{"id":98421,"date":"2022-10-26T15:29:17","date_gmt":"2022-10-26T19:29:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=98421"},"modified":"2022-10-26T16:32:32","modified_gmt":"2022-10-26T20:32:32","slug":"%e6%8e%a8%e7%89%b9%e4%b8%8a%e7%9a%84%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd%ef%bc%9a%e8%83%a1%e9%94%a6%e6%b6%9b%e6%83%b3%e8%a6%81%e6%8b%bf%e7%9a%84%e9%82%a3%e4%bb%bd%e6%96%87%e4%bb%b6%e6%88%90%e5%85%b3%e6%b3%a8%e7%84%a6","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=98421","title":{"rendered":"\u63a8\u7279\u4e0a\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\uff1a\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\u60f3\u8981\u62ff\u7684\u90a3\u4efd\u6587\u4ef6\u6210\u5173\u6ce8\u7126\u70b9"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"date-time-area \">\n<div class=\"container\"><span class=\"date-time\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u65f6\u95f4 4:24 2022\u5e7410\u670827\u65e5 \u661f\u671f\u56db<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"content\">\n<div class=\"container\">\n<div class=\"hdr-container\">\n<div class=\"row\">\n<div class=\"col-publishing-details 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class=\"clear\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"wsw__embed mediaReplacer externalMedia\">\n<div class=\"c-sticky-container\">\n<div id=\"sp-1\" class=\"c-sticky-element c-sticky-element--3rd-party c-sticky-element--initialised\" data-sp_api=\"youtube\" data-sp_instance_id=\"1\">\n<div class=\" external-content-rendered\"><iframe id=\"player3\" title=\"\u65b0\u516c\u5e03\u89c6\u9891\u663e\u793a\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\u79bb\u573a\u65f6\u523b\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/rZ-_cqURvjs?&amp;&amp;&amp;fs=1&amp;enablejsapi=1&amp;rel=0\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-youtube_id=\"1\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>\u5728\u6817\u6218\u4e66\u4e0e\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\u4e3a\u7ffb\u770b\u7ea2\u8272\u6587\u4ef6\u5939\u4e2d\u6216\u6587\u4ef6\u5939\u4e0b\u7684\u6587\u4ef6\u800c\u53d1\u751f\u8a00\u8bed\u4e0e\u52a8\u4f5c\u4e92\u52a8\u4e4b\u65f6\uff0c\u5750\u5728\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\u53f3\u8fb9\u7684\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u53eb\u6765\u573a\u5916\u4e00\u4f4d\u770b\u4f3c\u5b89\u5168\u4eba\u5458\u7684\u5e74\u8f7b\u4eba\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0e\u4ed6\u8033\u8bed\u4e86\u597d\u51e0\u5206\u949f\uff0c\u968f\u540e\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5e74\u8f7b\u4eba\u5c31\u8d70\u5230\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\u8eab\u8fb9\uff0c\u529d\u4ed6\u79bb\u5f00\uff0c\u5e76\u8bd5\u56fe\u7528\u624b\u5c06\u4ed6\u8eab\u4f53\u67b6\u8d77\uff0c\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\u4e0e\u4ed6\u7ea0\u7f20\u4e00\u756a\u540e\u8fd8\u662f\u79bb\u5f00\u4e86\u4f1a\u573a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ece\u65b0\u7684\u89c6\u9891\u753b\u9762\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\u88ab\u5e26\u79bb\u4f1a\u573a\u4f3c\u4e4e\u4e0e\u4ed6\u60f3\u8981\u7ffb\u770b\u7684\u6587\u4ef6\u6709\u76f4\u63a5\u5173\u7cfb\u3002\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\u51e0\u6b21\u60f3\u8981\u7ffb\u770b\u6587\u4ef6\uff0c\u4f46\u90fd\u88ab\u5236\u6b62\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u603b\u90e8\u8bbe\u5728\u6bd4\u5229\u65f6\u5e03\u9c81\u585e\u5c14\u7684\u667a\u5e93\u201c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u3001\u6b27\u6d32\u4e0e\u4e9a\u6d32\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3\u201d(Center