{"id":44839,"date":"2015-01-15T05:46:00","date_gmt":"2015-01-15T05:46:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/127.0.0.1:10081\/?p=44839 "},"modified":"2015-01-15T05:46:00","modified_gmt":"2015-01-15T05:46:00","slug":"44839-revision-v1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=44839","title":{"rendered":"\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u56db\u5904\u6c42\u94b1 \u4e2d\u56fd\u5e2e\u8fd8\u662f\u4e0d\u5e2e"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\u4e2d\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e3b\u5e2d\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u548c\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u603b\u7edf\u9a6c\u675c\u7f57\u5728\u5317\u4eac\u4eba\u6c11\u5927\u4f1a\u5802\u68c0\u9605\u4e09\u519b\u4eea\u4ed7\u961f\u540e\u4ea4\u8c08\u3002\uff082015\u5e741\u67087\u65e5\uff09\"<\/a><\/h1>
\u4e2d\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e3b\u5e2d\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u548c\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u603b\u7edf\u9a6c\u675c\u7f57\u5728\u5317\u4eac\u4eba\u6c11\u5927\u4f1a\u5802\u68c0\u9605\u4e09\u519b\u4eea\u4ed7\u961f\u540e\u4ea4\u8c08\u3002\uff082015\u5e741\u67087\u65e5\uff09<\/span><\/div>
 <\/div>\u53bb\u5e746\u6708\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u56fd\u9645\u539f\u6cb9\u4ef7\u683c\u6301\u7eed\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u4ece107\u7f8e\u5143\u4e00\u6876\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u73b0\u5df2\u8dcc\u783450\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u662f\u81ea2009\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u65b0\u4f4e\u3002\u8fd9\u5176\u4e2d\u7684\u6d89\u53ca\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\u76d8\u6839\u9519\u8282\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u4ea7\u6cb9\u91cf\u589e\u957f\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u653e\u7f13\u3001\u9700\u6c42\u91cf\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u6c99\u7279\u3001\u7f8e\u56fd\u3001\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u535a\u5f08\u7b49\u7b49\u3002\u62c9\u7f8e\u4ea7\u6cb9\u5927\u56fd\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u5374\u5728\u8fd9\u573a\u6cb9\u4ef7\u5927\u6218\u4e2d\u6fd2\u4e34\u5d29\u6e83\uff0c\u56db\u5904\u5bfb\u6c42\u63f4\u52a9\u3002\u8fd1\u65e5\uff0c\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u603b\u7edf\u9a6c\u675c\u7f57\u79f0\u4e2d\u56fd\u5c06\u4f38\u51fa\u63f4\u624b\uff0c\u65b0\u589e\u6295\u8d44\u8fbe200\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u4f1a\u6210\u4e3a\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u7684\u6551\u4e16\u4e3b\u5417\uff1f<\/span><\/span>
 <\/h5>
\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u56db\u5904\u6c42\u94b1 \u4e2d\u56fd\u5e2e\u8fd8\u662f\u4e0d\u5e2e<\/strong><\/span><\/div>
 <\/div>

\u7f8e\u56fd\u5fb7\u514b\u8428\u65af\u5dde\u7684\u519c\u573a\u4e3b\u9a7e\u9a76\u76ae\u5361\u6765\u5230\u52a0\u6cb9\u7ad9\uff0c\u770b\u5230\u9ad8\u9ad8\u7684\u663e\u793a\u724c\u4e0a\u6cb9\u4ef7\u5df2\u7ecf\u8dcc\u7834\u6bcf\u52a0\u4ed12\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\uff0c\u4e0d\u7981\u6b23\u559c\u7684\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u4ed6\u6216\u8bb8\u65e0\u6cd5\u60f3\u8c61\u5728\u58a8\u897f\u54e5\u6e7e\u548c\u52a0\u52d2\u6bd4\u6d77\u53e6\u4e00\u7aef\u7684\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u7684\u4eba\u4eec\u6b63\u5728\u56fd\u8425\u8d85\u5e02\u95e8\u524d\u6392\u8d77\u957f\u961f\uff0c\u53ea\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u4e70\u5230\u51e0\u52a0\u4ed1\u7684\u725b\u5976\u3002<\/p>

