{"id":71155,"date":"2017-02-22T16:35:00","date_gmt":"2017-02-22T16:35:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/127.0.0.1:10081\/?p=71155 "},"modified":"2017-02-22T16:35:00","modified_gmt":"2017-02-22T16:35:00","slug":"71155-revision-v1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=71155","title":{"rendered":"\u7ec3\u4e59\u94ee\uff1aTFR\u4f4e\u4e8e1\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5fc5\u5f3a\u8feb\u751f\u80b2"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u8fde\u7eed\u4e94\u5e74\uff08<\/span>2011-15<\/span>\uff09\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u603b\u548c\u751f\u80b2\u7387\uff08<\/span>TFR<\/span>\uff09\u5e73\u5747\u503c\u4e3a<\/span>1.2<\/span>\uff1b\u5230\u53bb\u5e74\uff0c\u6570\u5b57\u8dcc\u5230\u5168\u7403\u6700\u4f4e\u7684<\/span>1.05<\/span>\uff0c\u521a\u5de7\u662f\u7ef4\u6301\u603b\u4eba\u53e3\u5e73\u7a33\u5373\u96f6\u589e\u957f\u6240\u9700\u7684\u957f\u671f\u57fa\u51c6\u6570<\/span>2.1<\/span>\u7684\u4e00\u534a\u3002<\/span>TFR<\/span>\u6307\u7684\u662f\u6240\u6709\u5987\u5973\u7ec8\u5176\u4e00\u751f\u80b2\u5a74\u6570\u7684\u603b\u5e73\u5747\uff1b\u4f4e\u81f3<\/span>1.05<\/span>\u800c\u6301\u7eed\u4e00\u4ee3\u4eba\u7684\u8bdd\uff0c\u4e0b\u4e00\u4ee3\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u5c31\u53ea\u6709\u8fd9\u4e00\u4ee3\u7684\u4e00\u534a\u3002\u4e0a\u8ff0\u90fd\u662f\u5b98\u65b9\u6570\u5b57\uff0c\u6545<\/span>1.05<\/span>\u4e4b\u6570\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u8fd8\u6709\u6c34\u4efd\u3002\u6e56\u5317\u5b9c\u660c\u7684\u662f<\/span>0.81<\/span>\uff1b\u5168\u56fd\u6709\u8bb0\u5f55\u4ee5\u6765\u6700\u4f4e\u7684\uff0c\u5219\u662f\u9ed1\u9f99\u6c5f\u4f73\u6728\u65af\u7684<\/span>0.4<\/span>\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4e0d\u5947\u602a\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6574\u4e2a\u4e1c\u5317\u7684<\/span>TFR<\/span>\u4e5f\u4e0d\u8fc7\u662f<\/span>0.75<\/span>\u3002\u4ee5\u8fd9\u79cd\u300c\u96ea\u5d29\u901f\u5ea6\u300d\u8870\u51cf\uff0c\u4e2d\u534e\u6c11\u65cf\u65e0\u5f02\u4e8e\u8d70\u4e0a\u81ea\u7edd\u4e4b\u8def\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u4eba\u53e3\u5185\u7206\u3000\u6c49\u65cf\u7684\u81ea\u7136\u6d88\u4ea1<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u8bf4\u4e2d\u534e\u6c11\u65cf\uff0c\u6709\u70b9\u4e0d\u51c6\u786e\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5927\u96c6\u5408\u91cc\u7684\u300c\u5c11\u6570\u6c11\u65cf\u300d\uff0c\u8bb8\u53ef\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u548c\u5b9e\u9645\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u90fd\u7a0d\u9ad8\uff0c\u5176<\/span>TFR<\/span>\u4e00\u822c\u5728<\/span>1.5-1.8<\/span>\u4e4b\u95f4\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d<\/span>4<\/span>\u4e2a\u8d85\u8fc7<\/span>2.1<\/span>\uff0c\u7ef4\u543e\u5c14\u65cf\u7a0d\u9ad8\u4e8e<\/span>2<\/span>\uff0c\u4ff1\u672a\u5230\u300c\u4e07\u52ab\u4e0d\u590d\u300d\