{"id":83549,"date":"2018-05-30T11:10:00","date_gmt":"2018-05-30T11:10:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/127.0.0.1:10081\/?p=83549 "},"modified":"2018-05-30T11:10:00","modified_gmt":"2018-05-30T11:10:00","slug":"83549-revision-v1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=83549","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u4f7f\u9986\u5fae\u535a\u53d1\u5e03\u4e2d\u6587\u7248\u4eba\u6743\u62a5\u544a\u5f15\u53d1\u7f51\u6c11\u70ed\u8bae"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u7f8e\u4f7f\u9986\u5fae\u535a\u53d1\u5e03\u4e2d\u6587\u7248\u4eba\u6743\u62a5\u544a\u5f15\u53d1\u7f51\u6c11\u70ed\u8bae<\/span><\/p>

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\u7f8e\u56fd\u9a7b\u534e\u5927\u4f7f\u9986\u65e5\u524d\u5728\u65b0\u6d6a\u5fae\u535a\u4e0a\u7684\u5b98\u65b9\u8d26\u53f7\u53d1\u5e03\u4e86\u4e2d\u6587\u7248\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd<\/span>2017<\/span>\u4eba\u6743\u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u5f15\u53d1\u7f51\u6c11\u70ed\u8bae\u3002\u9274\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0d\u4fbf\u5220\u9664\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f7f\u9986\u7684\u5fae\u535a\uff0c\u6709\u8bc4\u8bba\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u4e3e\u52a8\u4ee4\u4e2d\u56fd\u5f53\u5c40\u5341\u5206\u5934\u75bc\u3002<\/span><\/p>

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\u7f8e\u56fd\u9a7b\u534e\u5927\u4f7f\u9986<\/span>5<\/span>\u6708<\/span>29<\/span>\u65e5\u5728\u5b98\u65b9\u5fae\u535a\u4e0a\u4ee5\u4e2d\u6587\u4ecb\u7ecd\u4e86\u4eca\u5e74\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u52a1\u9662\u5e74\u5ea6\u4eba\u6743\u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u5e76\u9644\u4e0a\u4e86\u4e2d\u6587\u7248\u7684\u94fe\u63a5\uff0c\u5185\u5bb9\u4e3a\u957f\u7ea6<\/span>8<\/span>\u4e07\u5b57\u7684\u300a\u4e2d\u56fd\uff08\u542b\u897f\u85cf\u3001\u9999\u6e2f\u548c\u6fb3\u95e8\uff09<\/span> 2017<\/span>\u5e74\u4eba\u6743\u62a5\u544a\u300b\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5305\u542b\u4e86\u5218\u6653\u6ce2\u901d\u4e16\u548c<\/span>709<\/span>\u6848\u7b49\u5185\u5bb9\u3002<\/span><\/p>

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\u4eca\u5e74<\/span>4<\/span>\u6708\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u52a1\u9662\u53d1\u5e03\u8fd9\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u65f6\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5916\u4ea4\u90e8\u66fe\u6307\u8d23\u7f8e\u56fd“\u8bd5\u56fe\u901a\u8fc7\u8fd9\u79cd\u65b9\u5f0f\u5e72\u6d89\u4e2d\u56fd\u5185\u653f\u3001\u5f71\u54cd\u4e2d\u56fd\u53d1\u5c55\u3002”<\/span><\/p>

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\u622a\u81f3<\/span>5<\/span>\u6708<\/span>30<\/span>\u65e5\u665a<\/span>7<\/span>\u70b9\uff0c\u8fd9\u5219\u5fae\u535a\u4e0b\u65b9\u5171\u6709\u516b\u767e\u591a\u6761\u8bc4\u8bba\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e00\u5343\u516d\u767e\u591a\u6761\u8f6c\u53d1\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u8f6c\u8bc4\u53d7\u5230\u4e86\u4e0d\u540c\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7684\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u4e0d\u8fc7\u76f8\u5173\u94fe\u63a5\u5e76\u672a\u906d\u5230\u5220\u9664\u6216\u5c01\u9501\u3002<\/span><\/p>

