{"id":99625,"date":"2023-01-05T16:55:55","date_gmt":"2023-01-05T21:55:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=99625"},"modified":"2023-01-05T19:09:30","modified_gmt":"2023-01-06T00:09:30","slug":"%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd%e4%b8%93%e5%ae%b6-%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd%e7%96%ab%e6%83%85%e4%bd%95%e6%97%b6%e7%bb%93%e6%9d%9f%e5%8f%aa%e6%9c%89%e5%a4%a9%e7%9f%a5%e9%81%93","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/minzhuzhongguo.org\/?p=99625","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e13\u5bb6: \u4e2d\u56fd\u75ab\u60c5\u4f55\u65f6\u7ed3\u675f\u53ea\u6709\u5929\u77e5\u9053"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"date-time-area \">\n<div class=\"container\"><span class=\"date-time\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u65f6\u95f4 6:51 2023\u5e741\u67086\u65e5 \u661f\u671f\u4e94<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"content\">\n<div class=\"container\">\n<div class=\"hdr-container\">\n<div class=\"row\">\n<div class=\"col-publishing-details col-xs-12 col-sm-12 col-md-2 pull-left\">\n<div class=\"publishing-details 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\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e00\u5bb6\u81f4\u529b\u4e8e\u5168\u7403\u5065\u5eb7\u7edf\u8ba1\u548c\u5f71\u54cd\u8bc4\u4f30\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u673a\u6784\u7684\u8d1f\u8d23\u4eba\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u4e0d\u4f1a\u56e0\u5168\u7403\u65b0\u95fb\u5a92\u4f53\u5bf9\u5176\u75ab\u60c5\u5904\u7406\u7684\u5927\u91cf\u8d1f\u9762\u62a5\u9053\u800c\u6539\u53d8\u63a9\u76d6\u75ab\u60c5\u771f\u76f8\u7684\u505a\u6cd5\u3002\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u6765\u81ea\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u75ab\u60c5\u6570\u636e\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u5bf9\u9884\u6d4b\u4e2d\u56fd\u75ab\u60c5\u4f55\u65f6\u7ed3\u675f\u201c\u5b8c\u5168\u6ca1\u6709\u4fe1\u5fc3\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0d\u8fc7\u540c\u65f6\u4ed6\u76f8\u4fe1\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u6ce2\u4e2d\u56fd\u75ab\u60c5\u7206\u53d1\u4ecd\u5c5e\u5965\u5bc6\u514b\u5bb9\u4e9a\u53d8\u4f53\uff0c\u4ece\u514d\u75ab\u5b66\u89d2\u5ea6\u770b\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u51fa\u73b0\u65b0\u53d8\u79cd\u7684\u51e0\u7387\u4e0d\u9ad8\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u201c\u65b0\u53d8\u79cd\u4e0d\u5927\u53ef\u80fd\u4ea7\u751f\u5728\u514d\u75ab\u5e7c\u7a1a(\u672a\u7ecf\u75c5\u6bd2\u611f\u67d3)\u4eba\u7fa4\u4e2d\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u5468\u4e8c\uff0c(1\u67083\u65e5)\u4e2d\u56fd\u75be\u75c5\u9884\u9632\u63a7\u5236\u4e2d\u5fc3\u544a\u8bc9\u4e16\u754c\u536b\u751f\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6700\u65b0\u4e00\u6ce2\u7206\u53d1\u7684\u75ab\u60c5\u4e3b\u8981\u4f20\u67d3\u75c5\u6bd2\u662f\u4e24\u79cd\u5965\u5bc6\u514b\u5bb9\u8c31\u7cfb\u7684\u4e9a\u53d8\u4f53\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u53d1\u73b0\u65b0\u7684\u65b0\u51a0\u75c5\u6bd2\u53d8\u79cd\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u7b49\u591a\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u5df2\u7ecf\u505a\u51fa\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u5f00\u653e\u65c5\u6e38\u540e\u6765\u81ea\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u6e38\u5ba2\u8fdb\u884c\u65b0\u51a