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u62ff\u5230\u56fd\u9645\u4e0a\u6bd4\uff0c\u81f3\u5c11\u8fd8\u4f18\u4e8e\u65e5\u672c\u548c\u610f\u5927\u5229\u7684<\/span>1.4<\/span>\u3002\u4f46\u5982\u679c\u53ea\u7b97\u6c49\u65cf\uff0c<\/span>2016<\/span>\u5e74\u7684<\/span>TFR<\/span>\u5c31\u53ea\u6709<\/span>1<\/span>\uff08\u8003\u8651\u5230\u4e2d\u56fd\u5a74\u513f\u51fa\u751f\u6027\u522b\u7537\u5973\u6bd4\u4e3a<\/span>1.16<\/span>\u6bd4<\/span>1<\/span>\uff0c\u6c49\u65cf\u7684\u6709\u6548\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u5176\u5b9e\u4ec5\u4e3a<\/span>0.92<\/span>\uff09\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u5de5\u4e1a\u9769\u547d<\/span>200<\/span>\u591a\u5e74\u6765\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u6570\u636e\u548c\u7814\u7a76\u6e05\u695a\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5f15\u81f4<\/span>TFR<\/span>\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7684\u4e24\u4e2a\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u81ea\u53d8\u91cf\uff0c\u4e00\u662f\u90fd\u5e02\u5316\u7a0b\u5ea6\uff0c\u4e00\u662f\u5987\u5973\u53d7\u6559\u80b2\u5e74\u6570\uff0c\u90fd\u4e0e<\/span>TFR<\/span>\u6210\u53cd\u6bd4\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u53d8\u91cf\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u7686\u8fdc\u672a\u8d70\u6bd5\u5168\u7a0b\u3002\u5982\u679c\u771f\u7684\u6709\u300c\u652f\u7206\u300d\uff0c\u6c49\u65cf\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u6d88\u5931\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u5176\u51fa\u73b0\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u800c\u4e0a\u8ff0\u4e24\u4e2a\u53d8\u91cf──\u53d1\u5c55\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u91cc\u7ecf\u5e38\u8c08\u5230\u7684\u300c\u6b63\u9762\u56e0\u7d20\u300d──\u4fbf\u662f\u5bfc\u706b\u7ebf\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

2012<\/span>\u5e74\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u57ce\u9547\u4eba\u53e3\u6bd4\u4f8b\u624d\u521a\u521a\u8d85\u8fc7<\/span>50%<\/span>\uff0c\u800c\u65e5\u672c\u662f<\/span>66%<\/span>\uff0c\u53f0\u6e7e<\/span>78%<\/span>\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd<\/span>82%<\/span>\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd<\/span>90%<\/span>\uff0c\u65b0\u52a0\u5761\u548c\u9999\u6e2f\u90fd\u662f<\/span>100%<\/span>\u3002\u5987\u5973\u6559\u80b2\uff0c\u6309<\/span>2013<\/span>\u5e74\u5e74\u5e95\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd<\/span>25<\/span>\u5c81\u4ee5\u4e0a\u5973\u5b50\u5e73\u5747\u4e0a\u5b66\u5e74\u6570\u4e3a<\/span>6.9<\/span>\uff0c\u65b0\u52a0\u5761\u548c\u9999\u6e2f\u662f<\/span>9.7<\/span>\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u548c\u5357\u97e9<\/span>11.2<\/span>\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd<\/span>12.8<\/span>\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd<\/span>13<\/span>\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