{"id":89057,"date":"2021-03-04T23:52:02","date_gmt":"2021-03-05T04:52:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.minzhuzhongguo.us\/?p=89057"},"modified":"2021-03-04T23:52:02","modified_gmt":"2021-03-05T04:52:02","slug":"%e8%af%ad%e5%87%ba%e6%83%8a%e4%ba%ba%e7%9a%84%e9%a2%84%e6%b5%8b%ef%bc%9a%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd%e7%bb%8f%e6%b5%8e%e6%b0%b8%e8%bf%9c%e8%b6%85%e4%b8%8d%e8%bf%87%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=89057","title":{"rendered":"\u8bed\u51fa\u60ca\u4eba\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6c38\u8fdc\u8d85\u4e0d\u8fc7\u7f8e\u56fd"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u4e9a\u592a<\/p>\n<p>2021\u5e743\u67085\u65e5 11:21<br \/>\n\u96e8\u821f<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_89058\" style=\"width: 310px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-89058\" class=\"size-full wp-image-89058\" src=\"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/mz.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"170\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-89058\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u4eba\u53e3\u5b66\u5bb6\u6613\u5bcc\u8d24\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6c38\u8fdc\u8d85\u4e0d\u8fc7\u7f8e\u56fd\u3002\u56fe\u4e3a\u7f8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u65d7\u5728\u4e00\u5bb6\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u53f8\u9a7b\u5317\u4eac\u7684\u529e\u516c\u697c\u5916\u98d8\u626c\u3002\uff08\u8def\u900f\u793e2021\u5e741\u670821\u65e5\u8d44\u6599\u7167\uff09<\/p><\/div>\n<p>\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6c38\u8fdc\u8d85\u4e0d\u8fc7\u7f8e\u56fd\uff01\u201d\u8fd9\u8bdd\u4f20\u5230\u201c\u5389\u5bb3\u56fd\u201d\uff0c\u4f1a\u6709\u8bb8\u591a\u4eba\u6124\u6012\uff0c\u4e5f\u8ba9\u8bb8\u591a\u4eba\u5931\u843d\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u8fd9\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u5c31\u662f\u672a\u6765\u7684\u73b0\u5b9e\u3002\u6613\u5bcc\u8d24\u6839\u636e\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u8d8b\u52bf\u505a\u51fa\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u5728\u5168\u56fd\u548c\u5c40\u90e8\u90fd\u5c61\u8bd5\u4e0d\u723d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u62dc\u767b\u5ba3\u8a93\u5c31\u804c\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u524d\u767d\u5bab\u5b98\u5458\u4f55\u745e\u6069(Ryan Hass) \u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u5e03\u9c81\u91d1\u65af\u7814\u7a76\u9662\u4e3b\u7f16\u53d1\u5e03\u300a\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bf9\u534e\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u672a\u6765\u2014\u2014\u5bf9\u62dc\u767b\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u5efa\u8bae\u300b\u4e00\u4e66\u6240\u5f15\u7528\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u53c2\u8003\u6587\u732e\u662f\u957f\u671f\u81f4\u529b\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u53e3\u5b8f\u89c2\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u5b66\u5bb6\u6613\u5bcc\u8d24\u7684<a class=\"wsw__a\" href=\"https:\/\/www.scmp.com\/comment\/insight-opinion\/asia\/article\/2180421\/worse-japan-how-chinas-looming-demographic-crisis-will\">\u6587\u7ae0<\/a>\u3002<\/p>\n<div class=\"wsw__embed wsw__embed--small\">\n<figure class=\"media-image js-media-expand js-media-expand--ready\">\n<div class=\"img-wrap\">\n<div class=\"thumb\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/gdb.voanews.com\/DFF1DE80-9156-462B-8C60-2F958B41B833_w250_r0_s.jpg\" alt=\"\u4eba\u53e3\u5b66\u5bb6\u3001\u7f8e\u56fd\u5a01\u65af\u5eb7\u8f9b\u5927\u5b66\u9ea6\u8fea\u900a\u5206\u6821\u8d44\u6df1\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u6613\u5bcc\u8d24\u535a\u58eb\u3002(\u7167\u7247\u7531\u672c\u4eba\u63d0\u4f9b)\" \/><\/div>\n<\/div><figcaption><span