![\"2017726598EBB53-F276-4039-B513-B4EC63539365_w1023_r1_s.png](\"http:\/\/mzzg.org\/UploadCenter\/ArticlePics\/2017\/29\/2017726598EBB53-F276-4039-B513-B4EC63539365_w1023_r1_s.png\")
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\u65b0\u534e\u793e<\/span>7<\/span>\u6708<\/span>26<\/span>\u65e5<\/span>\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\u8bf4\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u519b\u4e8b\u4eba\u5458\u975e\u6cd5\u8d8a\u754c\uff0c\u5728\u6d1e\u6717\u5730\u533a\uff08\u5370\u5ea6\u79f0\u90fd\u514b\u5170<\/span>Doklam<\/span>\uff09\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u8fb9\u9632\u90e8\u961f\u5bf9\u5cd9\u4e00\u4e2a\u591a\u6708\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u5728\u53cc\u65b9\u654f\u611f\u7684\u8fb9\u754c\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a“\u73a9\u706b”\uff0c\u82e5\u7ee7\u7eed\u6267\u8ff7\u4e0d\u609f\uff0c\u62d2\u7edd\u64a4\u56de\u8d8a\u754c\u519b\u4eba\uff0c“\u5230\u5934\u6765\u7070\u5934\u571f\u8138\u7684\u53ea\u4f1a\u662f\u5370\u5ea6\u81ea\u5df1\u3002”<\/span><\/p> <\/p> \u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u300a\u5370\u5ea6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u65f6\u62a5\u300b\u7684\u62a5\u9053\u79f0\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u5728\u4e2d\u5370\u8fb9\u5883\u5bf9\u5cd9\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u7acb\u573a\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u613f\u610f\u5bf9\u8bdd\uff0c\u4f46\u51b3\u4e0d\u64a4\u519b\u3002<\/span><\/p> <\/p> 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\u6b64\u6b21\u5bf9\u5cd9\u7684\u76f4\u63a5\u8d77\u56e0\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u6d1e\u6717\u5730\u533a\u4fee\u8def\u3002\u6d1e\u6717\u5730\u533a\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u548c\u4e0d\u4e39\u4e09\u65b9\u6709\u4e89\u8bae\u7684\u4e00\u7247\u72ed\u957f\u9ad8\u539f\uff0c\u4e1c\u897f\u7ea6<\/span>10<\/span>\u516c\u91cc<\/span>\uff0c\u5357\u5317\u7ea6<\/span>15<\/span>\u516c\u91cc<\/span>\u3002\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u539f\u672c\u88ab\u4e0d\u4e39\u5b9e\u9645\u63a7\u5236\uff0c\u4f46<\/span>2007<\/span>\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u4e2d\u56fd\u52a0\u5f3a\u4e86\u5728\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u5efa\u8bbe\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u5df2\u5168\u9762\u63a7\u5236\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e00\u5730\u533a\u3002<\/span><\/p> <\/p> 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Corridor)<\/span>\u6784\u6210\u6218\u7565\u5a01\u80c1\u3002\u897f\u91cc\u53e4\u91cc\u8d70\u5eca\u662f\u8fde\u63a5\u5370\u5ea6\u4e1c\u5317\u90e8\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u963f\u9c81\u7eb3\u6070\u5c14\u90a6\uff08\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u6240\u8bf4\u7684\u85cf\u5357\u5730\u533a\uff09\u5728\u5185\u7684\u5404\u90a6\u4e0e\u5370\u5ea6\u5728\u5357\u4e9a\u6b21\u5927\u9646\u4e3b\u8981\u9886\u571f\u7684\u4e00\u6761\u72ed\u957f\u5730\u5e26\uff0c\u6700\u7a84\u5904\u4ec5<\/span>22<\/span>\u516c\u91cc<\/span>\u3002\u6d1e\u6717\u6700\u5357\u7aef\u636e\u897f\u91cc\u53e4\u91cc\u8d70\u5eca\u4ec5<\/span>80<\/span>\u591a\u516c\u91cc\uff0c\u518d\u52a0\u4e0a\u6d1e\u6717\u5730\u5904\u9ad8\u5904\uff0c\u4e2d\u65b9\u53ef\u5728\u8fd9\u91cc\u5168\u9762\u638c\u63e1\u5370\u5ea6\u7684\u4e00\u4e3e\u4e00\u52a8\u3002<\/span><\/p> <\/p> \u4e2d\u56fd\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u5370\u5ea6\u5728\u6d1e\u6717\u5730\u533a\u5e76\u4e0d\u5b58\u5728\u4e3b\u6743\u4e89\u8bae\uff0c\u5728\u8fd9\u4e00\u5730\u533a\u7b51\u8def\u662f\u5b8c\u5168\u5728\u81ea\u5df1\u9886\u571f\u4e0a\u7684\u4e3b\u6743\u884c\u4e3a\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