{"id":56926,"date":"2016-06-11T08:15:00","date_gmt":"2016-06-11T08:15:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/127.0.0.1:10081\/?p=56926 "},"modified":"2016-06-11T08:15:00","modified_gmt":"2016-06-11T08:15:00","slug":"56926-revision-v1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=56926","title":{"rendered":"\u5357\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77\u79c0\u519b\u529b \u7f8e\u4e2d\u5bf9\u649e\u96be\u907f\u514d\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\u65af\u5766\u5c3c\u65af\u822a\u7a7a\u6bcd\u8230(\u8d44\u6599\u56fe\u7247)\"<\/a><\/div>\u65af\u5766\u5c3c\u65af\u822a\u7a7a\u6bcd\u8230(\u8d44\u6599\u56fe\u7247)<\/span><\/div>

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\u56fd\u9645\u8bc4\u4f30\u4e0e\u6218\u7565\u4e2d\u5fc3(International Assessment and Strategy Center)\u9ad8\u7ea7\u7814\u7a76\u5458\u7406\u67e5\u5fb7·\u8d39\u820d\u5c14(Richard Fisher)\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u65af\u5361\u4f2f\u52d2\u6d45\u6ee9\u5468\u8fb9\u5f00\u59cb\u6269\u5efa\u5c9b\u7901\u7684\u5de5\u7a0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u6781\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u5c06\u505a\u51fa\u53cd\u5e94\u3002\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff1a“\u5f88\u96be\u8bb2\u7f8e\u56fd\u5c06\u505a\u51fa\u4f55\u79cd\u53cd\u5e94\u3002\u4f46\u5982\u679c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0d\u901a\u8fc7\u534f\u5546\u8fbe\u6210\u4e00\u4e2a\u9ec4\u5ca9\u5c9b\u7684\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848\u7684\u8bdd\uff0c\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u5fc5\u7136\u4f1a\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u7206\u53d1\u519b\u4e8b\u51b2\u7a81\u5c06\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u4e3a\u53ef\u80fd\u3002”<\/p>

\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e24\u8258\u822a\u6bcd\u5f00\u8fdb\u5357\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77<\/strong><\/p>

\u8fdb\u51656\u6708\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u52a0\u7d27\u5728\u5357\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u90e8\u7f72\u3002\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u300a\u6d77\u519b\u65f6\u62a5\u300b(Navy Times)\u7f51\u7ad96\u67086\u65e5\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u81ea2012\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u9996\u6b21\u540c\u65f6\u5728\u6d77\u5916\u90e8\u7f72\u56db\u4e2a\u822a\u6bcd\u6218\u6597\u7fa4\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u4e24\u4e2a\u88ab\u90e8\u7f72\u5728\u5357\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77\uff0c\u5206\u522b\u662f\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u5357\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77\u6e38\u5f0b\u7684\u65af\u5766\u5c3c\u65af\u53f7\u822a\u6bcd\u6218\u6597\u7fa4\u548c\u6b63\u4ece\u65e5\u672c\u6a2a\u987b\u8d3a\u6e2f\u9a76\u5f80\u5357\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77\u7684\u91cc\u6839\u53f7\u822a\u6bcd\u6218\u6597\u7fa4\u3002\u8fd9\u7bc7\u62a5\u9053\u79f0\uff0c\u65af\u5766\u5c3c\u65af\u53f7\u822a\u6bcd\u81ea\u4eca\u5e742\u6708\u5f00\u59cb\u90e8\u7f72\u5230\u5357\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77\u4ee5\u6765\u5c31\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u8be5\u6d77\u57df\u5de1\u822a\uff0c\u65e8\u5728\u91cd\u65b0\u786e\u7acb\u7f8e\u519b\u5728\u5357\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u53cd\u5236\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u5357\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77\u7684\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u6269\u5f20\u3002<\/p>

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6\u67085\u65e5\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u6d77\u519b\u4f5c\u6218\u90e8\u957f\u7ea6\u7ff0·\u7406\u67e5\u68ee\u5c06\u519b\u767b\u4e0a\u5728\u5357\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77\u822a\u884c\u7684\u65af\u5766\u5c3c\u65af\u53f7\u822a\u6bcd\uff0c\u5e76\u901a\u8fc7\u95ed\u8def\u7535\u89c6\u5bf9\u8230\u4e0a\u5b98\u5175\u53d1\u8868\u8bb2\u8bdd\uff0c\u79f0\u65af\u5766\u5c3c\u65af\u53f7\u822a\u6bcd\u6218\u6597\u7fa4\u5728\u5357\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77\u53d1\u6325\u7ef4\u62a4\u548c\u5e73\u3001\u7a33\u5b9a\u548c\u7e41\u8363\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\u3002<\/p>