for Russia Europe Asia Studies)\u521b\u529e\u4eba\u517c\u4e3b\u4efb\u7279\u91cc\u8428\u00b7\u6cd5\u4f26(Theresa Fallon)\u53d1\u63a8\u6587\u8bf4\uff0c\u201c\uff08\u65b0\u89c6\u9891\uff09\u66f4\u8be6\u7ec6\u5730\u663e\u793a\u4e86\u5750\u5728\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\u5de6\u8fb9\u3001\u5373\u5c06\u79bb\u4efb\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u5c40\u5e38\u59d4\u6817\u6218\u4e66\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u62ff\u8d70\u4e00\u4efd\u6587\u4ef6\u5e76\u4e0e\u4ed6\uff08\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\uff09\u4ea4\u8c08\u7684\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<div class=\"clear\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"wsw__embed\">\n<div class=\"infgraphicsAttach\">\n<div class=\"twitterSnippetProcessed\">\n<div class=\"twitter-tweet twitter-tweet-rendered\"><iframe id=\"twitter-widget-0\" class=\"\" title=\"Twitter Tweet\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/embed\/Tweet.html?dnt=false&amp;embedId=twitter-widget-0&amp;features=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&amp;frame=false&amp;hideCard=false&amp;hideThread=false&amp;id=1584914817722220544&amp;lang=en&amp;origin=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.voachinese.com%2Fa%2Fchina-on-twitter-hu-jintao-mystery-20221025%2F6805709.html&amp;sessionId=12864fa75bc3c88a853b8a3fc47030dec0cc3980&amp;siteScreenName=voachinese&amp;theme=light&amp;widgetsVersion=1c23387b1f70c%3A1664388199485&amp;width=550px\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-tweet-id=\"1584914817722220544\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>\u5361\u5185\u57fa\u56fd\u9645\u548c\u5e73\u57fa\u91d1\u4f1a(Carnegie Endowment for International Peace)\u83ab\u91cc\u65af\u00b7\u683c\u6797\u8363\u8a89\u4e3b\u4efb\u97e9\u78ca(Paul Haenle)\u7684\u63a8\u6587\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\u88ab\u5e26\u79bb\u5f00\u4f1a\u573a\u663e\u7136\u4e0e\u90a3\u4efd\u6587\u4ef6\u6709\u5173\u3002\u4ed6\u7684\u63a8\u6587\u8bf4\uff0c\u201c\u8fd9\u770b\u8d77\u6765\u5f88\u6e05\u695a\uff0c\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\u7684\u79bb\u573a\u4e0e\u5065\u5eb7\u95ee\u9898\u65e0\u5173\u3002\u90a3\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u663e\u7136\u6709\u6817\u6218\u4e66\u548c\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u4e0d\u60f3\u8ba9\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\u770b\u5230\u7684\u4e1c\u897f\uff08\u7ea2\u8272\u5c01\u9762\u5185\uff09\uff0c\u81f3\u5c11\u4ed6\u4eec\u5f53\u65f6\u4e0d\u60f3\u8ba9\u4ed6\u770b\u5230\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u603b\u90e8\u5728\u7ebd\u7ea6\u7684\u72ec\u7acb\u5a92\u4f53The China Project\u4e3b\u7f16\u201c\u91d1\u7389\u7c73\u201d(Jeremy Goldkorn)\u4e5f\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\u201c\u88ab\u79bb\u573a\u201d\u4f3c\u4e4e\u4e0e\u4ed6\u7684\u5065\u5eb7\u65e0\u5173\u3002\u4ed6\u7684\u63a8\u6587\u8bf4\uff0c\u201c\u8fd9\u6bb5\u89c6\u9891\u5305\u62ec\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\u88ab\u5e26\u79bb\u524d\u4e00\u5206\u949f\u7684\u60c5\u666f\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u6bb5\u89c6\u9891\u4e2d\uff0c\u4ed6\u88ab\u5e26\u8d70\u770b\u8d77\u6765\u5f53\u7136\u4e0d\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u5065\u5eb7\u95ee\u9898\uff1f\u201d<\/p>\n<div