u65e0\u6743\u5e72\u6d89\u3002\u5370\u5ea6\u5219\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u5730\u7f18\u6218\u7565\u8981\u5730\u4fee\u5efa\u516c\u8def\u6539\u53d8\u4e86\u5730\u533a\u73b0\u72b6\u3002\u5370\u5ea6\u8fd8\u6307\u8d23\u4e2d\u56fd\u63a8\u571f\u673a\u6467\u6bc1\u4e86\u4e24\u4e2a\u5370\u519b\u7889\u5821\u3002<\/span><\/p> <\/p> \u8fb9\u754c\u519b\u529b<\/span><\/p> <\/p> \u5370\u5ea6\u4e00\u76f4\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u4e0e\u5176\u4ea4\u754c\u7684\u8fb9\u7586\u5730\u533a\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u5efa\u8bbe\u5fc3\u5b58\u5fe7\u8651\u3002\u534e\u76db\u987f\u667a\u5e93\u5361\u5185\u57fa\u56fd\u9645\u548c\u5e73\u57fa\u91d1\u4f1a<\/span>(Carnegie Endowment for International Peace)<\/span>\u56fd\u9645\u5b89\u5168\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u9ad8\u7ea7\u7814\u7a76\u5458\u963f\u4ec0\u5229·\u7279\u5229\u65af<\/span>(Ashley Tellis)<\/span>\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u4ece<\/span>1962<\/span>\u5e74\u4e2d\u5370\u8fb9\u5883\u6218\u4e89\u4e2d\u5b66\u5230\u7684\u6559\u8bad\u5c31\u662f\u5728\u8fb9\u754c\u53ca\u5176\u5411\u5185\u5ef6\u4f38<\/span>100<\/span>\u82f1\u91cc<\/span>\u5730\u533a\u96c6\u7ed3\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u5175\u529b\u548c\u706b\u529b\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u59cb\u7ec8\u4fdd\u6301\u7edd\u5bf9\u4f18\u52bf\u3002<\/span><\/p> <\/p> \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb<\/span>20<\/span>\u591a\u5e74\u7684\u9ad8\u901f\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u8fb9\u7586\u504f\u8fdc\u5730\u533a\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u5efa\u8bbe\u80fd\u529b\u5927\u5927\u63d0\u9ad8\u3002\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff1a“\u4e2d\u56fd\u897f\u85cf\u5730\u533a\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u5341\u5e74\u5f97\u5230\u4e86\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u63d0\u5347\uff0c\u8fd9\u6539\u53d8\u4e86\uff08\u4e2d\u5370\u4e4b\u95f4\uff09\u7684\u5b9e\u529b\u5bf9\u6bd4\uff0c\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662f\u519b\u529b\u6570\u91cf\u7684\u5bf9\u6bd4\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u610f\u5473\u4e2d\u56fd\u80fd\u591f\u5728\u77ed\u65f6\u95f4\u5185\u5c06\u628a\u533a\u57df\u5916\u7684\u519b\u961f\u8c03\u96c6\u5230\u8fb9\u5883\u5730\u533a\u3002”<\/span><\/p> <\/p> \u7279\u5229\u65af\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4f20\u7edf\u4e0a\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u8fb9\u9632\u5728\u548c\u5e73\u65f6\u671f\u901a\u5e38\u7531\u6b66\u8b66\u8d1f\u8d23\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u8003\u8651\u5230\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u8fb9\u7586\u5c11\u6570\u6c11\u65cf\u5730\u533a\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u548c\u7ef4\u7a33\uff0c\u800c\u771f\u6b63\u5177\u5907\u6218\u4e89\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u89e3\u653e\u519b\u662f\u5728\u8fdc\u79bb\u8fb9\u5883\u7684\u519b\u533a\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u8d1f\u8d23\u4e2d\u5370\u897f\u7ebf\u8fb9\u5883\u7684\u662f\u5170\u5dde\u519b\u533a\uff0c\u8d1f\u8d23\u4e1c\u7ebf\u7684\u662f\u6210\u90fd\u519b\u533a\u3002<\/span><\/p> <\/p> “\u5370\u5ea6\u73b0\u5728\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4ec5\u8981\u8003\u8651\u5728\u6570\u91cf\u4e0a\u7684\u5bf9\u6bd4\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u5370\u5ea6\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u519b\u961f\u6570\u91cf\u4e0a\u7684\u5bf9\u6bd4\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u4e5f\u8981\u770b\u52a8\u6001\u7684\u529b\u91cf\u5bf9\u6bd4<\/span>(dynamic