![\"2018321_100329707_1754dd4d-e530-4980-97ce-5875f9399746.jpg](\"http:\/\/mzzg.org\/UploadCenter\/ArticlePics\/2018\/11\/2018321_100329707_1754dd4d-e530-4980-97ce-5875f9399746.jpg\")
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\u5f53\u4eca\u4e16\u754c\uff0c\u8fd9\u901a\u5e38\u610f\u5473\u7740\u63a7\u5236\u4e92\u8054\u7f51\u3002<\/span><\/p> <\/p> \u786e\u5b9e\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u82cf\u9ece\u4e16\u5927\u5b66\u6559\u6388\u683c\u5fb7\u65af\uff08<\/span>Anita Gohdes<\/span>\uff09\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4e0d\u8981\u88ab\u6240\u8c13\u7684\u63a8\u7279\u9769\u547d\u8bf4\u6cd5\u6240\u611a\u5f04\u3002\u865a\u62df\u4e16\u754c\u4e2d\u53d7\u76ca\u7684\u901a\u5e38\u662f\u5f53\u5c40\u3002<\/span><\/p> <\/p> \u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u5c06\u5176\u53d1\u5c55\u4e3a\u4e00\u95e8\u7279\u6b8a\u7684\u827a\u672f\u5f62\u5f0f\u3002\u683c\u5fb7\u65af\u8bf4\uff0c<\/span>“<\/span>\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u4e00\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u6709\u4e2d\u56fd\u90a3\u6837\u7684\u4eba\u529b\uff0c\u63a7\u5236\u3001\u8fc7\u6ee4\u4e92\u8054\u7f51\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5f88\u6709\u610f\u601d\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\uff0c\u7528\u7684\u662f\u56de\u5e94\u6027\u5ba1\u67e5\u3002\u5c40\u52bf\u8d8a\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u8d8a\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u52a0\u5f3a\u5ba1\u67e5\u3002<\/span>“<\/span><\/p> <\/p> \u63a7\u5236\u5bf9\u624b<\/span><\/p> <\/p> \u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u88ab\u4eba\u6c11\u8d77\u4e49\u63a8\u7ffb\u7684\u72ec\u88c1\u8005\u5be5\u5be5\u65e0\u51e0\u3002\u5927\u72ec\u88c1\u8005\u7684\u751f\u5b58\u6307\u5357\u7b2c\u4e8c\u7ae0\u662f\uff0c\u5982\u4f55\u63a7\u5236\u4e00\u5c0f\u64ae\u7cbe\u82f1\u3002<\/span><\/p> <\/p> \u5982\u679c\u72ec\u88c1\u8005\u60f3\u7ee7\u7eed\u638c\u6743\uff0c\u4ed6\u5fc5\u987b\u786e\u4fdd\u8ba9\u7cbe\u82f1\u5c42\u4e2d\u90a3\u4e9b\u6f5c\u5728\u5bf9\u624b\u9ad8\u5174\u3002\u7ebd\u7ea6\u5927\u5b66\u653f\u6cbb\u5b66\u6559\u6388\u9ea6\u65af\u57fa\u8fbe\uff08<\/span>Bruce Bueno de Mesquita<\/span>\uff09\u4e3e\u4e86\u671d\u9c9c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4f8b\u5b50\u3002<\/span><\/p> <\/p> \u4ed6\u8bf4\uff0c<\/span>“<\/span>\u6bd4\u5982\u671d\u9c9c\uff0c\u6700\u5173\u952e\u7684\u5c0f\u5708\u5b50\u5305\u62ec\u4e00\u4e9b\u5c06\u519b\uff0c\u51e0\u540d\u5bb6\u5ead\u6210\u5458\uff0c\u4e00\u6279\u9ad8\u7ea7\u516c\u52a1\u5458\u3001\u7279\u522b\u662f\u7ba1\u94b1\u7684\u3002\u7b97\u4e0b\u6765\uff0c\u603b\u