0\u68c0\u6d4b\u7684\u89c4\u5b9a\uff0c\u6709\u62a5\u9053\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u62c5\u5fe7\u662f\u6765\u81ea\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u65b0\u75c5\u6bd2\u53d8\u79cd\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u65b0\u53d8\u79cd\u4e0d\u5927\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u81ea\u514d\u75ab\u5e7c\u7a1a\u4eba\u7fa4<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u5065\u5eb7\u6307\u6807\u4e0e\u8bc4\u4f30\u7814\u7a76\u6240(Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, IHME)\u4e3b\u4efb\u514b\u91cc\u65af\u6258\u5f17\u00b7\u9ed8\u91cc(Christopher Murray)\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u98ce\u9669\u5f88\u5c0f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9ed8\u91cc\u8bf4\uff0c\u4ece\u514d\u75ab\u5b66\u7684\u89d2\u5ea6\uff0c\u65b0\u53d8\u79cd\u4e0d\u5927\u53ef\u80fd\u4ea7\u751f\u5728\u514d\u75ab\u5e7c\u7a1a(\u672a\u7ecf\u75c5\u6bd2\u611f\u67d3)\u4eba\u7fa4\u4e2d\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u201c\u4e00\u822c\u4e0d\u592a\u53ef\u80fd\u2014\u2014\u5f53\u7136\u5076\u7136\u6027\u603b\u662f\u6709\u7684\u2014\u2014\u4f1a\u6709\u5bf9\u65b0\u53d8\u79cd\u7684\u9009\u62e9\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u975e\u5e38\u5c0f\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u201d\u9ed8\u91cc\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4f60\u771f\u6b63\u671f\u671b\u770b\u5230\u51fa\u73b0\u65b0\u53d8\u79cd\u7684\u5730\u65b9\u662f\u514d\u75ab\u529b\u9ad8\u7684\u5730\u65b9\u3002\u65b0\u51a0\u75c5\u6bd2\u4f20\u64ad\u7684\u552f\u4e00\u9014\u5f84\u662f\u901a\u8fc7\u7a81\u7834\u514d\u75ab(\u514d\u75ab\u9003\u9038)\u3002\u201d\u9ed8\u91cc\u535a\u58eb\u8bf4\u3002\u65b0\u53d8\u79cd\u201c\u66f4\u53ef\u80fd\u53d1\u751f\u5728\u514d\u75ab\u66b4\u9732\u6216\u514d\u75ab\u4fdd\u62a4\u7a0b\u5ea6\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u4eba\u7fa4\u4e2d\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u5728\u672a\u7ecf\u514d\u75ab\u66b4\u9732\u7684\u4eba\u7fa4\u4e2d\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u6ee1\u8db3\u4e16\u754c\u536b\u751f\u7ec4\u7ec7\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u6240\u6709\u8981\u6c42\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5173\u4e8e\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u7206\u53d1\u5bf9\u4eba\u7fa4\u9020\u6210\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u4f4f\u9662\u3001\u91cd\u75c7\u76d1\u62a4\u75c5\u623f\u5165\u9662\u548c\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u6570\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e16\u536b\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7a81\u53d1\u536b\u751f\u4e8b\u4ef6\u89c4\u5212\u6267\u884c\u4e3b\u4efb\u8fc8\u514b\u00b7\u745e\u6069(Mike Ryan)\u5468\u4e09\u5bf9\u5a92\u4f53\u8bf4\uff0c\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u76f8\u4fe1\u4e2d\u56fd\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u6570\u5b57\u5728\u4f4f\u9662\u7387\u3001\u91cd\u75c7\u76d1\u62a4\u7387\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u5728\u6b7b\u4ea1\u6570\u5b57\u4e0a\uff0c\u4e25\u91cd\u4f4e\u4f30\u4e86\u65b0\u51a0\u75c5\u6bd2\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u771f\u5b9e\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u4e2d\u56fd\u6709\u610f\u4e0d\u62a5\u4f4f\u9662\u548c\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u6570<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