5f53\u4e2d\u56fd\u57ce\u5e02\u5316\u548c\u5973\u5b50\u53d7\u6559\u80b2\u770b\u9f50\u5176\u5b83\u5148\u8fdb\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7279\u522b\u662f\u6c49\u65cf\u7684\u603b\u548c\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u80af\u5b9a\u8fd8\u4f1a\u4ece<\/span>1<\/span>\uff08\u6216<\/span>0.92<\/span>\uff09\u7684\u8d85\u4f4e\u503c\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u6700\u540e\u80fd\u591f\u7a33\u5b9a\u5728\u76ee\u524d\u4e1c\u5317\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u503c<\/span>0.75<\/span>\uff0c\u4fbf\u7b97\u4e0d\u9519\u3002\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u4e0d\u51fa\u4e09\u4ee3\uff0c\u6c49\u65cf\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u4fbf\u4f1a\u7f29\u5c0f\u5230\u73b0\u65f6\u7684<\/span>6%<\/span>\u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u751a\u6216\u66f4\u4f4e\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u4f4e\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u662f\u4e8c\u5341\u4e16\u7eaa\u521d\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u901a\u300c\u75c5\u300d\uff0c\u975e\u4e2d\u56fd\u72ec\u6709\u3002\u5728\u7279\u5b9a\u7684\u65f6\u671f\u91cc\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u300c\u5a74\u513f\u6f6e\u300d\u51fa\u73b0\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u82e5\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u9002\u65f6\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u8fd8\u53ef\u80fd\u5e26\u6765\u300c\u4eba\u53e3\u7ea2\u5229\u300d\uff0c\u5373\u52b3\u52a8\u4eba\u53e3\u591a\u800c\u8981\u629a\u517b\u7684\u513f\u7ae5\u5c11\uff0c\u793e\u4f1a\u6574\u4f53\u8d1f\u62c5\u5c31\u5f88\u8f7b\u3002\u95ee\u9898\u662f\uff0c\u4eba\u53e3\u7ea2\u5229\u4eab\u5c3d\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u5c31\u4e00\u5b9a\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u4eba\u53e3\u8001\u9f84\u5316\uff1b\u8981\u629a\u517b\u7684\u8001\u5e74\u4eba\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u65b0\u751f\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5374\u4e0d\u8db3\uff0c\u51fa\u73b0\u300c\u4eba\u53e3\u8d1f\u503a\u300d\u3002\u7531\u6b64\u53ef\u89c1\uff0c\u6240\u8c13\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u7ea2\u5229\uff0c\u4e0d\u8fc7\u662f\u5bc5\u5403\u536f\u7cae\uff0c\u59cb\u7ec8\u8981\u8fd8\u503a\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u7f3a\u79fb\u6c11\u8865\u5145\u3000\u5fc5\u8d70\u5f3a\u8feb\u8def<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u9047\u4e0a<\/span>TFR<\/span>\u8fc7\u4f4e\u3001\u4eba\u53e3\u65e0\u4ee5\u4e3a\u7ee7\u4e4b\u65f6\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u89e3\u6551\u529e\u6cd5\u5c31\u662f\u63a5\u53d7\u79fb\u6c11\u3002\u9999\u6e2f\u3001\u53f0\u6e7e\u3001\u65b0\u52a0\u5761\u4ee5\u81f3\u4e0d\u5c11\u6b27\u7f8e\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u90fd\u4ee5\u91c7\u53d6\u8fd9\u4e2a\u529e\u6cd5\u4e3a\u4e3b\uff