class=\"caption\">\u4eba\u53e3\u5b66\u5bb6\u3001\u7f8e\u56fd\u5a01\u65af\u5eb7\u8f9b\u5927\u5b66\u9ea6\u8fea\u900a\u5206\u6821\u8d44\u6df1\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u6613\u5bcc\u8d24\u535a\u58eb\u3002(\u7167\u7247\u7531\u672c\u4eba\u63d0\u4f9b)<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>\u6613\u5bcc\u8d24\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u5a01\u65af\u5eb7\u8f9b\u5927\u5b66\u9ea6\u8fea\u900a\u5206\u6821\u7684\u8d44\u6df1\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\uff0c\u00ad\u00ad\u00ad\u00ad\u00ad\u4f5c\u5bb6\u3002\u90a3\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u662f\u4ed62019\u5e74\u53d1\u8868\u4e8e\u82f1\u6587\u7248\u300a\u5357\u534e\u65e9\u62a5\u300b\u4e0a\u7684\uff0c\u6807\u9898\u4e3a\u201c\u6bd4\u65e5\u672c\u8fd8\u7cdf\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u8feb\u5728\u7709\u776b\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u5371\u673a\u5c06\u5982\u4f55\u6bc1\u706d\u5176\u7ecf\u6d4e\u68a6\u60f3\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u00ad\u00ad\u00ad\u00ad\u00ad\u6613\u5bcc\u8d24\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u7f8e\u4e2d\u5173\u7cfb\u6076\u5316\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u662f\u9519\u8bef\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u53e3\u6570\u636e\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u6218\u7565\u8bef\u5224\u3002\u5bf9\u6b64\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e4b\u97f3\u8bb0\u8005\u5bf9\u6613\u5bcc\u8d24\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u4e13\u8bbf\uff0c\u8bf7\u4ed6\u5c31\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u53e3\u771f\u76f8\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b9e\u529b\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u53ca\u5176\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u5206\u4eab\u72ec\u5230\u89c1\u89e3\uff0c\u4ee5\u4e0b\u662f\u4e13\u8bbf\u5185\u5bb9\u3002<\/p>\n<div class=\"wsw__embed wsw__embed--small\">\n<figure class=\"media-image js-media-expand js-media-expand--ready\">\n<div class=\"img-wrap\">\n<div class=\"thumb\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/gdb.voanews.com\/0062414D-7436-4E27-ADDA-F1811D4DFFC6_w250_r0_s.jpg\" alt=\"\u4e2d\u56fd\u9ad8\u901f\u53d1\u5c55\u540e\u59ff\u6001\u6e10\u9ad8\uff0c\u5f15\u53d1\u7f8e\u56fd\u8b66\u60d5\u3002\u56fe\u4e3a\u7f8e\u519b\u7f57\u65af\u798f\u53f7\u822a\u6bcd(USS Theodore Roosevelt) \u4e0e\u5c3c\u7c73\u5179\u53f7(USS Nimitz)\u822a\u6bcd2021\u5e742\u67089\u65e5\u5728\u5357\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77\u4e3e\u884c\u53cc\u822a\u6bcd\u8054\u6f14\uff08\u7f8e\u56fd\u6d77\u519b\u7167\u7247\uff09\" \/><\/div>\n<\/div><figcaption><span class=\"caption\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u9ad8\u901f\u53d1\u5c55\u540e\u59ff\u6001\u6e10\u9ad8\uff0c\u5f15\u53d1\u7f8e\u56fd\u8b66\u60d5\u3002\u56fe\u4e3a\u7f8e\u519b\u7f57\u65af\u798f\u53f7\u822a\u6bcd(USS Theodore Roosevelt) \u4e0e\u5c3c\u7c73\u5179\u53f7(USS Nimitz)\u822a\u6bcd2021\u5e742\u67089\u65e5\u5728\u5357\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77\u4e3e\u884c\u53cc\u822a\u6bcd\u8054\u6f14\uff08\u7f8e\u56fd\u6d77\u519b\u7167\u7247\uff09<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p><strong>\u8bb0\u8005\uff1a\u60a8\u63d0\u51fa\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5938\u5927\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\uff0c\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u5462\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u6613<\/strong>\uff1a<a