{"id":94195,"date":"2022-03-12T17:12:23","date_gmt":"2022-03-12T22:12:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=94195"},"modified":"2022-03-12T18:16:15","modified_gmt":"2022-03-12T23:16:15","slug":"%e4%b9%a0%e8%bf%91%e5%b9%b3%e5%9c%86%e5%bc%ba%e5%86%9b%e6%a2%a6-%e4%b8%ad%e5%85%b1%e5%86%9b%e8%b4%b9%e5%a2%9e%e5%b9%85%e5%88%9b%e4%b8%89%e5%b9%b4%e6%96%b0%e9%ab%98","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=94195","title":{"rendered":"\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u5706\u201c\u5f3a\u519b\u68a6\u201d \u4e2d\u5171\u519b\u8d39\u589e\u5e45\u521b\u4e09\u5e74\u65b0\u9ad8"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"date-time-area \">\n<div class=\"container\"><span class=\"date-time\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u65f6\u95f4 7:12 2022\u5e743\u670813\u65e5 \u661f\u671f\u65e5<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"content\">\n<div class=\"container\">\n<div class=\"hdr-container\">\n<div class=\"row\">\n<div class=\"col-category col-xs-12 col-md-2 pull-left\">\n<div class=\"category 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class=\"column\">\n<p class=\"ta-c\">\u6ca1\u6709\u5a92\u4f53\u53ef\u7528\u8d44\u6e90<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-mmp__cpanel-container js-cpanel-container\">\n<div class=\"c-mmp__cpanel c-mmp__cpanel--displayed\">\n<div class=\"c-mmp__cpanel-playback-controls\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"c-mmp__cpanel-progress-controls\"><span class=\"c-mmp__cpanel-progress-controls-current-time js-current-time\" dir=\"ltr\">0:00<\/span><span class=\"c-mmp__cpanel-progress-controls-duration js-duration\" dir=\"ltr\">8:28<\/span><span class=\"c-mmp__indicator c-mmp__indicator--horizontal\" dir=\"ltr\"><span class=\"c-mmp__indicator-lines js-progressbar\"><button class=\"c-mmp__indicator-btn-pointer\" type=\"button\"><\/button><span class=\"c-mmp__badge c-mmp__badge--tracked-time c-mmp__badge--hidden js-progressbar-indicator-badge\" dir=\"ltr\"><span class=\"c-mmp__badge-text js-progressbar-indicator-badge-text\">0:00<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div 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\u5de9\u56fa\u519b\u6743<\/strong><\/p>\n<div class=\"wsw__embed wsw__embed--small\">\n<figure class=\"media-image js-media-expand js-media-expand--ready\">\n<div class=\"img-wrap\">\n<div class=\"thumb\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/gdb.voanews.com\/023d0000-0aff-0242-333f-08da03cd43b0_w250_r0_s.jpg\" alt=\"\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u582a\u57f9\u62c9\u7684\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u56fd\u7acb\u5927\u5b66\u4e9a\u592a\u5b66\u9662\u8bb2\u5e08\u5b8b\u6587\u7b1b(\u7167\u7247\u63d0\u4f9b:\u5b8b\u6587\u7b1b)\" \/><\/div>\n<\/div><figcaption><span class=\"caption\">\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u582a\u57f9\u62c9\u7684\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u56fd\u7acb\u5927\u5b66\u4e9a\u592a\u5b66\u9662\u8bb2\u5e08\u5b8b\u6587\u7b1b(\u7167\u7247\u63d0\u4f9b:\u5b8b\u6587\u7b1b)<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>\u4f4d\u4e8e\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u582a\u57f9\u62c9\u7684\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u56fd\u7acb\u5927\u5b66\u4e9a\u592a\u5b66\u9662\u8bb2\u5e08\u5b8b\u6587\u7b1b\u5728\u63a5\u53d7\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e4b\u97f3\u91c7\u8bbf\u65f6\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u89e3\u653e\u519b\u519b\u8d39\u9010\u5e74\u589e\u52a0\u65e0\u7591\u662f\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u6269\u6743\u7684\u4e00\u73af\u3002\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff0c\u53bb\u5e74\u4e2d\u5171\u5341\u4e5d\u5c4a\u516d\u4e2d\u5168\u4f1a\u53d1\u