0c\u4f46\u6b64\u6cd5\u53ef\u80fd\u5f15\u8d77\u4e00\u4e9b\u793e\u4f1a\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0a\u53cd\u5f39\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u5728\u82f1\u7f8e\u4e24\u56fd\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4e0d\u613f\u6216\u4e0d\u80fd\u5438\u7eb3\u79fb\u6c11\uff0c\u800c\u8981\u4f9d\u8d56\u523a\u6fc0\u751f\u80b2\u7684\u8bdd\uff0c\u4fbf\u662f\u6210\u529f\uff0c\u4e5f\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u4e00\u6bb5\u957f\u65f6\u671f\u91cc\u7684\u300c\u62c5\u6311\u4e24\u5934\u65ad\u300d\u82e6\u51b5\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u7531\u4e8e\u4eba\u53e3\u603b\u91cf\u6781\u5927\uff0c\u65b0\u589e\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u6b20\u7f3a\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u9760\u79fb\u6c11\u8865\u5145\uff1b\u51b5\u4e14\uff0c\u613f\u610f\u5927\u91cf\u79fb\u6c11\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\uff0c\u5927\u90fd\u662f\u5728\u53d1\u5c55\u7a0b\u5ea6\u6216\u8d28\u7d20\u6bd4\u4e2d\u56fd\u4f4e\u7684\u5730\u65b9\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u672a\u5fc5\u60f3\u8981\u3002\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e3a\u514b\u670d\u4eba\u53e3\u5185\u7206\uff0c\u53ea\u80fd\u91c7\u53d6\u4ee5\u589e\u751f\u4e3a\u4e3b\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u9a8c\u8bf4\u660e\uff0c\u6e29\u548c\u7684\u589e\u751f\u653f\u7b56\u4e00\u822c\u6536\u6548\u6781\u5fae\uff1b\u82e5\u8981\u4ee5\u7eaf\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8bf1\u56e0\u6210\u529f\u8bf1\u5bfc\u751f\u80b2\uff0c\u5219\u6ca1\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u653f\u5e9c\u9884\u7b97\u53ef\u4ee5\u8d1f\u62c5\u5f97\u8d77\u3002\u7c97\u7565\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u82e5\u8981\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u53e3\u603b\u6570\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c\u987b\u4e8e\u4e00\u4ee3\u5373<\/span>25<\/span>\u5e74\u91cc\u6bcf\u5e74\u591a\u751f\u73b0\u65f6\u7684\u4e00\u500d\u5373<\/span>1,800<\/span>\u4e07\u5c0f\u5b69\uff0c\u82e5\u6bcf\u4e2a\u5c0f\u5b69\u6bcf\u5e74\u6d25\u8d34<\/span>5<\/span>\u4e07\u5143\uff08<\/span>20<\/span>\u5e74\u5171\u9700<\/span>100<\/span>\u4e07\u5143\uff0c\u6b64\u662f\u5927\u9646\u7f51\u4e0a\u8ba8\u8bba\u8fd9\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u300c\u5171\u8bc6\u300d\uff0c\u6709\u4f17\u591a\u4e8b\u4f8b\u5de6\u8bc1\uff09\uff0c\u5934\u4e00\u5e74\u7684\u652f\u51fa\u4fbf\u8fbe<\/span>9,000<\/span>\u4ebf\u5143\uff1b\u5230\u7b2c\u4e09\u5e74\uff0c\u5e74\u6d25<\/span>2.7<\/span>\u4e07\u4ebf\u5143\uff0c\u5c31\u5dee\u4e0d\u591a\u662f\u73b0\u5728\u5927\u9646\u4e00\u5e74\u7684\u6559\u80b2\u603b\u5f00\u652f\uff08<\/span>GDP<\/span>\u7684<\/span>4%<\/span>\uff09\u3002\u5982\u6b64\u6bcf\u5e74\u9012\u589e\uff0c\u5c31\u7b97\u6253\u4e2a\u4e94\u6298\uff0c\u5f3a\u56fd\u4e5f\u5f88\u5feb\u7834\u4ea7\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