\u65e5\u672c\u300a\u5916\u4ea4\u5bb6\u300b(The Diplomat)\u7f51\u7edc\u6742\u5fd76\u67087\u65e5\u520a\u8f7d\u7684\u4e00\u7bc7\u8bc4\u8bba\u6587\u7ae0\u8bf4\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u6d77\u519b\u6700\u9ad8\u519b\u5b98\u5728\u5357\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77\u767b\u4e0a\u822a\u6bcd\u662f\u5411\u5317\u4eac\u53d1\u51fa\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u7f8e\u56fd\u519b\u4e8b\u529b\u91cf\u5c06\u5728\u5357\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77\u957f\u671f\u5b58\u5728\u3002<\/p>

\u4f46\u534e\u76db\u987f\u667a\u5e93\u54c8\u5fb7\u900a\u7814\u7a76\u6240(The Hudson Institute)\u519b\u4e8b\u5206\u6790\u4e2d\u5fc3\u4e3b\u4efb\u7406\u67e5\u5fb7·\u97e6\u8328(Richard Weitz)\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u7f8e\u519b\u7684\u8fd9\u4e9b\u519b\u4e8b\u90e8\u7f72\u5e76\u975e\u662f\u8981\u62ff\u51fa\u4e00\u526f\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u5f00\u6218\u7684\u67b6\u52bf\u3002\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff1a“\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u8ba1\u5212\u662f\u8981\u5728\u5916\u4ea4\u4e0a\u6218\u80dc\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u7ed9\u5f53\u5730\u56fd\u5bb6\u63d0\u4f9b\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u4f7f\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u80fd\u591f\u5e94\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u83f2\u5f8b\u5bbe\u548c\u65e5\u672c\uff0c\u53e6\u5916\u7f8e\u56fd\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5411\u8d8a\u5357\u51fa\u552e\u6b66\u5668\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u8fd8\u8981\u5728\u4e9a\u592a\u79ef\u6781\u6d3b\u52a8\uff0c\u4fdd\u8bc1\u56fd\u9645\u6cd5\u5f97\u5230\u6267\u884c\u3002\u4f46\u7f8e\u56fd\u662f\u4e0d\u4f1a\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5c9b\u7901\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u5f00\u6218\u7684\u3002”<\/p>

\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u653f\u5e9c\u6216\u65e0\u610f\u91c7\u53d6\u5f3a\u786c\u653f\u7b56<\/strong><\/p>

\u6709\u5206\u6790\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5728\u5357\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77\u8bae\u9898\u4e0a\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e94\u89d2\u5927\u697c\u548c\u519b\u65b9\u5185\u90e8\u53d1\u51fa\u7684\u9e70\u6d3e\u58f0\u97f3\u6b63\u53d8\u5f97\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u54cd\u4eae\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u9632\u90e8\u957f\u5361\u72795\u6708\u5e95\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u6d77\u519b\u5b66\u9662\u6bd5\u4e1a\u5178\u793c\u4e0a\u53d1\u8868\u8bb2\u8bdd\u65f6\u9996\u6b21\u8c08\u5230\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u5357\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77\u7684\u884c\u4e3a\u662f\u5728\u7ad6\u8d77\u4e00\u9053“\u81ea\u6211\u5b64\u7acb\u7684\u957f\u57ce”\u3002\u4ed6\u8fd8\u6279\u8bc4\u5317\u4eac\u5634\u4e0a\u8bf4\u53cc\u8d62\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u4f46\u6709\u65f6\u5019\u81ea\u5df1\u6697\u5730\u91cc\u641e\u4e00\u5957\uff0c\u7834\u574f\u56fd\u9645\u51c6\u5219\u3002<\/p>

\u5728\u6b64\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u8230\u961f\u53f8\u4ee4\u90e8\u53f8\u4ee4\u3001\u6d77\u519b\u4e0a\u5c06\u54c8\u91cc·\u54c8\u91cc\u65af(Admiral Harry Harris)\u5df2\u591a\u6b21\u660e\u786e\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u519b\u5e94\u5728\u5357\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77\u8bae\u9898\u4e0a\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u91c7\u53d6\u66f4\u4e3a\u5f3a\u786c\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\u3002\u4ed6\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u7684\u4e00\u573a\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u4f1a\u542c\u8bc1\u4f1a\u4e0a\u8bf4\uff0c“\u4e2d\u56fd\u663e\u7136\u6b63\u5728\uff08\u5357\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77\uff09\u8fdb\u884c\u519b\u4e8b\u5316\uff0c\u5426\u5219\u4f60\u8fd8\u4e0d\u5982\u76f8\u4fe1\u5730\u7403\u662f\u5e73\u7684\u3002”\u4ed6\u8fd8\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6b63\u5728\u4e9a\u592a\u8c0b\u6c42\u9738\u6743\u3002<\/p>

