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\u7814\u7a76\u673a\u6784\u6d77\u6d0b\u5206\u6790\u4e2d\u5fc3\uff08Center for Naval Analyses\uff09\u7684\u6cd5\u52a1\u8d1f\u8d23\u4eba\u9a6c\u514b·\u7f57\u68ee\uff08Mark E. Rosen\uff09\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u4e13\u5bb6\u62c5\u5fc3\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u683c\u9675\u5170\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u5c06\u4f7f\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6700\u5927\u7684\u5c9b\u5728\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0a\u5012\u5411\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u524a\u5f31\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u6b27\u76df\u5728\u5317\u6781\u5708\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u3002<\/p>

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