{"id":63641,"date":"2016-05-04T05:20:00","date_gmt":"2016-05-04T05:20:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/127.0.0.1:10081\/?p=63641 "},"modified":"2016-05-04T05:20:00","modified_gmt":"2016-05-04T05:20:00","slug":"63641-revision-v1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=63641","title":{"rendered":"\u515a\u62a5\u520a\u6587\u9a73\u65a5\u201c\u4e2d\u5171\u8870\u843d\u201d\u8bf4"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\u4e2d\u5171\u4e2d\u592e\u515a\u6821\"<\/a><\/div>\u4e2d\u5171\u4e2d\u592e\u515a\u6821<\/span><\/div>

\u4e2d\u5171\u4e2d\u592e\u515a\u6821\u4e3b\u529e\u7684\u300a\u5b66\u4e60\u65f6\u62a5\u300b5\u67082\u65e5\u5728\u5176“\u601d\u60f3\u7406\u8bba”\u7248\u9762\u4e0a\u520a\u767b\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u56de\u5e94\u897f\u65b9\u5b66\u672f\u5708\u4e2d\u7684\u53c8\u4e00\u8f6e\u4e2d\u5171“\u5d29\u6e83\u8bba”\u3002\u6587\u7ae0\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e2d\u5171\u6709\u5f3a\u5927\u7684“\u81ea\u6211\u9769\u65b0\u80fd\u529b”\uff0c\u80fd\u591f\u5e94\u5bf9\u5f53\u4ee3\u793e\u4f1a\u4e2d\u7684\u5404\u79cd\u73b0\u5b9e\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u4e2d\u5171\u603b\u4e66\u8bb0\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u53d1\u8d77\u7684\u5df2\u6301\u7eed\u4e09\u5e74\u591a\u7684\u53cd\u8150\u8fd0\u52a8\u5f70\u663e\u4e86\u8fd9\u79cd\u81ea\u6211\u9769\u65b0\u80fd\u529b\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u6709\u7f8e\u56fd\u77e5\u540d\u5b66\u8005\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u4e2d\u5171\u7684\u53cd\u8150\u5177\u6709\u9ad8\u5ea6\u9009\u62e9\u6027\u548c\u653f\u6cbb\u52a8\u673a\uff0c\u867d\u904f\u5236\u4e86\u8150\u8d25\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u4e25\u91cd\u6253\u51fb\u4e86\u5b98\u50da\u4f53\u7cfb\uff0c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5206\u5316\u4e86\u7cbe\u82f1\u9636\u5c42\uff0c\u5982\u4e0d\u8fdb\u884c\u7ed3\u6784\u6027\u6539\u9769\u53cd\u800c\u4f1a\u52a0\u5267\u4e2d\u5171\u7684\u8870\u843d\u3002<\/span><\/p>

\u300a\u5b66\u4e60\u65f6\u62a5\u300b\u520a\u767b\u7684\u8fd9\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u6807\u9898\u662f\u300a“\u6253\u94c1\u8fd8\u9700\u81ea\u8eab\u786c”\uff1a\u4e2d\u5171\u7684\u81ea\u6211\u9769\u65b0\u300b\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u5df2\u88ab\u4e2d\u56fd\u5404\u5927\u5b98\u5a92\u548c\u4e3b\u6d41\u95e8\u6237\u7f51\u7ad9\u8f6c\u8f7d\u3002<\/span><\/p>

\u6587\u7ae0\u8bf4:“\u6bcf\u9694\u51e0\u5e74\u5c31\u4f1a\u91cd\u5f39\u4e00\u904d\u7684‘\u4e2d\u56fd\u5d29\u6e83\u8bba’\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u771f\u7684\u5531\u8870\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u4e2d\u5171\u4e5f\u6ca1\u6709\u50cf\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u9884\u671f\u90a3\u6837\uff0c\u5728\u793e\u4f1a\u77db\u76fe\u7684\u538b\u529b\u4e0b\u57ae\u53f0\u3002”\u4e2d\u5171\u80fd\u591f\u5c61\u5c61\u6253\u7834\u5916\u754c\u9884\u8a00\u800c\u6ca1\u6709\u6b65\u82cf\u5171\u7684\u540e\u5c18\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u5f97\u76ca\u4e8e\u5176“\u81ea\u8eab\u786c”\u7684\u81ea\u6211\u9769\u65b0\u80fd\u529b\u3002<\/span><\/p>

