{"id":85035,"date":"2018-07-31T11:11:00","date_gmt":"2018-07-31T11:11:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/127.0.0.1:10081\/?p=85035 "},"modified":"2018-07-31T11:11:00","modified_gmt":"2018-07-31T11:11:00","slug":"85035-revision-v1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=85035","title":{"rendered":"\u201c\u7ed9\u53d7\u5bb3\u8005\u4e00\u4e2a\u516c\u9053\u201d\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u957f\u6297\u8bae\u75ab\u82d7\u4e11\u95fb"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u5317\u4eac——\u5468\u4e00\uff0c<\/span>20<\/span>\u591a\u540d\u4e2d\u56fd\u7236\u6bcd\u805a\u96c6\u5728\u5317\u4eac\u4e00\u5ea7\u653f\u5e9c\u5927\u697c\u5916\uff0c\u5927\u558a“\u7ed9\u75ab\u82d7\u53d7\u5bb3\u8005\u4e00\u4e2a\u516c\u9053”\u7b49\u53e3\u53f7\uff0c\u6297\u8bae\u75ab\u82d7\u4e11\u95fb\uff0c\u8be5\u4e11\u95fb\u5df2\u6210\u4e3a\u8fd1\u5e74\u6765\u4e2d\u56fd\u6700\u5f15\u4eba\u77a9\u76ee\u7684\u516c\u5171\u536b\u751f\u5371\u673a\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002<\/span><\/p>

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\u8fd9\u6b21\u6297\u8bae\u6d3b\u52a8\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u672c\u6708\u6709\u62a5\u9053\u79f0\uff0c\u5168\u56fd\u6570\u5341\u4e07\u540d\u513f\u7ae5\u6ce8\u5c04\u4e86\u6709\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u767d\u5589\u3001\u7834\u4f24\u98ce\u548c\u767e\u65e5\u54b3\u75ab\u82d7\u3002<\/span><\/p>

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\u867d\u7136\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5b69\u5b50\u4f3c\u4e4e\u6ca1\u6709\u53d7\u5230\u4f24\u5bb3\uff0c\u4f46\u8be5\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7834\u574f\u4e86\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u4e3b\u5e2d\u5173\u4e8e\u65b0\u5174\u5f3a\u5927\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u613f\u666f\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u4ed6\u8981\u6d88\u9664\u4e2d\u56fd\u98df\u54c1\u548c\u836f\u54c1\u884c\u4e1a\u5185\u8150\u8d25\u548c\u6ee5\u7528\u884c\u4e3a\u7684\u8a93\u8a00\u3002<\/span><\/p>

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\u6839\u636e\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7236\u6bcd\u7684\u91c7\u8bbf\u548c\u793e\u4ea4\u5a92\u4f53\u4e0a\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u56fe\u7247\uff0c\u7ad9\u5728\u56fd\u5bb6\u536b\u751f\u5065\u5eb7\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u529e\u516c\u697c\u5916\u7684\u6297\u8bae\u8005\u4eec\u547c\u5401\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u5236\u836f\u4e1a\u8fdb\u884c\u66f4\u4e25\u683c\u7684\u76d1\u7763\u3002\u793a\u5a01\u8005\u62ff\u7740\u4e00\u4e2a\u6a2a\u5e45\uff0c\u5c55\u793a\u513f\u7ae5\u7684\u7167\u7247\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u62d2\u7edd\u76f8\u4fe1\u4e2d\u56fd\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u5bf9\u8be5\u95ee\u9898\u5df2\u5f97\u5230\u63a7\u5236\u7684\u4fdd\u8bc1\u3002<\/span><\/p>

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“\u95ee\u9898\u6ca1\u6709\u5f97\u5230\u5904\u7406\uff0c”\u4e00\u540d<\/span>2<\/span>\u5c81\u5973\u5b69\u7684\u6bcd\u4eb2\u4f55\u82b3\u6885\uff08\u97f3\uff09\u5728\u6297\u8bae\u540e\u63a5\u53d7\u7535\u8bdd\u91c7\u8bbf\u65f6\u8bf4\u3002“\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u987e\u8651\u8fd8\u6ca1\u6709\u89e3\u51b3\u3002”<\/span><\/p>