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\u8fd9\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u7f51\u6c11\u7684\u5173\u6ce8\u3002\u4e00\u4e9b\u7f51\u6c11\u8ba4\u4e3a\u7f8e\u56fd\u662f\u5728“\u6dfb\u4e71”\uff0c\u4e0d\u8fc7\u4e5f\u6709\u7f51\u6c11\u8868\u793a“\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e86\u89e3\u4e2d\u56fd\u6bd4\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u6c11\u90fd\u591a”\u3002<\/span><\/p>

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\u770b\u8fc7\u4e86\u8be5\u62a5\u544a\u7684\u5e7f\u4e1c\u7ef4\u6743\u4eba\u58eb\u8d3e\u6980\u5411\u672c\u53f0\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u8fd9\u5219\u62a5\u544a\u53ef\u4ee5\u8ba9\u65e0\u6cd5\u7ffb\u5899\u7684\u56fd\u4eba\u66f4\u4e86\u89e3\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u6743\u7684\u5b9e\u9645\u72b6\u51b5\uff1a<\/span><\/p>

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“\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u65b0\u6d6a\u5fae\u535a\uff0c\u4f20\u64ad\u8303\u56f4\u662f\u975e\u5e38\u5e7f\u7684\uff0c\u6628\u5929\u6211\u4e5f\u5728\u65b0\u6d6a\u5fae\u535a\u4e0a\u770b\u4e86\u4e0b\uff0c\u90a3\u4ed6\u7bc7\u4eba\u6743\u62a5\u544a\u8bb2\u4e86\u5f88\u591a\u4e2d\u56fd\u771f\u5b9e\u7684\u4eba\u6743\u72b6\u51b5\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u6c11\u8fd0\u4eba\u58eb\u3001\u5f8b\u5e08\u53d7\u6253\u538b\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u3002\u6211\u89c9\u5f97\u8fd9\u6837\u505a\u633a\u597d\u7684\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u8ba9\u66f4\u591a\u4e2d\u56fd\u7f51\u53cb\u770b\u5230\u4e2d\u56fd\u771f\u5b9e\u7684\u4eba\u6743\u72b6\u51b5\uff0c\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0a\u7f51\u8981\u7ffb\u5899\uff0c\u6709\u4e9b\u670b\u53cb\u4e0d\u61c2\u5f97\u7ffb\u5899\u7684\u8bdd\u5c31\u770b\u4e0d\u5230\u56fd\u5916\u7f51\u7ad9\u7684\u6d88\u606f\u3002”<\/span><\/p>

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\u800c\u5a92\u4f53\u4eba\u5f90\u7965\u63a5\u53d7\u672c\u53f0\u91c7\u8bbf\u65f6\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e0d\u6e05\u695a\u7f8e\u56fd\u9a7b\u534e\u4f7f\u9986\u7684\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5fae\u535a\u4e0e\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e24\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u7ea0\u7eb7\u6709\u6ca1\u6709\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u65e0\u7591\u4f1a\u4ee4\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u5f88\u5934\u75bc\uff1a<\/span><\/p>

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“\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5f88\u6ed1\u7a3d\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u524d\u6240\u672a\u6709\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u9a7b\u534e\u5927\u4f7f\u9986\u7528\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ba1\u8f96\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u793e\u4f1a\u516c\u4f17\u5a92\u4f53\u53d1\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u7bc7\u9488\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684<\/span>2017<\/span>\u767d\u76ae\u4e66\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u9a7b\u534e\u5927\u4f7f\u9986\u53d1\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e2a\u767d\u76ae\u4e66\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u5f88\u5934\u75bc\uff0c\u5c01\u4e5f\u4e0d\u662f\uff0c\u5c01\u4e86\u663e\u5f97\u4f60\u5c0f\u5bb6\u5b50\u6c14\u3002\u4e0d\u5c01\u53c8\u4f1a\u8ba9\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u6c11\u4f17\u770b\u7b11\u8bdd\uff0c\u4e5f\u4f1a\u8ba9\u671d\u5ef7\u7684\u5f62\u8c61\u53d7\u635f\u3002”<\/span><\/p>

