{"id":79646,"date":"2018-01-01T04:48:00","date_gmt":"2018-01-01T04:48:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/127.0.0.1:10081\/?p=79646 "},"modified":"2018-01-01T04:48:00","modified_gmt":"2018-01-01T04:48:00","slug":"79646-revision-v1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=79646","title":{"rendered":"\u97e9\u5bb6\u4eae\uff1a\u6c11\u4e3b\u9000\u6f6e\u548c\u6c11\u4e3b\u7406\u8bba\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u8fd1\u6765\u6709\u4e0d\u5c11\u5173\u4e8e\u6c11\u4e3b\u8fdb\u7a0b\u632b\u6298\u7684\u8ba8\u8bba\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u5927\u5b66\u4e00\u6b21\u8ba8\u8bba\u4f1a\u7684\u4e3b\u9898<\/span>[1]<\/span>\u3002\u8fd9\u4e5f\u4e0e\u80e1\u5e73\u5173\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u5d1b\u8d77\u7684\u89e3\u8bfb\u76f8\u5173<\/span>[2]<\/span>\u3002\u5916\u4ea4\u5173\u7cfb\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\uff08<\/span>The Council on Foreign Relations<\/span>\uff09\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u5458<\/span>Joshua Kurlantzick<\/span>\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u672c\u4e13\u8457\u300a\u6c11\u4e3b\u7684\u9000\u6f6e\uff08<\/span>Democracy in Retreat<\/span>\uff09\u300b<\/span>[3]<\/span>\u3002\u300a\u6c11\u4e3b\u7684\u9000\u6f6e\u300b\u4e00\u4e66\u7684\u8ba8\u8bba\u6bd4\u8f83\u8be6\u7ec6\u5168\u9762\uff0c\u540e\u9762\u6211\u5c06\u7b80\u7565\u8003\u8651\u8fd9\u672c\u4e66\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u6c11\u4e3b\u8f6c\u578b\u7684\u610f\u4e49\u3002\u4f46\u6211\u5148\u63d0\u9192\u5927\u5bb6\u6ce8\u610f\u6bd4\u8f83\u65b0\u6bd4\u8f83\u5168\u9762\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u7406\u8bba\u3002\u6700\u8fd1\u6c11\u4e3b\u9000\u6f6e\u6216\u632b\u6298\u7684\u90e8\u5206\u539f\u56e0\u53ef\u4ee5\u8ffd\u6eaf\u5230\u5e38\u89c1\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u7406\u8bba\u8fc7\u4e8e\u7b80\u5355\u3002\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u7406\u8bba\u4f7f\u5f97\u8f6c\u578b\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u9886\u8896\u548c\u7cbe\u82f1\u5bf9\u6c11\u4e3b\u8f6c\u578b\u7684\u6311\u6218\u548c\u56f0\u96be\u8ba4\u8bc6\u4e0d\u8db3\u4ee5\u53ca\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u6c11\u4e3b\u7684\u6210\u679c\u671f\u671b\u8fc7\u5feb\u8fc7\u9ad8\u3002\u4e0b\u9762\u6211\u5148\u63d0\u53ca\u65b0\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u7406\u8bba\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u8003\u8651\u6c11\u4e3b\u9000\u6f6e\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u6700\u540e\u8054\u7cfb\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u8f6c\u578b\u3002<\/span><\/p>

