{"id":61136,"date":"2016-02-03T08:52:00","date_gmt":"2016-02-03T08:52:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/127.0.0.1:10081\/?p=61136 "},"modified":"2016-02-03T08:52:00","modified_gmt":"2016-02-03T08:52:00","slug":"61136-revision-v1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=61136","title":{"rendered":"\u5bf9\u51b2\u57fa\u91d1\u201c\u7a7a\u88ad\u201d \u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u4f55\u53bb\u4f55\u4ece\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; padding: 0px 40px 12px 0px; font-size: 19px; line-height: 25px; font-family: 'MS Song', 'MS Hei'; background-color: #ffffff;\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653e\u7f13\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\uff0c\u5916\u754c\u4e0d\u7981\u731c\u6d4b\u8fd9\u662f\u5426\u4f1a\u4f7f\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u8ba9\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8d2c\u503c\u3002\u5927\u578b\u5bf9\u51b2\u57fa\u91d1\u5df2\u5927\u4e3e\u62bc\u6ce8\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002<\/p><div full\"=\"\" style=\"margin: 7px 0px 10px; padding: 7px 20px 10px 0px; float: none; width: 700px; clear: both; font-family: Simsun; font-size: medium; background-color: #ffffff;\"><a init\"=\"\" href=\"http:\/\/www.dw.com\/zh\/%E5%AF%B9%E5%86%B2%E5%9F%BA%E9%87%91%E7%A9%BA%E8%A2%AD-%E4%BA%BA%E6%B0%91%E5%B8%81%E4%BD%95%E5%8E%BB%E4%BD%95%E4%BB%8E\/a-19021368#\" link=\"\/overlay\/overlay_image\/s-1682\/c-19021368\/15668783\" rel=\"nofollow\" style=\"color: #0087eb; text-decoration: none; cursor: pointer;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"700\" height=\"394\" border=\"0\" src=\"http:\/\/www.dw.com\/image\/0,,15668783_303,00.jpg\" alt=\"China W&#228;hrung 100 Yuan Banknoten in Schanghai\" style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; width: 700px;\" \/><\/a><\/div><div style=\"margin-bottom: 30px; font-family: Simsun; font-size: medium; background-color: #ffffff;\"><div style=\"-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; color: #3e3e3e; font-size: 17px; line-height: 25px; font-family: 'MS Song', 'MS Hei';\"><p style=\"-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; font-size: 17px; line-height: 25px; font-family: 'MS Song', 'MS Hei'; padding: 0px 40px 12px 0px;\">\uff08\u5fb7\u56fd\u4e4b\u58f0\u4e2d\u6587\u7f51\uff09\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e2016\u5e74\u5f00\u5c40\u4e0d\u5229\u3002\u4e3a\u907f\u514d\u5e02\u573a\u7d27\u5f20\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u80a1\u5e02\u4ea4\u6613\u4e24\u5ea6\u88ab\u6682\u505c\u3002\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6c47\u7387\u8dcc\u81f3\u4e94\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u6700\u4f4e\u3002\u5468\u4e00\uff082\u67081\u65e5\uff09\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5b98\u65b9\u516c\u5e03\u76841\u6708\u4efd\u4e2d\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u6307\u6570\uff08PMI\uff09\u964d\u81f3\u4e09\u5e74\u6765\u6700\u4f4e\uff0c\u5f15\u53d1\u5916\u754c\u5bf9\u653e\u7f13\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u786c\u7740\u9646\u7684\u62c5\u5fc3\u3002<\/p><p style=\"-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; font-size: 17px; line-height: 25px; font-family: 'MS Song', 'MS Hei'; padding: 0px 40px 12px 0px;\">\u4e3a\u5e73\u629a\u6625\u8282\u5047\u671f\u524d\u7684\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u5468\u4e8c\u5c06\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u4e2d\u95f4\u4ef7\u8c03\u5347\u81f3\u8fd11\u4e2a\u6708\u6765\u6700\u5f3a\u3002\u4f46\u662f\u95ee\u9898\u4f9d\u7136\u5b58\u5728\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53bb\u5411\u4f55\u65b9\uff1f\u8fd8\u6709\uff0c\u66f4\u4ee4\u57fa\u91d1\u7ecf\u7406\u611f\u5174\u8da3\u7684\u662f\uff1a\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u4f55\u53bb\u4f55\u4ece\uff1f<\/p><p style=\"-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; font-size: 17px; line-height: 25px; font-family: 'MS Song', 'MS Hei'; padding: 0px 40px 12px 0px;\"><span style=\"color: #000000; font-size: 19px; line-height: 25px; font-family: 'MS Song', 'MS Hei';\">\u62bc\u6ce8\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u4e0b\u8dcc<\/span><\/p><p style=\"-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; font-size: 17px; line-height: 25px; font-family: 'MS Song', 'MS Hei'; padding: 0px 40px 12px 0px;\">\u636e\u300a\u534e\u5c14\u8857\u65e5\u62a5\u300b\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u591a\u5bb6\u7f8e\u56fd\u5927\u578b\u5bf9\u51b2\u57fa\u91d1\u7ecf\u7406\u6b63\u5927\u4e3e\u62bc\u6ce8\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u5c06\u4f1a\u786c\u7740\u9646\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u8be5\u62a5\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u6d77\u66fc\u8d44\u672c\u7ba1\u7406\u516c\u53f8\uff08Hayman