{"id":96011,"date":"2022-06-22T14:58:40","date_gmt":"2022-06-22T18:58:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=96011"},"modified":"2022-06-22T16:02:27","modified_gmt":"2022-06-22T20:02:27","slug":"%e7%ba%a6%e7%91%9f%e5%a4%ab%c2%b7%e5%a5%88%ef%bc%9a%e4%b9%8c%e5%85%8b%e5%85%b0%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89%e9%95%bf%e6%9c%9f%e5%8c%96%e9%99%8d%e4%bd%8e%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd%e6%94%bb%e5%8f%b0%e5%8f%af%e8%83%bd","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=96011","title":{"rendered":"\u7ea6\u745f\u592b\u00b7\u5948\uff1a\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u4e89\u957f\u671f\u5316\u964d\u4f4e\u4e2d\u56fd\u653b\u53f0\u53ef\u80fd"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"date-time-area \">\n<div class=\"container\"><span class=\"date-time\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u65f6\u95f4 3:58 2022\u5e746\u670823\u65e5 \u661f\u671f\u56db<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"content\">\n<div class=\"container\">\n<div class=\"hdr-container\">\n<div class=\"row\">\n<div class=\"col-category col-xs-12 col-md-2 pull-left\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"col-publishing-details col-xs-12 col-sm-12 col-md-2 pull-left\">\n<div class=\"publishing-details \">\n<div class=\"published\"><span class=\"date\" title=\"\u4e2d\u56fd\u65f6\u95f4\"><time datetime=\"2022-06-22T10:32:51+08:00\">2022\u5e746\u670822\u65e5 10:32<\/time><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"links\">\n<ul class=\"links__list links__list--column\">\n<li class=\"links__item\"><a class=\"links__item-link\" title=\"\u6797\u67ab\" href=\"https:\/\/www.voachinese.com\/author\/%E6%9E%97%E6%9E%AB\/oq_pv\">\u6797\u67ab<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"col-lg-12 separator\">\n<div class=\"separator\">\n<hr class=\"title-line\" \/>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"col-multimedia col-xs-12 col-md-10 pull-right\">\n<div class=\"cover-media\">\n<figure class=\"media-image js-media-expand js-media-expand--ready\">\n<div class=\"img-wrap\">\n<div class=\"thumb thumb16_9\">\n<div id=\"attachment_96012\" style=\"width: 310px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-96012\" class=\"size-full wp-image-96012\" src=\"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/0622ysf.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"169\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-96012\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u7f8e\u56fd\u8457\u540d\u56fd\u9645\u653f\u6cbb\u5b66\u8005\u3001\u54c8\u4f5b\u5927\u5b66\u6559\u6388\u7ea6\u745f\u592b\u00b7\u59482018\u5e7410\u6708\u5728\u529e\u516c\u5ba4\u63a5\u53d7\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e4b\u97f3\u8bb0\u8005\u8389\u96c5\u7684\u4e13\u8bbf\u3002\uff08\u8d44\u6599\u7167\u7247\uff09<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"col-xs-12 col-md-2 pull-left article-share pos-rel\">\n<div class=\"share--box\">\n<aside class=\"share flex-column js-share--apply-sticky js-share--expandable js-share--horizontal\" data-extended=\"true\"><span class=\"label label--share\">\u5206\u4eab<\/span><\/p>\n<ul class=\"share__list\">\n<li class=\"share__item\"><\/li>\n<li class=\"share__item\"><\/li>\n<li class=\"share__item\"><\/li>\n<li class=\"share__item\"><\/li>\n<li class=\"share__item\"><\/li>\n<li class=\"share__item\"><\/li>\n<li class=\"share__item\"><\/li>\n<li class=\"share__item\">\n<div class=\"ctc\"><input class=\"ctc__input\" readonly=\"readonly\" type=\"text\" \/><button class=\"btn btn--rounded btn--ctc ctc__button\" title=\"copy link\" role=\"copy link\" value=\"text\"><\/button><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/aside>\n<div class=\"links\">\n<p class=\"buttons link-comments p-0\"><a class=\"btn btn--link