{"id":83328,"date":"2018-05-19T09:12:00","date_gmt":"2018-05-19T09:12:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/127.0.0.1:10081\/?p=83328 "},"modified":"2018-05-19T09:12:00","modified_gmt":"2018-05-19T09:12:00","slug":"83328-revision-v1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=83328","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u4e13\u5bb6\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u81f3\u8fdf\u6216\u57282030\u5e74\u6b66\u7edf\u53f0\u6e7e"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\u53f0\u6e7e\u56fd\u9632\u90e85\u670811\u53f7\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u56fe\u7247\u663e\u793a\u4e00\u67b6\u53f0\u6e7e\u7a7a\u519b\u98de\u673a\uff08\u5de6\uff09\u5728\u4e00\u67b6\u4e2d\u56fd\u7a7a\u519bH6-K<\/div><\/div>
\u53f0\u6e7e\u56fd\u9632\u90e85\u670811\u53f7\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u56fe\u7247\u663e\u793a\u4e00\u67b6\u53f0\u6e7e\u7a7a\u519b\u98de\u673a\uff08\u5de6\uff09\u5728\u4e00\u67b6\u4e2d\u56fd\u7a7a\u519bH6-K \u8f70\u70b8\u673a\u9644\u8fd1\u98de\u884c<\/span><\/figcaption><\/div>
 <\/div>

\u7f8e\u56fd\u519b\u4e8b\u60c5\u62a5\u4e13\u5bb6\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u89e3\u653e\u519b\u81f3\u8fdf\u53ef\u80fd\u57282030\u5e74\u524d\u5bf9\u53f0\u6e7e\u53d1\u52a8\u6b66\u529b\u4fb5\u7565\uff0c\u56e0\u6b642020\u5e74\u52302030\u5e74\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a“\u4ee4\u4eba\u62c5\u5fe7\u768410\u5e74”\u3002<\/p>

\u5df2\u9000\u5f79\u7684\u6d77\u519b\u4e0a\u6821\u60c5\u62a5\u5b98\u8a79\u59c6\u65af·\u6cd5\u5185\u5c14(James Fanell)\uff0c\u661f\u671f\u56db\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u4f1a\u4f17\u8bae\u9662\u60c5\u62a5\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u4e00\u573a\u5173\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u5168\u7403\u519b\u4e8b\u6269\u5f20\u7684\u542c\u8bc1\u4f1a\u4e0a\u505a\u51fa\u4e0a\u8ff0\u9884\u6d4b\u3002<\/p>

\u66fe\u7ecf\u62c5\u4efb\u7f8e\u56fd\u6d77\u519b\u7b2c\u4e03\u8230\u961f\u60c5\u62a5\u5904\u526f\u5904\u957f\u7684\u6cd5\u5185\u5c14\u8bf4\uff0c\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4ee4\u4eba\u62c5\u5fe7\u7684\u5341\u5e74\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5171\u4ea7\u515a“\u6bcf\u5929\u90fd\u4f1a\u9762\u5bf9\u4e0d\u65ad\u589e\u52a0\u7684\u5185\u90e8\u538b\u529b”\uff0c\u8981\u6c42\u5b83“\u6263\u52a8\u6273\u673a”\uff0c\u4e0b\u8fbe\u6307\u4ee4\u5bf9\u53f0\u52a8\u6b66\u3002<\/p>

\u6cd5\u5185\u5c14\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u8981\u6c42\u89e3\u653e\u519b\u57282020\u5e74\u5177\u5907\u653b\u53f0\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u4e0d\u65ad\u5ba3\u793a\u8981\u57282049\u5e74\u8fbe\u5230\u4e2d\u534e\u6c11\u65cf\u4f1f\u5927\u590d\u5174\u7684\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5728\u4e3e\u56fd\u5e86\u795d\u5efa\u56fd\u767e\u5e74\u65f6\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7406\u5e94\u5df2\u5b8c\u6210\u5168\u56fd\u7edf\u4e00\u5927\u4e1a\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48“\u95ee\u9898\u5c31\u5728\u4e8e\uff0c\u8981\u8fdf\u81f3\u54ea\u4e00\u5929(\u5bf9\u53f0)\u4f7f\u7528\u6b66\u529b\uff0c\u4f60\u624d\u80fd\u671f\u671b\u4eba\u4eec\u5df2\u5fd8\u8bb0\u8fd9\u4ef6\u4e8b\u5e76\u4e14\u5230\u5317\u4eac\u6765\u53c2\u52a0\u4f60\u7684\u6d3e\u5bf9\uff1f”<\/p>