\u6076\u52a3\u7684\u8d22\u653f\u5371\u673a\u4f7f\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u901a\u80c0\u4e25\u91cd\uff0c\u9762\u4e34\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u7528\u54c1\u77ed\u7f3a\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f00\u59cb\u5b9e\u65bd\u6309\u7167\u8eab\u4efd\u8bc1\u5c3e\u53f7\u9650\u8d2d\u7b49\u63aa\u65bd\u3002<\/p>

\u548c\u8bf8\u5982\u6c99\u7279\u3001\u79d1\u5a01\u7279\u7b49\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e00\u6837\uff0c\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u77f3\u6cb9\u50a8\u91cf\u4e30\u5bcc\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u80fd\u6e90\u4fe1\u606f\u7ba1\u7406\u5c40(U.S. Energy Information Administration)\u53bb\u5e74\u7684\u62a5\u544a\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u57282013\u5e74\u4f4d\u5217\u4e16\u754c\u7b2c\u4e5d\u5927\u77f3\u6cb9\u51fa\u53e3\u56fd\u3002\u4e0e\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u50a8\u5907\u5f88\u5c11\uff0c\u4ec5\u6709\u4e0d\u5230200\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u539f\u6cb9\u4ef7\u683c\u66b4\u8dcc\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u51fa\u53e3\u768495\uff05\u4ee5\u4e0a\u4f9d\u9760\u77f3\u6cb9\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e3e\u6b65\u7ef4\u8270\u3002<\/p>

\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u603b\u7edf\u9a6c\u675c\u7f57\u5728\u51fa\u8bbf\u4e2d\u56fd\u524d\u8868\u793a\u5e0c\u671b\u6b64\u884c\u80fd\u591f\u4ece\u4e2d\u65b9\u83b7\u5f97\u8d44\u91d1\u63f4\u52a9\u30026\u65e5\uff0c\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u603b\u7edf\u9a6c\u675c\u7f57\u62b5\u8fbe\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u5728\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e3b\u5e2d\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u4e3e\u884c\u4f1a\u8c08\u540e\uff0c\u4ed6\u5ba3\u5e03\u4e2d\u56fd\u5c06\u5411\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u6295\u8d44\u903e200\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u6db5\u76d6\u80fd\u6e90\u3001\u5de5\u4e1a\u3001\u79d1\u6280\u7b49\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u4ed6\u6ca1\u6709\u900f\u9732\u5177\u4f53\u7ec6\u8282\u3002<\/p>

\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u59d4\u65b9\u5355\u65b9\u9762\u5ba3\u5e03\u6b64\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u4e13\u5bb6\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4efd\u6295\u8d44\u534f\u8bae\u8868\u793a\u8d28\u7591\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u5e03\u9c81\u91d1\u65af\u7814\u7a76\u6240(Brookings Institute)\u62c9\u7f8e\u5021\u8bae\u9879\u76ee(Latin America Initiative)\u4e3b\u7ba1\u54c8\u7f57\u5fb7•\u7279\u6797\u5e93\u7eb3\u65af(Harold Trinkunas)\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8d28\u7591\u662f\u5408\u7406\u7684\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0e\u5384\u74dc\u591a\u5c14\u53ca\u54e5\u65af\u8fbe\u9ece\u52a0\u4e24\u56fd\u7684\u534f\u8bae\u662f\u5728\u516c\u5f00\u7684\u4eea\u5f0f\u4e0a\u7b7e\u7f72\u7684\uff0c\u53cc\u65b9\u5747\u6709\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u6216\u9ad8\u5b98\u51fa\u5e2d\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u5374\u5e76\u975e\u5982\u6b64\u3002<\/p>

\u7f8e\u6d32\u56fd\u5bb6\u5bf9\u8bdd\u7ec4\u7ec7(Inter-American Dialogue)\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u62c9\u7f8e\u9879\u76ee\u7684\u4e3b\u7ba1\u739b\u683c\u4e3d\u7279•\u8fc8\u5c14\u65af(Margaret Myers)\u79f0\uff0c\u5f88\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u9a6c\u675c\u7f57\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e4b\u884c\u6ca1\u6709\u8fbe\u5230\u4ed6\u7684\u9884\u671f\u3002\u5979\u8bf4\uff1a“\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u4e8e\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u73b0\u72b6\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u6b63\u5728\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u770b\u770b\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\uff0c\u5c31\u77e5\u9053\u6709\u8db3\u591f\u7684\u7406\u7531\u53bb\u62c5\u5fc3\u3002\u4eba\u4eec\u6392\u7740\u957f\u961f\u53ea\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u4e70\u5230\u725b\u5976\uff0c\u8fd9\u8bf4\u660e\u771f\u7684\u6709\u95ee\u9898\u4e86\u3002”<\/p>

