{"id":87773,"date":"2020-04-06T01:08:00","date_gmt":"2020-04-06T01:08:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/127.0.0.1:10081\/?p=87773 "},"modified":"2020-04-06T01:08:00","modified_gmt":"2020-04-06T01:08:00","slug":"87773-revision-v1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=87773","title":{"rendered":"\u738b\u7ef4\u6d1b\uff1a\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u8c01\u6700\u65e9\u4f7f\u7528\u4e2d\u56fd\u75c5\u6bd2\uff08\u4e2d\u56fdCOVID-19\uff09\u8fd9\u4e2a\u8bcd\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><\/div><div>\u00a0<\/div><div>XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX<\/div><div>\u949f\u5357\u5c71\u9662\u58eb\u56e2\u961f\u5728\u300aJournal of Thoracic Disease\u300b\uff08\u300a\u80f8\u8154\u75be\u75c5\u6742\u5fd7\u300b\u7b2c12\u5377\u7b2c3\u671f2020\u5e743\u6708\uff09\u53d1\u8868\u4e86\u9898\u4e3a\u300aModified SEIR and AI prediction of the epidemics trend of COVID-19 in China under public health 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coronavirus pandemic\uff0c2019\u201320\u6307\u53d1\u751f\u65f6\u95f4\u662f2019\u81f32020\uff0ccorona\u662f\u51a0\u72b6\uff0cvirus\u662f\u75c5\u6bd2\uff0cpandemic\u662f\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u3002\u53bb\u6389\u5927\u6d41\u884c\uff0c\u65b0\u51a0\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u82f1\u6587\u540d\u79f0\u662f2019\u201320 coronavirus\u3002<\/div><div>\u00a0<\/div><div><\/div><div>2020\u5e741\u670830\u65e5\u4e16\u754c\u536b\u751f\u7ec4\u7ec7\u4e8e\u65e5\u5185\u74e6\u5ba3\u5e03\uff0c\u65b0\u578b\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd22019-nCoV\u75ab\u60c5\u5df2\u6784\u6210\u56fd\u9645\u5173\u6ce8\u516c\u5171\u536b\u751f\u7d27\u6025\u4e8b\u4ef6(PHEIC)\u3002\u4e16\u754c\u536b\u751f\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7528\u7684\u662f2019-nCoV\u30022019\u6307\u53d1\u751f\u65f6\u95f4\u662f2019\uff0c\u628a\u7206\u53d1\u65f6\u95f4\u9501\u5b9a\u57282019\u3002nCoV\u662fnew coronavirus\uff08\u65b0\u578b\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\uff09\u7684\u7f29\u5199\u3002<\/div><div>\u00a0<\/div><div>\u57282020\u5e742\u67088\u65e5\u4e0b\u5348\u4e3e\u884c\u7684\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a\u4e0a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u536b\u5065\u59d4\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u8a00\u4eba\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5c06\u65b0\u578b\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u611f\u67d3\u7684\u80ba\u708e\u6682\u547d\u540d\u4e3a\u65b0\u578b\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u80ba\u708e\uff08Novel coronavirus pneumonia\uff09\uff0c\u7b80\u79f0\u65b0\u51a0\u80ba\u708e\uff08NCP\uff09\u3002<\/div><div>\u00a0<\/div><div>\u00a0<\/div><div>2020\u5e742\u670811\u65e5\uff0c\u4e16\u536b\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5728\u65e5\u5185\u74e6\u53ec\u5f00\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a\uff0c\u5ba3\u5e03\u5c06\u65b0\u578b\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u6b63\u5f0f\u547d\u540d\u4e3aCOVID-19\uff0c 