{"id":54648,"date":"2016-03-16T17:32:00","date_gmt":"2016-03-16T17:32:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/127.0.0.1:10081\/?p=54648 "},"modified":"2016-03-16T17:32:00","modified_gmt":"2016-03-16T17:32:00","slug":"54648-revision-v1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=54648","title":{"rendered":"\u5362\u5cf0\uff1a\u4e0d\u5e94\u56de\u907f\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6b21\u9999\u6e2f\u524d\u9014\u95ee\u9898"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53; font-size: 12pt;\">\u6e2f\u5927\u5b66\u751f\u520a\u7269\u300a\u5b66\u82d1\u300b\u6700\u8fd1\u53d1\u8868\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u63d0\u51fa\u9999\u6e2f\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6b21\u524d\u9014\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5230<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">2047<\/span><span style=\"font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53; font-size: 12pt;\">\u5e74\u9999\u6e2f\u5e94\u6210\u4e3a\u72ec\u7acb\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u4ee5\u786e\u4fdd\u9999\u6e2f\u7684\u72ec\u6709\u5236\u5ea6\u53ca\u751f\u6d3b\u65b9\u5f0f\u4e0d\u53d8\uff0c\u4ee5\u786e\u4fdd\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u81ea\u7531\u53ca\u6743\u5229\u53ef\u4ee5\u7ef4\u6301\u3002\u5728\u5168\u7403\u51fa\u73b0\u53cd\u5efa\u5236\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u6d6a\u6f6e\u4e0b\uff0c\u5728\u4e2d\u6e2f\u77db\u76fe\u6076\u5316\u53ca\u4e92\u4fe1\u5927\u5e45\u524a\u5f31\u4e0b\uff0c\u6709\u4eba\u7279\u522b\u662f\u5e74\u8f7b\u5b66\u751f\u63d0\u51fa\u9999\u6e2f\u8d70\u5411\u72ec\u7acb\u7684\u8bae\u9898\u4e0d\u7a00\u5947\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\uff0c\u5927\u5b66\u672c\u8be5\u6709\u6700\u5f00\u653e\u6700\u5bbd\u5bb9\u7684\u8ba8\u8bba\u6c14\u6c1b\u53ca\u73af\u5883\uff0c\u4efb\u4f55\u8bfe\u9898\u3001\u8bae\u9898\u4e0d\u7ba1\u653f\u6cbb\u3001\u9053\u5fb7\u4e0a\u6709\u591a\u654f\u611f\uff0c\u4e0d\u7ba1\u6709\u591a\u79bb\u7ecf\u53db\u9053\uff0c\u90fd\u4e0d\u5fc5\u56de\u907f\uff0c\u90fd\u53ef\u4ee5\u516c\u5f00\u8ba8\u8bba\uff0c\u4e0d\u5fc5\u5c0f\u9898\u5927\u505a\uff0c\u66f4\u4e0d\u5fc5\u50cf\u5982\u4e34\u5927\u654c\u90a3\u6837\u641e\u4ec0\u4e48\u5927\u6279\u5224\u3002<\/span><\/p>  <p>&nbsp;<\/p>  <p><span style=\"font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53; font-size: 12pt;\">\u9996\u5148\uff0c<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">2047<\/span><span style=\"font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53; font-size: 12pt;\">\u5e74\u540e\u9999\u6e2f\u8be5\u5411\u4f55\u5904\u8d70\u3001\u8be5\u53d8\u6210\u4ec0\u4e48\u6a21\u6837\u4e0d\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5047\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u867d\u957f\u8fdc\u4f46\u771f\u5b9e\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> 1984<\/span><span style=\"font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53; font-size: 12pt;\">\u5e74\u7b7e\u7f72\u7684\u300a\u4e2d\u82f1\u8054\u5408\u58f0\u660e\u300b\u53ca\u5176\u540e\u5236\u8ba2\u7684\u300a\u57fa\u672c\u6cd5\u300b\u89c4\u5b9a\u9999\u6e2f\u5b9e\u884c\u300c\u4e00\u56fd\u4e24\u5236\uff0c\u6e2f\u4eba\u6cbb\u6e2f\uff0c\u9ad8\u5ea6\u81ea\u6cbb\u300d<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">50<\/span><span style=\"font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53; font-size: 