Capital Management\uff09\u7684\u521b\u59cb\u4eba\u5df4\u65af\uff08Kyle Bass\uff09\u5c06\u5176\u7ea685%\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7\u90fd&#8221;\u6295\u8d44\u4e8e\u4eca\u540e3\u5e74\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u548c\u6e2f\u5e01\u82e5\u8d2c\u503c\u5219\u4f1a\u5e26\u6765\u6536\u76ca\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u3002&#8221; 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text-decoration: none; cursor: pointer;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"340\" height=\"191\" border=\"0\" src=\"http:\/\/www.dw.com\/image\/0,,18624027_404,00.jpg\" alt=\"George Soros Stiftung \" title=\"\u7d22\u7f57\u65af\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u786c\u7740\u9646\u4e0d\u53ef\u907f\u514d\" style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; width: 340px;\" \/><\/a><p style=\"-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; color: #888888; padding: 4px 0px; font-size: 15px; line-height: 20px; font-family: 'MS Song', 'MS Hei';\">\u7d22\u7f57\u65af\uff1a&#8221;\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u786c\u7740\u9646\u4e0d\u53ef\u907f\u514d&#8221;<\/p><\/div><p style=\"-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; font-size: 17px; line-height: 25px; font-family: 'MS Song', 'MS Hei'; padding: 0px 40px 12px 0px;\">\u5f53\u7136\uff0c\u7d22\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u57fa\u91d1\u7ecf\u7406\u5e0c\u671b\u4e89\u53d6\u5230\u505a\u7a7a\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u7684\u652f\u6301\u3002\u8d8a\u591a\u7684\u4eba\u62bc\u6ce8\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u8d2c\u503c\uff0c\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u53d7\u5230\u7684\u538b\u529b\u5c31\u8d8a\u5927\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5916\u6c47\u50a8\u5907\u4ec5\u53bb\u5e74\u534a\u5e74\u5c31\u51cf\u5c11\u4e865000\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u521b\u4e0b\u5386\u53f2\u8bb0\u5f55\u3002<\/p><p style=\"-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; font-size: 17px; line-height: 25px; font-family: 'MS Song', 'MS Hei'; padding: 0px 40px 12px 0px;\"><span style=\"color: #000000; font-size: 19px; line-height: 25px; font-family: 'MS Song', 'MS Hei';\">\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u5bf9\u624b<\/span><\/p><p style=\"-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; font-size: 17px; line-height: 25px; font-family: 'MS Song', 'MS Hei'; padding: 0px 40px 12px 0px;\">\u4f46\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u6c11\u94f6\u884c\u4f9d\u65e7\u62e5\u6709\u5927\u7ea63.3\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5916\u6c47\u50a8\u5907\u3002\u629b\u552e\u5176\u4e2d\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u5c31\u4f1a\u8d2c\u503c\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u50a8\u5907\u8db3\u4ee5\u4f7f\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u4e0d\u5c51\u7d22\u7f57\u65af\u7b49\u6295\u673a\u8005\u7684\u9884\u8a00\u3002\u300a\u5411\u4e2d\u56fd\u8d27\u5e01\u5ba3\u6218\uff1f&#8221;\u5475\u5475&#8221;\u300b\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u515a\u5a92\u300a\u4eba\u6c11\u65e5\u62a5\u300b\u53d1\u8868\u7684\u4e00\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u7684\u6807\u9898\u3002<\/p><p style=\"-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; font-size: 17px; line-height: 25px; font-family: 'MS Song', 'MS Hei'; padding: 0px 40px 12px 0px;\">\u9ad8\u76db\u96c6\u56e2\u603b\u88c1\u79d1\u6069\uff08Gary Cohn\uff09\u5728\u8fbe\u6c83\u65af\u8bba\u575b\u4e0a\u8bf4\uff1a&#8221;\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u4f9d\u65e7\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u5c06\u4f1a\u8ba9\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8d2c\u503c\u3002\u4f46\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u4e2d\u7684\u5927\u591a\u6570\u4eba\u76f8\u4fe1\u8fd9\u4e00\u8fc7\u7a0b\u5c06\u662f\u7f13\u6162\u4e14\u6709\u6761\u4e0d\u7d0a\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u6301\u7eed\u65f6\u95f4\u4f1a\u5f88\u957f\u3002\u5b83\u4e0d\u4f1a\u50cf\u745e\u58eb\u56fd\u5bb6\u94f6\u884c\u90a3\u6837\u7a81\u7136\u5ba3\u5e03\u53d6\u6d88\u6c47\u7387\u4e0a\u9650\u3002&#8221;<\/p><p style=\"-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; font-size: 17px; line-height: 25px; font-family: 'MS Song', 'MS Hei'; padding: 0px 40px 12px 