class=\"wsw__a\" name=\"_Hlk65678084\"><\/a>\u6211\u5176\u5b9e\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5173\u7cfb10\u591a\u5e74\u4e86\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5173\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u201c\u975e\u5a01\u80c1\u8bba\u201d\u7684\u89c2\u70b9\uff0c\u5728\u6211\u7684\u300a<a class=\"wsw__a\" href=\"https:\/\/baike.baidu.com\/item\/%E5%A4%A7%E5%9B%BD%E7%A9%BA%E5%B7%A2%EF%BC%9A%E5%8F%8D%E6%80%9D%E4%B8%AD%E5%9B%BD%E8%AE%A1%E5%88%92%E7%94%9F%E8%82%B2%E6%94%BF%E7%AD%96\/8984342?fromtitle=%E5%A4%A7%E5%9B%BD%E7%A9%BA%E5%B7%A2&amp;fromid=9709929\">\u5927\u56fd\u7a7a\u5de2<\/a>\u300b2007\u5e74\u5728\u9999\u6e2f\u51fa\u7b2c\u4e00\u7248\u65f6\u5c31\u5b58\u5728\u4e86\u3002\u90a3\u65f6\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u957f\u671f\u4ee510%\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u6574\u4f53\u7684\u601d\u8def\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f88\u5feb\u5c06\u8d85\u8fc7\u7f8e\u56fd\u30022011\u5e74\u65f6\uff0c\u4e3b\u6d41\u751a\u81f3\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c20\u5e74\u4e4b\u540e\u76842032\u5e74\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5c06\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u4e24\u500d\u3002\u5f53\u65f6\u56fd\u5185\u5f88\u5174\u594b\uff0c\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u6b63\u5728\u5d1b\u8d77\u6210\u4e3a\u4e16\u754c\u7b2c\u4e00\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6211\u4ee5\u4e3a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u662f\u65e5\u672c\u5f0f\u77ed\u8dd1\uff0c\u5c31\u50cf\u97e9\u56fd\u548c\u53f0\u6e7e\u4e00\u6837\uff0c\u800c\u7f8e\u56fd\u662f\u957f\u8dd1\u3002\u77ed\u8dd1\u901f\u5ea6\u6682\u65f6\u8d85\u8fc7\u957f\u8dd1\u7684\u4e0d\u5947\u602a\uff0c\u4f46\u77ed\u8dd1\u8981\u4e00\u76f4\u4fdd\u6301\u9ad8\u901f\u662f\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u3002\u4f55\u51b5\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u53e3\u7ed3\u6784\u6025\u5267\u8001\u5316\uff0c\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u57282013\u300114\u5e74\u5c31\u5f00\u59cb\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u800c\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u52302050\u5e74\u90fd\u4e0d\u4f1a\u51cf\u5c11\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u7cbe\u82f1\u5b66\u8005\u5f88\u5c11\u4ece\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u6570\u636e\u6765\u8fdb\u884c\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u66f4\u4e0d\u638c\u63e1\u771f\u5b9e\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6709\u5927\u91cf\u704c\u6c34\u73b0\u8c61\u3002\u6211\u5728\u7814\u7a76\u768420\u591a\u5e74\u4e2d\uff0c\u53d1\u73b0\u66fe\u7ecf\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u8ba1\u751f\u59d4\u3001\u56fd\u5bb6\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u3001\u5730\u65b9\u6559\u80b2\u90e8\u95e8\u3001\u5730\u65b9\u6237\u7c4d\u90e8\u95e8\u548c\u533b\u9662\u7b49\uff0c\u90fd\u5938\u5927\u4eba\u53e3\u7684\u6570\u5b57\u3002\u8fd9\u6837\u4e00\u6765\uff0c\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u3001\u6d88\u8d39\u529b\u3001\u751f\u4ea7\u529b\u3001\u521b\u65b0\u529b\u7b49\u5173\u952e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6210\u4efd\u7684\u4f30\u7b97\u90fd\u5938\u5927\u4e86\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u672a\u6765\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6210\u957f\u548c\u56fd\u529b\u4e5f\u88ab\u5938\u5927\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u8bb0\u8005\uff1a\u60a8\u8bf4\uff0c\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6c38\u8fdc\u4e0d\u4f1a\u8d85\u8fc7\u7f8e\u56fd\u201d\uff0c\u60a8\u7684\u5e95\u6c14\u4ece\u54ea\u91cc\u6765\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u6613<\/strong>\uff1a\u8bb0\u5f972016\u5e74\u6211\u5230\u4e2d\u56fd\u53c2\u52a0\u535a\u9ccc\u8bba\u575b\uff0c\u63a5\u53d7\u300a<a