6570\u4e5f\u5c31\u5728<\/span>10<\/span>\u51e0\u5230<\/span>100<\/span>\u4e4b\u95f4\u3002<\/span>“<\/span><\/p> <\/p> \u5141\u8bb8\u8150\u8d25\u53ef\u4ee5\u8bf1\u5bfc\u4ed6\u4eec\u5fe0\u5fc3\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4ed6\u4eec\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5bcc\u6709\u3002\u5982\u679c\u6000\u7591\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e0d\u5fe0……\u90a3\u4e48\u53ef\u4ee5\u6307\u63a7\u4ed6\u4eec\u8150\u8d25\u3002<\/span><\/p> \u7ebd\u7ea6\u5927\u5b66\u653f\u6cbb\u5b66\u6559\u6388\u9ea6\u65af\u57fa\u8fbe<\/span><\/p> \u8fd8\u6709\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6f5c\u5728\u5bf9\u624b\u7684\u5fe0\u5fc3\u4e5f\u662f\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528\u94b1\u6536\u4e70\u7684\u3002\u6bd4\u5982\uff0c\u628a\u56fd\u5e93\u6536\u6765\u7684\u7a0e\u91d1\u3001\u6216\u8005\u51fa\u53e3\u77f3\u6cb9\u8d5a\u6765\u7684\u5229\u6da6\u88c5\u5165\u90a3\u4e9b\u4eba\u7684\u8170\u5305\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u6295\u8d44\u5728\u6539\u5584\u516c\u5171\u670d\u52a1\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u533b\u9662\u3002\u94a6\u5b9a\u6311\u9009\u51fa\u6765\u7684\u90a3\u4e48\u51e0\u4e2a\u4eba\uff0c\u5f97\u5230\u7684\u56de\u62a5\u662f\u8c6a\u8f66\u3001\u6216\u8005\u8c6a\u5b85\u3002<\/span><\/p> <\/p> \u8fd9\u4f4d\u6559\u6388\u8fd8\u8bf4\uff0c\u653e\u884c\u8150\u8d25\u4e0d\u4ec5\u53ef\u4ee5\u6536\u4e70\u5bf9\u624b\uff0c\u5bf9\u72ec\u88c1\u8005\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u62db\u8fd8\u6709\u5176\u5b83\u7684\u5999\u5904\uff0c<\/span>“<\/span>\u8150\u8d25\u8fd9\u79cd\u4f53\u5236\u7684\u5999\u5904\u5728\u4e8e\uff0c\u5b83\u53ea\u4f9d\u8d56\u4e8e\u5f88\u5c11\u51e0\u4e2a\u4eba\u3002\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u5141\u8bb8\u8150\u8d25\u53ef\u4ee5\u8bf1\u5bfc\u4ed6\u4eec\u5fe0\u5fc3\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4ed6\u4eec\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5bcc\u6709\u3002\u5982\u679c\u6000\u7591\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e0d\u5fe0……\u90a3\u4e48\u53ef\u4ee5\u6307\u63a7\u4ed6\u4eec\u8150\u8d25\u3002<\/span>“<\/span><\/p> <\/p> \u5229\u7528\u6c11\u4e3b\u7a0b\u5e8f<\/span><\/p> <\/p> \u5927\u72ec\u88c1\u8005\u8fd8\u6709\u53e6\u5916\u4e00\u4e2a<\/span>“<\/span>\u4e00\u7bad\u53cc\u96d5<\/span>“<\/span>\u7684\u6218\u672f\uff0c\u628a\u63a7\u5236\u5927\u4f17\u548c\u63a7\u5236\u7cbe\u82f1\u7ed3\u5408\u5728\u4e00\u8d77\u3002\u751f\u5b58\u6307\u5357\u7b2c\u4e09\u7ae0\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u4ee4\u4f60\u5403\u60ca\uff0c\u90a3\u5c31\u662f\u6c11\u4e3b\u7a0b\u5e8f<\/span