u5f53\u7136\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u5171\u4ea7\u515a\u9886\u5bfc\u4e0b\uff0c\u7edd\u4e0d\u4f1a\u5750\u4ee5\u5f85\u6bd9\u3001\u706d\u79cd\u4ea1\u56fd\uff0c\u800c\u4f1a\u50cf\u8fc7\u53bb\u63a8\u884c\u7edd\u80b2\u653f\u7b56\u4e00\u6837\uff0c\u53cd\u8fc7\u6765\u4ee5\u540c\u6837\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u6267\u884c\u529b\u63a8\u52a8\u589e\u751f\u653f\u7b56\uff1b\u5176\u5177\u4f53\u5185\u5bb9\u65e0\u6cd5\u9884\u4f30\uff0c\u4f46\u53c2\u8003\u4e00\u4e9b\u6781\u6743\u56fd\u5bb6\u66fe\u7ecf\u63a8\u884c\u8fc7\u7684\u5f3a\u8feb\u751f\u80b2\uff0c\u4fbf\u53ef\u601d\u8fc7\u534a\u3002\u8bba\u653f\u7b56\u52a8\u673a\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u5404\u6709\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u6709\u7684\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u5907\u6218\uff0c\u5982\u4e8c\u6218\u524d\u7684\u6cd5\u897f\u65af\u610f\u5927\u5229\uff1b\u6709\u7684\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u5c60\u6740\u4eba\u6c11\u8fc7\u591a\uff0c\u6025\u9700\u8865\u5145\uff0c\u5982\u8d64\u67ec\uff1b\u6709\u7684\u5219\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u63d0\u9ad8\u300c\u7efc\u5408\u56fd\u529b\u300d\uff0c\u4ee5\u5e94\u4ed8\u6765\u81ea\u90bb\u8fd1\u8d85\u7ea7\u5927\u56fd\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\uff0c\u5982\u4e0a\u4e16\u7eaa\u516d\u5341\u81f3\u516b\u5341\u5e74\u4ee3\u4e1c\u6b27\u53cd\u82cf\u4eb2\u4e2d\u7684\u7f57\u9a6c\u5c3c\u4e9a\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\u5c24\u4ee5\u540e\u8005\u7684\u300c\u6210\u529f\u7ecf\u9a8c\u300d\uff0c\u6700\u53ef\u80fd\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u6240\u7528\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u7f57\u56fd\u5728\u793e\u4f1a\u4e3b\u4e49\u65f6\u671f\uff0c\u66fe\u7ecf\u6709\u5168\u6b27\u6d32\u6700\u5bbd\u677e\u7684\u5a5a\u59fb\u3001\u751f\u80b2\u3001\u5815\u80ce\u7b49\u6cd5\u4f8b\u548c\u653f\u7b56\uff1b\u53ef\u662f\uff0c\u5728\u7f57\u5171\u603b\u4e66\u8bb0\u9f50\u4fee\u65af\u53e4\uff08<\/span>Nicolae Ceausescu<\/span>\uff0c<\/span>1918-1989<\/span>\uff09\u7edf\u6cbb\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u5e74\u4ee3\uff0c\u5374\u957f\u65f6\u671f\u63a8\u884c\u8d8a\u53d1\u7c97\u66b4\u6a2a\u86ee\u7684\u5f3a\u5236\u751f\u80b2\u653f\u7b56\u3002<\/span>1966<\/span>\u5e74\uff0c\u4e3a\u4e86\u52a0\u5f3a\u300c\u53cd\u82cf\u9632\u4fee\u300d\uff0c\u9f50\u6c0f\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5fc5\u987b\u63d0\u9ad8\u6574\u4f53\u4eba\u53e3\u6570\u91cf\u4e09\u6210\uff0c\u4ee5\u63d0\u5347\u7efc\u5408\u56fd\u529b\u7279\u522b\u662f\u6218\u4e89\u52a8\u5458\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u4e8e\u662f\u5bf9\u5168\u56fd\u4eba\u6c11\u4e0b\u8fbe\u4e86\u300a\u7b2c<\/span>770<\/span>\u53f7\u653f\u4ee4\u300b\uff08<\/span>D770<\/span>\uff09\uff0c\u5f00\u59cb\u5b9e\u65bd\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u4e25\u82db\u7684\u589e\u751f\u653f\u7b56\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u7f57\u56fd\u5148\u4f8b\u3000\u4e0d\u589e\u751f\u5373\u53db\u56fd<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