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\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\u662f\u81ea<\/span>2010<\/span>\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u4e2d\u56fd\u7b2c\u4e09\u6b21\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u548c\u75ab\u82d7\u6709\u5173\u7684\u5371\u673a\u3002\u4e3a\u4e86\u6062\u590d\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u5e9e\u5927\u533b\u836f\u4ea7\u4e1a\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\uff0c\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u5df2\u7ecf\u4e0b\u4ee4\u5728\u5168\u56fd\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u5bf9\u75ab\u82d7\u751f\u4ea7\u5546\u8fdb\u884c\u8c03\u67e5\u3002<\/span><\/p>

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\u8b66\u65b9\u5468\u65e5\u5ba3\u5e03\u8ba1\u5212\u902e\u6355\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e1c\u5317\u7684\u75ab\u82d7\u751f\u4ea7\u5546\u3001\u4f4d\u4e8e\u4e11\u95fb\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7684\u957f\u6625\u957f\u751f\u836f\u4e1a\u7684<\/span>18<\/span>\u540d\u5458\u5de5\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u516c\u53f8\u8463\u4e8b\u957f\u9ad8\u4fca\u82b3\u3002<\/span><\/p>

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\u5f53\u5c40\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u751f\u4ea7\u4e86<\/span>25<\/span>\u4e07\u652f\u4e0d\u5408\u683c\u7684\u767d\u5589\u3001\u767e\u65e5\u54b3\u548c\u7834\u4f24\u98ce\u75ab\u82d7\uff0c\u5e76\u7be1\u6539\u4e86\u5176\u72c2\u72ac\u75c5\u75ab\u82d7\u7684\u6570\u636e\u3002\u5b98\u5458\u4eec\u8bf4\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u8fd9\u4e9b\u75ab\u82d7\u65e0\u5bb3\uff0c\u4f46\u5b83\u4eec\u5374\u8ba9\u672c\u5e94\u53d7\u5230\u75ab\u82d7\u4fdd\u62a4\u7684\u513f\u7ae5\u9762\u4e34\u611f\u67d3\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/span><\/p>

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\u53e6\u4e00\u5bb6\u5377\u5165\u4e11\u95fb\u7684\u516c\u53f8\u662f\u4f4d\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e2d\u90e8\u7684\u56fd\u6709\u4f01\u4e1a\u6b66\u6c49\u751f\u7269\u5236\u54c1\u7814\u7a76\u6240\uff0c\u5b83\u88ab\u6307\u63a7\u751f\u4ea7\u4e86\u8d85\u8fc7<\/span>40<\/span>\u4e07\u652f\u4e0d\u5408\u683c\u7684\u75ab\u82d7\u3002<\/span><\/p>

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\u867d\u7136\u76d1\u7ba1\u673a\u6784\u5f3a\u8feb\u6b66\u6c49\u751f\u7269\u5236\u54c1\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u652f\u4ed8\u7f5a\u6b3e\uff0c\u4f46\u8bb8\u591a\u5bb6\u957f\u62c5\u5fc3\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u4e0e\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u5f53\u5c40\u6ca1\u6709\u66f4\u4e25\u5389\u5730\u60e9\u7f5a\u5b83\u3002<\/span><\/p>

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\u516c\u5171\u536b\u751f\u4e13\u5bb6\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e24\u5bb6\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u51fa\u73b0\u5bf9\u75ab\u82d7\u66f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u5f3a\u70c8\u53cd\u5bf9\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u8fd1\u51e0\u5341\u5e74\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u63a5\u79cd\u75ab\u82d7\u5de5\u4f5c\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u6d88\u9664\u810a\u9ad3\u7070\u8d28\u708e\uff0c\u5e76\u5927\u5e45\u51cf\u5c11\u5176\u4ed6\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u4f20\u64ad\u3002<\/span><\/p>

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\u5468\u4e00\u7684\u6297\u8bae\u6d3b\u52a8\uff0c\u518d\u52a0\u4e0a\u6700\u8fd1\u51e0\u5929\u793e\u4ea4\u5a92\u4f53\u4e0a\u7684\u6124\u6012\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u5f88\u591a\u7236\u6bcd\u90fd\u5bf9\u8ba9\u5b69\u5b50\u6ce8\u5c04\u4e2d\u56fd\u751f\u4ea7\u7684\u75ab\u82d7\u611f\u5230\u6000\u7591\u3002<\/span><\/p>