class=\"clear\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"wsw__embed\">\n<div class=\"infgraphicsAttach\">\n<div class=\"twitterSnippetProcessed\">\n<div class=\"twitter-tweet twitter-tweet-rendered\"><iframe id=\"twitter-widget-1\" class=\"\" title=\"Twitter Tweet\" 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frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-tweet-id=\"1584594804671143937\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u4eba\u6742\u5fd7(The Economist)\u9632\u52a1\u7248\u7f16\u8f91\u6c99\u5c71\u514b\u00b7\u4e54\u5e0c(Shashank Joshi)\u5219\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u8fd9\u6bb5\u89c6\u9891\u5c1a\u4e0d\u8db3\u4ee5\u9a73\u5012\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\u88ab\u5e26\u79bb\u4f1a\u573a\u662f\u51fa\u4e8e\u5065\u5eb7\u539f\u56e0\u7684\u8bf4\u6cd5\u3002\u4ed6\u7684\u63a8\u6587\u8bf4\uff0c\u201c\u7531\u603b\u90e8\u8bbe\u5728\u65b0\u52a0\u5761\u7684\u4e9a\u6d32\u65b0\u95fb\u53f0(CNA)\u62cd\u6444\u7684\u89c6\u9891\u5e76\u4e0d\u80fd\u63a8\u7ffb\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\u60a3\u75c5\u7684\u5b98\u65b9\u8bf4\u6cd5\u3002\u4f46\u5b83\u4e5f\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\u9762\u524d\u7684\u90a3\u4efd\u6587\u4ef6\u5728\u4e8b\u4ef6\u4e2d\u8d77\u4e86\u5173\u952e\u4f5c\u7528\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<div class=\"clear\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"wsw__embed\">\n<div class=\"infgraphicsAttach\">\n<div class=\"twitterSnippetProcessed\">\n<div class=\"twitter-tweet twitter-tweet-rendered\"><iframe id=\"twitter-widget-2\" class=\"\" title=\"Twitter Tweet\" 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class=\"wsw__embed\">\n<div class=\"infgraphicsAttach\">\n<div class=\"twitterSnippetProcessed\">\n<div class=\"twitter-tweet twitter-tweet-rendered\"><iframe id=\"twitter-widget-3\" class=\"\" title=\"Twitter Tweet\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/embed\/Tweet.html?dnt=false&amp;embedId=twitter-widget-3&amp;features=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&amp;frame=false&amp;hideCard=false&amp;hideThread=false&amp;id=1584866954774736897&amp;lang=en&amp;origin=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.voachinese.com%2Fa%2Fchina-on-twitter-hu-jintao-mystery-20221025%2F6805709.html&amp;sessionId=12864fa75bc3c88a853b8a3fc47030dec0cc3980&amp;siteScreenName=voachinese&amp;theme=light&amp;widgetsVersion=1c23387b1f70c%3A1664388199485&amp;width=550px\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-tweet-id=\"1584866954774736897\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>\u7f8e\u5229\u575a\u5927\u5b66(American University)\u56fd\u9645\u670d\u52a1\u5b66\u9662\u6559\u6388\u5510\u5fd7\u5b66(Joseph Torigian)\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5230\u5e95\u53d1\u751f\u4e86\u4ec0\u4e48\u73b0\u5728\u4ecd\u4e0d\u5f97\u800c\u77e5\uff0c\u4f46\u6839\u636e\u73b0\u6709\u7684\u8bc1\u636e\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u8fd9\u5e94\u8be5\u4e0d\u662f\u523b\u610f\u5bf9\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\u7684\u201c\u6e05\u6d17\u201d\u3002\u5510\u5fd7\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0e\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u5728\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u63a8\u6587\u4e2