p-t-0\" href=\"https:\/\/www.voachinese.com\/a\/joseph-nye-on-ukraine-war-20220621\/6627756.html#comments\"><span class=\"btn__text\">\u8bc4\u8bba<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"link-print visible-md visible-lg buttons p-0\"><button class=\"btn btn--link btn-print p-t-0\" title=\"\u6253\u5370\">\u00a0<span class=\"btn__text\">\u6253\u5370<\/span><\/button><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"body-container\">\n<div class=\"row\">\n<div class=\"col-xs-12 col-sm-12 col-md-10 col-lg-10 pull-right\">\n<div class=\"row\">\n<div class=\"col-xs-12 col-sm-12 col-md-8 col-lg-8 pull-left bottom-offset content-offset\">\n<div id=\"article-content\" class=\"content-floated-wrap fb-quotable\">\n<div class=\"wsw\"><span class=\"dateline\">\u534e\u76db\u987f \u2014 <\/span>\u7f8e\u56fd\u77e5\u540d\u56fd\u9645\u5173\u7cfb\u5b66\u8005\u3001\u524d\u54c8\u4f5b\u5927\u5b66\u80af\u5c3c\u8fea\u653f\u5e9c\u5b66\u9662\u9662\u957f\u7ea6\u745f\u592b\u00b7\u5948 (Joseph Nye) \u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4ece\u8868\u9762\u4e0a\u770b\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u4e89\u8ba9\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0e\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u88ab\u63d0\u5347\u5230\u4e86\u7a7a\u524d\u7684\u9ad8\u5ea6\uff0c\u4f46\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u90a3\u53ea\u662f\u5317\u4eac\u4e0e\u83ab\u65af\u79d1\u4e3a\u5e94\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u800c\u5728\u4e92\u76f8\u5229\u7528\u3002\u800c\u666e\u4eac\u53d1\u52a8\u7684\u4fb5\u4e4c\u6218\u4e89\u672a\u80fd\u901f\u80dc\u4e5f\u8ba9\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u614e\u91cd\u8003\u8651\u4ed6\u662f\u5426\u8981\u201c\u6b66\u7edf\u201d\u53f0\u6e7e\u3002\u4ed6\u8fd8\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u519b\u65b9\u6700\u8fd1\u5ba3\u79f0\u6210\u529f\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u4e00\u6b21\u9646\u57fa\u4e2d\u6bb5\u53cd\u5bfc\u62e6\u622a\u6280\u672f\u8bd5\u9a8c\u5e76\u4e0d\u80fd\u6539\u53d8\u4e9a\u592a\u5730\u533a\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u6218\u7565\u5e73\u8861\u3002<strong>\u4fc4\u4e4c\u6218\u4e89\u957f\u671f\u5316<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u66fe\u5728\u514b\u6797\u987f\u653f\u5e9c\u62c5\u4efb\u8d1f\u8d23\u56fd\u9645\u5b89\u5168\u4e8b\u52a1\u52a9\u7406\u56fd\u9632\u90e8\u957f\u7684\u7ea6\u745f\u592b\u00b7\u5948\u662f6\u670820\u65e5\u5728\u97e9\u7f8e\u7814\u7a76\u6240(Institute for Corean-American Studies, ICAS)\u4e3e\u529e\u7684\u4e00\u573a\u7ebf\u4e0a\u8ba8\u8bba\u4f1a\u4e2d\u53d1\u8868\u4e0a\u8ff0\u89c2\u70b9\u7684\u3002\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u4e89\u7684\u7206\u53d1\u662f\u4e00\u6b21\u201c\u7ecf\u5178\u7684\u8bef\u5224\u201d\u3002\u666e\u4eac\u539f\u4ee5\u4e3a\u4fc4\u519b\u4f1a\u5f88\u5feb\u5360\u9886\u57fa\u8f85\uff0c\u63a8\u7ffb\u6cfd\u8fde\u65af\u57fa\u540e\u5728\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6276\u690d\u4e00\u4e2a\u4eb2\u4fc4\u653f\u5e9c\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u5728\u987f\u5df4\u65af\u5730\u533a\u8ba9\u4e24\u4e2a\u5ba3\u5e03\u72ec\u7acb\u7684\u5171\u548c\u56fd\u52a0\u5165\u4fc4\u8054\u90a6\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u7ed3\u675f\u8fd9\u573a\u51b2\u7a81\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u5948\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5c40\u52bf\u53d1\u5c55\u5230\u4eca\u5929\uff0c\u4fc4\u4e4c\u6218\u4e89\u5f88\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u5c06\u53d8\u5f97\u65f7\u65e5\u6301\u4e45\u3002\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u5728\u4fc4\u519b\u72af\u4e0b\u6218\u4e89\u7f6a\u884c\u7684\u8bc1\u636e\u88ab\u66dd\u5149\u540e\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u4eba\u7684\u6c11\u65cf\u60c5\u7eea\u7a7a\u524d\u9ad8\u6da8\