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\uff0c\u8c01\u5c31\u80fd\u83b7\u5f97\u4e16\u754c\u6297\u75ab\u7684\u4e3b\u52a8\u6743\u3002\u603b\u4e4b\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u547d\u540d\uff0c\u80cc\u540e\u7684\u6c34\u5f88\u6df1\u3002<\/div><div>\u00a0<\/div><div><\/div><div>\u5982\u679c\u8bf4\uff0c3\u670816\u65e5\u4f7f\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4e2a\u4eba\u9996\u5ea6\u4f7f\u7528\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u75c5\u6bd2\u201d\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u5bf9\u7684\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4ed6\u4e4b\u524d\u6ca1\u6709\u4f7f\u7528\u8fc7\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u75c5\u6bd2\u201d\u8fd9\u4e2a\u8bcd\u3002\u5982\u679c\u8bf4\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u7279\u6717\u666e\u662f\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e2a\u4f7f\u7528\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u75c5\u6bd2\u201d\u8fd9\u4e2a\u8bcd\uff0c\u5219\u662f\u9519\u8bef\u7684\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u91cd\u8981\u4eba\u7269\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4e4b\u524d\u5c31\u4f7f\u7528\u8fc7\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u75c5\u6bd2\u201d\u4e00\u8bcd\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4eba\u5c31\u662f\u79f0\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u6765\u6e90\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u949f\u5357\u5c71\u3002<\/div><div>\u00a0<\/div><div><\/div><div>\u949f\u5357\u5c71\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5de5\u7a0b\u9662\u9662\u58eb\uff0c\u8457\u540d\u547c\u5438\u75c5\u5b66\u4e13\u5bb6\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u4ed6\u57282003\u5e74\u6297\u51fb\u975e\u5178\u578b\u80ba\u708e\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u7684\u8d21\u732e\uff0c\u88ab\u79f0\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u6297\u75ab\u4e2d\u7684\u5b9a\u6d77\u795e\u9488\u3002\u73b0\u4efb\u56fd\u5bb6\u536b\u5065\u59d4\u9ad8\u7ea7\u522b\u4e13\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec4\u957f\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u8bf4\u662f\u4e00\u8a00\u4e5d\u9f0e\u3002\u4e2d\u5171\u6700\u9ad8\u51b3\u7b56\u5c42\u5bf9\u4e8e\u949f\u5357\u5c71\u9662\u58eb\u662f\u8a00\u542c\u8ba1\u4ece\u3002<\/div><div>\u00a0<\/div><div><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/UploadCenter\/ArticlePics\/2020\/14\/202045cai0463.jpg\" width=\"300\" height=\"197\" alt=\"\" \/><\/div><div>\u00a0<\/div><div>\u56fe4\uff1a\u949f\u5357\u5c71\u5e26\u9886\u65b0\u515a\u5458\u4e3e\u884c\u5165\u515a\u5ba3\u8a93\u4eea\u5f0f\uff0c\u56fe\u7247\u6765\u6e90\uff1a\u7f51\u7edc\u622a\u5c4f<\/div><div>\u00a0<\/div><div><\/div><div>\u949f\u5357\u5c71\u9662\u58eb\u56e2\u961f\u5728\u300aJournal of Thoracic Disease\u300b\uff08\u300a\u80f8\u8154\u75be\u75c5\u6742\u5fd7\u300b\u7b2c12\u5377\u7b2c3\u671f2020\u5e743\u6708\uff09\u53d1\u8868\u4e86\u9898\u4e3a\u300aModified SEIR and AI prediction of the epidemics trend of COVID-19 in China under public health interventions\u300b\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c3\u67082\u65e5\u548c3\u67083\u65e5\u4e2d\u56fd\u5404\u5927\u5a92\u4f53\u5747\u4ee5\u300a\u949f\u5357\u5c71\u9662\u58eb\u56e2\u961f\uff1a\u5982\u7ba1\u63a7\u63aa\u65bd\u8fdf5\u5929\u5b9e\u65bd\uff0c\u75ab\u60c5\u89c4\u6a21\u9884\u4f30\u5c06\u6269\u5927\u81f33\u500d\u300b\u52a0\u4ee5\u62a5\u9053\u3002<\/div><div>\u00a0<\/div><div><\/div><div>\u300aModified SEIR and AI prediction of the epidemics trend of COVID-19 in China under public health interventions\u300b\u4e00\u6587\u7684\u4f5c\u8005\u662f\uff1aZifeng Yang, Zhiqi Zeng, Ke Wang, Sook-San Wong, Wenhua Liang, Mark Zanin, Peng Liu, Xudong Cao, Zhongqiang Gao, Zhitong Mai, Jingyi Liang, Xiaoqing Liu, Shiyue Li, Yimin Li, Feng Ye, Weijie Guan, Yifan