\u6587\u7ae0\u628a\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u4e0a\u53f0\u4ee5\u6765\u5f00\u5c55\u7684\u58f0\u52bf\u6d69\u5927\u7684\u53cd\u8150\u8fd0\u52a8\u89e3\u8bfb\u4e3a\u4e2d\u5171\u7684\u81ea\u6211\u9769\u65b0\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4e2d\u5171\u8001\u864e\u82cd\u8747\u4e00\u8d77\u6253\u51f8\u663e\u4e86\u4e2d\u5171\u89e3\u51b3\u81ea\u8eab\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u51b3\u5fc3\u548c\u529b\u5ea6\u3002\u6587\u7ae0\u8bf4\uff0c“\u5341\u516b\u5927\u4ee5\u6765\u6108\u522e\u6108\u70c8\u7684\u53cd\u8150\u98ce\u66b4\u51fa\u4e4e\u6574\u4e2a\u56fd\u9645\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u6240\u6709\u4eba\u90fd\u6ca1\u6709\u60f3\u5230\u4e2d\u5171\u6b64\u6b21\u53cd\u8150\u7684\u51b3\u5fc3\u548c\u529b\u5ea6\u5982\u6b64\u4e4b\u5927\uff0c\u8fd9\u573a\u6539\u53d8\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684‘\u5ec9\u653f\u98ce\u66b4’\u9707\u64bc\u4e86\u5168\u4e16\u754c\uff0c\u6240\u67e5\u5904\u5b98\u5458\u4eba\u6570\u4e4b\u591a\u3001\u7ea7\u522b\u4e4b\u9ad8\u3001\u6d89\u53ca\u9886\u57df\u4e4b\u5e7f\uff0c\u95ee\u8d23\u529b\u5ea6\u4e4b\u5927\u90fd\u662f\u7a7a\u524d\u7684\u3002”<\/span><\/p>

\u5bf9\u4e8e\u8fd9\u79cd\u8bf4\u6cd5\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u77e5\u540d\u4e2d\u56fd\u95ee\u9898\u4e13\u5bb6\u3001\u4e54\u6cbb\u534e\u76db\u987f\u5927\u5b66\u56fd\u9645\u5173\u7cfb\u6559\u6388\u6c88\u5927\u4f1f(David Shambaugh)\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u5f53\u7136\u610f\u8bc6\u5230\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u8150\u8d25\u5df2\u7ecf\u5a01\u80c1\u5230\u4e2d\u5171\u7684\u6267\u653f\u5730\u4f4d\uff0c\u672c\u8f6e\u53cd\u8150\u529b\u5ea6\u4e4b\u5927\u6b63\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u8150\u8d25\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e4b\u6df1\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 “\u56de\u987e\u5386\u53f2\uff0c\u6c5f\u6cfd\u6c11\u3001\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\u4e0a\u53f0\u65f6\u90fd\u641e\u8fc7\u53cd\u8150\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u53cd\u8150\u8fd0\u52a8\u5404\u6301\u7eed\u4e8612\u4e2a\u6708\u3002\u73b0\u5728\u7684\u8fd9\u6b21\u53cd\u8150\u5f88\u663e\u7136\u6301\u7eed\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u8981\u957f\uff0c\u529b\u5ea6\u4e5f\u662f\u524d\u6240\u672a\u6709\u3002\u8fd9\u6216\u8bb8\u4f53\u73b0\u4e86\u4e2d\u5171\u4f53\u5236\u5185\u8150\u8d25\u8fbe\u5230\u4e86\u524d\u6240\u672a\u6709\u7684\u7a0b\u5ea6\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u5305\u62ec\u519b\u961f\uff0c4000\u519b\u961f\u5e72\u90e8\u548c82\u540d\u89e3\u653e\u519b\u5c06\u7ea7\u519b\u5b98\u88ab\u62ff\u4e0b\uff0c”\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff0c“\u8150\u8d25\u5df2\u7ecf\u6e17\u900f\u5230\u5404\u4e2a\u9886\u57df\u3001\u4f01\u4e1a\u3001\u515a\u653f\u673a\u6784\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\u8bf4\u53cd\u8150\u662f\u5fc5\u8981\u7684\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4ed6\u5bf9\u4e2d\u5171\u8d70\u5411\u8870\u843d\u7684\u5e94\u5bf9\u4e4b\u4e3e\u3002”<\/span><\/p>

