{"id":70450,"date":"2017-01-29T16:44:00","date_gmt":"2017-01-29T16:44:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/127.0.0.1:10081\/?p=70450 "},"modified":"2017-01-29T16:44:00","modified_gmt":"2017-01-29T16:44:00","slug":"70450-revision-v1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=70450","title":{"rendered":"\u9648\u6c38\u82d7\uff1a\u547c\u5401\u666e\u4eac\u4f1a\u9762\u8521\u82f1\u6587 \u652f\u6301\u6c11\u56fd"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u9648\u6c38\u82d7<\/span> \u77e5\u540d\u5baa\u653f\u5b66\u8005<\/span><\/p>

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Petter Mattis<\/span>\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u300a\u56fd\u5bb6\u5229\u76ca\u300b\u53d1\u8868\u9898\u4e3a\u300a\u4e16\u754c\u672b\u65e5\uff1a\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5d29\u6e83\u505a\u597d\u51c6\u5907\u300b\uff08<\/span>Doomsday: Preparing for China<\/span>’<\/span>s Collapse<\/span>\uff09\u7684\u5206\u6790\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u6587\u7ae0\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u9762\u5bf9\u4e16\u754c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5927\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u3001\u62e5\u6838\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u5d29\u6e83\uff0c\u534e\u76db\u987f\u5e94\u5f53\u4e0e\u88ab\u8fb9\u7f18\u5316\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u90e8\u5206\u516c\u6c11\u5efa\u7acb\u8054\u7cfb\uff0c\u5e76\u9ad8\u8c03\u8ba8\u8bba\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u6743\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u4ee5\u5411\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u663e\u793a\u7f8e\u56fd\u5728\u9053\u5fb7\u5c42\u9762\u5173\u6ce8\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u3002\u6587\u7ae0\u8fd8\u8bf4\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u4e2d\u5171\u5728\u8fd1\u5e74\u5185\u6ca1\u6709\u53d1\u751f\u5d29\u6e83\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u63aa\u65bd\u4e5f\u80fd\u591f\u5e2e\u52a9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u4eec\u300c\u7ad9\u5728\u5386\u53f2\u7684\u6b63\u786e\u7684\u4e00\u8fb9\u300d\u3002<\/span><\/p>

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\u8054\u5408\u56fd<\/span>2758<\/span>\u662f\u5171\u515a\u653f\u6743\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u821e\u53f0\u5408\u6cd5\u6027\u4e4b\u6c61\u67d3\u6e90\u5934\u3002\u6062\u590d\u53cc\u91cd\u4ee3\u8868\u6743\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u6e05\u6c34\u8fdb\u53bb\u9a71\u8d76\u6c61\u6c34\u3002\u4e2d\u5171\u5728\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u7531\u4e8e\u848b\u4ecb\u77f3\u7684\u4e00\u65f6\u610f\u6c14\uff0c\u5f97\u4e86\u552f\u4e00\u4ee3\u8868\u6743\uff0c\u848b\u4ecb\u77f3\u7684\u610f\u6c14\u4e5f\u51fa\u4e8e\u4e2d\u5171\u7684\u610f\u5916\uff0c\u4e2d\u5171\u559c\u51fa\u671b\u5916\u3002<\/span>1979<\/span>\u5e74\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u627f\u8ba4\u4e2d\u5171\u7684\u552f\u4e00\u5408\u6cd5\u4ee3\u8868\u3002\u4e8e\u662f\u671d\u4e0d\u65ad\u6d88\u706d\u6c11\u56fd\u65b9\u5411\u8fdb\u653b\u3002\u4e24\u5cb8\u5916\u4ea4\u4e89\u593a\u6218\u5c31\