{"id":95994,"date":"2022-06-21T16:05:15","date_gmt":"2022-06-21T20:05:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=95994"},"modified":"2022-06-21T17:10:48","modified_gmt":"2022-06-21T21:10:48","slug":"%e7%be%8e%e6%99%ba%e5%ba%93%ef%bc%9a%e7%be%8e%e4%b8%ba%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd%e5%85%a5%e4%be%b5%e5%8f%b0%e6%b9%be%e5%81%9a%e6%9c%80%e5%9d%8f%e7%9a%84%e5%86%b2%e7%aa%81%e5%87%86%e5%a4%87","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=95994","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u667a\u5e93\uff1a\u7f8e\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u5165\u4fb5\u53f0\u6e7e\u505a\u6700\u574f\u7684\u51b2\u7a81\u51c6\u5907"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"date-time-area \">\n<div class=\"container\"><span class=\"date-time\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u65f6\u95f4 5:06 2022\u5e746\u670822\u65e5 \u661f\u671f\u4e09<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"content\">\n<div class=\"container\">\n<div class=\"hdr-container\">\n<div class=\"row\">\n<div class=\"col-category col-xs-12 col-md-2 pull-left\"><\/div>\n<div 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class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-95995\" class=\"size-full wp-image-95995\" src=\"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/0621tw.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"169\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-95995\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u56fd\u9645\u8c61\u68cb\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u53f0\u6e7e\u7684\u65d7\u5e1c<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"col-xs-12 col-md-2 pull-left article-share pos-rel\">\n<div class=\"share--box\">\n<aside class=\"share flex-column js-share--apply-sticky js-share--expandable js-share--horizontal\" data-extended=\"true\"><span class=\"label label--share\">\u5206\u4eab<\/span><\/p>\n<ul class=\"share__list\">\n<li class=\"share__item\"><\/li>\n<li class=\"share__item\"><\/li>\n<li class=\"share__item\"><\/li>\n<li class=\"share__item\"><\/li>\n<li class=\"share__item\"><\/li>\n<li class=\"share__item\"><\/li>\n<li class=\"share__item\"><\/li>\n<li class=\"share__item\">\n<div class=\"ctc\"><input class=\"ctc__input\" readonly=\"readonly\" type=\"text\" \/><button class=\"btn btn--rounded btn--ctc ctc__button\" title=\"copy link\" role=\"copy link\" value=\"text\"><\/button><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/aside>\n<div class=\"links\">\n<p class=\"buttons link-comments p-0\"><a class=\"btn btn--link p-t-0\" href=\"https:\/\/www.voachinese.com\/a\/new-book-examines-scenarios-of-us-china-war-over-taiwan-20220621\/6626554.html#comments\"><span class=\"btn__text\">\u8bc4\u8bba<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"link-print visible-md visible-lg buttons p-0\"><button class=\"btn btn--link btn-print p-t-0\" title=\"\u6253\u5370\">\u00a0<span class=\"btn__text\">\u6253\u5370<\/span><\/button><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"body-container\">\n<div class=\"row\">\n<div class=\"col-xs-12 col-sm-12 col-md-10 col-lg-10 pull-right\">\n<div class=\"row\">\n<div class=\"col-xs-12 col-sm-12 col-md-8 col-lg-8 pull-left bottom-offset content-offset\">\n<div id=\"article-content\" class=\"content-floated-wrap fb-quotable\">\n<div class=\"wsw\"><span class=\"dateline\">\u534e\u76db\u987f \u2014 <\/span>\u8bbe\u5728\u534e\u76db\u987f\u7684\u4e00\u5bb6\u77e5\u540d\u653f\u7b56\u7814\u7a76\u673a\u6784\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u6b63\u5728\u4e3a\u4e00\u65e6\u4e2d\u56fd\u5165\u4fb5\u53f0\u6e7e\u6240\u5f15\u53d1\u7684\u6700\u574f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u51b2\u7a81\u505a\u51c6\u5907\u3002<br \/>\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f01\u4e1a\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u5728\u6700\u65b0\u51fa\u7248\u7684\u300a\u634d\u536b\u53f0\u6e7e\u300b\uff08Defending Taiwan\uff09\u4e00\u4e66\u4e2d\u4e89\u8fa9\u8bf4\uff0c\u534e\u76db\u987f\u9519\u8bef\u5730\u9884\u8ba1\uff0c\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u5165\u4fb5\u53f0\u6e7e\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u5c06\u6709\u4e00\u573a\u77ed\u6682\u548c\u5730\u7406\u4e0a\u7684\u5c40\u90e8\u6218\u4e89\u3002\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f01\u4e1a\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u5458\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e94\u89d2\u5927\u697c\u7684\u7b79\u5212\u5e94\u5f53\u56f4\u7ed5\u4e00\u573a\u201c\u8d85\u957f\u65f6\u6bb5\u7684\u51b2\u7a81\u201d\u8fdb\u884c\u3002<\/p>\n<div class=\"wsw__embed wsw__embed--small\">\n<figure class=\"media-image js-media-expand js-media-expand--ready\">\n<div class=\"img-wrap\">\n<div class=\"thumb\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/gdb.voanews.com\/4B72C189-4D26-4B08-B6CC-6260177DE9E1_w250_r0_s.jpg\" alt=\"\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ea6\u7ff0\u00b7\u970d\u666e\u91d1\u65af\u5927\u5b66\u5168\u7403\u4e8b\u52a1\u6559\u6388\uff0c\u6218\u7565\u4e0e\u9884\u7b97\u8bc4\u4f30\u4e2d\u5fc3\u9ad8\u7ea7\u7814\u7a76\u5458\u54c8\u5c14\u00b7\u5e03\u5170\u5179\uff08 Hal Brands\uff09\" \/><\/div>\n<\/div><figcaption><span class=\"caption\">\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ea6\u7ff0\u00b7\u970d\u666e\u91d1\u65af\u5927\u5b66\u5168\u7403\u4e8b\u52a1\u6559\u6388\uff0c\u6218\u7565\u4e0e\u9884\u7b97\u8bc4\u4f30\u4e2d\u5fc3\u9ad8\u7ea7\u7814\u7a76\u5458\u54c8\u5c14\u00b7\u5e03\u5170\u5179\uff08 Hal Brands\uff09<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f01\u4e1a\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u9ad8\u7ea7\u7814\u7a76\u5458\u54c8\u5c14\u00b7\u5e03\u5170\u5179\uff08Hal Brands\uff09\u548c\u8fc8\u514b\u5c14\u00b7\u8d1d\u514b\u5229(Michael Beckley)\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u201c\u5728\u6700\u4ee4\u4eba\u62c5\u5fe7\u7684\u60c5\u5f62\u4e0b\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u5c06\u53d1\u52a8\u4e00\u573a\u7a81\u7136\u7684\u5bfc\u5f39\u653b\u51fb\uff0c\u4e0d\u4ec5\u5bf9\u53f0\u6e7e\u7684\u9632\u5fa1\uff0c\u4e5f\u5bf9\u96c6\u7ed3\u5728\u897f\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u51e0\u4e2a\u5927\u578b\u57fa\u5730\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u6d77\u7a7a\u519b\u529b\u91cf\u8fdb\u884c\u91cd\u51fb\u201d\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u8bc4\u4f30\uff0c\u7f8e\u4e2d\u5728\u897f\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u7684\u51b2\u7a81\u4e0d\u4f1a\u5f88\u5feb\u7ed3\u675f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u591a\u5e74\u6765\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u4e00\u76f4\u6709\u6548\u5730\u904f\u6b62\u5728\u53f0\u6e7e\u6d77\u5ce1\u53d1\u751f\u519b\u4e8b\u51b2\u7a81\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e3a\u4e00\u65e6\u4e2d\u56fd\u53d1\u52a8\u7a81\u7136\u653b\u51fb\u505a\u597d\u51c6\u5907\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u9ad8\u7ea7\u5b98\u5458\u4e5f\u5bf9\u5317\u4eac\u5f53\u5c40\u9488\u5bf9\u53f0\u6e7e\u7684\u201c\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u6311\u8845\u6027\u7684\u8a00\u8bba\u53ca\u6d3b\u52a8\u201d\u8868\u8fbe\u4e86\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u5fe7\u8651\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6839\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u524d\u603b\u7edf\u7279\u6717\u666e\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