\u300a\u5b66\u4e60\u65f6\u62a5\u300b\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\u76db\u8d5e\u4e2d\u5171\u7684\u53cd\u8150\uff0c\u79f0\u5176\u4f53\u73b0\u4e86\u515a\u5bf9\u8150\u8d25\u7684“\u96f6\u5bb9\u5fcd”\u3002\u6587\u7ae0\u79f0\uff0c2014\u5e74\u4e2d\u5171\u53cd\u8150\u529b\u5ea6\u8fbe\u5230\u53f2\u65e0\u524d\u4f8b\u7684\u9ad8\u5cf0\uff0c\u88ab\u79f0\u4e3a“\u53cd\u8150\u5143\u5e74”\u3002\u6587\u7ae0\u5f15\u8ff0\u4e2d\u56fd\u793e\u79d1\u9662\u6cd5\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u62402015\u5e743\u670818\u65e5\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u300a\u6cd5\u6cbb\u84dd\u76ae\u4e66\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u6cd5\u6cbb\u53d1\u5c55\u62a5\u544a\u300b\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u79f02014\u5e74\u5e73\u5747\u6bcf\u5929\u6709500\u591a\u4eba\u88ab\u67e5\u5904\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5e73\u5747\u4e00\u5929\u67e5\u59042\u52303\u540d\u5385\u5c40\u7ea7\u5b98\u5458\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u5e74\u8fd8\u670980\u591a\u540d\u7701\u90e8\u7ea7\u4ee5\u4e0a\u5b98\u5458\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca30\u591a\u540d\u519b\u961f\u5b98\u5458\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u68c0\u5bdf\u673a\u51732014\u5e74\u524d\u4e09\u4e2a\u5b63\u5ea6\u8d77\u8bc9\u7684\u8d2a\u8150\u53d7\u8d3f\u684827235\u4ef6\uff0c\u6d89\u53ca\u4eba\u657035633\u4eba\uff0c\u5206\u522b\u6bd4\u4e0a\u5e74\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e869.9%\u548c5.6%\u3002<\/span><\/p>

\u4f46\u6c88\u5927\u4f1f\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u3001\u9ad8\u5f3a\u5ea6\u7684\u53cd\u8150\u8fd0\u52a8\u867d\u7136\u904f\u5236\u4e86\u8150\u8d25\u7684\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u5374\u4e5f\u5e26\u6765\u4e86\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u526f\u4f5c\u7528\u3002\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff1a“\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u53cd\u8150\u5e26\u6765\u8d1f\u9762\u6548\u679c\u662f\u4e2d\u5171\u7684\u5b98\u50da\u4f53\u7cfb\u88ab\u51bb\u7ed3\uff0c\u5b98\u5458\u4ee5\u61d2\u653f\u6020\u653f\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u53bb\u62b5\u5236\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u5341\u516b\u5c4a\u4e09\u4e2d\u5168\u4f1a\u4e0a\u5236\u5b9a\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6539\u9769\u65b9\u6848\u5f97\u4e0d\u5230\u6267\u884c\u3002\u800c\u4e14\u4e2d\u56fd\u793e\u4f1a\u4eba\u4eba\u81ea\u5371\uff0c\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662f\u5e72\u90e8\u3001\u515a\u5458\uff0c\u8fde\u4e00\u822c\u4eba\u4e5f\u611f\u5230\u751f\u6d3b\u5728\u4e00\u79cd\u6050\u60e7\u7684\u6c14\u6c1b\u4e2d\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u751a\u81f3\u628a\u76ee\u524d\u548c\u6587\u9769\u76f8\u63d0\u5e76\u8bba\u3002”<\/span><\/p>