d\u8bf4\uff0c\u201c\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\u662f\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4f53\u5236\u5185\u51e0\u5341\u5e74\u6765\u7684\u4ea7\u7269\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4f53\u5236\u4e0b\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e2a\u4eba\u90fd\u88ab\u6559\u5bfc\u8981\u628a\u515a\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u653e\u5728\u7b2c\u4e00\u4f4d\u3002\u5373\u4f7f\u4f60\u4e0d\u540c\u610f\u67d0\u4ef6\u4e8b\u60c5\uff0c\u4f60\u4e5f\u4e0d\u4f1a\u516c\u5f00\u8868\u8fbe\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u53ea\u4f1a\u8ba9\u6240\u6709\u4eba\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u4f60\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u7cdf\u3002\u5176\u6b21\uff0c\u6b63\u5982\uff08\u534e\u5c14\u8857\u65e5\u62a5\u8bb0\u8005\uff09\u738b\u6625\u7ff0\u6240\u5199\uff0c\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u7684\u98ce\u683c\u662f\u4ee5\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u624b\u8155\u6162\u6162\u5730\u3001\u6709\u610f\u5730\u524a\u5f31\u5bf9\u624b\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u505a\u4e00\u4e9b\u7a81\u7136\u7684\u3001\u4ee4\u4eba\u9707\u60ca\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u5728\u515a\u4ee3\u4f1a\u4e0a\u8fdb\u884c\u6e05\u6d17\u3002\u7b2c\u4e09\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5b98\u573a\u662f\u5200\u5149\u5251\u5f71\u7684\u6597\u4e89\uff0c\u4f46\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u7684\u505a\u6cd5\u660e\u663e\u8fdd\u53cd\u4e86\u89c4\u8303\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u4e0d\u662f\u771f\u6b63\u6709\u7528\uff0c\u8fd9\u5e76\u4e0d\u5178\u578b\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u5510\u5fd7\u5b66\u4e5f\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ecd\u7136\u5b58\u5728\u8fd9\u6837\u4e00\u79cd\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u5373\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\u6253\u7b97\u5728\u8868\u51b3\u65f6\u4e0d\u4e3e\u624b\u3002\u4ed6\u5199\u9053\uff0c\u201c\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\u6548\u4eff\u9648\u5c11\u654f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u603b\u662f\u5b58\u5728\u7684\u3002\u9648\u5c11\u654f\u662f\u5728\u4e2d\u5171\u516b\u5c4a\u5341\u4e8c\u6b21\u5168\u4f1a\u4e0a\u8c34\u8d23\u5218\u5c11\u5947\u65f6\u552f\u4e00\u6ca1\u6709\u4e3e\u624b\u7684\u4eba\u3002\u5982\u679c\u662f\u8fd9\u6837\uff0c\u8003\u8651\u5230\u5386\u53f2\u7684\u5ef6\u7eed\u6027\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u662f\u771f\u6b63\u4ee4\u4eba\u9707\u60ca\u7684\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<div class=\"clear\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"wsw__embed\">\n<div class=\"infgraphicsAttach\">\n<div class=\"twitterSnippetProcessed\">\n<div class=\"twitter-tweet twitter-tweet-rendered\"><iframe id=\"twitter-widget-4\" class=\"\" title=\"Twitter Tweet\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/embed\/Tweet.html?dnt=false&amp;embedId=twitter-widget-4&amp;features=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&amp;frame=false&amp;hideCard=false&amp;hideThread=false&amp;id=1584963248851673090&amp;lang=en&amp;origin=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.voachinese.com%2Fa%2Fchina-on-twitter-hu-jintao-mystery-20221025%2F6805709.html&amp;sessionId=12864fa75bc3c88a853b8a3fc47030dec0cc3980&amp;siteScreenName=voachinese&amp;theme=light&amp;widgetsVersion=1c23387b1f70c%3A1664388199485&amp;width=550px\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-tweet-id=\"1584963248851673090\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>\u82f1\u56fd\u300a\u91d1\u878d\u65f6\u62a5\u300b\u5317\u4eac\u5206\u793e\u524d\u526f\u793e\u957f\u3001\u54c8\u4f5b\u5927\u5b66\u8d39\u6b63\u6e05\u4e2d\u56fd\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3\u8bbf\u95ee\u5b66\u8005\u97e9\u78a7\u5982\uff08Lucy