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\u5e7f\u4e3a\u6240\u77e5\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u8f6c\u578b\u7406\u8bba\u7531\u4ea8\u5ef7\u987f\uff08<\/span>Samuel Huntington<\/span>\uff09\uff0c\u5229\u666e\u585e\u7279\uff08<\/span>Seymour Martin Lipset<\/span>\uff09 \u7b49\u63d0\u51fa\uff08<\/span>[3]<\/span>\uff0c<\/span>36<\/span>\uff0d<\/span>37<\/span>\u9875\uff1b\u798f\u5c71\u7684\u4e66\u4e5f\u6709\u4ecb\u7ecd<\/span>[4]<\/span>\uff0c<\/span>27<\/span>\u7ae0\uff09\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7406\u8bba\u5f88\u7b80\u5355\uff1a\u4e00\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u8fbe\u5230\u4e00\u5b9a\u9ad8\u5ea6\u4ee5\u540e\u4f1a\u4ea7\u751f\u5927\u6279\u4e2d\u4ea7\u9636\u7ea7\u3002\u4e2d\u4ea7\u9636\u7ea7\u4f1a\u6709\u653f\u6cbb\u8bc9\u6c42\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u5bfc\u81f4\u6c11\u4e3b\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7406\u8bba\u6709\u5408\u7406\u7684\u4e00\u9762\u4e5f\u6709\u4e0d\u5408\u7406\u7684\u4e00\u9762\u3002\u5408\u7406\u7684\u4e00\u9762\u662f\u5b83\u603b\u7ed3\u4e86\u5df2\u7ecf\u5b9e\u73b0\u6c11\u4e3b\u7684\u897f\u65b9\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u5148\u4f8b\u3002\u7528\u5b83\u6765\u5206\u6790\u6587\u5316\u80cc\u666f\u548c\u4f20\u7edf\u76f8\u4f3c\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u6709\u5f88\u5927\u53c2\u8003\u4ef7\u503c\u3002\u524d\u9762\u6211\u6307\u51fa\u6c11\u4e3b\u5236\u5ea6\u662f\u5927\u7684\u53d8\u9769\u3002\u4e2d\u4ea7\u9636\u7ea7\u7684\u51fa\u73b0\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u4f1a\u81ea\u7136\u4ea7\u751f\u6c11\u4e3b\u3002\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u7406\u8bba\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u9002\u7528\u4e8e\u4f20\u7edf\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\uff1b\u8fd9\u662f\u5b83\u4e0d\u5408\u7406\u7684\u4e00\u9762\u3002\u666e\u904d\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u8f6c\u578b\u9700\u8981\u66f4\u8be6\u7ec6\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u8f6c\u578b\u7406\u8bba\u3002\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u73b0\u5728\u5df2\u7ecf\u6709\u8fd9\u79cd\u7406\u8bba\u3002\u798f\u5c71\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u79e9\u5e8f\u548c\u8870\u8d25\u4e00\u4e66\u7b2c\u4e09\u90e8\u5206<\/span>“<\/span>\u6c11\u4e3b<\/span>”<\/span>\u6709\u56db\u7ae0<\/span>[4]<\/span>\u3002\u6211\u66fe\u5199\u8fc7\u4e24\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u4ecb\u7ecd\u5176\u4e2d\u7684\u4e09\u7ae0\uff08\u4f5c\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u9644\u52a0\uff0c\u8bc4\u8bba\uff0c\u548c\u5ef6\u4f38\uff09<\/span>[5,6]<\/span>\u3002\u65b0\u7684\u7406\u8bba\u5b8c\u5168\u5305\u542b\u4ee5\u524d\u7684\u7b80\u5355\u7406\u8bba\u3002\u5982\u679c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8fd8\u6ca1\u6709\u9ad8\u5ea6\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u6c11\u4f17\u7f3a\u4e4f\u57fa\u672c\u7684\u516c\u6c11\u77e5\u8bc6\uff0c\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\u81ea\u5df1\u6709\u6743\u529b\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u65f6\u95f4\u53c2\u4e0e\u653f\u6cbb\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u6c11\u4e3b\u8f6c\u578b\u5f88\u96be\u6210\u529f\u3002\u4f46\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u8fbe\u53ea\u662f\u6c11\u4e3b\u7684\u5fc5\u8981\u6761\u4ef6\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u5145\u5206\u6761\u4ef6\uff08\u5f53\u7136\u4e5f\u6709\u4e2a\u522b\u7279\u4f8b\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u5370\u5ea6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u975e\u5e38\u843d\u540e\u65f6\u4ecd\u7136\u6210\u529f\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u6c11\u4e3b\u8f6c\u578b\uff09\u3002\u5173\u4e8e\u65b0\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u8f6c\u578b\u7406\u8bba\u5982\u4f55\u8fd0\u884c\uff0c\u8bf7\u53c2\u8003\u798f\u5c71\u7684\u4e66\uff0c\u4e66\u4e2d\u5199\u7684\u76f8\u5f53\u6e05\u695a\u3002<\/span>[5]<\/span>\u662f\u6211\u53c2\u7167\u798f\u5c71\u7684\u4e66\u5199\u7684\u4e2d\u6587\u7b80\u4ecb\uff08\u6211\u66fe\u7ecf\u5c1d\u8bd5\u753b\u56fe\u89e3\u91ca\u4f46\u6ca1\u6709\u5370\u51fa\u6765\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u6700\u597d\u8fd8\u662f\u8bfb\u539f\u4e66\uff09\u3002<\/span>[6]<\/span>\u662f\u7ed3\u5408\u798f\u5c71\u6b64\u4e66\u7684\u540e\u9762\u4e24\u7ae0\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e2d\u56fd\u60c5\u51b5\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u6982\u8ff0\u3002\u53e6\u5916\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4e3b\u5bfc\u5b97\u6559\uff0f\u610f\u8bc6\u5f62\u6001\u4e5f\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u9700\u8981\u8003\u8651\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u56e0\u7d20\uff08\u89c1\u6587\u540e\u94fe\u63a5\uff09\u3002<\/span><\/p>