5e03\u767e\u5e74\u515a\u53f2\u7b2c\u4e09\u4efd\u5386\u53f2\u51b3\u8bae\uff0c\u786e\u7acb\u4e2d\u5171\u515a\u53f2\u4e09\u6bb5\u8bba\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\uff0c\u4ece\u6bdb\u6cfd\u4e1c\u7684\u201c\u7ad9\u8d77\u6765\u201d\uff0c\u9093\u5c0f\u5e73\u7684\u201c\u5bcc\u8d77\u6765\u201d\u5230\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u7684\u201c\u5f3a\u8d77\u6765\u201d\uff0c\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u7684\u201c\u5f3a\u56fd\u68a6\u201d\u4e0e\u201c\u5f3a\u519b\u68a6\u201d\u76f8\u4f9d\u76f8\u5b58\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5b8b\u6587\u7b1b\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u4eca\u5e74\u662f\u4e8c\u5341\u5927\u4e4b\u5e74\uff0c\u5728\u4e2d\u592e\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u5c42\u6b21\u4e0a\uff0c\u6709\u63a5\u8fd1\u4e24\u6210\u5de6\u53f3\u7684\u5e2d\u6b21\u662f\u7ed9\u4e2d\u5171\u519b\u65b9\u7684\uff0c(\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73)\u505a\u4e3a\u519b\u65b9\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\uff0c\u4e5f\u505a\u4e3a\u4e2d\u5171\u60f3\u8981\u8d70\u5411\u7b2c\u4e09\u4efb\u671f\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\uff0c\u4ed6\u5728\u519b\u8d39\u6bd4\u5f80\u5e74\u53c8\u6709\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u589e\u5e45\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u60f3\u8c61\u5728\u5185\u90e8\uff0c\u6709\u5f3a\u5316\u4ed6\u5728\u519b\u65b9\u7684\u652f\u6301\u5ea6\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u8003\u8651\u5728\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u9664\u4e86\u5bf9\u5185\u5de9\u56fa\u519b\u6743\u5916\uff0c\u5bf9\u5916\u5219\u6709\u9632\u5fa1\u82f1\u7f8e\u6fb3\u8054\u76df(AUKUS)\u8054\u624b\u5bf9\u6297\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u6d77\u6d0b\u6269\u5f20\u5a01\u80c1\u7684\u6548\u679c\u3002\u5b8b\u6587\u7b1b\u8bf4\uff0c\u7f8e\u82f1\u4e24\u56fd\u534f\u52a9\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u91c7\u8d2d\u6838\u52a8\u529b\u653b\u51fb\u6f5c\u8230\uff0c\u5e76\u5171\u4eab\u60c5\u62a5\uff0c\u6765\u6297\u8861\u89e3\u653e\u519b\u5728\u5370\u592a\u5730\u533a\u7684\u6c34\u4e0b\u6269\u5f20\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u4e2d\u5171\u589e\u52a0\u56fd\u9632\u9884\u7b97\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u5206\u6790\u4eba\u58eb\uff1a\u4e2d\u5171\u519b\u4e8b\u9884\u7b97\u6050\u906d\u4f4e\u4f30<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u4e2d\u56fd\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u56fd\u9632\u9884\u7b97\u62a5\u544a\u4ec5\u6709\u6570\u989d\uff0c\u5e76\u65e0\u7ec6\u9879\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u90e8\u5206\u5206\u6790\u4eba\u58eb\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u6050\u4f4e\u62a5\u519b\u8d39\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u53e6\u6709\u4e13\u5bb6\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u4e2d\u5171\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u9884\u7b97\u4ecd\u96c6\u4e2d\u5728\u53d1\u5c55\u65b0\u578b\u88c5\u5907\uff0c\u7ea6\u5360\u519b\u8d39\u603b\u652f\u51fa\u768440%\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u6d89\u53ca\u592a\u7a7a\u3001\u53cd\u592a\u7a7a\u3001\u7535\u5b50\u4e0e\u7f51\u7edc\u4f5c\u6218\u80fd\u529b\u3001\u6d77\u519b\u6295\u5c04\u80fd\u529b\u3001\u65b0\u5f0f\u6218\u673a\uff0c\u4ee5\u4e8e2027\u5e74\u5efa\u519b\u767e\u5e74\u65f6\uff0c\u62e5\u6709\u4e16\u754c\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u519b\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u89c2\u5bdf\u4eba\u58eb\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e2d\u5171\u6218\u7565\u6838\u6b66\u7684\u6253\u51fb\u80fd\u529b\u3001\u6838\u5f39\u5934\u7684\u5feb\u901f\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u90fd\u