Yang, Fei Li, Shengmei Luo, Yuqi Xie, Bin Liu, Zhoulang Wang, Shaobo Zhang, Yaonan Wang, Nanshan Zhong, Jianxing He\uff08\u6768\u5b50\u5cf0\u3001\u66fe\u5fd7\u5947\u3001\u738b\u73c2\u3001\u9ec4\u6dd1\u73ca\u3001\u6881\u6587\u534e\u3001Mark Zanin1\u3001\u5218\u9e4f\u3001\u66f9\u65ed\u4e1c\u3001\u9ad8\u4e2d\u5f3a\u3001\u9ea6\u82b7\u6850\u3001\u6881\u9756\u6021\u3001\u5218\u6653\u9752\u3001\u674e\u65f6\u60a6\u3001\u9ece\u6bc5\u654f\u3001\u53f6\u67ab\u3001\u5173\u4f1f\u6770\u3001\u6768\u4e00\u5e06\u3001\u674e\u98de\u3001\u7f57\u5723\u7f8e\u3001\u8c22\u7389\u742a\u3001\u5218\u658c\u3001\u738b\u5468\u7405\u3001\u5f20\u5c11\u535a\u3001\u738b\u8000\u5357\u3001\u949f\u5357\u5c71\u3001\u4f55\u5efa\u884c\uff09\u3002<\/div><div>\u00a0<\/div><div><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/UploadCenter\/ArticlePics\/2020\/14\/202045cai0464.jpg\" width=\"684\" height=\"218\" alt=\"\" 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prediction of the epidemics trend of COVID-19 in China under public health interventions\u300b\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c2020\u5e743\u67082\u65e5\u548c3\u67083\u65e5\u4e2d\u56fd\u5404\u5927\u5a92\u4f53\u5747\u4ee5\u300a\u949f\u5357\u5c71\u9662\u58eb\u56e2\u961f\uff1a\u5982\u7ba1\u63a7\u63aa\u65bd\u8fdf5\u5929\u5b9e\u65bd\uff0c\u75ab\u60c5\u89c4\u6a21\u9884\u4f30\u5c06\u6269\u5927\u81f33\u500d\u300b\u52a0\u4ee5\u62a5\u9053\u3002\u62a5\u9053\u4e2d\u7684\u4e2d\u6587\u8bba\u6587\u9898\u76ee\u662f\u300a\u57fa\u4e8eSEIR\u4f18\u5316\u6a21\u578b\u548cAI\u5bf9\u516c\u5171\u536b\u751f\u5e72\u9884\u4e0b\u7684\u4e2d\u56fdCOVID-19\u66b4\u53d1\u8d8b\u52bf\u9884\u6d4b\u300b\uff0c\u8fd9\u5e94\u8be5\u662f\u949f\u5357\u5c71\u9662\u58eb\u56e2\u961f\u5305\u62ec\u949f\u5357\u5c71\u672c\u4eba\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\u4e2d\u6587\u9898\u76ee\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u5a92\u4f53\u7684\u4e2d\u6587\u7ffb\u8bd1\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u7b14\u8005\u770b\u5230\u7684\u6700\u65e9\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u75c5\u6bd2\uff08\u4e2d\u56fdCOVID-19\uff09\u3002\u65e2\u7136\u4e2d\u56fd\u75c5\u6bd2\uff08\u4e2d\u56fdCOVID-19\uff09\u662f\u56fd\u5bb6\u536b\u5065\u59d4\u9ad8\u7ea7\u522b\u4e13\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7ec4\u957f\u3001\u949f\u5357\u5c71\u9662\u58eb\u6700\u65e9\u63d0\u51fa\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u90a3\u4e9b\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u75c5\u6bd2\uff08\u4e2d\u56fdCOVID-19\uff09\u6240\u8c13\u6c61\u540d\u5316\u7684\u6307\u8d23\u90fd\u662f\u65e0\u4e8b\u751f\u975e\u3002&lt;\/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;\/div&gt;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":24,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[151,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-87773","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-chater08-10years","category-first","et-doesnt-have-format-content","et_post_format-et-post-format-standard"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/87773","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/24"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=87773"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/87773\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=87773"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=87773"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=87773"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}