class=\"wsw__a\" href=\"https:\/\/cn.nytimes.com\/china\/20160324\/c24chinaletter\/\">\u7ebd\u7ea6\u65f6\u62a5<\/a>\u300b\u4e13\u8bbf\u65f6\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6c38\u8fdc\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u8d85\u8fc7\u7f8e\u56fd\uff0c\u4f30\u8ba1\u8fd9\u8bdd\u88ab\u89e3\u8bfb\u4e3a\u6211\u5728\u5531\u8870\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u4e8e\u662f\u6211\u88ab\u5c01\u6740\u4e86\u3002\u5f53\u65f6\u4e2d\u56fd\u8206\u8bba\u573a\u662f\u4e00\u7247\u201c\u5389\u5bb3\u4e86\uff0c\u6211\u7684\u56fd\u201d\u7684\u6b22\u547c\u58f0\uff0c\u800c\u6211\u7684\u58f0\u97f3\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u662f\u5f88\u5927\u7684\u6253\u51fb\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8bf4\u5230\u5e95\u6c14\uff0c\u6211\u4e00\u76f4\u4ee5\u4e3a\uff0c\u793e\u4f1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u4e3b\u4f53\u662f\u4eba\u53e3\uff0c\u6709\u4e86\u4eba\u53e3\u624d\u6709\u751f\u4ea7\u3001\u6d88\u8d39\u548c\u521b\u65b0\u7b49\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6d3b\u52a8\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u5d1b\u8d77\u662f\u9760\u4eba\u53e3\u300279\u5e74\u6539\u9769\u5f00\u653e\uff0c80\u5e74\u7684\u4eba\u53e3<a class=\"wsw__a\" href=\"https:\/\/www.voachinese.com\/a\/china-will-not-win-the-race-with-us-20210304\/80%E5%B9%B4%E4%B8%AD%E4%BD%8D%E5%B9%B4%E9%BE%84%E5%8F%AA%E6%9C%8922%E5%B2%81\">\u4e2d\u4f4d\u5e74\u9f84<\/a>\u53ea\u670922\u5c81\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5f53\u65f6\u662f30\u5c81\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53ea\u8981\u7a0d\u5fae\u987a\u5e94\u89c4\u5f8b\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u53d6\u5f97\u5f88\u597d\u7684\u6210\u5c31\uff0c\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e5f\u662f\u5982\u6b64\u3002\u90a3\u65f6\u5019\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u9752\u5e74\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u4e00\u4e2a\u8fc8\u5165\u4e2d\u5e74\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\uff0c\u4e24\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5dee\u8ddd\u4e0d\u65ad\u7f29\u5c0f\u662f\u5fc5\u7136\u7684\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u52b3\u52a8\u529b2014\u5e74\u5de6\u53f3\u5f00\u59cb\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u4e2d\u4f4d\u5e74\u9f842018\u5e74\u4e4b\u524d\u5df2\u7ecf\u8d85\u8fc7\u7f8e\u56fd\uff0c\u73b0\u5728\u662f42\u5c81\uff0c\u800c\u7f8e\u56fd\u662f38\u5c81\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7a33\u5b9a\u4f4f1.2\u7684\u751f\u80b2\u7387(\u6bcf\u4f4d\u80b2\u9f84\u5987\u5973\u4e00\u751f\u5e73\u5747\u751f\u80b21.2\u4e2a\u5b69\u5b50)\uff0c\u52302035\u5e74\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u4e2d\u4f4d\u5e74\u9f84\u4e3a49\u5c81\uff0c\u800c\u7f8e\u56fd\u662f42\u5c81\uff1b2050\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u5c06\u8fbe\u523056\u5c81\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u662f44\u5c81\u3002\u8fd9\u91cc\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u5230\uff0c\u7f8e\u4e2d\u4e24\u56fd\u5404\u81ea\u7684\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u6027\u7a76\u7adf\u8c01\u5360\u4f18\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5927\u6982\u57282030-35\u5e74\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u53e3\u6570\u636e\u7684\u5404\u65b9\u9762\u90fd\u5c06\u900a\u8272\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u7740\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u901f\u5ea6\u57282035\u5e74\u5de6\u53f3\u5f00\u59cb\u4f4e\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u8bb0\u8005\uff1a\u524d\u51e0\u5929\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u4e00\u4e2a\u667a\u5e93\u201c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u5546\u4e1a\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3\u201d\uff08<\/strong><strong>CEBR\uff09\u8bf4\uff0c2028\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u91cf\u4f1a<\/strong><a