Hornby\uff09\u661f\u671f\u4e8c\uff0810\u670825\u65e5\uff09\u5728\u534e\u76db\u987f\u667a\u5e93\u6218\u7565\u4e0e\u56fd\u9645\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3\uff08CSIS\uff09\u7684\u7814\u8ba8\u4f1a\u4e0a\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u6839\u636e\u5979\u81ea\u5df1\u4e0e\u5e74\u957f\u4eb2\u4eba\u7684\u4e92\u52a8\u7ecf\u9a8c\uff0c\u4ece\u6817\u6218\u4e66\u7684\u8eab\u4f53\u8bed\u8a00\u4ee5\u53ca\u5bf9\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\u8bf4\u8bdd\u7684\u6837\u5b50\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u6817\u662f\u5728\u5b89\u629a(placate)\u4ed6\uff0c\u5c31\u50cf\u5b89\u629a\u4e00\u4f4d\u957f\u8005\u4e00\u6837\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\u5979\u4e0d\u8ba4\u4e3a\u80e1\u7684\u88ab\u5e26\u79bb\u4f1a\u573a\u662f\u523b\u610f\u4e0a\u6f14\u8981\u7f9e\u8fb1\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\u7684\u620f\u7801(deliberately staged stab in the back)\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6b27\u6d32\u5bf9\u5916\u5173\u7cfb\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a(European Council on Foreign Relations)\u7684\u8054\u5408\u4e3b\u5e2d\u5361\u5c14\u00b7\u6bd4\u5c14\u7279(Carl Bildt)\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\u7684\u786e\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u5065\u5eb7\u539f\u56e0\u800c\u88ab\u5e26\u79bb\u4f1a\u573a\uff0c\u90a3\u8fd9\u5c06\u53cd\u6620\u51fa\u4e2d\u5171\u5b98\u573a\u7684\u4e0a\u7684\u51b7\u8840\u3002\u4ed6\u7684\u63a8\u6587\u8bf4\uff0c\u201c\u5982\u679c\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\u7684\u786e\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u7d27\u6025\u7684\u5065\u5eb7\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u4f1a\u671f\u671b\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u5bf9\u4ed6\u8868\u793a\u4e00\u4e9b\u540c\u60c5\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u6839\u672c\u6ca1\u6709\u53d1\u751f\uff0c\u6709\u7684\u53ea\u662f\u65e0\u89c6\u3002\u4ed6\u88ab\u5e26\u8d70\u4e86\u3002\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f\u4e2d\u5171\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<div class=\"clear\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"wsw__embed\">\n<div class=\"infgraphicsAttach\">\n<div class=\"twitterSnippetProcessed\">\n<div class=\"twitter-tweet twitter-tweet-rendered\"><iframe id=\"twitter-widget-5\" class=\"\" title=\"Twitter Tweet\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/embed\/Tweet.html?dnt=false&amp;embedId=twitter-widget-5&amp;features=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&amp;frame=false&amp;hideCard=false&amp;hideThread=false&amp;id=1584886052933832704&amp;lang=en&amp;origin=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.voachinese.com%2Fa%2Fchina-on-twitter-hu-jintao-mystery-20221025%2F6805709.html&amp;sessionId=12864fa75bc3c88a853b8a3fc47030dec0cc3980&amp;siteScreenName=voachinese&amp;theme=light&amp;widgetsVersion=1c23387b1f70c%3A1664388199485&amp;width=550px\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-tweet-id=\"1584886052933832704\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>\u4e9a\u6d32\u534f\u4f1a\u653f\u7b56\u7814\u7a76\u6240(Asia