D770<\/span>\u5f00\u5b97\u660e\u4e49\uff0c\u5ba3\u79f0\u300c\u6709\u751f\u80b2\u673a\u80fd\u5374\u4e0d\u751f\u80b2\u5b69\u5b50\u7684\u4eba\u5c31\u662f\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u53db\u5f92\u300d\u3002\u636e\u6b64\uff0c\u56fd\u5bb6\u7981\u6b62\u79bb\u5a5a\u548c\u8282\u80b2\u3001\u5815\u80ce\uff0c\u6bcf\u5bf9\u592b\u5987\u81f3\u5c11\u8981\u751f\u56db\u4e2a\u5b69\u5b50\uff0c\u624d\u7b97\u5c3d\u4e86\u5bf9\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u8d23\u4efb\uff1b\u751f\u80b2\u4e94\u4e2a\u6216\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u5987\u5973\uff0c\u56fd\u5bb6\u6388\u4e88\u4e0d\u540c\u7b49\u7ea7\u7684\u8363\u8a89\u79f0\u53f7\uff0c\u751f\u4ea7\u5e76\u80b2\u6210\u5341\u4e2a\u6216\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\uff0c\u79f0\u4e3a\u300c\u82f1\u96c4\u6bcd\u4eb2\u300d\uff1b\u4e0d\u613f\u751f\u80b2\u7684\u7537\u6027\u548c\u4e0d\u80fd\u53d7\u5b55\u7684\u5973\u6027\uff0c\u8981\u989d\u5916\u4ea4\u7eb3\u6700\u9ad8<\/span>30%<\/span>\u7684\u5165\u606f\u7a0e<\/span>\/<\/span>\u7f5a\u91d1\uff1b\u66ff\u522b\u4eba\u5815\u80ce\u907f\u5b55\u53ca\u63a5\u53d7\u5815\u80ce\u907f\u5b55\u8005\u53d7\u7262\u72f1\u4e4b\u707e\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u4e3a\u8d2f\u5f7b<\/span>D770<\/span>\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u5728\u6240\u6709\u5987\u79d1\u533b\u9662\u8bbe\u7acb\u300c\u56fd\u5b89\u653f\u4ee4\u7763\u5bfc\u7ec4\u300d\uff0c\u9f50\u6c0f\u66f4\u547d\u4ee4\u653f\u5e9c\u91cc\u7684\u5171\u4ea7\u515a\u5458\u8fdb\u9a7b\u673a\u5173\u3001\u5de5\u5382\u3001\u5b66\u6821\u3001\u8857\u9053\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u7b49\uff0c\u7763\u4fc3\u6240\u6709\u80b2\u9f84\u5987\u5973\u6bcf\u6708\u505a\u5987\u79d1\u4f53\u68c0\u4ee5\u786e\u4fdd\u65e0\u4f7f\u7528\u907f\u5b55\u5de5\u5177\u3002\u5f53\u65f6\u7f57\u56fd\u4eba\u628a\u8fd9\u4e9b\u515a\u5de5\u79f0\u4e3a\u300c\u6708\u7ecf\u8b66\u5bdf\u300d\u3002\u653f\u4ee4\u4e00\u51fa\uff0c\u7acb\u7aff\u89c1\u5f71\uff0c<\/span>1967<\/span>\u5e74\u7f57\u56fd\u5a74\u513f\u51fa\u751f\u6570\u5b57\u6025\u5347<\/span>93%<\/span>\uff01<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u5927\u5bb6\u6216\u5bf9\u7f57\u56fd\u5f53\u5e74\u7684\u505a\u6cd5\u611f\u5230\u4e0d\u9f7f\uff0c\u5927\u9646\u7f51\u4e0a\u8a00\u8bba\u4e00\u822c\u4e5f\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5f80\u540e\u7684\u589e\u751f\u653f\u7b56\u5e94\u4ee5\u8bf4\u670d\u3001\u5956\u52b1\u4e3a\u4e3b\uff0c\u800c\u7f57\u56fd\u5f53\u5e74\u63a8\u884c<\/span>D770<\/span>\u7684\u5934\u4e24\u4e2a\u6708\u4e5f\u662f\u591f\u6e29\u548c\u7684\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u516b\u5341\u5e74\u4ee3\u521d\u7684\u8ba1\u751f\u653f\u7b56\u5f00\u59cb\u4e5f\u5e76\u4e0d\u4e25