\u5728\u6b64\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u8fc7\u53bb10\u5e74\u95f4\u5df2\u5411\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u9646\u7eed\u501f\u8d37400\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u901a\u5e38\u59d4\u65b9\u901a\u8fc7\u51fa\u53e3\u77f3\u6cb9\u6765\u507f\u8fd8\u8fd9\u4e9b\u503a\u52a1\u3002\u636eBBC\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u76ee\u524d\u5e73\u5747\u6bcf\u65e5\u8fdb\u53e364\u4e07\u6876\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u7684\u77f3\u6cb9\u3002\u9a6c\u675c\u7f57\u53ef\u80fd\u5e0c\u671b\u5c06\u6b64\u6570\u5b57\u63d0\u9ad8\u5230100\u4e07\u6876\uff0c\u4ee5\u6269\u5927\u4e24\u56fd\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u5408\u4f5c\u3002<\/p>

\u63d0\u9ad8\u77f3\u6cb9\u7684\u4ea7\u91cf\u548c\u51fa\u53e3\u5bf9\u4e8e\u73b0\u5728\u7684\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u5e76\u975e\u6613\u4e8b\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u8be5\u56fd\u77f3\u6cb9\u50a8\u91cf\u5de8\u5927\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u8fc8\u5c14\u65af\u5973\u58eb\u8ba4\u4e3a\u7ba1\u7406\u4e0d\u5584\u3001\u6295\u8d44\u4e0d\u8db3\u3001\u6280\u672f\u4e0d\u66f4\u65b0\u7b49\u539f\u56e0\u5bfc\u81f4\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u751a\u81f3\u65e0\u6cd5\u8fbe\u5230\u5176\u5f53\u524d\u751f\u4ea7\u7684\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u66f4\u522b\u63d0\u6269\u5927\u4ea7\u91cf\u4e86\u3002<\/p>

13\u65e5\uff0c\u4fe1\u7528\u8bc4\u7ea7\u516c\u53f8\u7a46\u8fea\u5c06\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u7684\u4e3b\u6743\u4fe1\u7528\u8bc4\u7ea7\u4ece“Caal”\u4e0b\u8c03\u81f3“Caa3”\uff0c\u5e76\u8868\u793a\u56e0\u4e3a\u539f\u6cb9\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u8be5\u56fd\u7684\u503a\u52a1\u8fdd\u7ea6\u98ce\u9669\u4e0a\u5347\u3002<\/p>

\u5728\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e0d\u6562\u8d38\u7136\u51fa\u624b\u65f6\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ee7\u7eed\u5728\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u589e\u52a0\u6295\u8d44\u4e3a\u4f55\uff1f\u96be\u9053\u4e0d\u62c5\u5fc3\u8fd9\u4e00\u5927\u7b14\u94b1\u6210\u4e3a\u574f\u8d26\uff0c\u65e0\u6cd5\u633d\u56de\uff1f<\/p>

\u5e03\u9c81\u91d1\u65af\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u7684\u7279\u6797\u5e93\u7eb3\u65af\u544a\u8bc9\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e4b\u97f3\u8bb0\u8005\uff1a“\u4e2d\u56fd\u5904\u5883\u4e5f\u4e0d\u5bb9\u6613\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4ed6\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\u7ee7\u7eed\u6295\u8d44\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u98ce\u9669\u592a\u5927\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u4f1a\u56e0\u4e3a\u7f3a\u5c11\u8fd9\u7b14\u6295\u8d44\u8d44\u91d1\u800c\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u8fdd\u7ea6\u5176\u503a\u52a1\uff0c\u6216\u662f\u65e0\u6cd5\u8fd8\u6e05\u5168\u6b3e\uff1b\u6216\u8005\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ee7\u7eed\u6295\u8d44\uff0c\u671f\u671b\u539f\u6cb9\u4ef7\u683c\u6062\u590d\uff0c\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u5ea6\u8fc7\u56f0\u5883\u3002”<\/p>

\u5728\u7ed3\u675f\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e4b\u884c\u540e\uff0c\u9a6c\u675c\u7f57\u524d\u5f80\u591a\u4e2a\u77f3\u6cb9\u8f93\u51fa\u7ec4\u7ec7(OPEC)\u6210\u5458\u56fd\u3002<\/p>