\u6cd5\u5185\u5c14\u8bf4\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4ece\u8fd9\u4e2a\u65f6\u95f4\u5f80\u524d\u63a8\u7b9720\u5e74\uff0c\u90a3\u4e482029\u5e74\u662f\u89e3\u653e\u519b\u6b66\u7edf\u53f0\u6e7e\u6700\u540e\u7684\u671f\u9650\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a1989\u5e74\u53d1\u751f\u5929\u5b89\u95e8\u4e8b\u4ef6\u65f6\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u90fd\u770b\u5230\u4e2d\u56fd\u5171\u4ea7\u515a\u5bf9\u4eba\u6c11\u6240\u505a\u7684\u4e8b\uff0c\u5f53\u65f6\u8bb8\u591a\u4eba\u90fd\u8bf4“\u591a\u4e48\u91ce\u86ee! \u600e\u4e48\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528\u5766\u514b\u8f66\u78be\u538b\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u4eba\u6c11\uff1f”\u56fd\u9645\u793e\u4f1a\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u8c34\u8d23\u3001\u5b64\u7acb\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\uff0c19\u5e74\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u5374\u5f97\u4ee5\u57282008\u5e74\u4e3e\u529e\u4e16\u754c\u5965\u8fd0\uff0c\u8fde\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u90fd\u53c2\u52a0\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5e86\u5178\u3002<\/p>

\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5f53\u65f6\u5728\u8d35\u5bbe\u5ba4\u89c2\u793c\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\u53ca\u4e2d\u5171\u4e2d\u592e\u653f\u6cbb\u5c40\u5e38\u59d4\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u6cd5\u5185\u5c14\u8bf4\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u8111\u6d77\u91cc\u5fc5\u5b9a\u60f3\u5230\uff0c“\u56fd\u9645\u793e\u4f1a\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u7ecf\u8fc720\u5e74\u4e0d\u5230\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u5c31\u628a\u5929\u5b89\u95e8\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7ed9\u9057\u5fd8”\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u4ece2049\u5e74\u5f80\u524d\u63a8\u7b97\uff0c2030\u5e74\u5c31\u662f\u4e2d\u5171\u6700\u8fdf\u5fc5\u987b\u5bf9\u53f0\u52a8\u624b\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u3002<\/p>

\u5728\u7b54\u590d\u4e3b\u5e2d\u52aa\u6d85\u65af(Devin Nunes, R-CA)\u4e3a\u4f55\u4e2d\u56fd\u628a\u76ee\u6807\u5bf9\u51c6\u53f0\u6e7e\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u65f6\uff0c\u6cd5\u5185\u5c14\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u6218\u7565\u76ee\u6807\u867d\u7136\u662f\u7edf\u4e00\u53f0\u6e7e\uff0c\u4f46\u5b83\u66f4\u8981\u963b\u6b62\u7f8e\u56fd\u4ecb\u5165\u53f0\u6d77\u51b2\u7a81\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u662f\u5c06\u7f8e\u56fd\u9010\u51fa\u4e9a\u6d32\u3002<\/p>

\u56fd\u9645\u8bc4\u4f30\u4e0e\u6218\u7565\u4e2d\u5fc3\u8d44\u6df1\u7814\u7a76\u5458\u8d39\u820d\u5c14(Richard Fisher)\u4e5f\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u89e3\u653e\u519b\u6700\u5feb\u53ef\u80fd\u57282020\u5e74\u4e2d\u671f\u5bf9\u53f0\u52a8\u6b66\u3002\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff0c\u6700\u8fd1\u4e00\u5e74\u534a\u6765\u4e0d\u65ad\u52a0\u5927\u5bf9\u53f0\u6e7e\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u5e74\u521d\u5728\u53f0\u6d77\u4e2d\u7ebf\u542f\u7528\u7684\u65b0\u822a\u7ebf\u4f01\u56fe\u4f7f\u53f0\u6e7e\u519b\u65b9\u96be\u4ee5\u5206\u8fa8\u654c\u53cb\uff0c\u7834\u574f\u53f0\u6d77\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a\u7f8e\u56fd\u5e94\u8be5\u63d0\u4f9b\u53f0\u6e7e\u7a7a\u4e2d\u52a0\u6cb9\u673a\uff0c\u8ba9\u53f0\u6e7e\u6709\u80fd\u529b\u5e94\u5bf9\u89e3\u653e\u519b\u7684\u80c1\u8feb\u3002<\/p>

\u8d39\u820d\u5c14\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6b63\u5728\u6269\u5927\u5168\u7403\u6b66\u529b\u6295\u9001\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u6709\u5927\u7ea610\u5e74\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u6765\u5a01\u6151\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u6269\u5f20\uff0c\u8981\u963b\u6b62\u89e3\u653e\u519b\u63a8\u8fdb\u519b\u529b\uff0c\u53f0\u6e7e\u6d77\u5ce1\u5c06\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u8d77\u70b9\u3002<\/p>