\u6c88\u5927\u4f1f\u8fd8\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e2d\u5171\u7684\u53cd\u8150\u5177\u6709\u9ad8\u5ea6\u7684\u9009\u62e9\u6027\u548c\u653f\u6cbb\u76ee\u7684\uff0c\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u501f\u6b64\u6811\u7acb\u4e86\u81ea\u5df1\u5728\u515a\u5185\u548c\u6c11\u95f4\u7684\u6743\u5a01\u3001\u6e05\u9664\u4e86\u5f02\u5df1\uff0c\u5927\u641e\u96c6\u6743\u548c\u4e2a\u4eba\u5d07\u62dc\u3002\u8fd9\u4f7f\u5f97\u4e2d\u5171\u7684\u7cbe\u82f1\u9636\u5c42\u5185\u90e8\u51fa\u73b0\u88c2\u75d5\u3002“\u6211\u65e0\u6cd5\u60f3\u8c61\u4e2d\u5171\u4f53\u5236\u5185\u7684\u7cbe\u82f1\u5bf9\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u5c06\u6743\u529b\u4e2a\u4eba\u5316\u3001\u96c6\u6743\u5316\u548c\u96c6\u4e2d\u5316\u4f1a\u9ad8\u5174\u7684\u8d77\u6765\u3002\u8fd9\u4e0e30\u591a\u5e74\u6765\u4e2d\u5171\u4e00\u76f4\u52aa\u529b\u5c06\u6743\u529b\u5206\u6563\u5316\u3001\u6240\u63d0\u5021\u7684\u96c6\u4f53\u9886\u5bfc\u80cc\u9053\u800c\u9a70\u3002”<\/span><\/p>

\u503c\u5f97\u6ce8\u610f\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u300a\u5b66\u4e60\u65f6\u62a5\u300b\u520a\u8f7d\u7684\u8fd9\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u662f\u8282\u9009\u81ea\u5317\u4eac\u65f6\u4ee3\u534e\u8bed\u56fe\u4e66\u80a1\u4efd\u6709\u9650\u516c\u53f8\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u6210\u7acb\u7684\u5b50\u516c\u53f8\u7f8e\u56fd\u65f6\u4ee3\u51fa\u7248\u516c\u53f8\u51fa\u7248\u7684\u300a\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u65f6\u4ee3\u300b(The Xi Jinping Era)\u4e00\u4e66\u3002\u8be5\u4e662015\u5e74\u4e3a\u914d\u5408\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u8bbf\u7f8e\u4e8e\u5f53\u5e748\u6708\u5728\u7ebd\u7ea6\u51fa\u7248\u3002<\/span><\/p>

\u636e\u5317\u4eac\u65f6\u4ee3\u534e\u8bed\u56fe\u4e66\u80a1\u4efd\u6709\u9650\u516c\u53f8\u8463\u4e8b\u957f\u6731\u957f\u5e73\u4ecb\u7ecd\uff0c\u51fa\u7248\u8fd9\u672c\u4e66\u7684\u76ee\u7684\u662f“\u4f20\u64ad\u597d\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u58f0\u97f3\u3001\u8bb2\u597d\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u6545\u4e8b”\u3002\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff1a“\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e00\u4e9b\u4e3b\u6d41\u5a92\u4f53\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u53d1\u5c55\u7e41\u8363\u89c6\u800c\u4e0d\u89c1\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u653f\u7ecf\u793e\u4f1a\u53d1\u5c55\u8bf4\u4e09\u9053\u56db\uff0c‘\u4e2d\u56fd\u5a01\u80c1’\u3001‘\u4e2d\u56fd\u5d29\u6e83’\u7b49\u6742\u97f3\u4e25\u91cd\u5e72\u6270\u548c\u5f71\u54cd\u7f8e\u56fd\u793e\u4f1a\u5bf9\u6211\u7684\u6b63\u786e\u8ba4\u8bc6\u3002”<\/span> <\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u4e2d\u5171\u4e2d\u592e\u515a\u6821 \u4e2d\u5171\u4e2d\u592e\u515a\u6821\u4e3b\u529e\u7684\u300a\u5b66\u4e60\u65f6\u62a5\u300b5\u67082\u65e5\u5728\u5176“\u601d\u60f3\u7406\u8bba”\u7248\u9762\u4e0a\u520a\u767b\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u56de […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":24,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-63641","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-issues","category-first","et-doesnt-have-format-content","et_post_format-et-post-format-standard"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63641","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/24"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=63641"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63641\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=63641"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=63641"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=63641"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}