class=\"wsw__a\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/zhongwen\/simp\/world-56194990\"><strong>\u8d85\u8fc7\u7f8e\u56fd<\/strong><\/a><strong>\uff0c\u83b7\u5f97\u5a92\u4f53\u548c\u4e00\u4e9b\u4e13\u5bb6\u7684\u8d5e\u540c\uff1b\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u8fd8\u6709\u9884\u6d4b\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u5747<\/strong><strong>GDP\u4eca\u540e\u5c06\u8fbe\u5230\u7f8e\u56fd\u768450%\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u662f70%\u3002\u60a8\u600e\u4e48\u770b\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u6613<\/strong>\uff1a\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u3002\u8981\u5b9e\u73b0\u7ecf\u6d4e\u603b\u4f53\u91cf2028\u5e74\u8d85\u8d8a\u7f8e\u56fd\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u7740\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u5e74\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7387\u8981\u8d85\u8fc77%\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6700\u591a\u57282021\u5e74\u7531\u4e8e\u75ab\u60c5\u540e\u590d\u82cf\u53cd\u5f39\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u8d85\u8fc77%\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u6ca1\u6709\u4e00\u5e74\u80fd\u591f\u8d85\u8fc7\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6570\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6211\u57282000\u5e74\u4ee3\u8bf4\u8fc7\uff0c2012\u5e74\u5c06\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u53e3\u7684\u62d0\u70b9\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u62d0\u70b9\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u5c06\u5f00\u59cb\u51cf\u7f13\u3002\u5f53\u65f6\u6ca1\u6709\u4eba\u76f8\u4fe1\u3002\u679c\u7136\uff0c2012\u5e74\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4ece2011\u5e74\u76849.6%\u5f00\u59cb\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u4e00\u76f4\u6ed1\u52302019\u5e74\u76846.1%\u3002\u8fd9\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u754c\u53ea\u770b\u4e00\u4e24\u5e74\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u6211\u4f1a\u770b\u5341\u591a\u5e74\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u81f3\u4e8e\u4ed6\u4eec\u5bf9\u4eba\u5747GDP\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u6211\u4e5f\u4e0d\u8d5e\u540c\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u76ee\u524d\u4eba\u5747GDP\u76f8\u5f53\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u516d\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u6500\u5347\u5230\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u4e00\u534a\u751a\u81f3\u66f4\u9ad8\u3002\u65e5\u672c1995\u5e74\u7684\u4eba\u5747GDP\u66fe\u7ecf\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u76841.5\u500d\uff0c\u73b0\u57282020\u5e74\u5df2\u7ecf\u964d\u523061%\uff0c\u4eca\u540e\u5f88\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u4f4e\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u768440%\u3002\u97e9\u56fd\u548c\u53f0\u6e7e\uff0c\u4ee5\u524d\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5dee\u8ddd\u4e0d\u65ad\u7f29\u5c0f\uff0c\u4f46\u662f2011\u5e74\u540e\uff0c\u53f0\u6e7e\u4eba\u5747GDP\u5b9a\u683c\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u768442%\u4e0d\u52a8\u4e86\uff1b\u97e9\u56fd2011\u5e74\u5de6\u53f3\u5230\u7f8e\u56fd\u768450%\u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u4e5f\u5f98\u5f8a\u4e0d\u524d\u4e86\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5730\u65b9\u7684\u4eba\u5747\u6536\u5165\u6c34\u5e73\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u7ee7\u7eed\u964d\u5230\u4f4e\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u768430%\