{"id":74483,"date":"2017-06-20T13:24:00","date_gmt":"2017-06-20T13:24:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/127.0.0.1:10081\/?p=74483 "},"modified":"2017-06-20T13:24:00","modified_gmt":"2017-06-20T13:24:00","slug":"74483-revision-v1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=74483","title":{"rendered":"\u53f0\u6e7e\u5916\u4ea4\u524d\u666f\u7684\u591a\u5c42\u601d\u8003\uff1a\u53f0\u6e7e\u56fd\u52bf\u5fc5\u53d6\u4ee3\u4e2d\u534e\u6c11\u56fd"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u53f0\u5317<\/span> —<\/span> \u53f0\u6e7e\u52a1\u5b9e\u5730\u52a0\u5f3a\u4e0e\u73b0\u6709\u90a6\u4ea4\u56fd\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u6709\u667a\u5e93\u5206\u6790\u4e86\u53f0\u6e7e\u5df4\u62ff\u9a6c\u65ad\u4ea4\u540e\u53f0\u6e7e\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u524d\u666f\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5f71\u54cd\u53f0\u6e7e\u56fd\u9645\u7a7a\u95f4\u7684\u4e24\u5cb8\u5173\u7cfb\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u6709\u5b66\u8005\u8bf4\uff0c“\u4e2d\u534e\u6c11\u56fd”\u540d\u53f7\u52bf\u5fc5\u4f1a\u88ab“\u53f0\u6e7e\u56fd”\u53d6\u4ee3\uff0c\u53f0\u6d77\u5c31\u6b64\u5bf9\u51b3\u4e0d\u53ef\u907f\u514d\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u5de9\u56fa\u90a6\u4ea4<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u5df4\u62ff\u9a6c\u4e0e\u53f0\u6e7e\u65ad\u4ea4\u540e\uff0c\u53f0\u6e7e\u4f3c\u4e4e\u52a0\u5f3a\u4e0e\u73b0\u6709\u90a6\u4ea4\u56fd\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u3002<\/span>6<\/span>\u6708<\/span>20<\/span>\u65e5<\/span>\u4e00\u5929\uff0c\u5916\u4ea4\u90e8\u5c31\u53d1\u5e03\u4e86\u4e24\u5219\u8fd9\u65b9\u9762\u6d88\u606f\u3002\u6d2a\u90fd\u62c9\u65af\u526f\u603b\u7edf\u5373\u65e5\u8d77\u8bbf\u95ee\u53f0\u6e7e\uff0c\u5e76\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e0e\u6d2a\u90fd\u62c9\u65af“\u90a6\u8c0a\u7b03\u7766”\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u5e03\u57fa\u7eb3\u6cd5\u7d22\u56fd\u4f1a\u53cb\u53f0\u5c0f\u7ec4\u4e3b\u5e2d\u5df2\u62b5\u53f0\u8bbf\u95ee\uff0c\u6b64\u4eba“\u70ed\u5fc3\u63a8\u52a8\u53f0\u5e03\u56fd\u4f1a\u4ea4\u6d41”\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u6c11\u8c03\u8981\u70b9<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

6<\/span>\u6708<\/span>20<\/span>\u65e5<\/span>\uff0c\u65b0\u53f0\u6e7e\u56fd\u7b56\u667a\u5e93\u516c\u5e03\u540d\u4e3a“\u56fd\u4eba\u5bf9\u5df4\u62ff\u9a6c\u65ad\u4ea4\u4e0e\u53f0\u6e7e\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b9a\u4f4d\u770b\u6cd5”\u6c11\u8c03\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u8c08\u5230\u6c11\u8c03\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u6307\u6807\uff0c\u667a\u5e93\u6267\u884c\u957f\u9648\u81f4\u4e2d\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e4b\u97f3\u8bf4\uff1a“\u591a\u6570\u7684\u6c11\u610f\u8d5e\u6210\uff0c\u53f0\u6e7e\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u662f\u4e24\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002\u5f53\u7136\uff0c\u56fd\u5185\u6709\u4eba\u8ba4\u4e3a\u662f\u53f0\u6e7e\uff0c\u6709\u4eba\u8ba4\u4e3a\u662f<\/span>ROC<\/span>\u4e2d\u534e\u6c11\u56fd\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u53e6\u5916\u4e00