{"id":92903,"date":"2021-12-31T16:16:58","date_gmt":"2021-12-31T21:16:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=92903"},"modified":"2021-12-31T17:24:32","modified_gmt":"2021-12-31T22:24:32","slug":"%e4%b8%93%e5%ae%b6%e5%88%86%e6%9e%90%ef%bc%9a2022%e5%8d%8e%e7%9b%9b%e9%a1%bf%e4%b8%8e%e5%8c%97%e4%ba%ac%e7%bb%a7%e7%bb%ad%e8%8b%a5%e5%8d%b3%e8%8b%a5%e7%a6%bb","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=92903","title":{"rendered":"\u4e13\u5bb6\u5206\u6790\uff1a2022\u534e\u76db\u987f\u4e0e\u5317\u4eac\u7ee7\u7eed\u82e5\u5373\u82e5\u79bb"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"col-category col-xs-12 col-md-2 pull-left\">\n<div class=\"category\"><a class=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.voachinese.com\/z\/1776\">\u7f8e\u4e2d\u5173\u7cfb<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"col-publishing-details col-xs-12 col-sm-12 col-md-2 pull-left\">\n<div class=\"publishing-details\">\n<div class=\"published\"><span class=\"date\" title=\"\u4e2d\u56fd\u65f6\u95f4\"><time 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Institute\uff09\u653f\u6cbb\u519b\u4e8b\u5206\u6790\u4e2d\u5fc3\u4e3b\u4efb\u7406\u67e5\u5fb7\u00b7\u9b4f\u8328\uff08Richard Weitz\uff09\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u660e\u5e74\u7684\u7f8e\u4e2d\u5173\u7cfb\u4e0e\u4eca\u5e74\u7c7b\u4f3c\uff0c\u5c06\u4f1a\u975e\u5e38\u7cdf\u7cd5\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u5927\u591a\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u662f\u6fc0\u70c8\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u3002 \u4ed6\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u4e5f\u8bb8\u7f8e\u4e2d\u4e24\u56fd\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5728\u671d\u9c9c\u3001\u4f0a\u6717\u3001\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u3001\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u82d7\u548c\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7b49\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\u770b\u5230\u4e00\u4e9b\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u4f46\u5373\u4fbf\u662f\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u90fd\u4e5f\u662f\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u7684\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u534e\u76db\u987f\u975e\u515a\u6d3e\u3001\u72ec\u7acb\u7814\u7a76\u673a\u6784\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u5e73\u7814\u7a76\u6240\uff08United States Institute of Peace\uff09\u4e2d\u56fd\u7814\u7a76\u8d44\u6df1\u4e13\u5bb6\u5085\u745e\u73cd\uff08Carla Freeman\uff09\u535a\u58eb\u544a\u8bc9\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e4b\u97f3\uff0c\u5979\u8ba4\u4e3a2022\u5e74\u7f8e\u4e2d\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u603b\u4f53\u4e0a\u4ecd\u5c06\u4f1a\u6301\u7eed\u7d27\u5f20\u800c\u4e14\u96be\u4ee5\u9884\u6d4b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u5085\u745e\u73cd\u770b\u6765\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u7684\u7a33\u5b9a\u56e0\u7d20\u5305\u62ec\uff0c\u65b0\u51a0\u75c5\u6bd2\u75ab\u60c5\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u957f\u671f\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u52a0\u4e4b\u4e2d\u56fd\u56fd\u5185\u653f\u7b56\u9a71\u52a8\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6311\u6218\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5c06\u4e3a\u81f3\u5c11\u6709\u9650\u7684\u7f8e\u4e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u201c\u518d\u6302\u94a9\u201d\uff08recoupling\uff09\u589e\u6dfb\u4e00\u4e9b\u52a8\u529b\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5c06\u5bfb\u6c42\u5728\u4e2d\u5171\u4e3e\u884c\u201c\u4e8c\u5341\u5927\u201d\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u7f13\u548c\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u5728\u5176\u5b83\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u5173\u7cfb\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u56fd\u9645\u8206\u8bba\u548c\u5206\u6790\u666e\u904d\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5728\u4e2d\u5171\u4e3e\u884c\u4e8c\u5341\u5927\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u7b03\u5b9a\u5c06\u88ab\u786e\u8ba4\u4e3a\u6267\u638c\u7b2c\u4e09\u4e2a\u4efb\u671f\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u515a\u3001\u653f\u3001\u519b\u6700\u9ad8\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u53f0\u6d77\u6469\u64e6\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u518d\u6b21\u786e\u8ba4\u4e0e\u53f0\u5317\u7684\u7279\u6b8a\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f8e\u56fd\u9762\u4e34\u56fd\u4f1a\u4e2d\u671f\u9009\u4e3e\uff0c\u53f0\u6e7e\u4ecd\u5c06\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u4ee4\u4eba\u62c5\u5fe7\u7684\u7206\u53d1\u70b9\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5165\u4fb5\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u56e0\u53f0\u6e7e\u672a\u6765\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u52a0\u5267\u7f8e\u4e2d\u4e4b\u95f4\u53cc\u8fb9\u5b89\u5168\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\uff0c\u201d 