\u82db\uff0c<\/span>8<\/span>\u6708\u5f15\u4ea7\u662f\u540e\u6765\u7684\u4e8b\uff1b\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u8ba1\u751f\u8bcd\u6c47\u66f4\u662f\u5341\u8db3\u6e29\u548c\uff0c\u5f3a\u8feb\u5815\u80ce\u7684\u4e8b\u53eb\u300c\u8ba1\u751f\u300d\u3002\u4f46\u7f57\u56fd\u968f\u540e\u6267\u884c<\/span>D770<\/span>\u65f6\u7684\u5404\u79cd\u975e\u4eba\u624b\u6cd5\uff0c\u5728\u515a\u56fd\u4e00\u8d2f\u704c\u8f93\u7684\u56fd\u6c11\u6559\u80b2\u5185\u6db5\u91cc\uff0c\u5374\u5b8c\u5168\u5408\u60c5\u5408\u7406\uff0c\u65e0\u61c8\u53ef\u51fb\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u7f57\u56fd\u505a\u6cd5\u3000\u4e2d\u56fd\u9a7e\u8f7b\u5c31\u719f<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u7f57\u5171\u8ba4\u4e3a\u300c\u82cf\u8054\u4ea1\u7f57\u4e4b\u5fc3\u4e0d\u6b7b\u300d\uff0c\u56fd\u5bb6\u6c11\u65cf\u5371\u96be\u5f53\u5934\uff0c\u4e2a\u4eba\u5fc5\u987b\u670d\u4ece\u515a\u56fd\u3001\u4ed8\u51fa\u4e00\u5207\uff1b\u589e\u751f\u5fc5\u987b\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u6709\u6548\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u53cd\u5bf9\u6216\u6020\u60f0\u6267\u884c\u8005\u5c31\u662f\u80cc\u53db\u56fd\u5bb6\u6c11\u65cf\uff0c\u5fc5\u987b\u4e25\u6253\u3002\u751f\u6d3b\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u8fb9\u7f18\u4e0a\u7684\u9999\u6e2f\u4eba\uff0c\u592a\u6e05\u695a\u8fd9\u5957\u515a\u56fd\u601d\u7ef4\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u540e\u9762\u7684\u63a8\u52a8\u624b\u6cd5\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u5927\u5bb6\u4e0d\u53ef\u4e0d\u77e5\uff0c\u7f57\u56fd<\/span>D770<\/span>\u5f3a\u8feb\u751f\u80b2\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u72ed\u4e49\u800c\u8a00\u53ef\u8bf4\u662f\u6210\u529f\u7684\uff1b\u5c3d\u7ba1\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u53ea\u98d9\u5347\u4e00\u4e24\u5e74\u4fbf\u4ece\u9ad8\u4f4d\u5927\u5e45\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u4f46\u59cb\u7ec8\u6bd4\u653f\u7b56\u51fa\u53f0\u4e4b\u524d\u8981\u9ad8\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u5230<\/span>1989<\/span>\u5e74\u7f57\u5171\u5012\u53f0\u4e3a\u6b62\uff0c<\/span>TFR<\/span>\u4e00\u76f4\u9ad8\u4e8e<\/span>2.1<\/span>\u3002\u5bf9\u4e2d\u5171\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u975e\u5e38\u5438\u5f15\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u6b64\u5957\u653f\u7b56\u540e\u9057\u75c7\u5f88\u591a\u3002\u589e\u751f\u7684\u5b69\u5b50\u591a\u51fa\u81ea\u6ca1\u94b1\u8d3f\u8d42\u5b98\u5458\u7684\u8d2b\u82e6\u5bb6\u5ead\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u957f\u5927\u540e\u75db\u6068\u7236\u6bcd\u3001\u66f4\u75db\u6068\u515a\u56fd\uff1b<\/span>1989<\/span>\u5e74\u5728\u5e7f\u573a\u4e0a\u63a8\u7ffb\u7f57\u5171\u3001\u628a\u9f50\u6c0f\u592b\u5987\u5c31\u5730\u6b63\u6cd5\u7684\u6c11\u4f17\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u5c31\u662f<\/span>1967<\/span>\u53ca\u540e\u51e0\u5e74\u91cc\u