{"id":30278,"date":"2012-10-18T23:59:00","date_gmt":"2012-10-18T23:59:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/127.0.0.1:10081\/?p=30278 "},"modified":"2012-10-18T23:59:00","modified_gmt":"2012-10-18T23:59:00","slug":"30278-revision-v1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=30278","title":{"rendered":"\u4e2d\u5171\u6743\u529b\u5927\u4ea4\u63a5\uff08\u56db\uff09\uff1a\u653f\u6539\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f\u4e0d\u6539\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\"\"<\/a><\/div>\u4e2d\u5171\u5728\u4eba\u6c11\u5927\u4f1a\u5802\u7eaa\u5ff5\u6539\u9769\u5f00\u653e30\u5e74\uff08\u56fe\u7247\u6765\u6e90\uff1aAP\uff09<\/span><\/div>\r\n
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 <\/p><\/div><\/div><\/div>\r\n

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*\u5341\u516b\u5927\u4f1a\u671f\u5ba3\u5e03\uff0c\u8584\u7199\u6765\u88ab“\u53cc\u5f00”*<\/span>

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*\u80e1\u6e29\u5341\u5e74 \u95ee\u9898\u591a\u591a*<\/span>

\u5341\u516b\u5927\u4f1a\u671f\u7684\u5ba3\u5e03\u8ba9\u5916\u754c\u5f00\u59cb\u628a\u5bf9\u4e2d\u5171\u9ad8\u5c42\u4eba\u4e8b\u53d8\u52a8\u7684\u5173\u6ce8\u9010\u6e10\u8f6c\u5411\u4e0b\u4e00\u5c4a\u9886\u5bfc\u5c42\u80fd\u5426\u63a8\u52a8\u548c\u6df1\u5316\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u6cbb\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6539\u9769\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\u3002\u5f88\u591a\u5206\u6790\u4eba\u58eb\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\u548c\u6e29\u5bb6\u5b9d\u5728\u5f53\u653f\u7684\u5341\u5e74\u4e2d\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u672a\u80fd\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u63a8\u52a8\u6539\u9769\uff0c\u80e1\u3001\u6e29\u867d\u53d6\u5f97\u4e00\u5b9a\u6210\u7ee9\uff0c\u4f46\u95ee\u9898\u8fdc\u6bd4\u6210\u7ee9\u591a\u3002<\/span>

\u4e54\u6cbb\u534e\u76db\u987f\u5927\u5b66\u6559\u6388\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u7b56\u9879\u76ee\u4e3b\u4efb\u6c88\u5927\u4f1f(David Shambaugh) \u8bf4\uff1a“\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4f60\u8981\u56de\u987e\u4e00\u4e0b\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\u3001\u6e29\u5bb6\u5b9d\u5f53\u653f\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u6ca1\u4ec0\u4e48\u9a84\u4eba\u7684\u653f\u7ee9\u3002\u4ece\u5f88\u591a\u4e0d\u540c\u9886\u57df\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u73af\u5883\u3001\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u5404\u4e2a\u5c42\u9762\u3001\u793e\u4f1a\u7a33\u5b9a\u7b49\u7b49\uff0c\u72b6\u51b5\u6ca1\u6709\u597d\u8f6c\uff0c\u6709\u7684\u65b9\u9762\u60c5\u51b5\u57fa\u672c\u6ca1\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u5728\u5176\u5b83\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u72b6\u51b5\u66f4\u52a0\u6076\u5316\u4e86\u3002”<\/span>

\u7ea6\u7ff0\u970d\u666e\u91d1\u65af\u5927\u5b66\u6559\u6388\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u7814\u7a76\u4e3b\u4efb\u5927\u536b·\u5170\u666e\u987f(David Lampton)\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u80e1\u3001\u6e29\u9519\u8fc7\u4e86\u6539\u9769\u7684\u826f\u673a\u3002“\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u8bf4\uff0c\uff08\u80e1\u6e29\uff09\u4ed6\u4eec\u9519\u8fc7\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u673a\u4f1a\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u673a\u4f1a\u5c31\u662f\u4e0e\u5f53\u653f\u8005\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u529b\u91cf\u66f4\u5f3a\u5927\u4e86\u3002\u516c\u5171\u8206\u8bba\u66f4\u91cd\u8981\u4e86\uff0c\u793e\u4f1a\u66f4\u590d\u6742\u3001\u66f4\u591a\u5143\u5316\u4e86\u3002\u5229\u76ca\u96c6\u56e2\u66f4\u591a\u4e86\u3002\u4f46\uff08\u4e2d\u5171\uff09\u672a\u80fd\u5bf9\u6539\u9769\u653f\u6cbb\u4f53\u5236\u7ed9\u4e88\u8db3\u591f\u91cd\u89c6\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u8ba9\u4e00\u4e2a\u66f4\u591a\u5143\u5316\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u793e\u4f1a\u80fd\u6709\u5efa\u8bbe\u6027\u5730\u8868\u8fbe\u81ea\u5df1\u3002”<\/span>