\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5171\u4ea7\u515a\u5bf9\u53f0\u6e7e\u975e\u5e38\u5728\u610f\u7684\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u5728\u4e8e\u53f0\u6e7e\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u8fd0\u884c\u5bf9\u5171\u4ea7\u515a\u7684\u5408\u6cd5\u6027\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5a01\u80c1\uff0c“\u53ea\u8981\u53f0\u6e7e\u6bcf\u4e00\u5929\u4ee5\u6c11\u4e3b\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u5c31\u4f1a\u524a\u5f31\u4e2d\u56fd\u5171\u4ea7\u515a\u7684\u6b63\u5f53\u6027”\u3002\u6b64\u5916\u4e2d\u56fd\u8981\u593a\u53d6\u53f0\u6e7e\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u91cd\u8981\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u8981\u628a\u53f0\u6e7e\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u519b\u4e8b\u6295\u9001\u80fd\u529b\u7684“\u6218\u7565\u8df3\u677f”\uff0c\u5728\u8fd9\u91cc\u90e8\u7f72\u5305\u62ec\u6d32\u9645\u5f39\u9053\u5bfc\u5f39\u3001\u822a\u6bcd\u548c\u6218\u673a\u7684\u6b66\u5668\u7cfb\u7edf\u3002<\/p>

\u8d39\u820d\u5c14\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4ee5“\u503a\u52a1\u9677\u9631\u5916\u4ea4”(debt-trapped diplomacy)\u7684\u65b0\u7b56\u7565\u5728\u975e\u6d32\u3001\u5357\u4e9a\u3001\u62c9\u7f8e\u7b49\u5730\u5efa\u8bbe\u636e\u70b9\uff0c\u6269\u5927\u5168\u7403\u519b\u4e8b\u529b\u91cf\uff0c\u8981\u5a01\u6151\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u6269\u5f20\u5fc5\u987b\u4ece\u53f0\u6e7e\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u963b\u6b62\u4e2d\u56fd\u4fb5\u7565\u53f0\u6e7e\u7684\u6700\u4f73\u7406\u7531\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u4e0d\u8981\u8ba9\u53f0\u6e7e\u843d\u5165\u89e3\u653e\u519b\u624b\u4e2d\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u8ba1\u5212\u5c06\u53f0\u6e7e\u8f6c\u53d8\u4e3a\u4f20\u7edf\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u53ca\u6838\u57fa\u5730\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fbf\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5b64\u7acb\u65e5\u672c\u3001\u5de9\u56fa\u5357\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u63a7\u5236\u3001\u52a0\u5927\u5bf9\u5370\u5ea6\u6d0b\u7684\u6b66\u529b\u6295\u9001\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u518d\u8fbe\u5230\u5b64\u7acb\u5370\u5ea6\u7684\u76ee\u7684\u3002<\/p>

\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f01\u4e1a\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u4e9a\u6d32\u7814\u7a76\u4e3b\u4efb\u535c\u5927\u5e74(Daniel Blumenthal)\u4e5f\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u73b0\u5728\u4e0d\u4ec5\u6709\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u529b\u91cf\uff0c\u89e3\u653e\u519b\u8fd8\u6709\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u4f5c\u6218\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u5b83\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u5185\u8fdb\u884c\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u6218\u4ee5\u7f8e\u5316\u5171\u4ea7\u515a\u4e3a\u76ee\u7684\uff0c\u4e0d\u8fc7\u89e3\u653e\u519b\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u6218\u662f\u4ece\u53f0\u6e7e\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u4e0d\u4ec5\u8981\u901a\u8fc7\u5a01\u5413\u624b\u6bb5\u8fbe\u5230\u7edf\u4e00\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u4e5f\u8981\u963b\u6b62\u7f8e\u56fd\u4ecb\u5165\u53f0\u6d77\u51b2\u7a81\u3002<\/p>

\u535c\u5927\u5e74\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u4e2d\u56fd\u63a8\u8fdb\u5176\u519b\u4e8b\u6295\u9001\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u53f0\u6e7e\u4e0d\u5e94\u8be5\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0a\u518d\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a“\u53ea\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u611f\u60c5\u4e0a(sentimental)\u7684\u8bae\u9898”\uff0c\u5982\u4eca\u5b83\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5357\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u8003\u91cf\u4e0a\uff0c\u5730\u4f4d\u4e5f\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u91cd\u8981\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5e94\u8be5\u601d\u8003\u7684\u4e0d\u4ec5\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u5f3a\u5316\u53f0\u6e7e\u7684\u81ea\u536b\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u8fd8\u8981\u63d0\u9ad8\u89e3\u653e\u519b\u653b\u53f0\u4ee3\u4ef7\uff0c\u8ba9\u53f0\u6e7e\u6210\u4e3a\u5b83\u96be\u4ee5\u5360\u9886\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u3002<\/p>