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\u7b2c\u56db\u7ae0\u7684\u4e3b\u9898\u662f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3002\u6211\u8fd9\u91cc\u5148\u5bf9\u653f\u6cbb\u6f14\u8fdb\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u505a\u4e2a\u975e\u5e38\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u4fef\u77b0\uff0c\u540e\u9762\u8ba8\u8bba\u9700\u8981\u8fd9\u4e9b\u77e5\u8bc6\u3002\u4ece\u7f57\u9a6c\u5e1d\u56fd\u6d88\u4ea1\u5230\u516c\u5143<\/span>1800<\/span>\u5e74\u897f\u65b9\uff08\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u4e16\u754c\u5176\u5b83\u56fd\u5bb6\u7c7b\u4f3c\uff09\u7ecf\u6d4e\u957f\u671f\u505c\u6ede\uff0c\u8fdb\u5c55\u6781\u5176\u7f13\u6162\u3002\u4f46\u4ece<\/span>1800<\/span>\u5e74\u5de6\u53f3\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u897f\u65b9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f00\u59cb\u98de\u901f\u53d1\u5c55\u3002\u79d1\u5b66\u6280\u672f\u662f\u4e2a\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u4f46<\/span>1800<\/span>\u5e74\u65f6\u6587\u827a\u590d\u5174\u5df2\u7ecf\u6709\u4e94\u767e\u5e74\u4e4b\u4e45\uff0c\u5b97\u6559\u6539\u9769\u548c\u79d1\u5b66\u7684\u98de\u901f\u53d1\u5c55\u4e5f\u6709\u4e8c\u4e09\u767e\u5e74\u4e86\u3002\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5feb\u901f\u53d1\u5c55\u6ca1\u6709\u66f4\u65e9\u53d1\u751f\uff1f<\/span>1800<\/span>\u5e74\u5f00\u59cb\u7684\u897f\u65b9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u98de\u901f\u53d1\u5c55\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u5e94\u8be5\u5f52\u529f\u4e8e\u81ea\u7531\u6c11\u4e3b\u5236\u5ea6\u548c\u5e02\u573a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3002\u81ea\u7531\u6c11\u4e3b\u5236\u5ea6\u548c\u5e02\u573a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6709\u5f88\u5927\u76f8\u4f3c\uff08\u90fd\u662f\u5206\u5e03\u5f0f\uff0d<\/span>distributed<\/span>\u6216<\/span>decentralized<\/span>\uff09\uff0c\u5f53\u7136\u5b83\u4eec\u4e5f\u6709\u91cd\u8981\u4e0d\u540c\u3002\u7a0d\u8be6\u7ec6\u4e00\u4e9b\u7684\u8ba8\u8bba\u8bf7\u53c2\u8003<\/span>[7]<\/span>\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u4ece\u4e2d\u592e\u6307\u4ee4\u5f0f\u4f53\u7cfb\u8f6c\u5230\u5206\u5e03\u5f0f\u4f53\u7cfb\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u9769\u547d\u6027\u7684\u8f6c\u53d8\u3002\u8fd9\u4e8c\u767e\u591a\u5e74\u897f\u65b9\u56fd\u5bb6\u80fd\u591f\u4ea7\u751f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9ad8\u901f\u53d1\u5c55\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u653f\u6cbb\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u90fd\u6210\u529f\u8f6c\u53d8\u6210\u4e3a\u5206\u5e03\u5f0f\u4f53\u7cfb\u3002\u524d\u82cf\u8054\u7684\u57ae\u53f0\u662f\u5b83\u4f01\u56fe\u7ee7\u7eed\u7528\u4e2d\u592e\u6307\u4ee4\u5f0f\u4f53\u7cfb\u6765\u53d1\u5c55\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u5931\u8d25\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u5219\u7ed3\u5408\u4e2d\u592e\u6307\u4ee4\u5f0f\u4f53\u7cfb\u548c\u5e02\u573a\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u76f8\u5f53\u6210\u529f\u3002\uff08<\/span>Aaron