\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u653f\u5e9c\u6240\u8c13\u7ef4\u6301\u73b0\u72b6\u7684\u653f\u7b56\uff0c<\/span>65%<\/span>\u7684\u6c11\u4f17\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8981\u8c03\u6574\u3002\u662f\u5f80\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e2d\u56fd\u65b9\u5411\u8c03\u6574\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f\u5f80\u53f0\u6e7e\u4e3b\u4f53\u8def\u7ebf\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u4e00\u8fb9\u4e00\u56fd\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u8c03\u6574\uff1f\u6211\u4eec\u6ca1\u6709\u7ed3\u8bba\uff0c\u5927\u5bb6\u53ef\u4ee5\u601d\u8003\u3002”<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u9648\u81f4\u4e2d\u662f\u524d\u603b\u7edf\u9648\u6c34\u6241\u7684\u513f\u5b50\uff0c\u8bb0\u8005\u95ee\u9648\u6c34\u6241\u5bf9\u5df4\u53f0\u65ad\u4ea4\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u3002\u9648\u81f4\u4e2d\u8bf4\uff1a“\u4ed6\uff08\u9648\u6c34\u6241\uff09\u6ca1\u6709\u7279\u522b\u8bb2\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4e8b\u60c5\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u3002\u5f53\u7136\u6211\u60f3\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e2a\u53f0\u6e7e\u4eba\u90fd\u5173\u5fc3\u53f0\u6e7e\u7684\u524d\u9014\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u53f0\u6e7e\u672a\u6765\u4f55\u53bb\u4f55\u4ece\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002”<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

“\u64bc\u72ec”\u53d8“\u654c\u610f”<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u8fd9\u9879\u8c03\u67e5\u663e\u793a\uff0c<\/span>51.5%<\/span>\u7684\u53f0\u6e7e\u6c11\u4f17\u62c5\u5fc3\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u90a6\u4ea4\u56fd\u4f1a\u9646\u7eed\u4e0e\u53f0\u6e7e\u65ad\u4ea4\uff0c\u4e0d\u62c5\u5fc3\u7684\u5360<\/span>41.9%<\/span>\u3002\u6c11\u8c03\u8fd8\u663e\u793a\uff0c<\/span>58.7%<\/span>\u7684\u53f0\u6e7e\u6c11\u4f17\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5df4\u53f0\u65ad\u4ea4\u5bf9\u4e24\u5cb8\u5173\u7cfb\u6709\u8d1f\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\uff1b\u8ba4\u4e3a\u6709\u6b63\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u4e3a<\/span>19.3%<\/span>\uff1b\u652f\u6301\u8521\u82f1\u6587\u5c31\u65ad\u4ea4\u4e8b\u4ef6\u6240\u53d1\u58f0\u660e\u7684\u4e3a<\/span>46.6%<\/span>\uff0c<\/span> \u4e0d\u652f\u6301\u7684\u4e3a<\/span>39.5%<\/span>\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u6210\u529f\u5927\u5b66\u653f\u6cbb\u7cfb\u526f\u6559\u6388\u8499\u5fd7\u6210\u8bf4\uff0c\u53f0\u5df4\u65ad\u4ea4\u540e\u6c11\u4f17\u4e2d\u51fa\u73b0\u6240\u8c13“\u64bc\u72ec”<\/span> \u73b0\u8c61\u3002\u4ed6\u8bf4<\/span>: <\/span>“\u53f0\u5df4\u65ad\u4ea4\u904f\u5236\u6216\u8005\u9707\u64bc\u4e86\u6c11\u4f17\u60f3\u8981\u72ec\u7acb\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\uff0c\u6c11\u4f17\u4e0d\u6562\u8bb2\u51fa\u6765\uff0c\u904f\u5236\u4e86\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u58f0\u97f3\u3002\u4f46\u662f\u8d8b\u7edf\u7684\u4e5f\u5f88\u6709\u9650\uff0c\u51e0\u4e4e\u5728\u7edf\u8ba1\u8bef\u5dee\u5f53\u4e2d\u3002\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u7ed3\u679c\