balances)<\/span>\uff0c\u5373\u4e2d\u56fd\u52a8\u5458\u5170\u5dde\u3001\u6210\u90fd\u4e24\u4e2a\u519b\u533a\u519b\u961f\u7684\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u4e00\u56e0\u7d20\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u6539\u53d8\u4e2d\u5370\u7684\u529b\u91cf\u5bf9\u6bd4\u3002”\u4ed6\u8bf4\u3002<\/span><\/p> <\/p> \u6b64\u6b21\u4e2d\u5370\u8fb9\u5883\u5bf9\u5cd9\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eca\u5e74\u5f00\u59cb\u52a0\u901f\u63a8\u8fdb“\u4e00\u5e26\u4e00\u8def”\u5021\u8bae\u3002\u4eca\u5e74<\/span>5<\/span>\u6708\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e3b\u5e2d\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u5728\u5317\u4eac\u4e3b\u6301“\u4e00\u5e26\u4e00\u8def”\u56fd\u9645\u5408\u4f5c\u9ad8\u5cf0\u8bba\u575b\uff0c\u6709<\/span>28<\/span>\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u5143\u9996\u3001<\/span>130<\/span>\u591a\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u4ee3\u8868\u548c<\/span>60<\/span>\u591a\u4e2a\u56fd\u9645\u7ec4\u7ec7\u51fa\u5e2d\u3002\u5370\u5ea6\u662f\u552f\u4e00\u7f3a\u5e2d\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u5927\u56fd\u3002<\/span><\/p> <\/p> \u5370\u5ea6\u56fd\u5185\u7684\u4e3b\u6d41\u89c2\u70b9\u662f\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684“\u4e00\u5e26\u4e00\u8def”\u5021\u8bae\u51e0\u4e4e\u5b8c\u5168\u662f\u51fa\u4e8e\u5730\u7f18\u6218\u7565\u8003\u91cf\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u9879\u76ee\u5728\u548c\u5e73\u65f6\u671f\u662f\u6c11\u7528\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u6218\u4e89\u65f6\u671f\u5c31\u662f\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u6218\u7565\u8d44\u6e90\u3002\u524d\u5370\u5ea6\u9ad8\u7ea7\u5916\u4ea4\u5b98\u666e\u62c9\u5df4\u7279·\u8212\u514b\u62c9\u8bf4\uff1a“\u4e00\u5e26\u4e00\u8def\u662f\u9ad8\u5ea6\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u6218\u7565\u9879\u76ee\uff0c\u88ab\uff08\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\uff09\u5305\u88c5\u6210\u4e86\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9879\u76ee\uff0c\u4f46\u5176\u5b9e\u4e0d\u662f\u3002”<\/span><\/p> <\/p> \u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e00\u5e26\u4e00\u8def\u7ecf\u8fc7\u5370\u5df4\u6709\u4e89\u8bae\u7684\u514b\u4ec0\u7c73\u5c14\u5730\u533a\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u4e00\u76f4\u803f\u803f\u4e8e\u6000\u3002\u524d\u5370\u5ea6\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u6210\u5458\u3001\u9000\u5f79\u4e2d\u5c06\u7eb3\u62c9\u8f9b\u6c49\u8bf4\uff1a“\uff08\u7f3a\u5e2d\u4e00\u5e26\u4e00\u8def\uff09\u662f\u5370\u5ea6\u51fa\u4e8e\u5bf9\u4e3b\u6743\u548c\u9886\u571f\u5b8c\u6574\u7684\u8003\u8651\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4e2d\u5df4\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8d70\u5eca<\/span>(CPEC)<\/span>\u7ecf\u8fc7\u5df4\u63a7\u514b\u4ec0\u7c73\u5c14\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u5fc5\u987b\u8981\u89e3\u51b3\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u5176\u6b21\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u58f0\u79f0\u4e00\u5e26\u4e00\u8def\u662f\u5305\u5bb9\u7684\u3001\u5408\u4f5c\u7684\u9879\u76ee\uff0c\u4f46\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u5374\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u4e00\u8a00\u5802\u3002\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\uff0c\u4e00\u5e26\u4e00\u8def\u7684\u5f88\u591a\u65b9\u9762\u90fd\u4e0d\u4e3a\u4eba\u6240\u77e5\u3002\u5370\u65b9\u591a\u6b21\u628a\u8fd9\u4e9b\u62c5\u5fe7\u8f6c\u8fbe\u7ed9\u4e2d\u65b9\uff0c\u4f46\u6ca1\u6709\u5f97\u5230\u4e2d\u65b9\u56de\u5e94\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u9886\u571f\u4e3b\u6743\u95ee\u9898\u3002”<\/span><\/p> 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