*\u653f\u6cbb\u6539\u9769\u5173\u4e4e\u4e2d\u5171\u751f\u6b7b\u5b58\u4ea1*<\/span>

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\u5e03\u9c81\u91d1\u65af\u5b66\u4f1a\u6851\u987f\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7814\u7a76\u4e3b\u4efb\u674e\u6210\u4e5f\u6301\u76f8\u540c\u770b\u6cd5\u3002\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff1a “\u6211\u89c9\u5f97\u4e2d\u56fd\u5171\u4ea7\u515a\u5982\u679c\u8fd8\u60f3\u7ee7\u7eed\u6267\u653f\uff0c\u653f\u6cbb\u6539\u9769\u662f\u5fc5\u7136\u7684\u3002\u56e0\u4e3a\u653f\u6cbb\u6539\u9769\u5df2\u7ecf\u6210\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u74f6\u9888\u3002”<\/span>

*\u6539\u9769\u5df2\u5230\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u6539\u4e4b\u5730\u6b65*<\/span>

\u4e2d\u56fd\u4f53\u5236\u5185\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u667a\u5e93\u673a\u6784\u4e5f\u5df2\u7ecf\u610f\u8bc6\u5230\u8fdb\u884c\u6539\u9769\u7684\u7d27\u8feb\u6027\u3002\u56fd\u5bb6\u53d1\u5c55\u548c\u6539\u9769\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u65d7\u4e0b\u7684\u6218\u7565\u4e0e\u6539\u9769\u7814\u7a76\u7ec4\u6700\u8fd1\u5728\u5176\u7f51\u7ad9\u4e0a\u520a\u767b\u4e00\u7bc7\u62a5\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u6a21\u5f0f\u6b63\u5728\u8d70\u5411\u5c3d\u5934\uff0c“\u672a\u6765\u5341\u5e74\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u79ef\u6781\u63a8\u52a8\u6539\u9769\u7684\u6700\u540e\u673a\u4f1a”\u3002<\/span>

\u6218\u7565\u4e0e\u56fd\u9645\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3(CSIS)\u4e2d\u56fd\u7814\u7a76\u4e3b\u4efb\u3001\u524d\u4e2d\u592e\u60c5\u62a5\u5c40\u4e2d\u56fd\u95ee\u9898\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u514b\u91cc\u65af\u6258\u5f17·\u7ea6\u7ff0\u900a(Christopher Johnson) \u8bf4\uff1a“\u65b0\u9886\u5bfc\u5c42\u65e0\u53ef\u56de\u907f\u5730\u8981\u9762\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6539\u9769\u7684\u547c\u58f0\u3002\u867d\u7136\u8fd9\u5e76\u4e0d\u610f\u5473\u4ed6\u4eec\u4f1a\u771f\u7684\u91c7\u53d6\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u4f46\u4ed6\u4eec\u4f1a\u610f\u8bc6\u5230\u4ed6\u4eec\u6b63\u5904\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u653f\u6cbb\u3001\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u8f6c\u6298\u70b9\u3002”<\/span>

*\u653f\u6539\u8def\u5728\u4f55\u65b9\uff1f*<\/span>

\r\n
\r\n
\r\n
\"\"\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u548c\u674e\u514b\u5f3a\u5728\u5341\u4e00\u56fd\u5e86\u5e86\u5178\u4e0a \uff08\u56fe\u7247\u6765\u6e90\uff1aAP\uff09<\/span><\/div><\/div>\r\n
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​​\u5982\u679c\u4e2d\u5171\u7684\u786e\u610f\u8bc6\u5230\u8fdb\u884c\u6539\u9769\u7684\u5fc5\u8981\u6027\u548c\u5fc5\u7136\u6027\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u5728\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u548c\u674e\u514b\u5f3a\u9886\u5bfc\u4e0b\u7684\u65b0\u4e00\u5c4a\u4e2d\u5171\u9886\u5bfc\u5c42\u5c06\u9700\u8981\u4ec0\u4e48\u6837\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u6539\u9769\u5462\uff1f<\/span>