u3002\u6b27\u76df2008\u5e74\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u768476%\uff0c\u73b0\u5728\u662f53%\uff1b\u5fb7\u56fd\u662f\u6b27\u6d32\u7684\u7fd8\u695a\uff0c\u4eba\u5747\u57282008\u5e74\u66fe\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u768494%\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\uff0c2020\u5e74\u964d\u523071%\uff1b\u610f\u5927\u52292008\u5e74\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u768484%\uff0c2019\u5e74\u964d\u523051%\uff1b\u8fd8\u6709\u8461\u8404\u7259\u3001\u5e0c\u814a\u90fd\u662f\u540c\u6837\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u8fd9\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662f\u51e0\u4e2a\u4f8b\u5b50\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u8bb0\u8005\uff1a\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u6216\u5b9e\u4f53\u90fd\u843d\u5165\u7c7b\u4f3c\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u4ece\u8ffd\u8d76\u7f8e\u56fd\u5230\u4e27\u5931\u9a6c\u529b\uff0c\u518d\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u62c9\u5f00\u8ddd\u79bb\uff0c\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u6709\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u96f7\u540c\u73b0\u8c61\u5462\uff1f\u4e2d\u56fd\u662f\u5426\u4e5f\u4f1a\u8dcc\u5165\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6a21\u578b\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n<div class=\"wsw__embed wsw__embed--small\">\n<figure class=\"media-image js-media-expand js-media-expand--ready\">\n<div class=\"img-wrap\">\n<div class=\"thumb\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/gdb.voanews.com\/24FF4097-1369-4106-BE52-9053C3C6062C_w250_r0_s.jpg\" alt=\"\u6613\u5bcc\u8d24\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4eba\u53e3\u56e0\u7d20\u662f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u3002\u56fe\u4e3a\u6c5f\u82cf\u7701\u6dee\u5b89\u5e02\u4e00\u6240\u533b\u9662\u7684\u65b0\u751f\u513f \uff082007\u5e745\u67087\u65e5\u8d44\u6599\u7167\uff09\" \/><\/div>\n<\/div><figcaption><span class=\"caption\">\u6613\u5bcc\u8d24\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4eba\u53e3\u56e0\u7d20\u662f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u3002\u56fe\u4e3a\u6c5f\u82cf\u7701\u6dee\u5b89\u5e02\u4e00\u6240\u533b\u9662\u7684\u65b0\u751f\u513f \uff082007\u5e745\u67087\u65e5\u8d44\u6599\u7167\uff09<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p><strong>\u6613<\/strong>\uff1a\u8001\u9f84\u5316\u662f\u6700\u5927\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u6b27\u6d32\u3001\u65e5\u672c\u7b49\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u56fd\uff0c\u90fd\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5dee\u8ddd\u624d\u5f00\u59cb\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5927\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u66fe\u7ecf\u8de8\u8fc7\u4e86\u4e2d\u7b49\u6536\u5165\u9677\u9631\uff0c\u4f46\u7531\u4e8e\u843d\u5165\u8001\u9f84\u5316\u9677\u9631\uff0c\u53c8\u91cd\u65b0\u56de\u5230\u4e2d\u7b49\u6536\u5165\u9677\u9631\u3002\u6211\u4e00\u76f4\u6253\u6bd4\u65b9\u8bf4\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u533b\u751f\u8bca\u65ad\u75c5\u4eba\u6b7b\u4e8e\u5e74\u8001\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u8bf4\u6b7b\u4e8e\u5404\u79cd\u75c5\u75c7\uff0c\u50cf\u5fc3\u810f\uff0c\u764c\u75c7\uff0c\u80a5\u80d6\u7b49\u7b49\uff1b\u5fb7\u56fd\u3001\u65e5\u672c\u88ab\u770b\u51fa\u4e00\u4e2a\u6709\u764c\u75c7\u4e00\u4e2a\u5f97\u4e86\u4e2d\u98ce\uff0c\u5176\u5b9e\u6839\u672c\u539f\u56e0\u8fd8\u662f\u8001\u9f84\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e2d\u56fd\u751f\u80b2\u73871991\u5e74\u5df2\u7ecf\u4f4e\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\uff0c2000\u5e74\u6bd4\u65e5\u672c\u3001\u5fb7\u56fd\u3001\u5e0c\u814a\u3001\u8461\u8404\