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5373\u4fbf\u6709\u6240\u8c13‘\u64bc\u72ec’\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u5374\u52a0\u5f3a\u4e86\u53f0\u6e7e\u4eba\u6c11\u5bf9\u5bf9\u5cb8\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u654c\u610f\u3002\u5f62\u5f0f\u4e0a\u6216\u8bb8\u4e0d\u518d\u558a\u72ec\uff0c\u53ef\u662f\u5b9e\u8d28\u4e0a\uff0c\u5185\u5fc3\u4e0a\uff0c\u5df2\u7ecf\u8ddf\u4f60\u5bf9\u5cb8\u4e0d\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u8fd9\u6837\u4e00\u4e2a\u6548\u5e94\u662f\u8fd9\u6b21\u8c03\u67e5\u5f53\u4e2d\u6bd4\u8f83\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u53d1\u73b0\u3002”<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

“\u5929\u7136\u6bd2”<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u524d\u7acb\u59d4\u6797\u4e16\u5609\u8bf4\uff0c\u53f0\u6e7e\u5e74\u8f7b\u65cf\u7fa4\u6216\u8bb8\u5c06\u51b3\u5b9a\u53f0\u6e7e\u672a\u6765\u7684\u4e3b\u4f53\u610f\u8bc6\u65b9\u5411\u3002\u5979\u8bf4<\/span>: <\/span>“\u56db\u5341\u5c81\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\uff0c\u5c31\u50cf\u6211\u4eec\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4eba\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c0f\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u5ff5\u7684\u5730\u7406\u90fd\u662f\u957f\u6c5f\u9ec4\u6cb3\uff0c\u897f\u8d77\u54ea\u91cc\uff0c\u4e1c\u81f3\u54ea\u91cc\uff0c\u7b49\u7b49\u7684\u6559\u80b2\u4e16\u4ee3\uff0c\u548c<\/span>20<\/span>\u81f3<\/span>39<\/span>\u5c81\u7684\u7fa4\u4f53\u6bd4\u8f83\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u6709\u5f88\u5927\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\u3002\u6211\u89c9\u5f97\u6bd4\u4f8b\u592a\u9ad8\u4e86\u5f88\u96be\u9006\u8f6c\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u5728\u516c\u5171\u8bae\u9898\u548c\u56fd\u5bb6\u8ba4\u540c\u4e0a\u5c31\u5f88\u5f3a\u70c8\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b‘\u5929\u7136\u6bd2’\u6211\u4eec\u628a\u5b83\u5b9a\u4e49\u51fa\u6765\u662f\u5728\u592a\u9633\u82b1\u5b66\u8fd0\u4e4b\u540e\u3002”<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u6797\u4e16\u5609\u8bf4\uff0c\u6240\u6709\u653f\u515a\u3001\u6240\u6709\u4e24\u5cb8\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\uff0c\u90fd\u4e0d\u80fd\u5ffd\u7565\u8fd9\u4e2a\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u8d8a\u5e74\u8f7b\u7684\uff0c\u53f0\u6e7e\u8ba4\u540c\u8d8a\u5f3a\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

“\u53f0\u6e7e\u56fd”<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u9488\u5bf9\u6709\u8206\u8bba\u8bf4\uff0c\u5047\u5982\u53f0\u6e7e“\u4e2d\u534e\u6c11\u56fd”\u7684\u90a6\u4ea4\u56fd\u65ad\u5149\u5149\uff0c\u90a3\u65f6“\u53f0\u6e7e\u56fd”\u5012\u662f\u53ef\u4ee5\u51fa\u73b0\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u5bf9\u6b64\uff0c\u65b0\u53f0\u6e7e\u56fd\u7b56\u667a\u5e93\u7814\u53d1\u957f\u674e\u660e\u5cfb\u63d0\u51fa\u4e00\u4e2a\u6cd5\u5f8b\u95ee\u9898<\/span>:<\/span>“\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u90a6\u4ea4\u56fd\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u627f\u8ba4\u4e2d\u534e\u6c11\u56fd\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002\u627f\u8ba4\u4e2d\u534e\u6c11\u56fd\u662f\u6307