L. Friedberg <\/span>\u7528\u4e0d\u540c\u89d2\u5ea6\u5206\u6790<\/span>[8]<\/span>\u4e5f\u6709\u53c2\u8003\u4ef7\u503c\uff1b\u53e6\u5916<\/span>[8]<\/span>\u5bf9\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5173\u7cfb\u6709\u5f88\u597d\u7684\u5206\u6790\u548c\u5c55\u671b\u3002\uff09\u6211\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u6210\u529f\u9014\u5f84\u53ea\u5728\u8ffd\u8d76\u5148\u8fdb\u65f6\u6709\u7528\uff0c\u63a5\u8fd1\u5148\u8fdb\u6c34\u5e73\u65f6\u53d1\u5c55\u901f\u5ea6\u4f1a\u51cf\u7f13\u751a\u81f3\u505c\u6ede\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u7ed3\u6784\u7684\u9650\u5236\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5728\u300a\u6c11\u4e3b\u7684\u9000\u6f6e\u300b\u4e00\u4e66\u91cc\u5360\u6709\u91cd\u8981\u5730\u4f4d\uff1b\u7b2c\u56db\u7ae0\u4e13\u95e8\u8ba8\u8bba\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff0c\u5176\u5b83\u5730\u65b9\u4e5f\u5e38\u6d89\u53ca\u3002\u4e00\u4e2a\u8981\u70b9\u662f\u4f53\u5236\u6539\u9769\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u957f\u671f\u8fc7\u7a0b\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4ed4\u7ec6\u601d\u91cf\u4e0a\u9762\u5bf9\u653f\u6cbb\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u4fef\u77b0\uff0c\u8fd9\u5e94\u8be5\u4e0d\u4ee4\u4eba\u5947\u602a\u56e0\u4e3a\u653f\u6cbb\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u90fd\u9700\u8981\u6839\u672c\u6027\u7684\u6539\u9769\u3002\u8d8a\u662f\u7f3a\u4e4f\u6c11\u4e3b\u548c\u5e02\u573a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u4f20\u7edf\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u6539\u9769\u7684\u8d8a\u591a\u6539\u9769\u7684\u5e45\u5ea6\u8d8a\u5927\u3002\u5efa\u7acb\u65b0\u673a\u5236\u548c\u4f7f\u516c\u6c11\u9002\u5e94\u65b0\u4f53\u7cfb\u90fd\u9700\u8981\u65f6\u95f4\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\u9700\u8981\u6559\u80b2\u6c11\u4f17\uff0c\u4f7f\u5927\u5bb6\u660e\u786e\u6c11\u4e3b\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u6709\u957f\u8fdc\u7684\u597d\u5904\uff0c\u4f46\u56e0\u4e3a\u9700\u8981\u8c03\u6574\u7ed3\u6784\u77ed\u671f\u4e2d\u671f\u6539\u9769\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u5f97\u5230\u73b0\u5b9e\u597d\u5904\u3002\u524d\u671f\u6539\u9769\u7684\u6210\u529f\u4f1a\u4e3a\u5c06\u6765\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u6253\u597d\u575a\u5b9e\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u3002\u6ce8\u610f\u9886\u8896\u4e0d\u80fd\u8bb8\u8bfa\u6c11\u4f17\u8fc7\u591a\uff08\u9700\u8981<\/span>manage expectations<\/span>\uff09\u3002\u5982\u679c\u8bb8\u8bfa\u8fc7\u591a\uff0c\u5c06\u6765\u8fbe\u4e0d\u5230\u671f\u671b\u4f1a\u4f7f\u6c11\u4f17\u5931\u671b\u3002\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u8f6c\u578b\u632b\u6298\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u6c11\u4f17\u53ef\u80fd\u8981\u6c42\u56de\u5230\u4e13\u5236\u3002\u8fd9\u65b9\u9762\u5357\u975e\u505a\u7684\u6bd4\u8f83\u597d\uff0c\u6cf0\u56fd\uff0c\u83f2\u5f8b\u5bbe\uff0c\u4fc4\u56fd\u505a\u7684\u5dee\u3002\u53e6\u5916\u5f88\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