{"id":60460,"date":"2016-01-09T08:33:00","date_gmt":"2016-01-09T08:33:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/127.0.0.1:10081\/?p=60460 "},"modified":"2016-01-09T08:33:00","modified_gmt":"2016-01-09T08:33:00","slug":"60460-revision-v1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=60460","title":{"rendered":"2016\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\u60f9\u4eba\u5fe7"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u5b98\u65b9\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5de5\u4e1a\u751f\u4ea7\u8005\u51fa\u5382\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570\u8fde\u7eed46\u4e2a\u6708\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff0c\u589e\u52a0\u5404\u754c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u901a\u7f29\u98ce\u9669\u5347\u6e29\u7684\u62c5\u5fc3\u3002<\/p>

\"Symbolbild<\/a><\/div>

\uff08\u5fb7\u56fd\u4e4b\u58f0\u4e2d\u6587\u7f51\uff09\u4e2d\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u7f51\u7ad99\u65e5\u53d1\u5e032015\u5e7412\u6708\u4efd\u5168\u56fd\u5c45\u6c11\u6d88\u8d39\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570\uff08CPI\uff09\u548c\u5de5\u4e1a\u751f\u4ea7\u8005\u51fa\u5382\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570\uff08PPI\uff09\u3002\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u4e0a\u4e2a\u6708\uff0cCPI\u540c\u6bd4\u589e\u957f1.6%\uff0c\u7b26\u5408\u9884\u671f\uff0cPPI\u540c\u6bd4\u4e0b\u964d5.9%\uff0c\u8fde\u7eed\u7b2c46\u4e2a\u6708\u4e0b\u6ed1\u3002\u8def\u900f\u793e\u5c31\u6b64\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u8fd9\u51f8\u73b0\u968f\u7740\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u964d\u6e29\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u5546\u9762\u4e34\u5de8\u5927\u538b\u529b\u3002<\/p>

\u5fb7\u56fd\u5546\u4e1a\u94f6\u884c\uff08Commerzbank\uff09\u9a7b\u65b0\u52a0\u5761\u9ad8\u7b49\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5e08\u5468\u6d69\u5728\u7ed9\u8def\u900f\u793e\u7684\u56de\u4fe1\u4e2d\u5199\u9053\uff1a”\u901a\u80c0\u7ef4\u6301\u6e29\u548c\uff0c\u800cPPI\u6301\u7eed\u901a\u7f29\u5219\u663e\u793a\u4e2d\u56fd\u516c\u53f8\u5c06\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u51cf\u5c11\u8d1f\u503a\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8bb8\u591a\u5de5\u4e1a\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6269\u5f20\u90fd\u53ea\u4f1a\u5e26\u6765\u66f4\u591a\u635f\u5931\u3002”<\/p>

\u65b0\u6d6a\u8ba4\u8bc1\u4e3a\u6c47\u4e30\u5927\u4e2d\u534e\u533a\u9996\u5e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u5c48\u5b8f\u658c9\u65e5\u5728\u5fae\u535a\u4e0a\u53d1\u6587\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u57fa\u6570\u6709\u5229\uff0cPPI\u964d\u5e45\u6beb\u65e0\u6539\u5584\uff0c\u5de5\u4e1a\u90e8\u95e8\u901a\u7f29\u4e25\u5cfb\u300215\u5e74\u5168\u5e74CPI\u548cPPI\u5206\u522b\u5f55\u5f971.4%\u548c-5.2%,\u8fdc\u4f4e\u4e8e14\u5e74\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u9700\u6c42\u4e0d\u8db3\u5bfc\u81f4\u901a\u7f29\u5347\u6e29\u662f16\u5e74\u5185\u9996\u8981\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u653f\u7b56\u5bbd\u677e\u53ca\u4f9b\u7ed9\u4fa7\u6539\u9769\u5e94\u540c\u65f6\u53d1\u529b\uff0c\u529b\u6297\u901a\u7f29\u3002<\/p>