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\u4eca\u5e74<\/span>5<\/span>\u6708<\/span>7<\/span>\u65e5\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u9a7b\u534e\u5927\u4f7f\u9986\u4e5f\u66fe\u5728\u5fae\u535a\u4e0a\u6279\u8bc4\u4e2d\u56fd\u6c11\u822a\u603b\u5c40\uff0c\u79f0\u8be5\u5c40\u8981\u6c42\u5916\u56fd\u822a\u7a7a\u516c\u53f8\u66f4\u6539\u6e2f\u6fb3\u53f0\u7684\u6807\u8bc6\u4ee5\u7b26\u5408\u5171\u4ea7\u515a\u7684\u6807\u51c6\u662f“\u5965\u5a01\u5c14\u5f0f\u7684\u80e1\u8a00\u4e71\u8bed”\uff0c\u5f15\u53d1\u8206\u8bba\u5173\u6ce8\u3002<\/span><\/p>

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\u65b0\u6d6a\u5fae\u535a\u9609\u5272\u9a7b\u534e\u4f7f\u9986\u535a\u6587<\/span><\/p>

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\u65b0\u6d6a\u5fae\u535a\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u5927\u9646\u9996\u8981\u793e\u5a92\u5e73\u53f0\uff0c\u62e5\u6709\u6210\u5343\u4e0a\u4e07\u5fe0\u4e8e\u804c\u5b88\u7684\u7f51\u7ba1\u5168\u5929\u5019\u5ba1\u67e5\u6216\u5c4f\u853d\u7528\u6237\u7684\u535a\u6587\u3002\u8fd1\u671f\u4e00\u62a5\u544a\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5916\u56fd\u9a7b\u534e\u4f7f\u9886\u9986\u5e73\u65e5\u5728\u5fae\u535a\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u4e5f\u96be\u9003\u88ab\u9609\u5272\u7684\u547d\u8fd0\uff0c\u5f15\u53d1\u7f51\u53cb\u70ed\u8bae\u3002<\/span><\/p>

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\u636e\u82f1\u56fd\u300a\u91d1\u878d\u65f6\u62a5\u300b\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u65b0\u6d6a\u5fae\u535a\u6b63\u5728\u5c4f\u853d\u9a7b\u534e\u4f7f\u9886\u9986\u5728\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u5b98\u65b9\u8d26\u53f7\u4e0a\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u535a\u6587\uff0c\u5c4f\u853d\u8bdd\u9898\u6db5\u76d6\u4e86\u7f8e\u671d\u5173\u7cfb\u548c\u80a1\u5e02\u76d1\u7ba1\u7b49\u3002\u5728\u5fae\u535a\u4ee5\u4e0d\u540c\u65b9\u5f0f\u5904\u7406\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4fe1\u606f\u540e\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8d26\u53f7\u7684\u535a\u6587\u901a\u5e38\u770b\u8d77\u6765\u66f4\u52a0\u4eb2\u8fd1\u4e2d\u65b9\u89c2\u70b9\u3002<\/span><\/p>

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\u8fd9\u4e00\u62a5\u9053\u63f4\u5f15\u4e86\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u6218\u7565\u653f\u7b56\u7814\u7a76\u6240\uff08<\/span>Australian Strategic Policy Institute<\/span>\uff09\u4e0a\u5468\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u91cd\u8981\u62a5\u544a\u3002\u8fd9\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u8bb0\u5f55\u4e86\u5fae\u535a\u5728\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e3b\u5e2d\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u9886\u5bfc\u4e0b\u5bf9\u63a7\u5236\u516c\u4f17\u7684\u610f\u8bc6\u5f62\u6001\u8d77\u5230\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\u3002<\/span><\/p>