u9ed8\u91cc\u535a\u58eb\u8bf4\uff0c\u81ea\u53bb\u5e7412\u6708\u75ab\u60c5\u7206\u53d1\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u201c\u57fa\u672c\u4e0a\u5b8c\u5168\u4e0d\u62a5\u544a\u611f\u67d3\u75c5\u4f8b\u201d\uff1b\u201c\u4ed6\u4eec\u4ece\u6765\u6ca1\u6709\u62a5\u544a\u8fc7\u4f4f\u9662\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4e2d\u56fd\u75be\u75c5\u9884\u9632\u63a7\u5236\u4e2d\u5fc3\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u7ebf\u83b7\u53d6\u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u83b7\u5f97\u8fd9\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u4f46\u4ed6\u4eec\u4ece\u6765\u6ca1\u6709\u8fd9\u6837\u505a\u8fc7\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u6709\u610f\u8bc6\u7684\u9009\u62e9\u4e0d\u62a5\u544a\u4f4f\u9662\u60c5\u51b5\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u81f3\u4e8e\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u6570\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u5728\u5bf9\u65b0\u51a0\u6b7b\u4ea1\u5b9a\u4e49\u505a\u51fa\u4e25\u683c\u9650\u5236\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u6bcf\u65e5\u62a5\u51fa\u4e2a\u4f4d\u6570\u6b7b\u4ea1\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e0e\u533b\u9662\u4e0e\u6ba1\u4eea\u9986\u4e0d\u582a\u91cd\u8d1f\u7684\u73b0\u5b9e\u5b8c\u5168\u4e0d\u7b26\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u4ece\u6839\u672c\u4e0a\u8bf4\uff0c\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u6307\u6807\u5c31\u662f\u6709\u591a\u5c11\u4eba\u6b7b\u4e8e\u65b0\u51a0\u3002\u201d\u9ed8\u91cc\u8bf4\u3002\u201c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u62e5\u6709\u80fd\u591f\u8ffd\u8e2a\u5168\u56fd\u4e00\u4e9b\u533b\u9662\u6b7b\u4ea1\u60c5\u51b5\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u201d\u9ed8\u91cc\u535a\u58eb\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9ed8\u91cc\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u9690\u7792\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u6570\uff0c\u201c\u90e8\u5206\u539f\u56e0\u53ef\u80fd\u662f(\u6709\u610f\u7684)\u9009\u62e9\uff0c\u90e8\u5206\u539f\u56e0\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u6b7b\u4ea1\u62a5\u544a\u7684\u6570\u636e\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e0d\u50cf\u6b27\u6d32\u3001\u7f8e\u56fd\u6216\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u7b49\u8bb8\u591a\u56fd\u5bb6\u90a3\u6837\u590d\u6742\u6216\u5148\u8fdb\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u9ed8\u91cc\u535a\u58eb\u9886\u5bfc\u7684\u5065\u5eb7\u6307\u6807\u4e0e\u8bc4\u4f30\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u662f\u4f4d\u4e8e\u897f\u96c5\u56fe\u7684\u534e\u76db\u987f\u5927\u5b66\u7684\u81f4\u529b\u4e8e\u5168\u7403\u5065\u5eb7\u7edf\u8ba1\u548c\u5f71\u54cd\u8bc4\u4f30\u7814\u7a76\u673a\u6784\u3002\u8be5\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u5728\u75ab\u60c5\u7206\u53d1\u4e4b\u521d\u76842020\u5e74\uff0c\u5efa\u7acb\u4e86\u65b0\u51a0\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u6570\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5176\u6570\u636e\u4e00\u76f4\u88ab\u653f\u5e9c\u548c\u4f01\u4e1a\u5e7f\u6cdb\u5f15\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u75ab\u60c5\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4160<\/strong><strong>\u6216170<\/strong><strong>\u4e07\u4eba\u6b7b\u4ea1<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u53bb\u5e74\u5e95