u7259\u3001\u610f\u5927\u5229\u8fd8\u4f4e\uff0c\u4eca\u540e\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u8001\u9f84\u5316\u95ee\u9898\u6bd4\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u8fd8\u4e25\u91cd\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\uff0c\u4eba\u5747GDP\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u8fbe\u5230\u7f8e\u56fd\u768450%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8001\u9f84\u5316\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u662f\u4e00\u5934\u7070\u7280\u725b\uff1b\u800c\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u662f\u9ed1\u5929\u9e45\uff0c\u4e00\u5e74\u5373\u901d\u3002\u7070\u7280\u725b\u662f\u6f2b\u957f\u7684\uff0c\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u9003\u8fc7\u7684\u3002\u73b0\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u906d\u9047\u9ed1\u5929\u9e45\uff0c\u5f88\u591a\u4eb2\u4e2d\u6d3e\u5927\u547c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5236\u5ea6\u4f18\u8d8a\uff0c\u4f46\u5176\u5b9e\u53ea\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u6682\u65f6\u83b7\u5f97\u77ed\u8dd1\u4f18\u52bf\u3002\u4eba\u53e3\u8001\u5316\uff0c\u6d88\u8d39\u529b\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u521b\u65b0\u529b\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u8870\u843d\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5927\u65b9\u5411\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u8bb0\u8005<\/strong>\uff1a<strong>\u60a8\u8bf4\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u9519\u8bef\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u6570\u636e\u662f\u600e\u4e48\u4e00\u56de\u4e8b\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u6613<\/strong>\uff1a\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u704c\u6c34\u30022000\u5e74\uff0c\u4eba\u53e3\u666e\u67e5\u7edf\u8ba1\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u4ec5\u4e3a1.2\uff0c\u51fa\u751f\u4eba\u6570\u4e3a1408\u4e07\uff0c\u5df2\u7ecf\u5230\u4e86\u9700\u8981\u9f13\u52b1\u751f\u80b2\u7684\u65f6\u5019\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u8ba1\u751f\u59d4\u4e00\u4e2a\u6cd5\u89c4\u53f8\u957f\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e48\u4f4e\u662f\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\uff0c\u4e8e\u662f\u52a0\u4ee5\u865a\u62a5\uff1b\u8ba1\u751f\u59d4\u751a\u81f3\u516c\u5e03\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e00\u65e6\u653e\u677e\u8ba1\u5212\u751f\u80b2\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6570\u5b57\u4f1a\u5347\u52302.1\uff0c\u5c06\u5bfc\u81f4\u4eba\u53e3\u65e0\u9650\u81a8\u80c0\u3002\u5728\u540e\u67652010\u5e74\u4eba\u53e3\u666e\u67e5\u548c2015\u5e74\u7684\u5c0f\u666e\u67e5\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u8ba1\u751f\u59d4\u7ee7\u7eed\u62d4\u9ad8\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u3002<\/p>\n<p>2016\u5e74\u5f00\u653e\u5168\u9762\u4e8c\u80ce\u5316\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u8ba1\u751f\u59d4\u9884\u6d4b\u4e8c\u80ce\u5316\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u6bcf\u5e74\u53ef\u51fa\u751f4700\u4e07\u5a74\u513f\uff1b2015\u5e74\u65f6\u79f0\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u8fbe\u4e0d\u5230\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6570\uff0c\u4f46\u53ef\u4ee5\u8fbe\u52302200\u4e07\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a2016\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u8fdc\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u4ec5\u4e3a1.24\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u7740\u51fa\u751f\u5a74\u513f\u4e3a1200\u4e07\u3002\u5f53\u65f6\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e2017\u5e74\u8981\u5f0019\u5927\uff0c\u5c06\u51b3\u5b9a\u56fd\u5bb6\u8ba1\u751f\u59d4\u662f\u5426\