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\u4e16\u754c\u536b\u751f\u7ec4\u7ec7\u9a7b\u534e\u4ee3\u8868\u9ad8\u529b<\/span>(Gauden Galea)<\/span>\u535a\u58eb\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u95ee\u9898\u75ab\u82d7\u662f\u7531\u4e2d\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u98df\u54c1\u836f\u54c1\u76d1\u7763\u7ba1\u7406\u5c40\u7684\u8c03\u67e5\u4eba\u5458\u6240\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\u8be5\u56fd\u7684\u76d1\u7ba1\u4f53\u7cfb\u5728\u53d1\u6325\u4f5c\u7528\u3002\u4f46\u4ed6\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u5728\u8c03\u67e5\u4e2d\u5f80\u5f80\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u4fdd\u5bc6\uff0c\u5b83\u9700\u8981\u516c\u5f00\u900f\u660e\u624d\u80fd\u6062\u590d\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u514d\u75ab\u63a5\u79cd\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\u3002<\/span><\/p>

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“\u4e3a\u4e86\u6062\u590d\u4eba\u4eec\u7684\u4fe1\u4efb\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u63d0\u51fa\u6bd4\u6c11\u4f17\u7684\u7591\u95ee\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u505a\u51fa\u56de\u7b54\uff0c”\u4ed6\u8bf4\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u5468\u4e00\u7684\u6297\u8bae\u6d3b\u52a8\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u6765\u8bf4\u662f\u4e00\u6b21\u4e0d\u540c\u5bfb\u5e38\u7684\u6311\u6218\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u5df2\u7ecf\u90e8\u7f72\u4e86\u5ba1\u67e5\u8005\u6765\u9650\u5236\u7f51\u4e0a\u5173\u4e8e\u75ab\u82d7\u5371\u673a\u7684\u8ba8\u8bba\u3002<\/span><\/p>

 <\/p>

\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u51e0\u5341\u5e74\u6765\u6700\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u9886\u5bfc\u8005\uff0c\u4ed6\u4e00\u76f4\u8bd5\u56fe\u7528\u63d0\u9ad8\u751f\u6d3b\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u627f\u8bfa\u4e3a\u81ea\u5df1\u81ea\u4e0a\u800c\u4e0b\u7684\u7edf\u6cbb\u8fa9\u62a4\u3002\u4f46\u5206\u6790\u4eba\u58eb\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u75ab\u82d7\u98ce\u6ce2\u7b49\u4e8b\u4ef6\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u635f\u5bb3\u4ed6\u7684\u4fe1\u8a89\u3002<\/span><\/p>

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\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u7814\u7a76\u673a\u6784\u6d1b\u4f0a\u7814\u7a76\u6240<\/span>(Lowy Institute)<\/span>\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u95ee\u9898\u4e13\u5bb6\u590f\u7f8e\u6797<\/span>(Merriden Varrall)<\/span>\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u8bb8\u591a\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u5ead\u53ea\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u5b69\u5b50\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5bf9\u513f\u7ae5\u53ef\u80fd\u9020\u6210\u4f24\u5bb3\u7684\u4e11\u95fb\u5728\u4eba\u4eec\u5fc3\u76ee\u4e2d\u683c\u5916\u6076\u52a3\u3002<\/span><\/p>

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“\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u88ab\u544a\u77e5\u4ed6\u4eec\u6b63\u8d70\u4e0a\u590d\u5174\u7684\u9053\u8def\u4e0a\uff0c\u7136\u800c\u600e\u4e48\u8fd8\u4f1a\u53d1\u751f\u8fd9\u79cd\u4e8b\uff1f”\u5979\u8bf4\u3002“\u50cf\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u4e11\u95fb\u5df2\u7ecf\u4e0d\u80fd\u518d\u88ab\u5f53\u505a\u7406\u6240\u5f53\u7136\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\u4e86\u3002”<\/span><\/p>

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