\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7206\u53d1\u5965\u5bc6\u514b\u5bb9\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u75ab\u60c5\uff0c\u8be5\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u7684\u72ec\u7acb\u9884\u6d4b\u6a21\u578b\u5c0f\u7ec4\u5229\u7528\u4e2d\u56fd\u5404\u7701\u7684\u6570\u636e\u548c\u6700\u8fd1\u5728\u9999\u6e2f\u7206\u53d1\u7684\u5965\u79d8\u514b\u620e\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u53d1\u5e03\u4e86\u52302023\u5e74\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5c06\u6709\u8d85\u8fc7100\u4e07\u4eba\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u5982\u679c\u5bf9\u6b64\u8fdb\u884c\u67d0\u79cd\u9a8c\u8bc1\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6839\u636e\u53d1\u751f\u5728\u9999\u6e2f\u548c\u53d1\u751f\u5728\u5927\u9646\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u5728\u75ab\u82d7\u63a5\u79cd\u6c34\u5e73\u3001\u4f7f\u7528\u76f8\u540c\u7684\u75ab\u82d7\u3001\u76f8\u540c\u7684\u5e74\u9f84\u7ed3\u6784\uff0c\u9999\u6e2f\u548c\u5927\u9646\u5927\u81f4\u4e0a\u975e\u5e38\u76f8\u4f3c\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u9884\u8ba1\u9999\u6e2f\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7684\u4e00\u4e07\u4eba\u8f6c\u6362\u5230\u6574\u4e2a\u4e2d\u56fd\u5927\u9646\u5c31\u662f160\u6216170\u4e07\u4eba\u6b7b\u4ea1\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u6839\u636e\u7ea6\u7ff0\u65af\u970d\u666e\u91d1\u65af\u5927\u5b66\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u622a\u81f31\u67084\u65e5\uff0c\u9999\u6e2f\u7684\u611f\u67d3\u4eba\u6570\u4e3a270\u4e07\uff0c\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u6570\u4e3a12,081\u4eba\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9ed8\u91cc\u535a\u58eb\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u786e\u4fdd\u4e16\u536b\u7ec4\u7ec7\u83b7\u5f97\u4e2d\u56fd\u75ab\u60c5\u7684\u900f\u660e\u548c\u51c6\u786e\u7684\u6570\u636e\u4e00\u76f4\u662f\u201c\u975e\u5e38\u5927\u7684\u6311\u6218\u201d\u3002\u201c\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u4e0d\u4f1a\u770b\u5230\u4efb\u4f55\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u6211\u6000\u7591\u56fd\u9645\u8ba8\u8bba\u3001\u65b0\u95fb\u5a92\u4f53\u5173\u4e8e\u706b\u846c\u573a\u7684\u62a5\u9053\u662f\u5426\u4f1a\u6539\u53d8\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5b98\u65b9\u7acb\u573a\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u7531\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u75ab\u60c5\u6570\u636e\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u9ed8\u91cc\u535a\u58eb\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5bf9\u9884\u6d4b\u4e2d\u56fd\u75ab\u60c5\u4f55\u65f6\u7ed3\u675f\u201c\u5b8c\u5168\u6ca1\u6709\u4fe1\u5fc3\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u672a\u6765\uff0c\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u4f9d\u7136\u4e0d\u80fd\u63d0\u4f9b\u900f\u660e\u51c6\u786e\u75ab\u60c5\u6570\u636e\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u56fd\u9645\u793e\u4f1a\u9700\u8981\u9f13\u52b1\u5efa\u7acb\u72ec\u7acb\u4e8e\u653f\u5e9c\u4e4b\u5916\u7684\u201c\u5404\u79cd\u7c7b\u578b\u7684\u62a5\u544a\u7cfb\u7edf\u201d\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u201c\u4f7f\u7528\u536b\u661f\u56fe\u50cf\u3001\u624b\u673a\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7ed9\u6211\u4eec\u4e00\u4e9b\u6b63\u5728\u53d1\u751f\u91cd\u5927\u5371\u673a\u7684\u8ff9\u8c61\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<div