u5185\u90e8\u6587\u4ef6\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u6587\u804c\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u8fc7\u53bb\u66fe\u6307\u4ee4\u7f8e\u56fd\u519b\u65b9\u5236\u5b9a\u51fa\u9632\u536b\u53f0\u6e7e\u7684\u53ef\u884c\u8ba1\u5212\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd1\u671f\uff0c\u62dc\u767b\u603b\u7edf\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u5b98\u5458\u591a\u6b21\u8b66\u544a\u5317\u4eac\u4e0d\u8981\u4ee5\u6b66\u529b\u6539\u53d8\u73b0\u72b6\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u6c11\u8c03\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u4e00\u65e6\u53f0\u6e7e\u906d\u4e2d\u56fd\u653b\u51fb\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u4e2d\u6709\u521a\u521a\u8d85\u8fc7\u534a\u6570\u7684\u4eba\u8d5e\u6210\u9632\u536b\u53f0\u6e7e\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5e03\u5170\u5179\u63f4\u5f15\u829d\u52a0\u54e5\u5168\u7403\u4e8b\u52a1\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a2021\u5e748\u6708\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u679c\u8bf4\uff0c\u201c53%\u53ef\u80fd\u770b\u6765\u4e0d\u662f\u5f88\u591a\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u90a3\u6bd4\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u5728\u51b7\u6218\u7684\u4e0d\u540c\u9636\u70b9\u8d5e\u6210\u4fdd\u536b\u5fb7\u56fd\u514d\u53d7\u82cf\u8054\u5165\u4fb5\u7684\u6bd4\u7387\u8981\u9ad8\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u4e5f\u662f\u56fd\u52a1\u9662\u5916\u4ea4\u4e8b\u52a1\u653f\u7b56\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u6210\u5458\u7684\u5e03\u5170\u5179\u8fd8\u8bf4\uff0c\u201c\u81f3\u4e8e\u76df\u53cb\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e00\u76f4\u975e\u5e38\u663e\u8457\u3002\u6211\u662f\u6307\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u4eba\u548c\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u4eba\u90fd\u5c3d\u53ef\u80fd\u660e\u786e\u5730\u8bf4\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e0d\u4f1a\u5728\u7f8e\u4e2d\u5c31\u53f0\u6e7e\u7206\u53d1\u51b2\u7a81\u65f6\u5750\u89c6\u4e0d\u7ba1\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u5e03\u5170\u5179\u8865\u5145\u8bf4\uff0c\u201c\u65e5\u672c\u4eba\u8bf4\uff0c\u9274\u4e8e\u5730\u7406\u4f4d\u7f6e\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u662f\u6709\u5173\u4ed6\u4eec\u751f\u5b58\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u4e3a\u4e00\u573a\u957f\u671f\u6218\u4e89\u505a\u51c6\u5907\u7684\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u4e3a\u9632\u6b62\u6700\u574f\u7684\u60c5\u5f62\u53d1\u751f\uff0c\u5e03\u5170\u5179\u548c\u8d1d\u514b\u5229\u63d0\u51fa\u51e0\u9879\u653f\u7b56\u5efa\u8bae\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u63d0\u8bae\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u53f0\u6e7e\u53ef\u4ee5\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u8d2e\u5907\u4e3b\u8981\u6b66\u5668\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u4ee5\u6253\u8d62\u91cd\u65b0\u88c5\u5907\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u3002\u5982\u679c\u5317\u4eac\u77e5\u9053\u5982\u679c\u6218\u4e89\u63a8\u5ef6\u4e0b\u53bb\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5c06\u5728\u6b66\u5668\u4e0a\u88ab\u8d85\u8d8a\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u963b\u6b62\u5317\u4eac\u52a8\u7528\u6b66\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u534e\u76db\u987f\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u4e3a\u6218\u4e89\u4e3a\u51c6\u5907\uff0c\u5c55\u793a\u627f\u53d7\u635f\u5931\u3001\u5a01\u80c1\u62a5\u590d\u548c\u63a7\u5236\u5347\u7ea7\u7684\u52c7\u6c14\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div 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