12pt;\">\u5e74\u4e0d\u53d8\u3002\u4f46\u5728\u56de\u5f52<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">50<\/span><span style=\"font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53; font-size: 12pt;\">\u5e74\u540e\uff0c\u300a\u8054\u5408\u58f0\u660e\u300b\u53ca\u300a\u57fa\u672c\u6cd5\u300b\u5c06\u4f1a\u5931\u6548\uff0c\u5230\u65f6\u5019\u9999\u6e2f\u7684\u5baa\u5236\u5730\u4f4d\u5982\u4f55\uff0c\u653f\u6cbb\u5730\u4f4d\u5982\u4f55\uff0c\u793e\u4f1a\u653f\u6cbb\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5236\u5ea6\u662f\u5426\u6709\u53d8\u90fd\u5fc5\u987b\u5904\u7406\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\u628a<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">2047<\/span><span style=\"font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53; font-size: 12pt;\">\u5e74\u770b\u6210\u662f\u9999\u6e2f\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6b21\u524d\u9014\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u8ba4\u771f\u63a2\u8ba8\u518d\u63d0\u51fa\u5404\u79cd\u53ef\u80fd\u7684<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">scenario<\/span><span style=\"font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53; font-size: 12pt;\">\u53ca\u9009\u62e9\u867d\u7136\u53ef\u80fd\u4e3a\u65f6\u5c1a\u65e9\uff08\u8fd8\u6709\u8d85\u8fc7<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">30<\/span><span style=\"font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53; font-size: 12pt;\">\u5e74\u624d\u5230<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">2047<\/span><span style=\"font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53; font-size: 12pt;\">\u5e74\uff09\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u7136\u5408\u60c5\u5408\u7406\uff0c\u503c\u5f97\u6709\u5174\u8da3\u7684\u5b66\u8005\u3001\u5b66\u751f\u3001\u5e02\u6c11\u8ba8\u8bba\u8ba8\u8bba\u3002<\/span><\/p>  <p>&nbsp;<\/p>  <p>&nbsp;<\/p>  <p>&nbsp;<\/p>  <p><span style=\"font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53; font-size: 12pt;\">\u56fd\u9645\u793e\u4f1a\u96be\u4ee5\u518d\u4ecb\u5165<\/span><\/p>  <p>&nbsp;<\/p>  <p><span style=\"font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53; font-size: 12pt;\">\u5e94\u8be5\u770b\u5230\uff0c\u9999\u6e2f\u5baa\u5236\u53ca\u653f\u6cbb\u5730\u4f4d\u53d8\u52a8\u4e0d\u662f\u4ec0\u4e48\u65b0\u7684\u8bae\u9898\u3002\u4e8c\u6b21\u5927\u6218\u540e\u6e2f\u82f1\u653f\u5e9c\u91cd\u65b0\u63a5\u7ba1\u9999\u6e2f\uff0c\u5f53\u65f6\u6b63\u503c\u5de5\u515a\u653f\u5e9c\u9510\u610f\u975e\u6b96\u6c11\u5316\uff0c\u79ef\u6781\u64a4\u51fa\u6b96\u6c11\u5730\uff0c\u65f6\u4efb\u6e2f\u7763\u7684\u6768\u6155\u7426\u5c31\u63d0\u51fa\u8fc7\u4e00\u4efd\u540e\u6765\u88ab\u79f0\u4e3a\u300c\u6768\u6155\u7426\u8ba1\u5212\u300d\u7684\u6587\u4ef6\uff0c\u63a2\u8ba8\u8ba9\u9999\u6e2f\u8d70\u5411\u81ea\u6cbb\uff0c\u8ba9\u6e2f\u4eba\u5f53\u5bb6\u4f5c\u4e3b\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u6539\u9769\u3002\u82e5\u679c\u8ba1\u5212\u80fd\u5728<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">40<\/span><span style=\"font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53; font-size: 12pt;\">\u5e74\u4ee3\u672b\u843d\u5b9e\uff0c\u9999\u6e2f\u5f80\u540e\u51e0\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u80af\u5b9a\u4e0d\u4e00\u6837\uff0c\u8d70\u5411\u5168\u9762\u81ea\u6cbb\u4ee5\u81f3\u72ec\u7acb\u5e76\u975e\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u3002\u53ea\u662f\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u788d\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u53ef\u80fd\u53cd\u5bf9\u53ca\u672c\u8eab\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u6253\u7b97\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u91c7\u7eb3\u6709\u5173\u5efa\u8bae\u3002<\/span><\/p>  <p>&nbsp;<\/p>  <p><span style=\"font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53; font-size: 12pt;\">\u5230<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">80<\/span><span style=\"font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53; font-size: 12pt;\">\u5e74\u4ee3\uff0c\u9999\u6e2f\u524d\u9014\u95ee\u9898\u6b63\u5f0f\u6d6e\u73b0\uff0c\u5f53\u65f6\u793e\u4f1a\u4e0a\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u5404\u79cd\u5404\u6837\u7684\u5efa\u8bae\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u628a\u9999\u6e2f\u53d8\u6210\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u6258\u7ba1\u5730\uff0c\u4ee5\u4e3b\u6743\u6362\u6cbb\u6743\u5ef6\u7eed\u82f1\u56fd\u5728\u9999\u6e2f\u7684\u7ba1\u6cbb\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6536\u56de\u4f46\u7531\u82f1\u56fd\u4ee3\u7ba1\u7b49\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4e5f\u6709\u5c11\u6570\u4eba\u63d0\u51fa\u8be5\u8ba9\u9999\u6e2f\u50cf\u5176\u4ed6\u82f1\u56fd\u6b96\u6c11\u5730\u90a3\u6837\u53d8\u6210\u72ec\u7acb\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u5728\u4e2d\u3001\u82f1\u8c08\u5224\u89d2\u529b\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u5efa\u8bae\u5f88\u5feb\u5c31\u88ab\u6392\u9664\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u751a\u81f3\u4e00\u5ea6\u63d0\u51fa\u5355\u65b9\u9762\u6536\u56de\u9999\u6e2f\u7684\u5f3a\u786c\u7acb\u573a\u3002\u6700\u7ec8\uff0c\u4e2d\u82f1\u4ee5\u300a\u8054\u5408\u58f0\u660e\u300b\u5904\u7406\u9999\u6e2f\u524d\u9014\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u7531\u4e2d\u56fd\u4ece\u82f1\u56fd\u624b\u4e2d\u6536\u56de\u4e3b\u6743\u53ca\u6cbb\u6743\uff0c\u518d\u900f\u8fc7\u4e00\u56fd\u4e24\u5236\u843d\u5b9e\u8ba9\u9999\u6e2f\u7684\u9ad8\u5ea6\u81ea\u6cbb\u3002<\/span><\/p>  <p>&nbsp;<\/p>  <p>&nbsp;<\/p>  <p>&nbsp;<\/p>  <p><span style=\"font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53; font-size: 12pt;\">\u52ff\u8f7b\u7387\u6446\u7acb\u573a\u4e0b\u7ed3\u8bba<\/span><\/p>  <p>&nbsp;<\/p>  <p><span style=\"font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53; font-size: 12pt;\">\u5230<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">2047<\/span><span style=\"font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53; font-size: 12pt;\">\u5e74\uff0c\u300a\u8054\u5408\u58f0\u660e\u300b\u53ca\u300a\u57fa\u672c\u6cd5\u300b\u5c06\u5931\u6548\uff0c\u9999\u6e2f\u5baa\u5236\u53ca\u653f\u6cbb\u5730\u4f4d\u9700\u8981\u91cd\u65b0\u786e\u7acb\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u6709\u4e0d\u5c11\u4eba\u50cf\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u524d\u9014\u95ee\u9898\u65f6\u90a3\u6837\u63d0\u51fa\u5404\u79cd\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u5efa\u8bae\u53ca\u9009\u9879\u4f5c\u8ba8\u8bba\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u662f\u5426\u7ee7\u7eed\u5b9e\u884c\u4e00\u56fd\u4e24\u5236\uff0c\u53d6\u6d88\u4e24\u5236\u53c8\u6216\u8ba9\u9999\u6e2f\u72ec\u7acb\u7b49\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u8ddf\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u524d\u9014\u95ee\u9898\u65f6\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u9999\u6e2f\u7684\u4