\u4f46\u56fd\u9645\u8bc4\u4f30\u4e0e\u6218\u7565\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7684\u8d39\u820d\u5c14\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u4f5c\u51fa\u51b3\u7b56\u7684\u4ecd\u5c06\u662f\u767d\u5bab\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u300a\u6d77\u519b\u65f6\u62a5\u300b\u7f51\u7ad9\u66fe\u62ab\u9732\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u519b\u65b9\u7684\u5f3a\u786c\u6d3e\u7acb\u573a\u5e76\u672a\u5f97\u5230\u767d\u5bab\u7684\u91c7\u7eb3\uff0c\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5728\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u603b\u7edf\u4efb\u671f\u5373\u5c06\u5c4a\u6ee1\u4e4b\u9645\uff0c\u767d\u5bab\u5e0c\u671b\u51b7\u5904\u7406\u5357\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/p>

\u4e2d\u56fd\u5c31\u662f\u6269\u5efa\u5c9b\u7901 \u7f8e\u56fd\u80fd\u600e\u4e48\u529e\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>

\u54c8\u5fb7\u900a\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u7684\u97e6\u8328\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u65b9\u9762\u6216\u8bb8\u6b63\u662f\u770b\u51c6\u4e86\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u8fd9\u4e00\u7acb\u573a\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u4f1a\u5728\u4e0b\u4efb\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u4e0a\u53f0\u524d\u7684\u8fd9\u6bb5\u671f\u95f4\u52a0\u7d27\u884c\u52a8\u3002“\u81f3\u5c11\u5728\u65b0\u653f\u5e9c\u4e0a\u53f0\u540e\u7684\u4e00\u6bb5\u65f6\u671f\u91cc\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u65b9\u9762\u4f1a\u66f4\u52a0\u8c28\u614e\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\u65b0\u4e00\u4efb\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u4f1a\u91c7\u53d6\u4ec0\u4e48\u6837\u7684\u7acb\u573a\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u5982\u679c\u662f\u5ddd\u666e\uff08\u5171\u548c\u515a\u603b\u7edf\u5019\u9009\u4eba\uff09\u4e0a\u53f0\u7684\u8bdd\uff0c”\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff0c“\u4f46\u95ee\u9898\u662f\u5728\u63a5\u4e0b\u6765\u5230\u65b0\u6267\u653f\u56e2\u961f\u4e0a\u53f0\u524d\u7684\u516d\u4e2a\u6708\u91cc\u4e2d\u56fd\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5c3d\u53ef\u80fd\u591a\u7684\u5360\u9886\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u5c9b\u7901\u3002”<\/p>

\u4e2d\u56fd\u5df2\u591a\u6b21\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u575a\u51b3\u53cd\u5bf9\u5357\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77\u6848\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u4ef2\u88c1\uff0c\u4e0d\u53c2\u4e0e\u3001\u4e0d\u63a5\u53d7\u3001\u4e0d\u6267\u884c\u56fd\u9645\u4ef2\u88c1\u6cd5\u5ead\u5bf9\u6b64\u4f5c\u51fa\u7684\u4ef2\u88c1\u3002\u5728\u4e0d\u4e45\u524d\u7ed3\u675f\u7684\u7b2c\u516b\u8f6e\u7f8e\u4e2d\u6218\u7565\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5bf9\u8bdd\u4e0a\uff0c\u8eab\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u5916\u4ea4\u603b\u7ba1\u7684\u56fd\u52a1\u59d4\u5458\u6768\u6d01\u7bea\u4e5f\u518d\u6b21\u8868\u793a\uff0c“\u5357\u6d77\u8bf8\u5c9b\u81ea\u53e4\u4ee5\u6765\u5c31\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u9886\u571f\uff0c\u4e2d\u65b9\u6709\u6743\u7ef4\u62a4\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u9886\u571f\u4e3b\u6743\u548c\u5408\u6cd5\u6b63\u5f53\u7684\u6d77\u6d0b\u6743\u76ca\u3002”<\/p>

\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u5f88\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u4ef2\u88c1\u7ed3\u679c\u5ba3\u5e03\u540e\u52a0\u7d27\u586b\u6d77\u9020\u5c9b\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u534e\u76db\u987f\u667a\u5e93\u5e03\u9c81\u91d1\u65af\u5b66\u4f1a\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u9879\u76ee\u7814\u7a76\u4e3b\u4efb\u6b27\u6c49\u9f99(Michael O’Hanlon)\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5e94\u8be5\u7ed9\u81ea\u5df1\u7559\u6709\u5145\u5206\u7684\u7a7a\u95f4\u548c\u7075\u6d3b\u6027\u3002“\u5982\u679c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6062\u590d\u5f00\u53d1\u65b0\u7684\u5c9b\u7901\u6216\u6d45\u6ee9\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u8981\u91c7\u53d6\u519b\u4e8b\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u5f53\u7136\u91c7\u53d6\u519b\u4e8b\u884c\u52a8\u5c06\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u9009\u9879\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6709\u5176\u5b83\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u9009\u9879\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u67d0\u79cd\u5f62\u5f0f\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5236\u88c1\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u662f\u5728\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u5efa\u7acb\u65b0\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u57fa\u5730\u3002”\u4ed6\u8bf4\u3002<\/span> <\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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