\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5168\u7403\u6269\u5f20\uff0c\u535c\u5927\u5e74\u8bf4\uff0c\u4ed4\u7ec6\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684“\u4e00\u5e26\u4e00\u8def”\u9879\u76ee\u540e\u53ef\u4ee5\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u4ee5\u73b0\u91d1\u6362\u53d6\u901a\u9053(cash for access)\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u975e\u6d32\u5409\u5e03\u63d0\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u57fa\u5730“\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u975e\u5e38\u3001\u975e\u5e38\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u4ea4\u6613”\uff0c\u5b83\u6b63\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd“\u4ee5\u73b0\u91d1\u6362\u5916\u4ea4”\u7684“\u679c\u5b9e”(fruit of diplomacy for cash)\u3002<\/p>

\u535c\u5927\u5e74\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5e76\u975e\u6ca1\u6709\u5f31\u70b9\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5185\u90e8\u6709\u8bb8\u591a\u5bf9\u5171\u4ea7\u515a\u6267\u653f\u4e0d\u6ee1\u7684\u58f0\u97f3\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u8981\u6b63\u4e49\u3001\u53cd\u8150\u8d25\uff0c\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u5e38\u53d1\u52a8\u653f\u6cbb\u6218\u3001\u4fe1\u606f\u6218\u53ca\u5ba3\u4f20\u6218\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e5f\u5e94\u8be5\u4ee5\u76f8\u540c\u7684\u5ba3\u4f20\u6218\u6b63\u9762\u8fd8\u51fb\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u8fd0\u7528\u5728\u90a3\u4e9b\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd“\u4e00\u5e26\u4e00\u8def”\u8d44\u91d1\u5b58\u6709\u7591\u8651\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002<\/p>

\u9664\u4e86\u8fd9\u573a\u4ee5\u4e2d\u56fd\u5168\u7403\u519b\u4e8b\u6269\u5f20\u4e3a\u4e3b\u9898\u7684\u542c\u8bc1\u4f1a\u4ee5\u5916\uff0c\u4f17\u8bae\u9662\u60c5\u62a5\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\u8fd8\u5c06\u4e3e\u884c\u591a\u573a\u5173\u4e8e“\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u7f8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0e\u5b89\u5168\u5229\u76ca\u5a01\u80c1”\u7684\u542c\u8bc1\u4f1a\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u4ee5\u5408\u6cd5\u53ca\u975e\u6cd5\u65b9\u5f0f\u53d6\u5f97\u7f8e\u56fd\u91cd\u8981\u56fd\u5b89\u6280\u672f\u3001\u901a\u8fc7\u7f51\u7edc\u95f4\u8c0d\u83b7\u53d6\u77e5\u8bc6\u4ea7\u6743\u3001\u8fdd\u53cd\u51fa\u53e3\u7ba1\u5236\u3001\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u4e0e\u6c11\u95f4\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u793e\u4f1a\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u901a\u8fc7\u5b54\u5b50\u5b66\u9662\u548c\u5b66\u751f\u8054\u8c0a\u4f1a\uff0c\u8fdb\u884c\u653f\u6cbb\u3001\u610f\u8bc6\u5f62\u6001\u3001\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53ca\u4fe1\u606f\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u6d3b\u52a8\uff0c\u8bd5\u56fe\u524a\u5f31\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u6743\u7684\u53cd\u5bf9\u58f0\u97f3\u7b49\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u5c06\u4ee5\u673a\u5bc6\u65b9\u5f0f\u8fdb\u884c\u3002<\/p>

\u60c5\u62a5\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u4e3b\u5e2d\u52aa\u6d85\u65af\u8bf4\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u8fc7\u53bb\u5386\u5c4a\u653f\u5e9c\u4ee5\u534f\u52a9\u5317\u4eac\u52a0\u5165\u4e16\u8d38\u7ec4\u7ec7\u3001\u5efa\u7acb\u519b\u4e8b\u4ea4\u6d41\u3001\u907f\u514d\u6b63\u9762\u5bf9\u6297\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u4e0d\u516c\u5e73\u8d38\u6613\u884c\u4e3a\u53ca\u8fc7\u5ea6\u7684\u9886\u571f\u4e3b\u5f20\u7b49\u65b9\u5f0f\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u4ea4\u5f80\u63a5\u89e6\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8ba8\u597d\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u505a\u6cd5\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u6539\u5584\u53cc\u8fb9\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c“\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u53ea\u662f\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u52a0\u5927\u80c6\uff0c\u73b0\u5728\u66f4\u53ef\u80fd\u5df2\u7ecf\u6210\u4e3a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b89\u5168\u3001\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0e\u4ef7\u503c\u89c2\u6700\u4e3b\u8981\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\u3002”<\/span> <\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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