\u4e2d\u56fd\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4ea4\u6d41\u4e2d\u5fc3\u4fe1\u606f\u90e8\u526f\u90e8\u957f\u738b\u519b\u5728\u300a\u8bc1\u5238\u65e5\u62a5\u300b\u7f51\u7ad9\u53d1\u6587\u603b\u7ed3\u79f0\uff1a”\u7efc\u5408\u5b8f\u89c2\u3001\u5fae\u89c2\u53ca\u5f71\u54cd\u4ef7\u683c\u8fd0\u884c\u7684\u5404\u79cd\u56e0\u7d20\u6765\u770b\uff0c2016\u5e74\u7269\u4ef7\u589e\u901f\u4e0b\u884c\u7684\u538b\u529b\u5c06\u5927\u4e8e2015\u5e74\u3002”<\/p>

\u524d\u4e9a\u592a\u57ce\u5e02\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u7814\u7a76\u9662\u9662\u957f\u5728\u65b0\u6d6a\u8ba4\u8bc1\u5fae\u535a\u4e0a\u5c31\u6700\u65b0\u6570\u636e\u8bc4\u8bba\u9053\uff1a”\u4e2d\u56fd\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7ee7\u7eed\u63a2\u5e95\u3001\u589e\u901f\u7ee7\u7eed\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u5448\u73b0\u901a\u7f29\u6001\u52bf\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u89e6\u5e95\u62d0\u70b9\u5e74\u5185\u89c1\u3002”<\/p>

\u591a\u9879\u8c03\u67e5\u7ed3\u679c\u5747\u4e0d\u4e50\u89c2<\/span><\/p>

\u4e0a\u5468\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u548c\u7269\u6d41\u4e0e\u91c7\u8d2d\u8054\u5408\u4f1a(CFLP)\u8054\u5408\u516c\u5e03\uff0c2015\u5e7412\u6708\u5b98\u65b9\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570(PMI)\u5c0f\u5e45\u5347\u81f349.7\u3002\u8be5\u6570\u636e\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u572812\u6708\u4ecd\u5904\u5728\u840e\u7f29\u72b6\u6001\uff0c\u4e3a\u8fde\u7eed\u7b2c\u4e94\u4e2a\u6708\u840e\u7f29\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u8f8311\u6708\u7684\u840e\u7f29\u6b65\u4f10\u7a0d\u6709\u653e\u7f13\u3002<\/p>

\"China<\/a>

\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u6c11\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u8c03\u67e5\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e00\u534a\u7684\u4f01\u4e1a\u5bb6\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e”\u504f\u51b7”<\/p><\/div>

\u4e2d\u56fd\u5a92\u4f53\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u6b64\u6b21\u5c0f\u5e45\u56de\u5347\u4e3b\u8981\u5f52\u56e0\u4e8e\u9700\u6c42\u56de\u5347\u5e26\u52a8\u751f\u4ea7\u589e\u901f\u52a0\u5feb\uff0c\u4f46\u8be5\u6307\u6570\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5386\u53f2\u540c\u671f\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u4ece\u4e1a\u4eba\u5458\u6307\u6570\u7eed\u964d\u81f3\u56db\u5e74\u6765\u6700\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u4e0b\u884c\u538b\u529b\u4f9d\u7136\u8f83\u5927\u3002\u8def\u900f\u793e\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f7f\u6709\u51732016\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8d8b\u7a33\u7684\u5e0c\u671b\u53d8\u5f97\u6e3a\u832b\u3002<\/p>

\u4f4d\u4e8e\u7ebd\u7ea6\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u673a\u6784\u4e2d\u56fd\u8910\u76ae\u4e66\u56fd\u9645\uff08China Beige Book International\uff09\u53d1\u5e03\u62a5\u544a\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u6839\u636e\u5176\u8fdb\u884c\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u8c03\u67e5\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u6210\u672c\u4ef7\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u9500\u552e\u4ef7\u5374\u4e0b\u6ed1\u81f3\u5386\u53f2\u6700\u4f4e\uff0c\u8c03\u67e5\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u516c\u53f8\u597d\u50cf\u906d\u9047\u771f\u6b63\u6709\u5bb3\u7684\u901a\u7f29\uff0c\u8fd9\u8fd8\u662f\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u51fa\u73b0\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u89c2\u70b9\u53d7\u5230\u8bb8\u591a\u5176\u4ed6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u7684\u8d5e\u540c\u3002<\/p>