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u8bc1\u636e\u3002\u9093\u5c0f\u5e73\u63d0\u51fa\uff0c\u53d6\u6d88\u6c11\u56fd\u56fd\u53f7\u548c\u65d7\u5e1c\u3002\u5982\u6b64\u8fdb\u653b\u6001\u52bf\uff0c\u8fc7\u4e8e\u50f5\u5316\u86ee\u6a2a\uff0c\u7a77\u5bc7\u8ffd\u51fb\uff0c\u5c31\u5815\u5165\u4e00\u4e2a\u56f0\u5c40\uff0c\u4e00\u65e6\u53cc\u91cd\u4ee3\u8868\u6743\u6062\u590d\uff0c\u5c31\u8db3\u4ee5\u4ea7\u751f\u5de8\u5927\u6740\u4f24\u529b\u3002\u800c\u4e14\u968f\u7740\u4e2d\u5171\u7684\u5954\u6e83\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u53f0\u6e7e\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u4ee3\u8868\u6743\u4f1a\u9010\u6e10\u4ee3\u8868\u5927\u9646\uff0c\u5c31\u50cf\u8fc7\u53bb\u5927\u9646\u7684\u9010\u6e10\u4ee3\u8868\u53f0\u6e7e\u7684\u4e00\u6837\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u4f1a\u5386\u6b21\u65b0\u4e00\u5c4a\u90fd\u4f1a\u7531\u5171\u548c\u515a\u4eba\u63d0\u51fa\u6062\u590d\u7f8e\u56fd\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u63d0\u6848\u3002\u4f8b\u5982<\/span>2009<\/span>\u5e74<\/span>1<\/span>\u6708\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u7b2c<\/span>111<\/span>\u5c4a\u56fd\u4f1a\u4e0a\u4efb\u65b0\u4f1a\u671f\u9996\u5468\uff0c\u957f\u671f\u652f\u6301\u53f0\u6e7e\u7684\u6797\u5fb7\u4f17\u8bae\u5458\u968f\u5373\u4e8e\u63d0\u51fa\u4e00\u51b3\u8bae\u6848\u3002\u6797\u5fb7\u8bae\u5458\u7684\u8fd9\u9879\u51b3\u8bae\u6848\u5efa\u8bae\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\uff1a<\/span>(A)<\/span>\u626c\u5f03\u4e00\u4e2d\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u6539\u91c7\u7b26\u5408\u73b0\u72b6\u7684\u300c\u4e00\u4e2d\u4e00\u53f0\u300d\u653f\u7b56\u4ee5\u627f\u8ba4\u6c11\u56fd\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e3b\u6743\u72ec\u7acb\u56fd\u5bb6\uff1b<\/span>(B)<\/span>\u5f00\u59cb\u6709\u5173\u4e0e\u53f0\u6e7e\u590d\u4ea4\u7b49\u4e8b\u5b9c\u7684\u76f8\u5173\u7a0b\u5e8f\uff1b<\/span>(C)<\/span>\u79ef\u6781\u652f\u6301\u53f0\u6e7e\u5b8c\u6574\u53c2\u4e0e\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e3a\u4f1a\u5458\u56fd\u7b49\u56fd\u9645\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff0c\u5373\u4fbf\u56fd\u5bb6\u8eab\u4efd\u4e3a\u5165\u4f1a\u8d44\u683c\u3002\u9000\u4efb\u7684\u5510\u514b\u591a\u8bae\u5458\u8fc7\u53bb\u5728\u7b2c<\/span>109<\/span>\u4e0e<\/span>110<\/span>\u5c4a\u4f1a\u671f\uff08<\/span>2005<\/span>\u5e74\u4e0e<\/span>2007<\/span>\u5e74\uff09\u4e2d\u4fbf\u66fe\u4e24\u5ea6\u63d0\u51fa\u8fd9\u9879\u51b3\u8bae\u6848\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

2015<\/span>\u5e74<\/span>10<\/span>\u6708<\/span>13<\/span>\u65e5<\/span>\uff0c\u6b63\u5f53\u7f8e\u4e2d\u4e24\u56fd\u5728\u5317\u4eac\u4e3e\u884c\u6218\u7565\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5bf9\u8bdd\u4e4b\u9645\uff0c\u5fb7\u5dde\u5171\u548c\u515a\u8054\u90a6\u4f17\u8bae\u5458\u8fc8\u57fa\u5c14\u9ed8\u8003\u5c14\u7b49\u4e24\u4f4d\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f17\u8bae\u5458\u5c06\u5728\u56fd\u4f1a\u4e2d\u63d0\u6848\uff0c\u8981\u6c42\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u653f\u5e9c\u627f\u8ba4\u53f0\u6e7e\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e3b\u6743\u72ec\u7acb\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