53ef\u80fd\u6539\u53d8\u5168\u7403\u7684\u6838\u5b50\u5e73\u8861\uff0c\u51b2\u51fb\u5230\u5168\u7403\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u7ed3\u6784\u3002\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u56fd\u7acb\u5927\u5b66\u7684\u5b8b\u6587\u7b1b\u5c31\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e2d\u5171\u8fd1\u6765\u7740\u91cd\u5728\u6838\u6b66\u4e0e\u8fdc\u8ddd\u79bb\u519b\u529b\u6295\u5c04\u4e24\u5927\u65b9\u5411\uff0c\u610f\u56fe\u76f8\u5f53\u660e\u663e\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5b8b\u6587\u7b1b\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u4ece\u8fc7\u53bb\u5927\u534a\u5e74\u7684\u5c40\u52bf\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u5f97\u51fa\u6765\uff0c\u4e2d\u5171\u539f\u672c\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u9650\u5ea6\u6838\u5a01\u6151(Minimum Deterrence)\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u73b0\u5728\u770b\u6765\u6709\u677e\u52a8\u7684\u503e\u5411\u3002\u8fd9\u5927\u6982\u4e5f\u662f\u5f3a\u519b\u68a6\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u73af\u8282\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u8bf4\uff0c\u4ee5\u5f80\u7684\u6838\u6b66\u662f\u591f\u7528\u5c31\u597d\u7684\u601d\u8def\uff0c\u6765\u505a\u5efa\u519b\uff0c\u73b0\u5728\u5b83\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u6838\u6b66\u4e0a\uff0c\u5e0c\u671b\u8ddf\u7f8e\u3001\u4fc4\u7b49\u6838\u6b66\u5927\u56fd\uff0c\u9010\u6e10\u8d70\u5411\u6bd4\u8f83\u63a5\u8fd1\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u6765\u53d1\u5c55\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u6269\u5c55\u6d77\u7a7a\u519b\u3001\u5f3a\u5316\u6838\u6b66\u4e0e\u8fdc\u7a0b\u6295\u5c04<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u9664\u4e86\u6838\u6b66\uff0c\u89e3\u653e\u519b\u4e5f\u65e8\u5728\u5f3a\u5316\u6d77\u519b\u5b9e\u529b\u3002\u73b0\u9636\u6bb5\u4e2d\u5171\u7684\u822a\u7a7a\u6bcd\u8230\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u81ea\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u8d2d\u5165\u7684\u8fbd\u5b81\u53f7\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u7b2c\u4e00\u8258\u56fd\u4ea7\u7684\u5c71\u4e1c\u53f7\u5916\uff0c\u6b63\u79ef\u6781\u6253\u9020\u56fd\u4ea7\u7684\u7b2c\u4e8c\u8258003\u578b\u822a\u7a7a\u6bcd\u8230\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u57282024\u5e74\u670d\u5f79\uff0c\u5c4a\u65f6\u5c06\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u7b2c\u4e00\u8258\u91c7\u7528\u5f39\u5c04\u8d77\u98de\u548c\u7535\u78c1\u5f39\u5c04\u5668\u7684\u822a\u6bcd\u3002<\/p>\n<div class=\"wsw__embed wsw__embed--small wsw__embed--pull-right\">\n<figure class=\"media-image js-media-expand js-media-expand--ready\">\n<div class=\"img-wrap\">\n<div class=\"thumb\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/gdb.voanews.com\/023d0000-0aff-0242-ce41-08da03cd43b7_w250_r0_s.jpg\" alt=\"\u53f0\u5317\u7684\u519b\u60c5\u4e0e\u822a\u7a7a\u7f51\u7ad9\u4e3b\u7f16\u65bd\u5b5d\u73ae(\u7167\u7247\u63d0\u4f9b:\u65bd\u5b5d\u73ae)\" \/><\/div>\n<\/div><figcaption><span class=\"caption\">\u53f0\u5317\u7684\u519b\u60c5\u4e0e\u822a\u7a7a\u7f51\u7ad9\u4e3b\u7f16\u65bd\u5b5d\u73ae(\u7167\u7247\u63d0\u4f9b:\u65bd\u5b5d\u73ae)<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>\u4f4d\u4e8e\u53f0\u5317\u7684\u519b\u60c5\u4e0e\u822a\u7a7a\u7f51\u7ad9\u4e3b\u7f16\u65bd\u5b5d\u73ae\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u4e2d\u5171\u6301\u7eed\u8fdb\u884c\u88c5\u5907\u73b0\u4ee3\u5316\uff0c\u76ee\u6807\u5728\u897f\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u5efa\u7acb\u73b0\u4ee3\u5316\u7684\u6d77\u7a7a\u519b\u3002\u65bd\u5b5d\u73ae\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77\u519b\u8fd9\u4e8c\u5341\u5e74\u6765\uff0c\u4ece\u4ec5\u80fd\u5728\u6cbf\u6d77\u53ca\u5468\u8fb9\u516c\u6