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Bowditch\uff09\u5219\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a2022\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u4e2d\u671f\u9009\u4e3e\u5e74\uff0c2022\u5e74\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u5185\u653f\u6cbb\u5c06\u4f1a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u4e2d\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u6539\u5584\u9020\u6210\u91cd\u5927\u5f71\u54cd\uff1b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5979\u8bf4\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u5171\u548c\u515a\u4eba\u5728\u4e2d\u671f\u9009\u4e3e\u4e2d\u7684\u8868\u73b0\u4f1a\u80dc\u8fc7\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u3002\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\uff0c\u5728\u5927\u9009\u4e2d\u5931\u53bb\u767d\u5bab\u6743\u529b\u7684\u653f\u515a\uff0c\u901a\u5e38\u4f1a\u5728\u4e0b\u4e00\u9636\u6bb5\u7684\u56fd\u4f1a\u8bae\u5458\u9009\u4e3e\u4e2d\u83b7\u80dc\uff0c\u5176\u6743\u529b\u4e5f\u5c06\u4f1a\u901a\u8fc7\u5728\u4e00\u4e9b\u5dde\u91cd\u65b0\u5212\u5206\u9009\u533a\u800c\u5f97\u5230\u5de9\u56fa\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u9009\u4e3e\u4e2d\uff0c\u62a8\u51fb\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e5f\u662f\u5171\u548c\u515a\u4eba\u62c9\u9009\u7968\u7684\u505a\u6cd5\u3002\u57282020\u5e74\u5927\u9009\u65f6\uff0c\u5c31\u6709\u4eba\u5728\u5fb7\u514b\u8428\u65af\u5dde\u7ade\u9009\u56fd\u4f1a\u4f17\u8bae\u9662\u5e2d\u4f4d\u65f6\uff0c\u79f0\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5171\u4ea7\u515a\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u4f2a\u88c5\u6210\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u72af\u7f6a\u9634\u8c0b\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u5728\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u56fd\u5185\u653f\u6cbb\u73af\u5883\u4e2d\uff0c\u62dc\u767b\u4e3a\u6539\u5584\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u6240\u505a\u7684\u4efb\u4f55\u5c1d\u8bd5\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u5c31\u8fde\u6697\u793a\u7f8e\u4e2d\u4e24\u56fd\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u67d0\u4e9b\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\u8fdb\u884c\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u90fd\u5c06\u88ab\u8c34\u8d23\u4e3a\u662f\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u7ee5\u9756\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u201d\u767d\u4f0a\u4e3d\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u534e\u76db\u987f\u4e0e\u5317\u4eac\u4e4b\u201c\u8131\u94a9\u201d\u4e0e\u201c\u518d\u6302\u94a9\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u81ea\u4ece\u7279\u6717\u666e\u653f\u5e9c\u540e\u671f\uff0c\u534e\u76db\u987f\u4e0e\u5317\u4eac\u5728\u4f17\u591a\u8bae\u9898\u4e0a\u7684\u5206\u6b67\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5927\uff0c\u4f46\u7f8e\u4e2d\u53cc\u65b9\u90fd\u5bf9\u5728\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u5c3d\u91cf\u8fdb\u884c\u5408\u4f5c\u3001\u907f\u514d\u516c\u5f00\u51b2\u7a81\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8206\u8bba\u548c\u5206\u6790\u4eba\u58eb\u5728\u8c08\u8bba\u4e86\u4e00\u6bb5\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u7f8e\u4e2d\u5168\u9762\u201c\u8131\u94a9\u201d\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u53c8\u5728\u5f00\u59cb\u8c08\u8bba\u7f8e\u4e2d\u201c\u518d\u6302\u94a9\u201d\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u534e\u76db\u987f\u4e0e\u5317\u4eac\u5e94\u8be5\u5728\u54ea\u4e9b\u9886\u57df\u7ee7\u7eed\u8131\u94a9\uff0c\u5728\u54ea\u4e9b\u9886\u57df\u518d\u6302\u94a9\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5546\u4e1a\u8054\u7cfb\u5728\u4e00\u5b9a\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u8ba9\u4e24\u56fd\u4e92\u60e0\u4e92\u5229\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u7f8e\u4e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u5c42\u9762\u5df2\u6210\u4e3a\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u4f1a\u548c\u653f\u754c\u4eba\u58eb\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u7126\u70b9\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u4f1a\u8bbe\u7acb\u7684\u72ec\u7acb\u673a\u6784\u201c\u7f8e\u4e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0e\u5b89\u5168\u5ba1\u67e5\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u201d\uff08U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission\uff09\u5728\u5411\u56fd\u4f1a\u63d0\u4ea4\u76842021\u5e74\u5ea6\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u6307\u51fa\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u52aa\u529b\u4f7f\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u8d44\u672c\u5e02\u573a\u6210\u4e3a\u8d44\u52a9\u4e2d\u56fd\u5171\u4ea7\u515a\u6280\u672f\u53d1\u5c55\u76ee\u6807\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u653f\u7b56\u76ee\u6807\u7684\u5de5\u5177\u7684\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u4eec\u6b63\u5728\u79ef\u6781\u5438\u5f15\u5916\u56fd\u8d44\u672c\u548c\u57fa\u91d1\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u8fdb\u5165\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u56fd\u9645\u7814\u7a76\u673a\u6784\u201c\u4e9a\u6d32\u4e16\u7eaa\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u201d\uff08The Asian Century Institute\uff09\u7684\u521b\u529e\u4eba\u548c\u6267\u884c\u4e3b\u4efb\u7ea6\u7ff0\u00b7\u97e6\u65af\u7279\uff08John West\uff09\u65e5\u524d\u5728\u7f51\u7edc\u5a92\u4f53Brink News\u4e0a\u64b0\u6587\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u867d\u7136\u56fd\u4f1a\u53ef\u80fd\u5e0c\u671b\u526a\u6389\u534e\u5c14\u8857\u7684\u7fc5\u8180\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u8131\u94a9\u662f\u56f0\u96be\u7684\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u8003\u8651\u5230\u91d1\u878d\u4e1a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u6cbb\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u201d 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