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\u65b0\u6d6a\u5fae\u535a\u5728<\/span>2009<\/span>\u5e74\u5f00\u901a\u670d\u52a1\u540e\u4e0d\u4e45\uff0c\u4f17\u591a\u9a7b\u534e\u4f7f\u9886\u9986\u5c31\u5f00\u8bbe\u4e86\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u5b98\u65b9\u8d26\u53f7\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u897f\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u5076\u5c14\u4f1a\u8d8a\u8fc7\u4e2d\u5171\u5ba3\u4f20\u7ea2\u7ebf\u5bf9\u654f\u611f\u8bae\u9898\u53d1\u5e03\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u6570\u5b98\u65b9\u8d26\u53f7\u5374\u901a\u8fc7\u81ea\u6211\u5ba1\u67e5\u4ee5\u514d\u4e0e\u7f51\u7edc\u76d1\u7ba1\u5bf9\u6297\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u538b\u6291\u73af\u5883\u52a9\u957f\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u5fae\u535a\u5f00\u59cb\u5c4f\u853d\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4f7f\u9886\u9986\u7684\u63a8\u6587\uff0c\u800c\u5916\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u5374\u7ecf\u5e38\u9009\u62e9\u5bf9\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u8a00\u8bba\u6253\u538b\u4fdd\u6301\u7f04\u9ed8\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u62a5\u544a\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c<\/span>2017<\/span>\u5e74<\/span>11<\/span>\u6708\u81f3<\/span>2018<\/span>\u5e74<\/span>1<\/span>\u6708\u95f4\uff0c\u5fae\u535a\u4ee5\u4e0d\u540c\u5f62\u5f0f\u5c4f\u853d\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u5927\u4f7f\u9986\u53d1\u5e03\u7684<\/span>28<\/span>\u6761\u535a\u6587\uff0c\u5c4f\u853d\u4e86\u6cd5\u56fd\u5927\u4f7f\u9986\u7684<\/span>12<\/span>\u6761\u535a\u6587\uff0c\u5c31\u8fde\u540c\u4e3a\u5171\u4ea7\u4e3b\u4e49\u653f\u6743\u9886\u5bfc\u7684\u53e4\u5df4\u5927\u4f7f\u9986\u4e5f\u6709<\/span>5<\/span>\u6761\u535a\u6587\u88ab\u5ba1\u67e5\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u3001\u65e5\u672c\u3001\u82f1\u56fd\u548c\u97e9\u56fd\u5927\u4f7f\u9986\u7684\u5c11\u91cf\u535a\u6587\u4e5f\u88ab\u5c4f\u853d\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u6218\u7565\u5206\u6790\u6742\u5fd7\u793e\u793e\u957f\u674e\u4f1f\u4e1c\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7f51\u7edc\u76d1\u5bdf\u673a\u5236\u6bcf\u9022\u91cd\u5927\u56fd\u9645\u6d3b\u52a8\u65f6\u901a\u5e38\u4f1a\u7a0d\u5fae\u653e\u677e\u5bf9\u5916\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u793e\u5a92\u8d26\u53f7\u7684\u7ba1\u63a7\uff0c\u4f46\u7531\u4e8e\u76ee\u524d\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u5fae\u5999\u6c14\u6c1b\uff0c\u5927\u9646\u7f51\u7ba1\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b98\u65b9\u8d26\u53f7\u7684\u5ba1\u67e5\u53ef\u80fd\u5b58\u5728\u8bf8\u591a\u53d8\u6570\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

“\u6bd5\u7adf\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e4b\u95f4\u6b63\u5728\u6253\u8d38\u6613\u6218\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u5b83\uff08\u7f8e\u56fd\u5927\u4f7f\u9986\uff09\u53d1\u5e03\u4e86\u4e1c\u897f\u4ee5\u540e\u5462\uff0c\u4e2d\u65b9\u53ef\u80fd\u6b63\u597d\u5fcd\u8ba9\u51e0\u5929\uff0c\u4e0d\u5220\uff0c\u4f46\u9694\u4e00\u6bb5\u65f6\u95f4\u5c31\u4f1a\u628a\u5b83\u5c4f\u853d\u6389\u3002\u5b83\uff08\u5fae\u535a\uff09\u5c31\u662f\u9488\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u9886\u9986\u53ef\u80fd\u6709\u5c40\u90e8\u6027\u7684\u653e\u677e\uff0c\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u9886\u9986\u7684\u653e\u677e\u4e0d\u4ee3\u8868\u4e00\u4e2a\u5927\u7684\u683c\u5c40\u53d1\u751f\u6539\u53d8\u3002”<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u6218\u7565\u653f\u7b56\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u7684\u62a5\u544a\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5fae\u535a\u5c4f\u853d\u673a\u5236\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u4e00\u6210\u4e0d\u53d8\u7684\u3002\u4ee5\u7f8e\u56fd\u5927\u4f7f\u9986\u4e3a\u4f8b\uff0c\u5fae\u535a\u7acb\u5373\u5220\u9664\u7684\u535a\u6587\u6570\u91cf\u4ec5\u5360\u5c4f\u853d\u603b\u6570\u7684<\/span>7%<\/span>\uff0c\u800c\u66f4\u5e38\u89c1\u7684\u5ba1\u67e5\u65b9\u5f0f\u662f\u7acb\u5373\u5c4f\u853d\u8bc4\u8bba\u529f\u80fd\uff08<\/span>53%<\/span>\uff09\u3001\u7acb\u5373\u5c4f\u853d\u8bc4\u8bba\u529f\u80fd\u540e\u5220\u9664\u535a\u6587\uff08<\/span>11%<\/span>\uff09\u6216\u5c4f\u853d\u8bc4\u8bba\u529f\u80fd\u4e4b\u540e\u518d\u6062\u590d\uff08<\/span>11%<\/span>\uff09\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