d77\u822a\u884c\u7684\u201c\u7eff\u6c34\u6d77\u519b\u201d\uff0c\u8fdb\u5316\u5230\u5177\u5907\u8fdc\u5f81\u4f5c\u6218\u80fd\u529b\u3001\u53ef\u5c06\u6d77\u4e0a\u529b\u91cf\u6269\u53ca\u8fdc\u6d0b\u53ca\u6df1\u6d77\u7684\u201c\u84dd\u6c34\u6d77\u519b\u201d\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u66f4\u8981\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u8230\u961f\u5206\u5ead\u6297\u793c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u65bd\u5b5d\u73ae\u544a\u8bc9\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e4b\u97f3\uff1a\u201c\u89e3\u653e\u519b\u57fa\u672c\u4e0a\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u672c\u571f\u9632\u536b\u578b\u7684\u519b\u961f\uff0c\u4ece\u8fc7\u53bb\u7684\u672c\u571f\u9632\u536b\uff0c\u8f6c\u5316\u4e3a\u653b\u5b88\u517c\u5907\u3002\u73b0\u5728\u6b63\u8981\u4ece\u653b\u5b88\u517c\u5907\uff0c\u8f6c\u5316\u4e3a\u5b83\u6240\u9700\u8981\u6295\u5c04\u5175\u529b\u7684\u5730\u65b9\uff0c\u8fdb\u884c\u5175\u529b\u6295\u5c04\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\uff0c\u4f60\u770b\u5230\u5171\u519b\u7684\u519b\u529b\u5efa\u8bbe\uff0c\u8fd9\u51e0\u5e74\u6bd4\u8f83\u7740\u91cd\u5728\u6d77\u7a7a\u519b\u4e0a\u9762\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u5171\u519b\u6709\u5c01\u9501\u7b2c\u4e00\u5c9b\u94fe\u7684\u5b9e\u529b\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u6839\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u9632\u90e8\u53bb\u5e74\u5e95\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u300a2021\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u519b\u529b\u62a5\u544a\u300b\uff0c\u4e2d\u5171\u7684\u7a7a\u519b\u548c\u6d77\u519b\u822a\u7a7a\u5175\u5f62\u6210\u5370\u592a\u5730\u533a\u6700\u5927\u7684\u822a\u7a7a\u90e8\u961f\uff0c\u673a\u7fa4\u6570\u8d85\u8fc72800\u67b6\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d800\u591a\u67b6\u4e3a\u7b2c\u56db\u4ee3\u6218\u673a\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u6b7c-16\u3001\u6b7c-11\u3001\u6b7c-10\u7b49\uff0c\u4e5f\u5f00\u59cb\u90e8\u7f72\u7b2c\u4e94\u4ee3\u9690\u5f62\u6218\u673a\u6b7c-20\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e2d\u5171\u6d77\u519b\u5219\u6709\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6570\u91cf\u6700\u591a\u7684\u8230\u8247\uff0c\u603b\u8ba1\u7ea6355\u8258\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0d\u5305\u62ec\u643a\u5e26\u53cd\u8230\u5bfc\u5f39\u7684\u5c0f\u578b\u5de1\u9632\u8230\u548c\u5de1\u903b\u8247\u3002\u9884\u8ba1\u52302025\u5e74\uff0c\u4e2d\u5171\u6d77\u519b\u8230\u8247\u5c06\u589e\u81f3420\u8258\uff0c2030\u5e74\u5c06\u8fbe460\u8258\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f4d\u4e8e\u53f0\u5317\u7684\u56fd\u9632\u5b89\u5168\u7814\u7a76\u9662\u4e2d\u5171\u653f\u519b\u4e0e\u4f5c\u6218\u6982\u5ff5\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u6240\u957f\u6b27\u9521\u5bcc\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5df2\u5728\u897f\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u7b2c\u4e00\u5c9b\u94fe\u5efa\u6784\u51fa\u575a\u5f3a\u7684\u53cd\u4ecb\u5165\/\u533a\u57df\u62d2\u6b62(A2\/AD)\u6218\u529b\uff0c\u8fd9\u4ee3\u8868\uff0c\u5176\u5468\u8fb9\u533a\u57df\u4e00\u65e6\u7206\u53d1\u51b2\u7a81\uff0c\u89e3\u653e\u519b\u5c31\u80fd\u8fc5\u901f\u5728\u4e8b\u53d1\u533a\u57df\u5212\u5b9a\u7981\u533a\uff0c\u963b\u6b62\u7b2c\u4e09\u65b9\u6b66\u88c5\u5e72\u6d89\u3002\u4ee5\u53f0\u6d77\u51b2\u7a81\u4e3a\u4f8b\uff0c\u4e2d\u5171\u5728\u53d1\u52a8\u6b66\u7edf\u53f0\u6e7e\u65f6\uff0c\u53ef\u540c\u65f6\u963b\u7edd\u7f8e\u519b\u7684\u4ecb\u5165\u6216\u534f\u9632\u53f0\u6e7e\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e5f\u662f\u4e2d\u5171\u519b\u4e8b\u73b0\u4ee3\u5316\u8fdb\u7a0b\u4e0a\u4e00\u5927\u8fd1\u671f\u76ee\u6807\u3002<\/p>\n<div 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