51fa\u751f\u7684<\/span>20<\/span>\u5c81\u51fa\u5934\u5e74\u8f7b\u4eba\uff0c\u5373\u6240\u8c13\u7684\u300c\u653f\u4ee4\u4ed4\u300d\u3002\u56e0\u8ba1\u751f\u7edd\u80b2\u800c\u4e0d\u80fd\u751f\u4e0b\u6765\u7684\u51a4\u9b3c\u5bf9\u515a\u56fd\u6ca1\u5a01\u80c1\uff0c\u4f46\u56e0\u5f3a\u8feb\u751f\u80b2\u800c\u88ab\u8feb\u751f\u4e0b\u6765\u7684\u5c0f\u5b69\u957f\u5927\u4e86\u5374\u8ddf\u515a\u56fd\u4e0d\u5171\u6234\u5929\uff0c\u300c\u7ef4\u7a33\u300d\u56e0\u6b64\u987b\u8981\u52a0\u7801\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u7b14\u8005\u63a8\u65ad\uff0c\u5927\u9646\u4e0d\u4e45\u5c31\u4f1a\u63a8\u884c\u7c7b\u4f3c\u7f57\u9a6c\u5c3c\u4e9a\u7684\u4e25\u82db\u5f3a\u8feb\u751f\u80b2\u653f\u7b56\uff1b\u81f3\u4e8e\u4f1a\u5426\u4ee5\u300c\u6c11\u65cf\u5b58\u4ea1\u300d\u4e3a\u501f\u53e3\uff0c\u53d8\u672c\u52a0\u5389\u4eff\u6548\u8d64\u67ec\u5f3a\u5236\u4ea4\u914d\uff0c\u5c31\u5f88\u96be\u8bf4\u3002\u5bf9\u8ba1\u751f\u529e\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u90a3\u90fd\u662f\u9a7e\u8f7b\u5c31\u719f\u5bb9\u6613\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u53ea\u9700\u628a\u505a\u4e86<\/span>30<\/span>\u5e74\u7684\u4e8b\u53cd\u8fc7\u6765\u505a\u800c\u5df2\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

2002<\/span>\u5e74\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u300a\u4e2d\u534e\u4eba\u6c11\u5171\u548c\u56fd\u4eba\u53e3\u4e0e\u8ba1\u5212\u751f\u80b2\u6cd5\u91ca\u4e49\u300b\u91cc\u8bf4\uff1a\u300c\u516c\u6c11\u7684\u751f\u80b2\u6743\u662f\u57fa\u672c\u4eba\u6743\uff0c\u662f\u4e0e\u751f\u4ff1\u6765\u7684\uff0c\u5148\u4e8e\u56fd\u5bb6\u548c\u6cd5\u5f8b\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u6743\u5229\uff0c\u4e0e\u5176\u5b83\u7531\u5baa\u6cd5\u3001\u6cd5\u5f8b\u8d4b\u4e88\u7684\u9009\u4e3e\u6743\u3001\u7ed3\u793e\u6743\u7b49\u653f\u6cbb\u6743\u5229\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u4efb\u4f55\u65f6\u5019\u90fd\u4e0d\u80fd\u5265\u593a\u3002\u300d\u5728\u5815\u80ce\u7edd\u80b2\u65f6\u4ee3\u91cc\uff0c\u5265\u593a\u8fd9\u6743\u5229\u5f88\u5bb9\u6613\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b9\u4fbf\u6709\u7528\u800c\u4eba\u6c11\u65e0\u6cd5\u9a73\u65a5\u7684\u7406\u7531\u662f\u300c\u4e00\u5207\u81ea\u7531\u548c\u6743\u5229\u90fd\u662f\u6709\u6761\u4ef6\u548c\u9650\u5236\u7684\u300d\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u666e\u904d\u53d7\u843d\u8fd9\u4e2a\u8bf4\u6cd5\u5728\u751f\u80b2\u6743\u4e0a\u7684\u4efb\u610f\u5e94\u7528\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u90a3\u4eab\u53d7\u8fc7\u4eba\u53e3\u7ea2\u5229\u7684\u4e00\u4ee3\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eca\u540e\u8981\u641e\u5f3a\u8feb\u751f\u80b2\u7edd\u5bf9\u4e0d\u96be\uff1a\u90a3\u662f\u515a\u56fd\u628a\u4eba\u6c11\u7684\u751f\u80b2\u6743\u52a0\u500d\u5f3a\u5316\u6269\u5927\u800c\u5df2\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

 <\/p>

 <\/p>

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