0px;\">2015\u5e741\u6708\uff0c\u745e\u58eb\u56fd\u5bb6\u94f6\u884c\u610f\u5916\u5ba3\u5e03\u53d6\u6d88\u745e\u58eb\u6cd5\u90ce\u5bf9\u6b27\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u7684\u4e0a\u9650\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u65e8\u5728\u7a33\u5b9a\u6c47\u7387\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u5e72\u9884\u63aa\u65bd\u8ba9\u745e\u58eb\u592e\u884c\u4ed8\u51fa\u6602\u8d35\u7684\u4ee3\u4ef7\uff0c\u745e\u58eb\u6cd5\u90ce\u6700\u7ec8\u66b4\u6da830%\u3002<\/p><p style=\"-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; font-size: 17px; line-height: 25px; font-family: 'MS Song', 'MS Hei'; padding: 0px 40px 12px 0px;\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u5219\u53ef\u80fd\u6070\u6070\u76f8\u53cd\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53bb\u5e74\u589e\u957f6.9%\uff0c\u521b25\u5e74\u6765\u6700\u4f4e\u3002\u5982\u679c\u6ca1\u6709\u592e\u884c\u7684\u5e72\u9884\uff0c\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6c47\u7387\u53ef\u80fd\u8fd8\u4f1a\u66f4\u4f4e\u3002\u8bb8\u591a\u4eba\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u8d70\u8f6f\u7684\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u6700\u6709\u5229\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u51fa\u53e3\u6210\u672c\u7531\u6b64\u5f97\u4ee5\u964d\u4f4e\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u63d0\u632f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3002<\/p><p style=\"-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; font-size: 17px; line-height: 25px; font-family: 'MS Song', 'MS Hei'; padding: 0px 40px 12px 0px;\"><span style=\"color: #000000; font-size: 19px; line-height: 25px; font-family: 'MS Song', 'MS Hei';\">\u6216\u5f15\u53d1\u8d27\u5e01\u6218\u4e89\uff1f<\/span><\/p><div style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 7px 20px 10px; float: right; width: 340px;\"><a init\"=\"\" href=\"http:\/\/www.dw.com\/zh\/%E5%AF%B9%E5%86%B2%E5%9F%BA%E9%87%91%E7%A9%BA%E8%A2%AD-%E4%BA%BA%E6%B0%91%E5%B8%81%E4%BD%95%E5%8E%BB%E4%BD%95%E4%BB%8E\/a-19021368#\" link=\"\/overlay\/overlay_image\/s-1682\/c-19021368\/18925318\" rel=\"nofollow\" style=\"color: #0087eb; text-decoration: none; cursor: pointer;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"340\" height=\"191\" border=\"0\" src=\"http:\/\/www.dw.com\/image\/0,,18925318_404,00.jpg\" alt=\"IWF Direktorin Christine Lagarde \" title=\"\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7\uff1a&#8220;\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u6c47\u7387\u5151\u4e00\u7bee\u5b50\u8d27\u5e01\u57fa\u672c\u4fdd\u6301\u4e86\u7a33\u5b9a&#8221;\" style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; width: 340px;\" \/><\/a><p style=\"-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; color: #888888; padding: 4px 0px; font-size: 15px; line-height: 20px; font-family: 'MS Song', 'MS Hei';\">\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7\uff1a&#8220;\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u6c47\u7387\u5151\u4e00\u7bee\u5b50\u8d27\u5e01\u57fa\u672c\u4fdd\u6301\u4e86\u7a33\u5b9a&#8221;<\/p><\/div><p style=\"-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; font-size: 17px; line-height: 25px; font-family: 'MS Song', 'MS Hei'; padding: 0px 40px 12px 0px;\">\u4e2d\u8d22\u529e\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5c40\u5c40\u957f\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u8bc1\u76d1\u4f1a\u526f\u4e3b\u5e2d\u65b9\u661f\u6d77\u5728\u8fbe\u6c83\u65af\u4f1a\u4e0a\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u4e0d\u4ec5\u53ea\u4e13\u6ce8\u4e8e\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6c47\u7387\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u66fe\u7ecf\u91c7\u53d6\u6211\u4eec\u6240\u79f0\u7684&#8217;\u722c\u884c\u76ef\u4f4f\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6c47\u7387&#8217;\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u76f8\u5bf9\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u6c47\u7387\uff0c\u53ea\u662f\u5076\u5c14\u4f1a\u6709\u8c03\u6574\u3002<\/p><p style=\"-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; font-size: 17px; line-height: 25px; font-family: 'MS Song', 'MS Hei'; padding: 0px 40px 12px 0px;\">&#8220;\u73b0\u5728\u7684\u65e2\u5b9a\u76ee\u6807\u662f\u76ef\u4f4f\u4e00\u7bee\u5b50\u8d27\u5e01\uff0c&#8221; \u65b9\u661f\u6d77\u8865\u5145\u8bf4\uff1a&#8221;\u8fd9\u4e0d\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u5634\u4e0a\u8bf4\u8bf4\u7684\u8bdd\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u662f\u8ba4\u771f\u7684\uff0c\u4e5f\u4f1a\u843d\u5b9e\u3002&#8221; 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