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 <\/p>

\u5f53\u88ab\u95ee\u53ca\u5fae\u535a\u4e3a\u4f55\u6ca1\u6709\u5b8c\u5168\u5c4f\u853d\u6389\u8fd9\u5219\u535a\u6587\uff0c\u62a5\u9053\u4e2d\u56fd\u65f6\u4e8b\u7684\u82f1\u6587\u65b0\u95fb\u7f51<\/span>SupChina<\/span>\u4e3b\u7f16\u91d1\u7389\u7c73\uff08<\/span>Jeremy Goldkorn<\/span>\uff09\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5fae\u535a\u5ba1\u67e5\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u7075\u6d3b\u5ea6\u5f88\u9ad8\uff0c\u6709\u65f6\u5019\u751a\u81f3\u4f1a\u7ed9\u793e\u5a92\u89c2\u5bdf\u8005\u9020\u6210\u77ed\u6682\u7684\u9519\u89c9\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

“\u6ca1\u51c6\u6211\u4eec\u4e00\u4f1a\u513f\u6302\u65ad\u7535\u8bdd\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u535a\u6587\u5c31\u5df2\u7ecf\u88ab\u5220\u9664\u4e86\u3002\u8fd9\u975e\u5e38\u96be\u8bf4\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u4f7f\u7528\u5fae\u535a\uff0c\u4f60\u8981\u77e5\u9053\u4f60\u662f\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u9ad8\u5ea6\u5ba1\u67e5\u548c\u76d1\u7ba1\u7684\u73af\u5883\u4e0b\u6d3b\u52a8\u7684\u3002”<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u91d1\u7389\u7c73\u5f3a\u8c03\uff0c\u5fae\u535a\u8fc7\u6ee4\u673a\u5236\u9488\u5bf9\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u5176\u5b9e\u662f\u8bdd\u9898\uff0c\u800c\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u5177\u4f53\u7528\u6237\u3002\u8fd9\u4e5f\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u89e3\u91ca\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u5fae\u535a\u5c4f\u853d\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u7f8e\u56fd\u5927\u4f7f\u9986\u7684\u535a\u6587\uff0c\u4f46\u6682\u65f6\u4fdd\u7559\u4e86\u53e6\u4e00\u4e9b\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u300a\u91d1\u878d\u65f6\u62a5\u300b\u63f4\u5f15\u7f8e\u56fd\u9a7b\u534e\u5927\u4f7f\u9986\u4e00\u4f4d\u4e0d\u5177\u540d\u7684\u53d1\u8a00\u4eba\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u9a7b\u534e\u5927\u4f7f\u9986\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u793e\u5a92\u4fe1\u606f\u7ecf\u5e38\u53d7\u5230\u5c4f\u853d\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4fdd\u8bc1\u4fe1\u606f\u6d41\u901a\u81ea\u7531\u5bf9\u589e\u8fdb\u4e24\u56fd\u76f8\u4e92\u7406\u89e3\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\u3002<\/span><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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