u6d32\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u5c79\u7acb\u5728\u72c2\u98ce\u4e2d\u7684\u957f\u57ce\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u70ed\u5e26\u6c14\u5019\u7684\u65b0\u52a0\u5761\u548c\u5370\u5ea6\u5c3c\u897f\u4e9a\u3002\u52a9\u624b\u4eec\u8bf4\uff0c\u548c\u4e0a\u6d77\u7684\u84ec\u52c3\u6d3b\u529b\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u4ed6\u5bf9\u96c5\u52a0\u8fbe\u7684\u6175\u61d2\u8282\u594f\u66f4\u611f\u5230\u81ea\u5728\u3002<\/p>
\u4e00\u540d\u9ad8\u7ea7\u987e\u95ee\u8fd8\u8bb0\u5f97\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u548c\u5370\u5c3c\u603b\u7edf\u82cf\u5e0c\u6d1b·\u73ed\u90a6·\u5c24\u591a\u7ea6\u8bfa(Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono)\u57282010\u5e74\u591a\u4f26\u591a\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u5cf0\u4f1a\u4e0a\u5171\u8fdb\u65e9\u9910\u7684\u60c5\u5f62\uff0c\u5f53\u65f6\u7684\u6c14\u6c1b\u662f\u5982\u6b64\u653e\u677e\u548c\u5b89\u8be6\uff0c\u4ee5\u81f3\u4e8e\u4e8b\u540e\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u7684\u5e55\u50da\u957f\u3001\u6d3b\u529b\u8fc7\u4eba\u7684\u62c9\u59c6·\u4f0a\u66fc\u7ebd\u5c14(Rahm Emanuel)\u5bf9\u603b\u7edf\u8bf4\uff0c“\u73b0\u5728\u6211\u7b97\u89c1\u8bc6\u5230\u4e86\u4f60\u7684\u4e9a\u6d32\u6c14\u8d28\u3002”<\/p>
\u5c3d\u7ba1\u6709\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u504f\u597d\uff0c\u4f46\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u4e0b\u5b9a\u51b3\u5fc3\u57282008\u5e74\u603b\u7edf\u7ade\u9009\u671f\u95f4\u4e0d\u5192\u72af\u4e2d\u56fd\u3002\u6bd4\u5c14·\u514b\u6797\u987f\u66fe\u57281992\u5e74\u628a\u4e2d\u56fd\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u79f0\u4e3a“\u5317\u4eac\u7684\u5c60\u592b”\uff0c\u4e0e\u4ed6\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u6ca1\u6709\u600e\u4e48\u63d0\u5230\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u800c\u4ed6\u5728\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u4e0a\u7ecf\u5386\u751a\u5c11\uff0c\u8ba9\u4e2d\u56fd\u65b9\u9762\u51e0\u4e4e\u65e0\u6cd5\u5bf9\u4ed6\u8fdb\u884c\u4f30\u91cf\u3002<\/p>
“\u6211\u4eec\u8bd5\u56fe\u628a\u4ed6\u4ecb\u7ecd\u4e3a\u7f8e\u56fd\u7b2c\u4e00\u4f4d\u4e9a\u592a\u603b\u7edf\uff0c”\u66fe\u57282009\u5e74\u81f32011\u5e74\u671f\u95f4\u62c5\u4efb\u7f8e\u56fd\u9a7b\u534e\u5927\u4f7f\u7684\u6d2a\u535a\u57f9(Jon M. Huntsman Jr.)\u8bf4\u3002\u4ed6\u540e\u6765\u8f9e\u53bb\u5927\u4f7f\u4e00\u804c\uff0c\u8f6c\u800c\u89d2\u9010\u5171\u548c\u515a\u7684\u603b\u7edf\u63d0\u540d\u3002\u6d2a\u535a\u57f9\u8bf4\uff0c\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u5728\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5b98\u5458\u4ea4\u6d41\u65f6\u76f8\u5f53\u9ad8\u6548\u3002“\u4f46\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u5bf9\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u603b\u7edf\u611f\u5230\u56f0\u60d1\uff0c”\u4ed6\u8bf4\u3002“\u4ed6\u4ece\u54ea\u513f\u6765\uff1f\u4ed6\u5728\u60f3\u4ec0\u4e48\uff1f\u4ed6\u8fd8\u662f\u6709\u70b9\u50cf\u662f\u4e2a\u8ff7\u3002” <\/p>