class=\"wsw__embed wsw__embed--small\">\n<figure class=\"media-image js-media-expand js-media-expand--ready\">\n<div class=\"img-wrap\">\n<div class=\"thumb\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/gdb.voanews.com\/03370000-0aff-0242-0932-08daef5d87ee_w250_r0_s.jpg\" alt=\"\u7f8e\u56fd\u5065\u5eb7\u6307\u6807\u4e0e\u8bc4\u4f30\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u4e3b\u4efb\u514b\u91cc\u65af\u6258\u5f17\u00b7\u9ed8\u91cc (\u7167\u7247\u63d0\u4f9b: \u9ed8\u91cc)\" \/><\/div>\n<\/div><figcaption><span class=\"caption\">\u7f8e\u56fd\u5065\u5eb7\u6307\u6807\u4e0e\u8bc4\u4f30\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u4e3b\u4efb\u514b\u91cc\u65af\u6258\u5f17\u00b7\u9ed8\u91cc (\u7167\u7247\u63d0\u4f9b: \u9ed8\u91cc)<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>\u4ee5\u4e0b\u662f\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u5065\u5eb7\u6307\u6807\u4e0e\u8bc4\u4f30\u7814\u7a76\u6240(Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, IHME)\u4e3b\u4efb\u514b\u91cc\u65af\u6258\u5f17\u00b7\u9ed8\u91cc(Christopher Murray)\u7684\u4e13\u8bbf\u5b9e\u5f55\uff1a<\/p>\n<p>\u8bb0\u8005\uff1a\u5468\u4e8c(1\u67082\u65e5)\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u75be\u63a7\u4e2d\u5fc3\u5411\u4e16\u536b\u7ec4\u7ec7\u62a5\u544a\u4e86\u65b0\u51a0\u80ba\u708e\u75ab\u60c5\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u5728\u5f53\u5730\u83b7\u5f97\u7684\u611f\u67d3\u4e2d\u5965\u5bc6\u514b\u5bb9\u8c31\u7cfb\u5360\u4f18\u52bf\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u6ca1\u6709\u65b0\u7684\u53d8\u79cd\u62a5\u544a\u3002 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\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u65b0\u51a0\u80ba\u708e\u5f00\u59cb\u65f6\u5c31\u5df2\u7ecf\u77e5\u9053\u50cf\u201c\u65b0\u53d1\u75be\u75c5\u76d1\u6d4b\u8ba1\u5212(ProMED)\u201d\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u81ea\u613f\u62a5\u544a\u7ec4\u7ec7\u90a3\u6837\uff0c\u572812\u6708\u4e0b\u65ec\u5c31\u5f00\u59cb\u5bf9\u6b66\u6c49\u75ab\u60c5\u8fdb\u884c\u76d1\u6d4b\u3002\u4f46\u6211\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u66f4\u591a\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u6709\u76d1\u6d4b\u6570\u636e\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u68c0\u6d4b\u793e\u4ea4\u5a92\u4f53\u3001\u4f7f\u7528\u536b\u661f\u56fe\u50cf\u3001\u624b\u673a\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u7ed9\u6211\u4eec\u4e00\u4e9b\u6b63\u5728\u53d1\u751f\u91cd\u5927\u5371\u673a\u7684\u8ff9\u8c61\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u5728\u67d0\u79cd\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u72ec\u7acb\u4e8e\u6216\u5b8c\u5168\u72ec\u7acb\u4e8e\u653f\u5e9c\u4e4b\u5916\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u4e24\u8005\u90fd\u9700\u8981\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u65e2\u9700\u8981\u52a0\u5f3a\u6cd5\u5f8b\u5de5\u5177\u548c\u653f\u5e9c\u62a5\u544a\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4e5f\u9700\u8981\u770b\u5230\u8fd9\u4e9b\u72ec\u7acb\u7684\u6570\u636e\u6e90\u88ab\u5e7f\u6cdb\u4f7f\u7528\uff0c\u8fd9\u6837\u6211\u4eec\u5c31\u90fd\u53ef\u4ee5\u8ffd\u8e2a\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u5730\u6b63\u5728\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8bb0\u8005\uff1a\u4f60\u9886\u5bfc\u7684\u5065\u5eb7\u6307\u6807\u4e0e\u8bc4\u4f30\u7814\u7a76