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u603b\u7edf\u6cfd\u8fde\u65af\u57fa\u5df2\u7ecf\u51e0\u4e4e\u6ca1\u6709\u8c08\u5224\u7684\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002\u5728\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u666e\u4eac\u628a\u4ed6\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u524d\u9014\u62bc\u5b9d\u5728\u5f81\u670d\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u3001\u6062\u590d\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5e1d\u56fd\u6614\u65e5\u8f89\u714c\u4e0a\uff0c\u4ed6\u751a\u81f3\u5e7b\u60f3\u81ea\u5df1\u6210\u4e3a\u201c\u5f7c\u5f97\u5927\u5e1d\u201d\u90a3\u6837\u7684\u4eba\u7269\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u4e5f\u4e0d\u5927\u53ef\u80fd\u505a\u51fa\u91cd\u5927\u8ba9\u6b65\u3002\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u5c40\u5c06\u5f88\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u6f14\u53d8\u4e3a\u4e00\u573a\u957f\u671f\u7684\u50f5\u5c40\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u4e2d\u4fc4\u5173\u7cfb\u4e3a\u6709\u9650\u7684\u201c\u6743\u76ca\u53cb\u8c0a\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u7ea6\u745f\u592b\u00b7\u5948\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u4fc4\u4e4c\u6218\u4e89\u5728\u4e9a\u592a\u5730\u533a\u9020\u5c31\u4e86\u201c\u5a01\u6743\u8f74\u5fc3\u201d(axis of authoritarians)\uff0c\u5373\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0e\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u66f4\u4e3a\u5bc6\u5207\u7684\u8054\u7cfb\u3002\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u5e0c\u671b\u7ef4\u6301\u4e0e\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u76ee\u7684\u662f\u8054\u4fc4\u6297\u7f8e\u3002\u4f46\u5948\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5e76\u4e0d\u60f3\u628a\u5b9d\u5168\u90e8\u62bc\u5728\u666e\u4eac\u8eab\u4e0a\uff0c\u4e2d\u4fc4\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u5f3a\u5316\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u6743\u5b9c\u4e4b\u8ba1\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u4f60\u6240\u770b\u5230\u7684\u662f\u4fc4-\u4e2d\u8f74\u5fc3\u7684\u5de9\u56fa\u3002\u4f46\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6846\u67b6\u5185\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e5f\u4e00\u76f4\u5c0f\u5fc3\u7ffc\u7ffc\uff0c\u65e2\u4e0d\u5411\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u63d0\u4f9b\u519b\u4e8b\u88c5\u5907\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u8fdd\u53cd\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5236\u88c1\uff0c\u8fd9\u6837\u505a\u7684\u90e8\u5206\u539f\u56e0\u662f\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e0d\u60f3\u81ea\u5df1\u906d\u53d7\u4e8c\u6b21\u5236\u88c1\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4e2d\u56fd\u8bf4\u4e2d\u4fc4\u53cb\u8c0a\u65e0\u4e0a\u9650\uff0c\u4f46\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u5b83\u53d8\u6210\u4e86\u6709\u9650\u7684\u2018\u6743\u76ca\u53cb\u8c0a\u2019(friendship of convenience)\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u7ea6\u745f\u592b\u00b7\u5948\u662f\u201c\u8f6f\u5b9e\u529b\u201d(soft power) \u6982\u5ff5\u7684\u63d0\u51fa\u8005\u3002\u4ed6\u4eca\u5e744\u6708\u5728Project Syndicate\u4e0a\u53d1\u8868<a class=\"wsw__a\" href=\"https:\/\/www.project-syndicate.org\/commentary\/why-china-wont-mediate-end-to-russia-ukraine-war-by-joseph-s-nye-2022-04\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u6587\u7ae0<\/a>\u79f0\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u8fd9\u573a\u6218\u4e89\u4e2d\u7684\u201c\u4eb2\u4fc4\u4e2d\u7acb\u201d\u7acb\u573a\u4ee4\u5176\u5728\u6b27\u6d32\u7684\u8f6f\u5b9e\u529b\u5927\u5927\u524a\u5f31\u3002\u4ed6\u5728\u90a3\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u4e2d\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u672c\u53ef\u4ee