\u9700\u8981\u638c\u63e1\u597d\u8f6c\u578b\u7684\u5feb\u6162\uff0c\u5e73\u8861\u6c11\u4f17\u7684\u627f\u53d7\u80fd\u529b\u540c\u65f6\u6539\u8fdb\u5927\u591a\u6570\u6c11\u4f17\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u72b6\u51b5\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u70b9\u4e0e\u524d\u9762\u6709\u8054\u7cfb\u3002\u591a\u6570\u6c11\u4f17\u4e0d\u4f1a\u8fc7\u591a\u8003\u8651\u7406\u8bba\u548c\u957f\u8fdc\u7684\u5c55\u671b\u3002\u653f\u6cbb\u9886\u8896\u9700\u8981\u63a7\u5236\u6539\u9769\u7684\u5c3a\u5ea6\u548c\u901f\u5ea6\u4f7f\u591a\u6570\u6c11\u4f17\u770b\u5f97\u5230\u6539\u9769\u7684\u597d\u5904\u53c8\u7b26\u5408\u6539\u9769\u7684\u957f\u8fdc\u89c4\u5212\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u65e0\u8bba\u54ea\u7c7b\u6c11\u4e3b\u8f6c\u578b\u7406\u8bba\uff0c\u4e2d\u4ea7\u9636\u7ea7\u90fd\u662f\u6c11\u4e3b\u8f6c\u578b\u7684\u4e2d\u575a\u529b\u91cf\u3002\u300a\u6c11\u4e3b\u7684\u9000\u6f6e\u300b\u6709\u4e00\u7ae0\u4e13\u95e8\u8003\u8651\u4e2d\u4ea7\u9636\u7ea7\u3002\u5728\u4e00\u4e9b\u8f6c\u578b\u56fd\u5bb6\u91cc\u4e2d\u4ea7\u9636\u7ea7\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4e0d\u63a8\u52a8\u6c11\u4e3b\u751a\u81f3\u7ad9\u5728\u4e13\u5236\u4e00\u8fb9\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u6709\u4e9b\u65f6\u95f4\u5728\u6cf0\u56fd\u548c\u83f2\u5f8b\u5bbe\u3002\u867d\u7136\u80cc\u666f\u56e0\u7d20\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u592a\u76f8\u540c\uff0c\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u5c06\u6765\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u53d1\u751f\u7c7b\u4f3c\u60c5\u51b5\u3002\u9700\u8981\u7279\u522b\u6ce8\u610f\u9632\u6b62\u53d1\u751f\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u6700\u540e\u603b\u7ed3\u4e00\u4e0b\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u8f6c\u578b\u9700\u8981\u91c7\u7528\u65b0\u7684\u8f83\u8be6\u7ec6\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u8f6c\u578b\u7406\u8bba\uff08<\/span>[4]<\/span>\uff0c<\/span>27<\/span>\uff0d<\/span>30<\/span>\u7ae0\uff09\u3002\u300a\u6c11\u4e3b\u7684\u9000\u6f6e\u300b\u4e00\u4e66\u603b\u7ed3\u4e86\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u8bb8\u591a\u4e0d\u540c\u6587\u5316\u80cc\u666f\uff0c\u653f\u6cbb\u4f20\u7edf\u56fd\u5bb6\u6c11\u4e3b\u8f6c\u578b\u7684\u7ecf\u9a8c\u6559\u8bad\u3002\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u56fd\u6c11\u4e3b\u8f6c\u578b\u7684\u7ecf\u9a8c\u6559\u8bad\u5305\u62ec\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u89c4\u5212\uff0c\u6210\u529f\uff0c\u632b\u6298\uff0c\u5931\u8d25\u7b49\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u8f6c\u578b\u5982\u679c\u5728\u65b0\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u8f6c\u578b\u7406\u8bba\u7684\u6846\u67b6\u4e0b\uff0c\u6df1\u5165\u8003\u8651\u5404\u56fd\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u8f6c\u578b\u7684\u7ecf\u9a8c\u6559\u8bad\uff0c\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u5c11\u8d70\u5f2f\u8def\u5c11\u4ed8\u4ee3\u4ef7\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u6ce8\u91ca\uff1a<\/em><\/span><\/p>