\u6c99\u7279\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u3001\u963f\u8054\u914b\u3001\u5361\u5854\u5c14\u7b49\u51e0\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u56e0\u4e3a\u6301\u6709\u8db3\u591f\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u50a8\u5907\uff0c\u5728\u539f\u6cb9\u4ef7\u683c\u66b4\u8dcc\u7684\u5f53\u4e0b\u8fd8\u80fd\u6e38\u5203\u6709\u4f59\u5730\u5ea6\u8fc7\u3002\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\uff0cOPEC\u5e76\u672a\u8981\u6c42\u5176\u6210\u5458\u56fd\u51cf\u5c11\u77f3\u6cb9\u4ea7\u91cf\u4ee5\u5e73\u8861\u4f9b\u9700\u3001\u7a33\u5b9a\u4ef7\u683c\uff0c\u53cd\u800c\u6293\u4f4f\u8fd9\u4e2a\u673a\u4f1a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u964d\u4f4e\u6cb9\u4ef7\uff0c\u4f01\u56fe\u9650\u5236\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u3001\u7f8e\u56fd\u7b49\u65b0\u5174\u4ea7\u6cb9\u56fd\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u4efd\u989d\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u8fd1\u5e74\u6765\u56e0\u9875\u5ca9\u6cb9(Shale Oil)\u7684\u5f00\u53d1\uff0c\u5927\u5e45\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e86\u4ea7\u6cb9\u91cf\uff0c\u7136\u800c\u9875\u5ca9\u6cb9\u7684\u5f00\u53d1\u6210\u672c\u9ad8\u4e8eOPEC\u6210\u5458\u56fd\u7684\u539f\u6cb9\u5f00\u91c7\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u4e5f\u53d7\u5230\u91cd\u521b\u3002<\/p>

OPEC\u5728\u4e0e\u5176\u4ed6\u4ea7\u6cb9\u56fd\u535a\u5f08\u7684\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u5c06\u5176\u6210\u5458\u56fd\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u7684\u5b89\u5371\u7f6e\u4e8e\u8003\u8651\u4e4b\u4e2d\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u9a6c\u675c\u7f57\u6b64\u884c\u4e5f\u5e0c\u671b\u80fd\u8bf4\u670d\u5176\u4ed6\u6210\u5458\u56fd\u51cf\u5c11\u77f3\u6cb9\u4f9b\u5e94\uff0c\u83b7\u5f97\u5e2e\u52a9\u3002<\/p>

13\u65e5\uff0c\u9a6c\u675c\u7f57\u79f0\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u5c06\u83b7\u5f97\u6765\u81ea\u5361\u5854\u5c14\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u6570\u5341\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u8d37\u6b3e\u3002\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684200\u4ebf\u6295\u8d44\u534f\u8bae\u4e00\u6837\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6d88\u606f\u4f9d\u7136\u6765\u81ea\u9a6c\u675c\u7f57\u5355\u65b9\u9762\u3002\u7279\u6797\u5e93\u7eb3\u65af\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5982\u6b64\u770b\u6765\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u653f\u5e9c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u9a6c\u675c\u7f57\u7684\u516c\u5f00\u58f0\u660e\u4fdd\u6301\u6c89\u9ed8\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u4ed6\u4eec\u5e0c\u671b\u907f\u514d\u66f4\u574f\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5df2\u7ecf\u5bf9\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u503a\u5238\u5931\u53bb\u4e86\u4fe1\u5fc3\u3002<\/p>

\u5bf9\u4e8e\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u524d\u666f\u582a\u5fe7\uff0c\u800c\u66f4\u8ba9\u4eba\u62c5\u5fe7\u7684\u662f\u4eba\u6c11\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u72b6\u51b5\u3002\u725b\u5976\u3001\u8517\u7cd6\u3001\u80a5\u7682\u7b49\u57fa\u672c\u751f\u6d3b\u7528\u54c1\u5f97\u4e0d\u5230\u4fdd\u969c\uff0c\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4f3c\u4e4e\u6682\u65f6\u96be\u4ee5\u626d\u8f6c\u3002<\/span> <\/div>
<\/div>
<\/div>


<\/p><\/div>


<\/span><\/div><\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":24,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44839","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-issues","category-first","et-doesnt-have-format-content","et_post_format-et-post-format-standard"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44839","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/24"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=44839"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44839\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=44839"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=44839"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=44839"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}