e3b\u6743\u5df2\u7262\u7262\u638c\u63e1\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u624b\u4e0a\uff0c\u4e0d\u7ba1\u662f\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u53ca\u56fd\u9645\u793e\u4f1a\u5df2\u786e\u8ba4\u9999\u6e2f\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u4efd\uff0c\u5979\u4eec\u4e0d\u4f1a\u4e5f\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u518d\u4ecb\u5165\u9999\u6e2f\u524d\u9014\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u9999\u6e2f\u5e02\u6c11\u5f97\u501a\u9760\u672c\u8eab\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u3001\u5b9e\u529b\u8ddf\u5317\u4eac\u4e89\u53d6\u53ca\u5468\u65cb\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5ba2\u89c2\u4e8b\u5b9e\u662f\u8ba8\u8bba\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6b21\u9999\u6e2f\u524d\u9014<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">&#8203;&#8203;<\/span><span style=\"font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53; font-size: 12pt;\">\u95ee\u9898\u751a\u6216\u5efa\u8bae\u9999\u6e2f\u72ec\u7acb\u5efa\u56fd\u65f6\u7684\u524d\u63d0\uff0c\u8c01\u4e5f\u4e0d\u80fd\u56de\u907f\uff0c\u8c01\u4e5f\u4e0d\u80fd\u8499\u6df7\u8fc7\u5173\u3002\u4efb\u4f55\u8ba4\u4e3a\u9999\u6e2f\u53ef\u4ee5\u81ea\u884c\u51b3\u5b9a<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">2047<\/span><span style=\"font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53; font-size: 12pt;\">\u5e74\u540e\u5baa\u5236\u5b89\u6392\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\u53ea\u662f\u81ea\u6b3a\u6b3a\u4eba\u7684\u5e7b\u60f3\u3002<\/span><\/p>  <p>&nbsp;<\/p>  <p><span style=\"font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53; font-size: 12pt;\">\u540c\u6837\u8981\u6ce8\u610f\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u9999\u6e2f\u72ec\u7acb\u5efa\u56fd\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5b66\u672f\u8ba8\u8bba\u5f53\u7136\u6ca1\u6709\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u5f53\u7136\u53ef\u4ee5\u767e\u82b1\u9f50\u653e\uff0c\u4e0d\u7ba1\u8d5e\u6210\u53cd\u5bf9\u90fd\u53ef\u4ee5\u5404\u81ea\u63d0\u51fa\u672c\u8eab\u7684\u7406\u636e\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u628a\u9999\u6e2f\u72ec\u7acb\u5efa\u56fd\u53d8\u6210\u6b63\u5f0f\u653f\u6cbb\u6216\u9009\u4e3e\u7eb2\u9886\u5374\u662f\u53e6\u4e00\u56de\u4e8b\uff0c\u8981\u975e\u5e38\u5c0f\u5fc3\u5904\u7406\u3002\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u63a8\u52a8\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u7eb2\u9886\u53ef\u80fd\u8ddf\u300a\u57fa\u672c\u6cd5\u300b\u6709\u7274\u89e6\uff0c\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u53d8\u6210\u8fdd\u6cd5\u884c\u4e3a\u800c\u88ab\u8ffd\u7a76\u6cd5\u5f8b\u8d23\u4efb\uff1b\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u4e2d\u6e2f\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u4e92\u4fe1\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u56e0\u6b64\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u524a\u5f31\uff0c\u968f\u65f6\u51fa\u73b0\u66f4\u591a\u77db\u76fe\u53ca\u52a8\u8361\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u5f71\u54cd\u4e24\u5730\u6b63\u5e38\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4ea4\u5f80\u3002<\/span><\/p>  <p>&nbsp;<\/p>  <p><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">2047<\/span><span style=\"font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53; 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