\uff08<\/span>1<\/span>\uff09<\/span>20<\/span>\u4f4d\u7f8e\u56fd\u9876\u5c16\u653f\u6cbb\u5b66\u5bb6\u5171\u540c\u63a2\u8ba8\u7f8e\u56fd\u6c11\u4e3b\u5236\u5ea6\uff0c\u7ed3\u8bba\u8ba9\u4ed6\u4eec\u611f\u5230\u6050\u60e7<\/span><\/em><\/p>

http:\/\/www.chinainperspective.com\/ArtShow.aspx?AID=188025<\/em><\/span><\/a><\/p>

\uff08<\/span>2<\/span>\uff09\u80e1\u5e73\u6f14\u8bb2\u5982\u4f55\u89e3\u8bfb\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e4b\u5d1b\u8d77<\/span><\/em><\/p>

http:\/\/www.chinainperspective.com\/ArtShow.aspx?AID=187623<\/em><\/span><\/a><\/p>

\uff08<\/span>3<\/span>\uff09<\/span>Joshua Kurlantzick, “Democracy in Retreat: The Revolt of the Middle Class and the Worldwide Decline of Representative Government,” Yale University Press, 2014.<\/span><\/em><\/p>

\uff08<\/span>4<\/span>\uff09<\/span>Francis Fukuyama, “Political Order and Political Decay: From the Industrial Revolution to the Globalization of Democracy,” Farrar, Straus and Giroux,  2014.<\/span><\/em><\/p>

\uff08<\/span>5<\/span>\uff09\u97e9\u5bb6\u4eae\uff1a\u6c11\u4e3b\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u6269\u5c55\uff1f<\/span> http:\/\/chinainperspective.com\/ArtShow.aspx?AID=171769<\/span><\/em><\/p>

\uff08<\/span>6<\/span>\uff09\u97e9\u5bb6\u4eae\uff1a<\/span>\u6c11\u4e3b\u8f6c\u578b\u6218\u7565\u63a2\u8ba8<\/span><\/a><\/em><\/p>

\uff08<\/span>7<\/span>\uff09\u97e9\u5bb6\u4eae\uff1a\u4e2d\u5171\u5341\u4e5d\u5927\u610f\u5473\u7740\u4ec0\u4e48\uff1f <\/span>http:\/\/chinainperspective.com\/ArtShow.aspx?AID=186067<\/span><\/a><\/em><\/p>

\uff08<\/span>8<\/span>\uff09<\/span>Aaron L. Friedberg, “A Contest for Supremacy: China, America, and the Struggle for Mastery in Asia,” W. W. Norton & Company; 2012. <\/span><\/em><\/p>

 <\/em><\/p>

\u76f8\u5173\u94fe\u63a5\uff08\u63a2\u8ba8\u6c11\u4e3b\u4e0e\u6587\u660e\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\uff09\uff1a<\/em><\/span><\/p>

\uff08<\/span>1<\/span>\uff09\u97e9\u5bb6\u4eae\uff1a\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u56fd\u5bb6\u6c11\u4e3b\u8f6c\u578b\u521d\u63a2<\/span> http:\/\/chinainperspective.com\/ArtShow.aspx?AID=153572<\/span><\/em><\/p>

\uff08<\/span>2<\/span>\uff09\u97e9\u5bb6\u4eae\uff1a\u81ea\u7531\u6c11\u4e3b\u5236\u4e0e\u57fa\u7763\u6559<\/span> http:\/\/chinainperspective.com\/ArtShow.aspx?AID=158730<\/span><\/em><\/p>

\uff08<\/span>3<\/span>\uff09\u97e9\u5bb6\u4eae\uff1a\u6c11\u4e3b\u9002\u5408\u975e\u57fa\u7763\u6559\u56fd\u5bb6\u5417\uff1f<\/span><\/em><\/p>

http:\/\/chinainperspective.com\/ArtShow.aspx?AID=164083<\/em><\/p>

\uff08<\/span>4<\/span>\uff09\u97e9\u5bb6\u4eae\uff1a\u63a2\u8ba8\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u8f6c\u578b\u524d\u9014<\/span> http:\/\/chinainperspective.com\/ArtShow.aspx?AID=170579<\/span><\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u8fd1\u6765\u6709\u4e0d\u5c11\u5173\u4e8e\u6c11\u4e3b\u8fdb\u7a0b\u632b\u6298\u7684\u8ba8\u8bba\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u5927\u5b66\u4e00\u6b21\u8ba8\u8bba\u4f1a\u7684\u4e3b\u9898[1]\u3002\u8fd9\u4e5f\u4e0e\u80e1\u5e73\u5173\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u5d1b\u8d77\u7684\u89e3\u8bfb\u76f8\u5173[2 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":24,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-79646","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-thought","et-doesnt-have-format-content","et_post_format-et-post-format-standard"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/79646","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/24"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=79646"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/79646\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=79646"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=79646"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=79646"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}