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u8ba1\u751f\u59d4\u4e3a\u4e86\u7ee7\u7eed\u5b58\u5728\u4e0b\u53bb\uff0c\u516c\u5e03\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u7b26\u5408\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u8bf42018\u5e74\u5c06\u51fa\u751f1846\u4e07\u3002\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\uff0c2018\u5e74\uff0c\u56fd\u5bb6\u536b\u8ba1\u59d4\u88ab\u64a4\u9500\u6539\u5236\uff0c\u771f\u5b9e\u7684\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u6d6e\u51fa\u6c34\u9762\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u5e74\u4ec5\u4ec5\u51fa\u751f<a class=\"wsw__a\" name=\"_Hlk65703596\"><\/a>1362\u4e07\u5a74\u513f\uff0c\u5927\u5927\u5c11\u4e8e\u6b64\u524d\u9884\u62a5\u76841800\u591a\u4e07\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u90a3\u65f6\uff0c\u56fd\u5bb6\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u6570\u636e\u6765\u81ea\u8ba1\u751f\u59d4\uff0c\u800c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u53e3\u534f\u4f1a\u4f1a\u957f\u662f\u8ba1\u751f\u59d4\u4e3b\u4efb\uff0c\u56fd\u5bb6\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u8d1f\u8d23\u4eba\u53e3\u666e\u67e5\u7684\u526f\u5c40\u957f\u4e00\u822c\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u53e3\u534f\u4f1a\u7684\u526f\u4f1a\u957f\uff0c\u90fd\u53d7\u56fd\u5bb6\u8ba1\u751f\u59d4\u9886\u5bfc\uff0c\u5927\u5bb6\u90fd\u6839\u636e\u9700\u8981\u5b9a\u6570\u636e\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5730\u65b9\u6559\u80b2\u5c40\u4e5f\u628a\u6570\u5b57\u201c\u6269\u5927\u5316\u201d\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6559\u80b2\u7ecf\u8d39\u7531\u4e2d\u592e\u548c\u5730\u65b9\u8054\u5408\u51fa\u8d44\uff0c\u4e2d\u90e8\u5730\u533a\u4e2d\u592e\u51fa60%\uff0c\u897f\u90e8\u5730\u533a\u4e2d\u592e\u51fa80%\uff0c\u591a\u62a5\u5b66\u751f\u53ef\u4ee5\u83b7\u5f97\u66f4\u591a\u4e2d\u592e\u7ecf\u8d39\u30022000\u5e74\u51fa\u751f\u7684\u5b69\u5b502006\u5e74\u4e0a\u5c0f\u5b66\u4e86\uff0c\u8fd9\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u539f\u6765\u7edf\u8ba1\u7684\u51fa\u751f\u6570\u5b571408\u4e07\uff0c\u53d8\u6210\u4e861729\u4e07\u3002\u5230\u4e862014\u5e74\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5b69\u5b50\u8fdb\u5165\u521d\u4e09\uff0c\u7ecf\u8d39\u5df2\u7ecf\u53d1\u8fc7\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u5fc5\u8981\u9690\u7792\u90a3\u4e48\u591a\u4e86\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u4eba\u6570\u56de\u843d\u52301426\u4e07\u30022015\u5e7415\u5c81\u65f6\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6570\u5b57\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7f29\u6c34\u4e3a1350\u4e07\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u533b\u7597\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e5f\u6709\u6c34\u5206\u30022008\u5e74\u4e4b\u524d\u519c\u6c11\u751f\u5b69\u5b50\u81ea\u8d39\uff0c\u4e4b\u540e\u653f\u5e9c\u5efa\u7acb\u4e86\u90e8\u5206\u4fdd\u9669\u5236\u5ea6\uff0c\u519c\u6c11\u751f\u5b50\u6709\u4fdd\u9669\u548c\u8d39\u7528\u4e86\uff0c\u4e8e\u662f\uff0c\u533b\u9662\u548c\u7ba1\u7406\u673a\u6784\u865a\u6784\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5192\u9886\u7ecf\u8d39\u3002\u536b\u5065\u59d4\u4e5f\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\u5230\u5e95\u51fa\u751f\u591a\u5c11\u4eba\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u7ba1\u4e0d\u4e86\u90a3\u4e48\u591a\u533b\u9662\u7684\u51fa\u751f\u4eba\u6570\uff0c\u51fa\u751f\u8bc1\u6839\u672c\u65e0\u6cd5\u63a7\u5236\u3002<\/p>\n<p>2010\u5e74\u6237\u7c4d\u6539\u9769\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u4e0a\u6237\u53e3\u6ca1\u4ec0\u4e48\u9650\u5236\u4e86\uff0c\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u4e70\u5356\u51fa\u751f\u8bc1\uff0c\u529e<a 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