\u8910\u76ae\u4e66\u56fd\u9645\u7684\u4e3b\u5e2d\u7c73\u52d2\uff08Leland Miller\uff09\u5728\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u5199\u9053\uff0c\u8c03\u67e5\u7ed3\u679c\u663e\u793a”\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f62\u52bf\u5168\u9762\u6076\u5316”\uff0c\u6025\u4e8e\u5bfb\u6c42\u6210\u529f\u4ece\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u5230\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u7684\u8f6c\u578b\u5c1d\u8bd5\u5c06\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u6682\u65f6\u6401\u7f6e\u3002<\/p>

\u8910\u76ae\u4e66\u56fd\u9645\u7cfb\u5217\u62a5\u544a\u4ece2012\u5e74\u5f00\u59cb\u53d1\u5e03\uff0c\u62a5\u544a\u57fa\u4e8e\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u56fd2100\u591a\u5bb6\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u8c03\u67e5\u4ee5\u53ca\u5bf9\u94f6\u884c\u5bb6\u3001\u7ecf\u7406\u548c\u9ad8\u7ba1\u7684\u8bbf\u8c08\u3002<\/p>

\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u6c11\u94f6\u884c\u4e0a\u6708\u4e0b\u65ec\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u5ea6\u4f01\u4e1a\u5bb6\u95ee\u5377\u8c03\u67e5\u7ed3\u679c\u4e5f\u5f97\u51fa\u7c7b\u4f3c\u7ed3\u679c\uff1a\u4f01\u4e1a\u5bb6\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u70ed\u5ea6\u6307\u6570\u8f83\u4e0a\u5b63\u4e0b\u964d1.8\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\uff0c\u8f83\u53bb\u5e74\u540c\u671f\u4e0b\u964d8.4\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e00\u534a\u7684\u4f01\u4e1a\u5bb6\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e”\u504f\u51b7”\u3002<\/p>

\u8def\u900f\u793e\u5199\u9053\uff0c\u901a\u7f29\u8d8b\u4e8e\u987d\u56fa\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u800c\u8a00\u662f\u573a\u6076\u68a6\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u6e34\u671b\u907f\u514d\u9677\u5165\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u5bfc\u81f4\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6d3b\u529b\u4e0b\u964d\u7684\u56f0\u5883\u3002\u901a\u7f29\u5faa\u73af\u4f1a\u9020\u6210\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u8d2d\u4e70\u529b\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u4f01\u4e1a\u6295\u8d44\u52a8\u529b\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u666e\u904d\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4ef7\u683c\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u4e00\u65e6\u9677\u5165\u8fd9\u79cd\u5faa\u574f\uff0c\u5c31\u6781\u96be\u6446\u8131\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u4e00\u76f4\u62c5\u5fe7\u5fc3\u4f1a\u91cd\u8e48\u65e5\u672c\u7684\u8986\u8f99\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u540e\u8005\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u8bd5\u56fe\u6446\u8131\u8fd9\u79cd\u6076\u6027\u5faa\u73af\u3002<\/p>

<\/div><\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u5b98\u65b9\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5de5\u4e1a\u751f\u4ea7\u8005\u51fa\u5382\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570\u8fde\u7eed46\u4e2a\u6708\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff0c\u589e\u52a0\u5404\u754c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u901a\u7f29\u98ce\u9669\u5347\u6e29\u7684\u62c5\u5fc3\u3002 \uff08\u5fb7\u56fd\u4e4b […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":24,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-60460","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-issues","category-first","et-doesnt-have-format-content","et_post_format-et-post-format-standard"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60460","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/24"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=60460"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60460\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=60460"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=60460"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=60460"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}