>—<\/span>\u9009\u4e3e\u3002<\/span><\/p> <\/p> \u73b0\u5728\u5927\u591a\u6570\u56fd\u5bb6\u90fd\u4f1a\u641e\u6295\u7968\u3001\u9009\u4e3e\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u72ec\u88c1\u8005\u901a\u5e38\u64cd\u7eb5\u6295\u7968\u3001\u9009\u4e3e\u3002\u5982\u4eca\uff0c\u64cd\u7eb5\u6c11\u4e3b\u7a0b\u5e8f\u8fdc\u8fdc\u6bd4\u5f80\u7968\u7bb1\u91cc\u585e\u5047\u7968\u8981\u590d\u6742\u5f97\u591a\u3002<\/span><\/p> <\/p> \u4f26\u6566\u653f\u6cbb\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u9662\u7814\u7a76\u5458\u514b\u62c9\u65af\uff08<\/span>Brian Klaas<\/span>\uff09\u8bf4\uff0c<\/span>“<\/span>\u76f8\u5f53\u5927\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u9009\u4e3e\u4e2d\uff0c\u72ec\u88c1\u8005\u90fd\u4f1a\u901a\u8fc7\u65e2\u6709\u7a0b\u5e8f\u8ba9\u4e3b\u8981\u5bf9\u624b\u65e0\u6cd5\u53c2\u4e0e\u3002\u4e00\u4e2a\u5f88\u597d\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\u662f\u9a6c\u8fbe\u52a0\u65af\u52a0<\/span>2006<\/span>\u5e74\u7684\u9009\u4e3e\u3002\u6309\u89c4\u5b9a\uff0c\u53cd\u5bf9\u515a\u5019\u9009\u4eba\u9700\u8981\u4eb2\u81ea\u6765\u767b\u8bb0\uff0c\u4f46\u5f53\u65f6\u4ed6\u6d41\u4ea1\u5728\u56fd\u5916\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e00\u6b21\u8bd5\u56fe\u8fd4\u56de\u9a6c\u8fbe\u52a0\u65af\u52a0\uff0c\u98de\u673a\u843d\u5730\u524d<\/span>10<\/span>\u5206\u949f\uff0c\u603b\u7edf\u90fd\u4f1a\u4e0b\u4ee4\u5173\u95ed\u673a\u573a\u3002<\/span>“<\/span><\/p> <\/p> \u90a3\u4e48\uff0c\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u72ec\u88c1\u8005\u8fd8\u8981\u8d70\u6295\u7968\u3001\u9009\u4e3e\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8fc7\u573a\u5462\uff1f\u57c3\u9ed8\u91cc\u5927\u5b66\u653f\u6cbb\u5b66\u6559\u6388\u7518\u5730\uff08<\/span>Jennifer Gandhi<\/span>\uff09\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u901a\u5e38\u80fd\u7ed9\u72ec\u88c1\u8005\u63d0\u4f9b\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u641e\u6e05\u695a\u8c01\u662f\u652f\u6301\u8005\uff0c\u8c01\u662f\u5bf9\u624b\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u90fd\u5728\u54ea\u513f\u3002<\/span><\/p> <\/p> \u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\uff0c<\/span>“<\/span>\u6536\u83b7\u4ee4\u4eba\u77a0\u76ee\u7684\u9ad8\u7968\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u662f\u8981\u4f5c\u79c0\uff0c\u65e2\u662f\u7ed9\u56fd\u5185\u4eba\u6c11\u7fa4\u4f17\u770b\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u7ed9\u4f53\u5236\u4e2d\u7684\u7cbe\u82f1\u9636\u5c42\u770b\uff1a\u4efb\u4f55\u53cd\u6297\u90fd\u662f\u5f92\u52b3\u7684\u3002<\/span><\/p> <\/p> 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