Society Policy Institute)\u6709\u5173\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\u88ab\u5e26\u8d70\u79bb\u573a\u7684\u63a8\u6587\u8bf4\uff0c\u65e0\u8bba\u771f\u76f8\u5982\u4f55\uff0c\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\u7684\u79bb\u573a\u5177\u6709\u91cd\u5927\u7684\u8c61\u5f81\u610f\u4e49\u3002\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u8fc7\u53bb\u6240\u719f\u6089\u7684\u4e2d\u5171\u6d3e\u7cfb\u5df2\u7ecf\u5728\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u6cbb\u4e0b\u88ab\u5f7b\u5e95\u6d88\u706d\u4e86\uff0c\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\u7684\u79bb\u573a\u662f\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7cbe\u82f1\u653f\u6cbb\u5411\u524d\u8fc8\u8fdb\u7684\u9690\u55bb\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<div class=\"clear\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"wsw__embed\">\n<div class=\"infgraphicsAttach\">\n<div class=\"twitterSnippetProcessed\">\n<div class=\"twitter-tweet twitter-tweet-rendered\"><iframe id=\"twitter-widget-6\" class=\"\" title=\"Twitter Tweet\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/embed\/Tweet.html?dnt=false&amp;embedId=twitter-widget-6&amp;features=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&amp;frame=false&amp;hideCard=false&amp;hideThread=false&amp;id=1584929480530972676&amp;lang=en&amp;origin=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.voachinese.com%2Fa%2Fchina-on-twitter-hu-jintao-mystery-20221025%2F6805709.html&amp;sessionId=12864fa75bc3c88a853b8a3fc47030dec0cc3980&amp;siteScreenName=voachinese&amp;theme=light&amp;widgetsVersion=1c23387b1f70c%3A1664388199485&amp;width=550px\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-tweet-id=\"1584929480530972676\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div class=\"c-author c-author--hlight\">\n<div class=\"media-block\">\n<div class=\"thumb thumb1_1 rounded\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"avatar enhanced\" src=\"https:\/\/gdb.voanews.com\/57FEF3AC-E2B3-40B2-9521-0BE0E8D5DD4C_w144_r5.png\" alt=\"16x9 Image\" data-src=\"https:\/\/gdb.voanews.com\/57FEF3AC-E2B3-40B2-9521-0BE0E8D5DD4C_w100_r5.png\" \/><\/div>\n<div class=\"c-author__content\">\n<h4 class=\"media-block__title media-block__title--author\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.voachinese.com\/author\/%E6%9E%97%E6%9E%AB\/oq_pv\">\u6797\u67ab<\/a><\/h4>\n<div class=\"wsw c-author__wsw\">\n<p><span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e4b\u97f3\u8bb0\u8005<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-author__btns m-t-md\"><a class=\"btn btn-twitter btn--social\" title=\"\u63a8\u7279\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/LinFeng1\">\u00a0<span class=\"btn__text\">\u63a8\u7279<\/span><\/a>\u00a0<a class=\"btn btn-rss btn--social\" title=\"\u8ba2\u9605\" href=\"https:\/\/www.voachinese.com\/api\/aoq_pvegu_pr\">\u00a0<span class=\"btn__text\">\u8ba2\u9605<\/span><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div id=\"comments\" class=\"comments-parent\">\n<div class=\"row\">\n<div class=\"col-xs-12\">\n<div class=\"comments comments--ext\">\n<h3 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