u4ee5\u79ef\u6781\u652f\u6301\u53f0\u6e7e\u4f5c\u4e3a\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u6b63\u5f0f\u4f1a\u5458\uff0c\u5c55\u5f00\u4e0e\u53f0\u6e7e\u6062\u590d\u6b63\u5f0f\u5916\u4ea4\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u8fc7\u7a0b\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u8fd8\u6709\u5176\u5b83\u56fd\u5bb6\u8bae\u4f1a\u4e5f\u6709\u652f\u6301\u7684\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c<\/span>2015<\/span>\u6708<\/span>10<\/span>\u6708<\/span>13<\/span>\u65e5<\/span>\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u540c\u4e00\u5929\uff0c\u6709<\/span>7<\/span>\u4f4d\u745e\u5178\u91cd\u91cf\u7ea7\u8bae\u5458\u5728<\/span>9<\/span>\u6708\u4e2d\u65ec\u5f00\u8bae\u7684\u56fd\u4f1a\u4e2d\u63d0\u6848\uff0c\u8bf7\u6c42\u745e\u5178\u653f\u5e9c\u652f\u6301\u6b27\u76df\u4e0e\u4e2d\u534e\u6c11\u56fd\u6d3d\u7b7e\u53cc\u8fb9\u6295\u8d44\u534f\u8bae\uff08<\/span>BIA<\/span>\uff09\uff0c\u5e76\u652f\u6301\u4e2d\u534e\u6c11\u56fd\u6709\u610f\u4e49\u53c2\u4e0e\u76f8\u5173\u56fd\u9645\u7ec4\u7ec7\u3002\u65e9\u5728<\/span>4<\/span>\u6708\uff0c\u5c31\u6709\u53e6\u4e00\u4f4d\u745e\u5178\u8bae\u5458<\/span>Hans Rothenberg<\/span>\u53d1\u8868\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u5e0c\u671b\u745e\u5178\u80fd\u50cf\u627f\u8ba4\u5df4\u52d2\u65af\u5766\u4e00\u6837\u627f\u8ba4\u53f0\u6e7e\u4e3a\u72ec\u7acb\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bf9\u534e\u5173\u7cfb\u4e13\u5bb6\u6797\u851a\uff0c\u4e25\u5389\u6279\u5224\u57fa\u8f9b\u683c\uff0c\u8bf4\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bf9\u534e\u653f\u7b56\u6839\u672c\u9519\u8bef\u3002\u7136\u800c\u5982\u6b64\u8fd8\u4e0d\u591f\uff0c\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u9700\u8981\u8d76\u7d27\u7ed9\u7f8e\u56fd\u63a8\u8350\u4ee5\u6c11\u56fd\u53f0\u6e7e\u66ff\u4ee3\u4e2d\u5171\u6a21\u5f0f\u3002\u6211\u76f8\u4fe1\u5ddd\u666e\u603b\u7edf\u5c31\u4efb\u540e\u7684\u65b0\u4e00\u5c4a\u56fd\u4f1a\u4e5f\u4f1a\u63d0\u51fa\u7f8e\u56fd\u6c11\u56fd\u590d\u4ea4\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u4e00\u5e74\u4e4b\u5185\u4e00\u4e3e\u901a\u8fc7\u3002<\/span><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u9648\u6c38\u82d7 \u77e5\u540d\u5baa\u653f\u5b66\u8005     \u4e00\u4e2a\u5373\u5c06\u663e\u73b0\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u662f\uff1a\u4fc4\u56fd\u5728\u7f8e\u4fc4\u540c\u76df\u4e2d\u652f\u6301\u6c11\u56fd\uff08\u53f0\u6e7e\uff09\u3002\u6709\u7f51 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":24,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-70450","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-thought","et-doesnt-have-format-content","et_post_format-et-post-format-standard"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70450","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/24"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=70450"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70450\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=70450"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=70450"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=70450"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}