5\u8fdb\u884c\u65a1\u65cb\uff0c\u4e3a\u666e\u4eac\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e00\u4e2a\u53ef\u4ee5\u4fdd\u7559\u989c\u9762\u7684\u53f0\u9636\u540c\u65f6\u5316\u89e3\u6218\u4e89\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u5176\u4ed6\u5a01\u80c1\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4f1a\u52a0\u6df1\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u4f9d\u8d56\uff0c\u4e5f\u4f1a\u63d0\u5347\u4e2d\u56fd\u81ea\u8eab\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u5f62\u8c61\u548c\u5730\u4f4d\uff0c\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u751a\u81f3\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u83b7\u5f97\u8bfa\u8d1d\u5c14\u548c\u5e73\u5956\u3002\u4f46\u968f\u7740\u666e\u4eac\u5728\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e7369\u5c81\u751f\u65e5\u4e4b\u9645\u4e0e\u4ed6\u901a\u7535\u8bdd\u63d0\u51fa\u6df1\u5316\u53cc\u8fb9\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u5207\u5df2\u53d8\u5f97\u6beb\u65e0\u53ef\u80fd\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5948\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4fc4\u4e4c\u6218\u4e89\u5728\u4e00\u5b9a\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u5de9\u56fa\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u5728\u4e9a\u592a\u5730\u533a\u7684\u540c\u76df\u4f53\u7cfb\u3002\u5728\u6218\u4e89\u524d\u66fe\u88ab\u6cd5\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u9a6c\u514b\u9f99\u79f0\u4e3a\u201c\u8111\u6b7b\u4ea1\u201d\u7684\u5317\u7ea6\u505a\u51fa\u4e86\u5168\u9762\u548c\u8fc5\u901f\u7684\u53cd\u5e94\uff0c\u800c\u539f\u672c\u88ab\u56fd\u5185\u4e25\u91cd\u515a\u6d3e\u5206\u6b67\u800c\u63a3\u8098\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u5374\u80fd\u591f\u83b7\u5f97\u4e24\u515a\u7684\u5e7f\u6cdb\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u5411\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u4ef7\u503c400\u591a\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u63f4\u52a9\u548c\u519b\u4e8b\u88c5\u5907\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u6709\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u793a\u8303\u6548\u5e94\u3002\u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u65e5\u672c\u548c\u97e9\u56fd\u7b49\u6c11\u4e3b\u793e\u4f1a\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u4e00\u4e9b\u66b4\u884c\u548c\u5c60\u6740\u7684\u56fe\u7247\u4ee5\u53ca\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u516c\u5f00\u4fb5\u7565\u7684\u4e8b\u5b9e\u611f\u5230\u9707\u60ca\u548c\u53cd\u611f\uff0c\u201d\u5948\u8bf4\uff0c\u201c\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u4ece\u8fd9\u4e2a\u610f\u4e49\u4e0a\u8bf4\uff0c\u4f60\u53ef\u4ee5\u63d0\u51fa\u8fd9\u6837\u4e00\u4e2a\u8bba\u70b9\uff0c\u5373\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u4e89\u5728\u4e9a\u6d32\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6709\u7684\u8bdd\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u5728\u67d0\u79cd\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u52a0\u5f3a\u4e86\u8054\u76df\u7cfb\u7edf\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u4e2d\u56fd\u653b\u53f0\u673a\u7387\u6216\u964d\u4f4e<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u7ea6\u745f\u592b\u00b7\u5948\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5728\u4e00\u4e9b\u4eba\u770b\u6765\uff0c\u4e9a\u6d32\u6700\u7c7b\u4f3c\u4e8e\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u5c31\u662f\u53f0\u6e7e\u7684\u5c40\u52bf\u3002\u4f46\u4ed6\u63d0\u51fa\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u4e89\u7684\u957f\u671f\u5316\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u5e74\u5185\u4e2d\u56fd\u5165\u4fb5\u53f0\u6e7e\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u53cd\u800c\u4f1a\u964d\u4f4e\u3002<\/p>\n<div 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