\u9274\u4e8e\u6267\u653f\u521d\u671f\u7684\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u805a\u7126\u4e8e\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u548c\u4f0a\u6717\u7b49\u4f18\u5148\u4e8b\u9879\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u5b98\u5458\u4e89\u76f8\u4e3b\u5bfc\u4e2d\u56fd\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u540e\u6765\u6210\u4e3a\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\u987e\u95ee\u7684\u6258\u9a6c\u65af·E·\u591a\u5c3c\u9686(Thomas E. Donilon)\u63d0\u51fa\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5e94\u5f53\u8fdb\u884c\u4ece\u4e2d\u4e1c\u8f6c\u5411\u4e9a\u6d32\u7684“\u518d\u5e73\u8861”\u3002\u6025\u4e8e\u91cd\u632f\u56fd\u52a1\u9662\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\u4f5c\u7528\u7684\u514b\u6797\u987f\uff0c\u628a\u4e2d\u56fd\u5217\u4e3a\u5176\u9996\u6b21\u51fa\u8bbf\u7684\u76ee\u7684\u5730\u3002<\/p>
\u4f46\u5728\u5317\u4eac\u843d\u5730\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u514b\u6797\u987f\u4f3c\u4e4e\u6253\u7b97\u56de\u907f\u4eba\u6743\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u8868\u793a\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u63d0\u51fa\u5f62\u5f0f\u4e0a\u7684\u6297\u8bae\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u5f97\u5230\u610f\u6599\u4e2d\u7684\u56de\u5e94\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u65b9\u5f0f\u4f3c\u4e4e\u6ca1\u6709\u592a\u5927\u4ef7\u503c\u3002\uff08\u5979\u5f88\u5feb\u6539\u53d8\u4e86\u505a\u6cd5\u3002\uff09<\/p>
\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\u540e\uff0c\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u62d2\u7edd\u5728\u8fbe\u8d56\u5587\u561b\u8bbf\u7f8e\u671f\u95f4\u4e0e\u5176\u4f1a\u6664\u3002\u75c7\u7ed3\u4e0d\u662f\u4f1a\u6664\u672c\u8eab\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u65f6\u673a\u95ee\u9898——\u5f53\u65f6\u662f2009\u5e7410\u6708\uff0c\u8ddd\u79bb\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u4f5c\u4e3a\u603b\u7edf\u9996\u6b21\u8bbf\u95ee\u5317\u4eac\u53ea\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u6708\u65f6\u95f4\u3002\u5f53\u65f6\u53c2\u4e0e\u51b3\u7b56\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u5b98\u5458\u73b0\u5728\u540e\u6094\u6ca1\u6709\u5b89\u6392\u603b\u7edf\u4f1a\u6664\u8fbe\u8d56\u3002<\/p>
“\u6211\u4eec\u6ca1\u6709\u9884\u6599\u5230\u534e\u76db\u987f\u653f\u754c\u4eba\u58eb\u4f1a\u4ee5\u90a3\u79cd\u65b9\u5f0f\u8bbe\u7f6e\u5173\u952e\u8003\u9a8c\uff0c”\u8d1d\u5fb7\u8bf4\u3002“\u6216\u8bb8\u6211\u4eec\u5e94\u8be5\u9884\u6599\u5230\u3002”<\/p>
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“\u6b64\u524d\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u8fdb\u884c\u9b45\u529b\u653b\u52bf\uff0c\u5bf9\u90bb\u56fd\u4e0b\u4e86\u5f88\u5927\u529f\u592b\uff0c\u5316\u89e3\u62c5\u5fe7\uff0c\u8868\u73b0\u51fa\u514b\u5236\u7b49\u7b49\uff0c”\u514b\u6797\u987f\u8bf4\u3002“\u7136\u540e\uff0c\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u5f00\u59cb\u5c55\u793a\u808c\u8089\u3002”<\/p>
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