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\u5e03\u9c81\u91d1\u65af\u5b66\u4f1a\u7684\u674e\u6210\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u515a\u5185\u6c11\u4e3b\u548c\u5baa\u653f\u53d1\u5c55\u5e94\u8be5\u662f\u63a8\u52a8\u653f\u6cbb\u4f53\u5236\u6539\u9769\u7684\u4e3b\u7ebf\uff0c\u968f\u540e\u5e94\u8be5\u8fdb\u884c\u5bf9\u5a92\u4f53\u7684\u9010\u6b65\u5f00\u653e\u3002<\/span>

*\u96c6\u4f53\u9886\u5bfc\u6216\u4e0d\u5229\u63a8\u52a8\u6539\u9769*<\/span>

\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u65e0\u8bba\u4f55\u79cd\u6539\u9769\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u6210\u8d25\u7684\u5173\u952e\u5728\u4e8e\u80fd\u5426\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u5f3a\u6709\u529b\u7684\u9886\u5bfc\u5c42\u63a8\u52a8\uff0c\u4f7f\u8fd9\u4e9b\u63aa\u65bd\u80fd\u591f\u5f97\u4ee5\u5b9e\u65bd\u3002<\/span>

\u524d\u7f8e\u56fd\u9a7b\u534e\u5927\u4f7f\u82ae\u6548\u4fed(Stapleton Roy)\u8bf4\uff1a“\u6839\u636e\u6211\u7684\u5224\u65ad\uff0c\u95ee\u9898\u4e0d\u5728\u4e8e\u65b0\u9886\u5bfc\u662f\u5426\u4f1a\u63a8\u51fa\u6539\u9769\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u800c\u5728\u4e8e\u4ed6\u4eec\u80fd\u5426\u5b9e\u73b0\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6539\u9769\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u5728\u5b9e\u65bd\u7684\u540c\u65f6\u786e\u4fdd\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u76f8\u5bf9\u7a33\u5b9a\u3002\u793e\u4f1a\u7a33\u5b9a\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u6301\u7eed\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u662f\u5341\u5206\u5fc5\u8981\u7684\u3002”<\/span>

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*\u653f\u6cbb\u5c40\u5e38\u59d4\u4eba\u6570\u4e5d\u53d8\u4e03\u4e3a\u6539\u9769\uff1f*<\/span>

\u6709\u4e13\u5bb6\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4e2d\u5171\u5728\u5341\u516b\u5927\u5c06\u653f\u6cbb\u5c40\u5e38\u59d4\u4eba\u6570\u4ece\u4e5d\u4eba\u6062\u590d\u5230\u5341\u4e03\u5927\u4ee5\u524d\u7684\u4e03\u4eba\u6216\u8bb8\u663e\u793a\u4e2d\u5171\u9ad8\u5c42\u6253\u7b97\u66f4\u7075\u6d3b\u5730\u5236\u5b9a\u653f\u7b56\u3002<\/span>

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*\u6539\u9769\u5173\u952e\u5728\u4e8e\u4e2d\u5171\u662f\u5426\u653e\u6743*<\/span>

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\u5bf9\u6b64\uff0c\u7ea6\u7ff0\u970d\u666e\u91d1\u65af\u5927\u5b66\u7684\u5170\u666e\u987f\u8868\u793a\uff0c \u6539\u9769\u7684\u5173\u952e\u5728\u4e8e\u4e2d\u5171\u662f\u5426\u613f\u610f\u653e\u6743\u3002\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff1a“\u5173\u952e\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u662f\u4e2d\u5171\u662f\u5426\u613f\u610f\u653e\u5f03\u4e00\u4e9b\u4f20\u7edf\u4e0a\u4ed6\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\u662f\u5c5e\u4e8e\u515a\u7684\u6743\u529b\uff0c\u5f97\u4ee5\u751f\u5b58\uff01”<\/span>

\u5728\u4e0b\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u4e3a\u60a8\u4ecb\u7ecd\u4e2d\u5171\u7b2c\u4e94\u4ee3\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u6240\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u4e25\u5cfb\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6311\u6218\u3002\u8bf7<\/span>\u60a8\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u6ce8\u3002<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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