\u6240(Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, IHME)\u9884\u6d4b\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u65b0\u4e00\u6ce2\u75ab\u60c5\u7206\u53d1\u5c06\u5bfc\u81f4\u4e2d\u56fd\u57282023\u5e74\u611f\u67d3\u6848\u4f8b\u6fc0\u589e\u4ee5\u53ca\u8d85\u8fc7\u767e\u4e07\u4eba\u6b7b\u4ea1\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u4f9d\u636e\u662f\u4ec0\u4e48\uff1f\u73b0\u5728\u4f60\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e00\u9884\u6d4b\u6709\u4ec0\u4e48\u4fee\u6b63\u5417\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>\u9ed8\u91cc\uff1a\u6211\u4eec\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u6839\u636e\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u6709\u6bcf\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u6a21\u578b\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u8003\u8651\u4e86\u8fc7\u53bb\u7684\u611f\u67d3\u7387\uff0c\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u76f4\u523012\u6708\u4e3a\u6b62\u611f\u67d3\u7387\u4e00\u76f4\u975e\u5e38\u4f4e\uff1b\u75ab\u82d7\u63a5\u79cd\u7387\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u75ab\u82d7\u7684\u4fdd\u62a4\u4f5c\u7528\u968f\u7740\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u63a8\u79fb\u4f1a\u51cf\u5f31\uff1b\u8fd8\u6709\u83b7\u5f97\u6297\u75c5\u6bd2\u836f\u7269Paxlovid\u7684\u9014\u5f84\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5c31\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u4eca\u5e74\u505a\u51fa\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u6839\u636e\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u9884\u8ba1\u8fd9\u4e00\u6ce2\u5e2d\u5377\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u75ab\u60c5\u5c06\u5bfc\u81f4\u8d85\u8fc7100\u4e07\u4eba\u6b7b\u4ea1\u3002\u5982\u679c\u5bf9\u6b64\u8fdb\u884c\u67d0\u79cd\u9a8c\u8bc1\uff0c\u6839\u636e\u53d1\u751f\u5728\u9999\u6e2f\u548c\u53d1\u751f\u5728\u5927\u9646\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u5728\u75ab\u82d7\u63a5\u79cd\u6c34\u5e73\u3001\u4f7f\u7528\u76f8\u540c\u7684\u75ab\u82d7\u3001\u76f8\u540c\u7684\u5e74\u9f84\u7ed3\u6784\u7b49\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u9999\u6e2f\u548c\u5927\u9646\u5927\u81f4\u4e0a\u975e\u5e38\u76f8\u4f3c\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u9884\u8ba1\u9999\u6e2f\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7684\u4e00\u4e07\u4eba\u8f6c\u6362\u5230\u6574\u4e2a\u4e2d\u56fd\u5927\u9646\u5c31\u662f160\u6216170\u4e07\u4eba\u6b7b\u4ea1\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u6b63\u5f0f\u6a21\u578b\u548c\u4e0e\u9999\u6e2f\u7684\u90a3\u79cd\u7c97\u7565\u7c7b\u6bd4\u90fd\u8868\u660e\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u6570\u4f1a\u975e\u5e38\u591a\u3002\u5f88\u96be\u60f3\u8c61\u4f60\u5982\u4f55\u907f\u514d\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5728\u75ab\u60c5\u7206\u53d1\u7684\u7b2c\u4e00\u6ce2\u4e2d\uff0c\u5f53\u4f60\u770b\u5230\u6700\u9ad8\u7684\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u6570\u65f6\uff0c\u5c31\u8868\u660e\u4e86\u4eba\u7fa4\u6ca1\u6709\u5f88\u591a\u514d\u75ab\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8bb0\u8005\uff1a\u4f60\u9884\u6d4b\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u75ab\u60c5\u4f55\u65f6\u7ed3\u675f\uff1f<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u5bf9\u9884\u6d4b\u75ab\u60c5\u5cf0\u503c\u5b8c\u5168\u6ca1\u6709\u4fe1\u5fc3<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