\u4e2d\u534e\u6c11\u56fd\u4ee3\u8868\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u73b0\u5728\u548c\u6211\u4eec\u5efa\u4ea4\u7684<\/span>20<\/span>\u4e2a\u90a6\u4ea4\u56fd\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4ece\u6cd5\u5f8b\u4e0a\u6765\u89e3\u91ca\u7684\u8bdd\uff0c\u662f\u6307\u8521\u82f1\u6587\u662f\u7edf\u6cbb\u5341\u4e09\u4ebf\u4eba\u7684\u603b\u7edf\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5f53\u7136\u8ddf\u56fd\u9645\u793e\u4f1a\u73b0\u5b9e\u975e\u5e38\u4e0d\u7b26\uff0c\u662f\u5f88\u7578\u5f62\u7684\u72b6\u51b5\u3002”<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

“\u76f4\u63a5\u5bf9\u51b3”<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u674e\u660e\u5cfb\u8bf4\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u53f0\u6e7e\u5e74\u8f7b\u4e16\u4ee3\u7684\u6210\u957f\uff0c\u9010\u6e10\u6210\u4e3a\u53f0\u6e7e\u793e\u4f1a\u4e3b\u4f53\uff0c\u4e2d\u534e\u6c11\u56fd\u8fd9\u4e2a\u56fe\u817e\u5c06\u6d88\u5931\uff0c\u4e0a\u9762\u7684\u6cd5\u5f8b\u95ee\u9898\u6216\u8bb8\u4e0d\u5728\u3002\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff1a“\u7f13\u51b2\u5242\u7684\u4e2d\u534e\u6c11\u56fd\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u7f29\u51cf\u7684\u72b6\u51b5\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u9020\u6210\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u53f0\u6e7e\u56fd\u76f4\u63a5\u5bf9\u51b3\u7684\u4e00\u5929\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u3002\u4f60\u4eec\u5927\u5bb6\u90fd\u5f88\u6e05\u695a\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u56f0\u5883\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u53f0\u6e7e\u7684\u56f0\u5883\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u4e5f\u662f\u56fd\u9645\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u56f0\u5883\u3002”<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u4e0a\u8ff0\u6c11\u8c03\u662f\u7531\u53f0\u6e7e\u8d8b\u52bf\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u80a1\u4efd\u6709\u9650\u516c\u53f8<\/span>6<\/span>\u6708<\/span>17<\/span>\u65e5<\/span>\u81f3<\/span>18<\/span>\u65e5\u5b8c\u6210\uff0c\u8c03\u67e5\u5bf9\u8c61\u662f<\/span>20<\/span>\u5c81\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u53f0\u6e7e\u6c11\u4f17\uff0c\u5b8c\u6210\u6837\u672c<\/span>953<\/span>\u4efd\uff0c\u62bd\u6837\u8bef\u5dee\u6b63\u8d1f<\/span>3.2%<\/span>\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u56fd\u7acb\u53f0\u6e7e\u5927\u5b66\u56fd\u5bb6\u53d1\u5c55\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u6cd5\u5b66\u535a\u58eb\u66fe\u5efa\u5143\u5728\u300a\u7eff\u8425\u667a\u5e93\u5728\u4e24\u5cb8\u5173\u7cfb\u4e2d\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\u300b\u4e00\u6587\u4e2d\u8bf4\uff0c\u65b0\u53f0\u6e7e\u56fd\u7b56\u667a\u5e93\u5728\u6c11\u8fdb\u515a\u5185\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u7279\u5b9a\u7684\u6d3e\u7cfb\u8272\u5f69\uff0c\u5176\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u9664\u8f9c\u5bbd\u654f\u4e2a\u4eba\u58f0\u671b\u5916\uff0c\u6700\u4e3b\u8981\u6765\u81ea\u5176\u7814\u7a76\u4e0a\u7684\u8868\u73b0\u3002<\/span><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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