u4f60\u77e5\u9053\u8fd9\u975e\u5e38\u56f0\u96be\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5bf9\u603b\u7684\u4f24\u5bb3\u7a0b\u5ea6\u6bd4\u5bf9\u9884\u6d4b\u65f6\u95f4\u66f4\u6709\u4fe1\u5fc3\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u65f6\u95f4\u5173\u952e\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u75ab\u60c5\u7206\u53d1\u662f\u4ec0\u4e48\u65f6\u5019\u5f00\u59cb\u7684\u3001\u4ec0\u4e48\u65f6\u5019\u505c\u6b62\u7684\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4e0d\u540c\u57ce\u5e02\u548c\u7701\u4efd\u6709\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u5cf0\u503c\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u73b0\u5728\u6765\u81ea\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u6570\u636e\u5f88\u96be\u786e\u5b9a\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u6211\u4eec\u5bf9\u5cf0\u503c\u65f6\u95f4(\u9884\u6d4b)\u5b8c\u5168\u6ca1\u6709\u4fe1\u5fc3\u3002\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u516c\u5f00\u53ef\u7528\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u9884\u8ba13\u6708\u5e95\u4f1a\u8fbe\u5230\u5cf0\u503c\uff0c\u4f46\u5982\u679c\u50cf\u4e2d\u56fd\u75be\u75c5\u9884\u9632\u63a7\u5236\u4e2d\u5fc3\u5728\u4e00\u4e9b\u672a\u516c\u5f00\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u6697\u793a\u7684\uff0cCovid\u611f\u67d3\u7684\u7206\u53d1\u59cb\u4e8e11\u6708\u4e0b\u65ec\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u5cf0\u503c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u65e9\u5f97\u591a\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u6574\u4e2a\u75ab\u60c5(\u5cf0\u503c)\u5f80\u56de\u63a8\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u6708\u6216\u4e24\u4e2a\u6708\uff0c\u89c6\u60c5\u51b5\u800c\u5b9a\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u672c\u6708\u67d0\u4e2a\u65f6\u5019\u8fbe\u5230\u5cf0\u503c\u3002\u4f46\u6211\u4eec\u975e\u5e38\u786e\u5b9a\uff0c\u6309\u57ce\u5e02\u548c\u7701\u4efd\u6765\u770b\u4e5f\u5c06\u6709\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u5cf0\u503c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8bb0\u8005\uff1a\u4f60\u76f8\u4fe1\u4e2d\u56fd\u75be\u75c5\u9884\u9632\u63a7\u5236\u4e2d\u5fc3\u8bf4\u7684\u8fd9\u6ce2\u7206\u53d1\u4e2d\u6ca1\u6709\u53d1\u73b0\u65b0\u7684\u65b0\u51a0\u75c5\u6bd2\u53d8\u79cd\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>\u9ed8\u91cc\uff1a\u662f\u7684\uff0c\u6211\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u76f8\u4fe1\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5bf9\u51fa\u56fd\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u6e38\u5ba2\u7684\u57fa\u56e0\u7ec4\u6d4b\u5e8f\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5965\u5bc6\u514b\u5bb9\u4e9a\u53d8\u4f53\u7684\u6982\u51b5\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u75be\u75c5\u9884\u9632\u63a7\u5236\u4e2d\u5fc3\u62a5\u544a\u7684\u51e0\u4e4e\u5b8c\u5168\u76f8\u540c\u3002\u8fd9\u4e5f\u7b26\u5408\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u4e00\u822c\u89c2\u70b9\uff0c\u5373\u5728\u4ee5\u524d\u672a\u89c1\u5f88\u591a\u65b0\u51a0\u80ba\u708e\u3001\u75ab\u82d7\u6027\u80fd\u4e2d\u7b49\u6216\u76f8\u5bf9\u8f83\u4f4e\u3001\u4e14\u591a\u6570\u662f\u5728\u4e00\u5e74\u591a\u524d\u63a5\u79cd\u7684\u4eba\u7fa4\u4e2d\uff0c\u4f1a\u6709\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u662f\u5f88\u5bb9\u6613\u611f\u67d3\u7684\uff0c\u5965\u5bc6\u514b\u5bb9\u5728\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u4eba\u7fa4\u4e2d\u5e94\u8be5\u4f1a\u5feb\u901f\u4f20\u64ad\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u4e0d\u5e94\u8be5\u5b58\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u6240\u8bf4\u7684\u5bf9\u65b0\u53d8\u4f53\u7684\u9009\u62e9\u538b\u529b\u3002\u56e0\u4e3a\u4f60\u771f\u6b63\u671f\u671b\u770b\u5230\u51fa\u73b0\u65b0\u53d8\u79cd\u7684\u5730\u65b9\u662f\u514d\u75ab\u529b\u9ad8\u7684\u5730\u65b9\u3002\u5f53\u7136\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6709\u5076\u7136\uff0c\u4f46\u5b83\u66f4\u53ef\u80fd\u53d1\u751f\u5728\u514d\u75ab\u66b4\u9732\u6216\u514d\u75ab\u4fdd\u62a4\u7a0b\u5ea6\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u4eba\u7fa4\u4e2d\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u5728\u672a\u7ecf\u514d\u75ab\u66b4\u9732\u7684\u4eba\u7fa4\u4e2d\u3002\u800c\u65b0\u51a0\u75c5\u6bd2\u4f20\u64ad\u7684\u552f\u4e00\u9014\u5f84\u662f\u901a\u8fc7\u7a81\u7834\u514d\u75ab(\u514d\u75ab\u9003\u9038)\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u5b83\u53ef\u80fd\u53d8\u5f97\u8f83\u91cd\u6216\u8f83\u4e0d\u91cd\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8bb0\u8005\uff1a\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u6709\u673a\u4f1a\u5411\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u63d0\u51fa\u4f60\u7684\u5efa\u8bae\uff0c\u4f1a\u662f\u4ec0\u4e48\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>\u9ed8\u91cc\uff1a\u6211\u4eec\u603b\u7684\u5efa\u8bae\u662f\u6234\u53e3\u7f69\u3001\u4fdd\u6301\u793e\u4ea4\u8ddd\u79bb\u4ee5\u51cf\u7f13\u5965\u5bc6\u514b\u5bb9\u4e9a\u53d8\u4f53\u7684\u5feb\u901f\u4f20\u64ad\uff0c\u8fd9\u6837\u533b\u9662\u5c31\u4e0d\u4f1a\u4e0d\u582a\u91cd\u8d1f\u3002\u5176\u6b21\uff0c\u8fc5\u901f\u5730\u5728\u9ad8\u5371\u8001\u5e74\u4eba\u7fa4\u4e2d\u4f7f\u7528\u66f4\u6709\u6548\u7684\u75ab\u82d7\uff0c\u5982\u8f89\u745e\u548c\u83ab\u5fb7\u7eb3\u7b49 mRNA\u578b\u75ab\u82d7\u3002\u7136\u540e\u7b2c\u4e09\uff0c\u786e\u4fdd\u83b7\u5f97Paxlovid\u6216\u6709\u6548\u7684\u6297\u75c5\u6bd2\u836f\u7269\u7684\u66f4\u591a\u673a\u4f1a\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u8001\u5e74\u4eba\u548c\u9ad8\u5371\u4eba\u7fa4\u3002\u540e\u4e24\u4e2a\u6b65\u9aa4\u8bbe\u6cd5\u51cf\u5c11\u6216\u53ef\u80fd\u5927\u5927\u51cf\u5c11\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u6570\uff1b\u6234\u53e3\u7f69\u548c\u4fdd\u6301\u793e\u4ea4\u8ddd\u79bb\u53ef\u51cf\u7f13\u4f20\u64ad\u901f\u5ea6\uff0c\u8fd9\u6837\u5c31\u6709\u66f4\u591a\u65f6\u95f4\u63a5\u79cd\u75ab\u82d7\u5e76\u6269\u5927\u6297\u75c5\u6bd2\u836f\u7269\u7684\u4f7f\u7528\u8303\u56f4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8bb0\u8005\uff1a\u8c22\u8c22\u9ed8\u91cc\u535a\u58eb\u3002<\/p>\n<p><em>(\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e4b\u97f3\u8fdb\u884c\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u91c7\u8bbf\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u6709\u5173\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u8d1f\u8d23\u4efb\u7684\u8ba8\u8bba\u548c\u89c2\u70b9\u3002\u88ab\u91c7\u8bbf\u4eba\u6240\u53d1\u8868\u7684\u8bc4\u8bba\u5e76\u4e0d\u4ee3\u8868\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e4b\u97f3\u7684\u7acb\u573a\u3002)<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"comments\" class=\"comments-parent\">\n<div class=\"row\">\n<div class=\"col-xs-12\">\n<div class=\"comments comments--ext\">\n<h3 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